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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Getting Real by Mark Freeland
    I appreciate the info about real estate funds, and the tables, but a quick search at Vanguard, Schwab and Fido shows that none of the three GO funds Mr Freeland has in the table with the best Sharpe Ratios over five years ( TIPRX VCMIX GIREX) are available to individual investors.
    A broader search since inception shows the same 14 great owl funds, but again the only ones with Sharpe ratios over 1.02 and std dev under 10 and Max DD under 8% are unavailable to individual investors, and are all interval funds.
    An interval fund is not traded daily, and the company is not obligated to allow redemptions at any time other than the end of the quarter and then for only 5% of total assets. If everyone wants out, too bad, even if you need the money to pay for junior's college.
    While the Apollo fund apparently is available directly thru Apollo, with a low minimum, there is a sales charge.
    MFO Premium search has a function for interval funds, but only to search only for them, not to exclude them.
    I am glad Mr Freeland put in the hard work gathering the information, but it is less useful to us individual investors than I initially thought, as the best funds are really unavailable.
  • AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/1/22
    For the week ending on 6/1/22, a huge REBOUND in Sentiment: Bearish still remained the top sentiment (37.1%) & neutral became the bottom sentiment (30.9%); bullish became the middle sentiment (32.0%); Bull-Bear Spread was only -5.1%. With all sentiments in 30s, future flip-flops are expected. Investor concerns still included high inflation & supply-chain disruptions; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (14+ weeks). For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up, gold down, dollar up. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/thread/141/aaii-sentiment-survey-weekly?page=6&scrollTo=652
  • Strong insider buying suggests a 15% rebounds from here
    The marketwatch article cites buying in 3 stocks. HD, MS & COIN. Of those 3, HD would be the only one which might be of interest, given its defensive nature. -- But the insider buys I see on it are not that big, not what I would call "conviction buys".
    The size of the buys on MS and COIN are certainly significant, and maybe they rocket up from here, but I've no interest in buying into those businesses.
    And insider buys -- even high-value 'conviction buys' -- can be horribly wrong. As a recent "Exhibit A", consider ASAN - a s/w startup by a Facebook founder. It IPO'd last year, and the founder has been buying hand-over-fist -- all the way down. I am talking about hundreds of millions of $$ in open market purchases.
    He is still buying in recently. Technically, the chart looks like it may have found support. If I were disposed to buy based on insider buying, it would be ASAN, simply based on the tremendous, relentless buying the founder has been doing. it IPO's ~ $25 and is now ~ $20 -- after trading as high as $140. Frankly, I don't have the stomach for those kind of moves anymore. Maybe it will go up eventually. But being this early -- and buying in at much higher prices -- is functionally no different than being wrong, even if it eventually goes up.
    I used to give a lot more credence to insider buys, but look if -- and I did say "IF" -- the market craters further, these 3 will be pulled along with it. so much money is indexed, that its really hard for individual issues to resist the gravitational movement of indexes.
  • M* Interactive Charting AWOL?
    The chart is now in a rather squashed format so that M* can fit an ad in on the right hand side of the page. In addition, the flexibility to set one's own time period is gone -- now it's 1 month to max only.
  • Dividend Paying Funds
    K-1 are for partnerships. In MLP, P is for partnership. Many commodity funds are also structured as partnerships (crude oil USO, dynamic commodities USCI, etc). REITs are typically not structures as partnerships, nor are listed dividend-stock funds.
    K-1s do cause additional headaches in tax filings, so many avoid them and try to find funds that are not structured as partnerships but issue regular 1099.
  • Dividend Paying Funds
    I've never seen a "dividend fund" with a K-1 but maybe there's one out there. There are entities such as MLP's and others which pay income/distributions and issue K-1"s but that's a whole different investment.
    Frankly I think that you need to do further research of your own on what constitutes a dividend fund and things to know about K-1's
    As @hank has noted dividend funds can come in many different styles, formats, make-ups, size and investment thesis. Know yourself so that you can make the best decision for yourself.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    if the GOP gains control of the WH, Senate and House, one of their priorities will be turning the TSP over to some fund management behemoth
    Like George W Bush privatized Social Security in 2005 ...
    Toward the end of a first term dominated by international terrorism, President Bush renewed this call in his 2004 State of the Union address: “Younger workers should have the opportunity to build a nest egg by saving part of their Social Security taxes in a personal retirement account. We should make the Social Security system a source of ownership for the American people.”
    ... and Donald J Trump built the wall in 2017 with Mexican pesos?
    https://www.brookings.edu/research/why-the-2005-social-security-initiative-failed-and-what-it-means-for-the-future/
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2019/01/25/why-trump-didnt-build-wall-when-republicans-controlled-congress/
    In 2025, the GOP will have its hands full dealing with all the tax breaks it instituted that will expire at the end of that year.
  • Is Jamie Dimon Losing It?
    He is late for several months. Dimon isn't a good market predictor.
    Months ago, my risk criteria was very elevated, I sold it all to cash (similar to Q4/2018 + 03/2020). I only trade every several weeks when I find a perfect set up and only for hours to days (last week was one for stocks, I traded NHMAX).
    Big picture haven't changed much. Still high inflation, high prices of the basics such as food,oil/gas and housing, rates are going up (two 50 points in 2 months), we still have a war in Europe+supply chain problem. Risk in the market is lower but still high.
    The SP500 Chart has lower lows and lowers high + the 200 days moving average is downtrend.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    The other option is put minimum into tsp 6% (not 17 18%) and transfer all new incomes into private ira
    Not sure what private IRA you are referring to. Think you need to look at the actual $ amount allow in 401(k) contribution, not % of your salary. Putting in enough to get maximum employer matching is a good way to go. Outside that you can contribute to a Roth IRA account at brokerages where one gets many choices. Maximum limit is $6K ($7K if age is over 50) for 2022.
    I am surprised to see TSP wanting to this change, almost several decades behind the private industry. I have had Fidelity and Vanguard as my 401(K) administrators, and they are very good with their services and investment choices. Another friend has access to the entire Schwab’s mutual fund platform and that a bit over the top.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    The IRS restricts in-service withdrawals (if permitted by the plan) to only those participants over age 59½ or who a hardship exception.
    https://www.irs.gov/retirement-plans/plan-participant-employee/when-can-a-retirement-plan-distribute-benefits
    TSP does permit these in-service withdrawals. But even then,
    You can make an age-59½ withdrawal only from an account that’s associated with your active employment. So, for example, if you have a uniformed services account but have left the uniformed services and are now a federal civilian employee, you can only make an age-59½ withdrawal from your civilian TSP account.
    https://www.tsp.gov/publications/tspbk12.pdf
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Well I found out that Pershing is the back office site.
    Buried in the site about the MFW of the TSP site:
    "If you cannot access us through either of these
    means, contact the clearing broker directly, at (201) 413-
    3635, or for recorded instructions call (213) 624-6100,
    extension 500."
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Correct
    Boss retired 4 yrs ago and rolled
    Another friend left and rolled to Fidelity
    Will call tsp but think there is a form they will mail you to roll
    I am staying not rolling but there are options out there if decide leave govt job here
    The other option is put minimum into tsp 6% (not 17 18%) and transfer all new incomes into private ira
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    In-service rollovers to T-IRA are allowed by TSP. Not many retirement plans allow that. 401k/403b vs T-IRA involves other issues covered elsewhere (TSP is formally not 401k, but follows similar rules).
    Yes, one can rollover their TSP account to a traditional IRA at brokerages AFTER they retire or leave their federal service/ jobs. At the brokerages one can have many choices (almost too many).
    My understanding is that rollover the TSP account while still working maybe allow depending on the plan administrators. So best to ask the TSP administrator.
    https://biglawinvestor.com/partial-401k-rollover/
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Is that some drool I see on the lips of fund management country wide? (If you don't follow the TSP doings over time, you have missed the various political maneuvers used over the years in an attempt to move the TSP into the skim paradises (female owned small investment business promotion, letting more firms share the wealth and management, etc.) The flavor of the argument depends on who wants the expansion and what audience is being targeted. In the past, this has not been much of a threat.
    My paranoid, suspicious mind is musing how, after this is sealed in superglue to the TSP program, the more egregious the costs, the better the argument for restructuring the fund more like retirement funds run elsewhere. (You know any old stable value fund is the same as the G-fund, all have index funds with low fees, etc.) Why not Voya; they throw the best parties? (adlib from Delaware move of their retirement funds from Fidelity to Voya.
    And, yes, I do know that all my comments are just idle wondering and wandering.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Since the TSP accounts are not mutual funds, one can't go to a prospectus filed with the SEC. At least there is a 36 page booklet describing the progam.
    https://www.tsp.gov/publications/tspbk08.pdf
    However, this program being part of the federal government, it is literally a matter of law. Specifically 5 USC § 8438, and the regulations promulgated under it, 5 CFR Chapter VI.
    https://law.justia.com/codes/us/2010/title5/partiii/subpartg/chap84/subchapiii/sec8438/
    https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-5/chapter-VI
    Here's one place the law intimates you won't lose money in the G fund. 5 CFR § 1600.37 says
    That an investment in any fund other than the G Fund is made at the employee's risk, that the employee is not protected by the United States Government or the Board against any loss on the investment, and that neither the United States Government nor the Board guarantees any return on the investment.
    As to who gets charged how much for the window, and what it can offer, that's also largely a matter of law.
    https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2022-05-10/pdf/2022-09972.pdf
    The excerpts below are long but I believe informative:
    For the TSP’s brokerage window, Congress has excluded all categories of investments except for mutual funds.¹
    ¹ See Thrift Savings Plan Enhancement Act of 2009, Public Law 111–31, Division B, Title I, sec. 104 (codified at 5 U.S.C. 8438(b)(5)(A)).

    The comments [to this government rule] indicate that many TSP participants are under the impression that other retirement plans negotiate free brokerage services. We looked into what have been described as ‘‘free’’, ‘‘no-transaction-fee’’, and ‘‘zero cost’’ mutual fund trades offered to participants in other retirement plans. We found that those prices are often caveated with fine print disclaimers, such as this:
    No-Transaction-Fee (NTF) mutual funds are no-load mutual funds for which [brokerage firm] does not charge a transaction fee. NTFs, as well as other funds, have other continuing fees and expenses described in the fund’s prospectus. [Brokerage firm] receives remuneration from fund companies for record keeping, shareholder and other administrative services. The amount of remuneration is based in part on the amount of investments in such funds by [brokerage firm] clients.
    The remuneration (i.e., fees) that brokerage firms receive from fund companies are treated by the fund companies as fund expenses, which are ultimately passed on to the people who have already invested in the fund. This type of arrangement between a brokerage firm and a fund company is called revenue sharing. Revenue sharing is not inherently pernicious. In many industries, revenue sharing is like a referral fee that a business owner might pay to compensate a person for bringing a new customer to their business. For most businesses, revenue sharing is a marketing cost borne by the business.
    Fund companies are, of course, businesses also. But fund companies are structurally different from other corporations. They typically have no employees, no physical assets, and no tangible products. They are just a collection of contracts relating to pools of money (i.e., funds), and they charge their costs of doing business to the people who have invested in the funds, regardless of how well the funds perform. Their unique corporate structure has led both Congress and the U.S. Supreme Court to conclude that ‘‘the forces of arm’s-length bargaining do not work in the mutual fund industry in the same manner as they do in other sectors of the American economy.’’ Jones v. Harris Assocs. L.P., 559 U.S. 335, 338 (2010), quoting S. Rep. No. 91184, at 5 (1969). This does not mean that there is something sinister about the mutual fund industry. It means only that the nature of the product makes the usual distinctions between price, cost, revenue, profit, and quality less clear than they are in other industries.
    Fund companies are not required to provide individualized statements to investors, detailing the exact dollar amount of the fund’s fees that each investor has indirectly paid. Consequently, revenue sharing between retirement plans, record keepers, brokerage firms, and fund companies can lead to confusing, opaque fee disclosures. Revenue sharing converts explicit fees (e.g., account maintenance fees and transaction fees) into less transparent fees (e.g., fees embedded in the fund’s expense ratio). By including the fees in the fund’s expense ratio, the return on an investment in that fund is reduced. Most participants in private sector plans have no idea that revenue sharing exists, much less how much it decreases the return of their investments. [footnote omitted]
    The FRTIB values transparency. We believe TSP participants need, and deserve, to see the dollar amount of the fees they pay for their mutual funds. Toward that end, TSP participants will pay account maintenance fees and certain transaction fees directly rather than paying them indirectly through revenue sharing. Furthermore, FRTIB has contractually required the TSP record keeper, their trading platform provider, their broker-dealer(s), and any of their other affiliates or subcontractors to rebate all revenue sharing payments, or any other type of indirect compensation, they receive in connection with participants’ mutual fund window investments. The rebates will be credited to participants’ mutual fund window accounts. This ensures that the dollar amounts of all fees and expenses borne by TSP participants for services provided in connection with their mutual fund window investments are explicitly disclosed.

    One commenter suggested that a $25-$30 fee would be more reasonable [than $55 for the administrative fee]. This commenter did not offer a rationale for why $25-$30 would be more reasonable or suggest an alternative means of deriving an appropriate fee amount. Another commenter suggested that all TSP participants should share in the cost of the mutual fund window. We believe this suggestion would conflict with an explicit Congressional directive to ‘‘ensure that any expenses charged for use of the mutual fund window are borne solely by participants that use such window.’’ 5 U.S.C. 8438 (b)(5)(B). We are, therefore, adopting the proposed rule as final without substantive change.
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    Correct. In-service rollovers to T-IRA are allowed by TSP. Not many retirement plans allow that. 401k/403b vs T-IRA involves other issues covered elsewhere (TSP is formally not 401k, but follows similar rules).
  • TSP is going to offer mutual funds.
    FYI if you dont like the C I S G fund offered at tsp you can always rolled to your private 401k w/ forms. I would not suggest rolling but its an options if you like trading or place monies in new funds
    https://www.bing.com/search?q=rollover+tsp+form&cvid=5878385eeaaa4103b81fdeded07c6563&aqs=edge..69i57.3276j0j4&FORM=ANAB01&PC=U531