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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Inflation: Food prices are going up — and at levels Americans haven't seen in decades
    From Saturday’s WSJ:
    “Walmart is paying up to keep on trucking. The retail giant is offering truck drivers up-to-$110,000 starting salaries and expanding a training program that enables its employees to enter the field to grow its in-house fleet.”
    Also noted in this WSJ issue: Warren Buffett has built up an 11% stake in HP.
  • What are you buying - if anything?
    @hank et al
    You noted "home sales are falling off".
    This "Bankrate" page shows current mortgage data. Scroll down the page about 1/3 for current data, which also includes a rate change chart from the beginning of this year. Select "mortgage" ; although "refinance" is very similar, and the time period you choose for review.
  • What are you buying - if anything?
    Doubled down on DKNG at $16.50. To make room, sold CVSIX. Moved GLDB from spec position into fixed income sleeve. With the 10 year above 2.7% I believe longer dated higher rated corporates (GLDB) are beginning to look attractive as offsets to a possible market selloff as well as for generating a stream of income. Increased weighting of TAIL (defensive) slightly to around 7%.
    Every “advisor / market expert” and his brother is expecting a recession unless the Fed eases up on the brakes. Predicted time of onset range from 6 months to 2 years out. One early hint, home sales are falling off. Enjoying all the comments above. Noted @Mark bought some Medtronic. +1
  • Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show
    April 9th Episode:
    The new era of higher inflation and interest rates is already proving to be a challenging one for investors. The first quarter of 2022 was the worst one in two years for the stock market. Inflation reached 40 year highs, and in response, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2018 and is signaling an aggressive policy of multiple rate hikes in the months ahead.
    Then there are all the other disturbing and disruptive developments to consider: the extended impact of Covid on global growth, supply chain problems, Russia’s unprovoked war against Ukraine, and aggressive actions from China, North Korea, and Iran.
    How to navigate these challenges as investors is the job of this week’s guest. She is an influential strategist, Savita Subramanian who has two leading roles at BofA Global Research. She is Head of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Research, the first in that position, and the Head of U.S. Equity and Quantitative Strategy.


  • Artisan Partners launches Global Unconstrained and Artisan Emerging Markets Debt Opportunities Funds
    Has anyone put a toe hold on the fund with inception of 3/31, Artisan Global Unconstrained ?
    @TheShadow ; Thanks for the links.
  • Barron’s Funds Quarterly (2022/Q1–April 11, 2022)
    Pg L3: Funds for INFLATIONARY times:
    Real-Assets: AAAX, PZRMX, GSG
    Equity: ACSTX, FLCSX, IWM
    Bonds: DODIX, FTHRX, VIPSX, PRFRX, SRLN
    Savings I-Bonds
    Pg L7: Data on the disaster in bond funds notes outflows and sharp declines: Treasury TLT -10.9%, corporates LQD -8.7%, total bond market VBMFX -6.5%, muni MUB -5.7%, HY HYG -5.4%. Data on several poorly performing equity funds is also provided (growth, international, China, emerging markets).
    Pg 16 (Better fit here): There are opportunities after an epic selloff in BONDS. Lot of rate hikes ahead may be in the market as the FED has been talking aggressively. Bonds may also be attractive for those who think that core inflation will come down later. But be careful as actual monetary tightening has barely started.
    Munis: VWITX, BTT, NEA
    Treasuries: SHY, TLT, TIP; Savings I-Bonds
    Corporates: PRCIX, MDFIX (mostly CEFs), VCSH, AGG
    HY: PRFRX, HYG, BXSL
    Preferreds: PFF; individual JPM-M, Qrate-P
    Convertibles: PACIX, CWB
    Pg L34: In 2022/Q1 (SP500 -4.60%): Among general equity funds, the best was mid-cap-value -0.23% (yes, negative) and the worst were MC-growth -13.62%, multi-cap-growth -12.69%, small-cap-growth -12.52%; ALL categories were negative. Among other equity funds, the best were natural resources +32.98%, Lat Am +22.47%, precious metals +13.71% and the worst were China -19.22%, Japan -13.19%, science & technology -13.12%, global multi-cap-growth -13.08%. Among fixed-income funds, domestic long-term FI -4.10%, world income -6.17% (not very refined in Lipper mutual fund categories listed in Barron’s).
    LINK
  • Vanguard FundAccess Funds
    I have been looking at non-Vanguard funds available at Vanguard and for the past two days, when I try to get T. Rowe Price funds to populate, I get this message:
    "The information you've requested is temporarily unavailable. Please try again later."
    I wonder if this is another one of Vanguard's technical glitches or there is something else going on. It does not seem like the former because there is not a problem getting other fund family funds to populate.
    https://personal.vanguard.com/us/funds/other/bytype?FundFamilyId=31698
  • What are you buying - if anything?
    @stayCalm, thanks for your reply. You mentioned those two alt / multi-asset funds constitute 15% of your equity allocation - what %age of you PV is equity?
    @JD_co, Does Etrade offer GQHPX / GQHIX? Also, does Etrade charge transaction fee of $20 for each sales of TF funds or are the sales free like at Fidelity, Schwab, etc.? For NTF funds, how much short term redemption fee does Etrade charge and what is the holding period requirement to avoid the fee?
    Thanks in advance.
  • Mairs & Power proxy vote on murkiness
    Nothing sinister here. You'll find a slew of pages describing procedures for converting California corps into Delaware corps. One of the common techniques is to merge the Calif. corp. into a new (shell) Delaware corp. Restructuring mutual funds is conceptually similar.
    See, e.g.
    https://www.dlapiperaccelerate.com/knowledge/2019/reincorporating-a-california-corporation-to-a-delaware-corporation.html
    But it will all be substantially the same outfit, same goals and directions?
    From the proxy:
    The proposed reorganization of the Target [old] Funds will not result in a change in the current investment adviser, Mairs & Power, Inc., to the Target Funds, or any change to the Target Funds’ investment objectives, strategies or investment policies. ... the expenses of the Reorganization were not expected to result in an increase in each Target Fund’s total annual fund operating expense ratio
    It will not, however, be the same outfit. The board of directors will be different.
  • S&P Global Ratings on Thursday cut Russia's credit deeper into junk territory, from 'CCC-/C' to 'CC/
    As I and others have written, index funds do not have the ability to take defensive positions; they must attempt to track their index. Case in point, ERUS. Current AUM is $1M ($945K in cash equivalents), current NAV is $0.07.
    Blackrock suspended trading and is not creating new shares. Down 99.83% YTD. You can find its holdings here:
    https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239677/ishares-msci-russia-capped-etf
  • What are you buying - if anything?
    ....have you found a way around the $1M minimum investment in MAFIX?
    @BenWP FWIW, MAFIX is available with $0 min, but a $20 TF over at E*TRADE.
    I've been eyeing GQEPX next time the market dips (also $0 Min at Etrade, No TF), but it just keeps going up recently.
  • What are you buying - if anything?
    I'm invested in MAFIX via a RIA so the $1M min does not apply (and I definitely don't have that kind of moolah to risk on a single fund)
  • What are you buying - if anything?
    @stayCalm: have you found a way around the $1M minimum investment in MAFIX? I was going to compare it to BLNDX, but did not want to spend time on a fund I could never buy. Following up on @BaluBalu's comment, I wonder what the six subadvisors' functions are.
    Standpoint's Eric Crittendon does indeed impress. I own REMIX, FWIIW. I particularly enjoy the firm's monthly commentary in which one learns what worked, what didn't, and what noteworthy changes were made to the portfolio, including longs and shorts.
    I initiated positions in GQEPX over the past few days.
  • I Bond Question
    Also I believe I-bonds are entirely tax free if proceeds are used for educational purposes but do your research, don't quote me on it.
    I-Bonds are a very sweet deal right now, nothing else in fixed income comes even close. I loaded up in Dec 2021, loaded up again in Jan 2022 and might even load up some more under the gift allowance.
  • What are you buying - if anything?
    @BaluBalu
    Spreading my bets between the two. Collectively they are about 15% of my equity allocation. MAFIX has done better than BLNDX recently but BLNDX has done well too. I like the alts comparison table that BLNDX has on their site. CIO Eric appears to be a smart guy. Check out his recent interview with Meb Faber, video is posted on BLNDX site.
  • What are you buying - if anything?
    Bought MDT (Medtronic) 10 days ago. Recently added to PAVE and SBUX.
  • Inflation: Food prices are going up — and at levels Americans haven't seen in decades
    Here's a tiny bit of anecdotal information from someone within the industry that provides some perspective on recent inflation affecting groceries. The source of rising prices identified here is not necessarily what I would have expected:
    “I would say logistics is the number-one reason we are having inflation. It’s very difficult to find drivers, and wages are going up. Fuel surcharges are through the roof. The freight to get goods to the consolidation points has doubled since pre-pandemic. The cost of packaging goes up because it’s shipped to the producers. Even ocean freight has doubled compared to pre-pandemic. We mostly use our own trucks and drivers, but because of the driver shortage, if someone calls out sick, a route doesn’t go out. We’ve had new trucks on order for almost a year. This shortage of drivers, trucks and truck parts for repairs makes freight more expensive and service much worse. It seems crazy that we would be paying double the freight for far worse service, but there it is.”

    Along with the above, a surplus of paper money ... A lots folks got “rich” trading stocks & crypto...
    image
  • Inflation: Food prices are going up — and at levels Americans haven't seen in decades
    And a world-wide perspective via NPR:
    Global food prices hit their highest recorded levels last month, driven up by the war
    Excerpts from that report:
    A United Nations agency says the war in Ukraine sent food commodity prices soaring in March to the highest levels it has ever recorded.
    The Food and Agriculture Organization announced on Friday that its FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in the international prices of a "basket of commonly-traded food commodities," averaged 159.3 points in March. That's up 12.6% from February, which already saw the highest level since the organization began tracking in 1990. It's also 33.6% higher than it was last March.
    Russia and Ukraine collectively accounted for about 30% of global wheat exports and 20% of maize exports over the last three years, the organization said, with conflict-related export disruptions in both countries prompting a surge in global prices of wheat and coarse grain. The FAO Cereal Price Index was 17.1% higher in March than it was in February.
    "The expected loss of exports from the Black Sea region exacerbated the already tight global availability of wheat," the organization added. "With concerns over crop conditions in the United States of America also adding support, world wheat prices rose sharply in March, soaring by 19.7 percent."
    It also notes that Ukraine is the world's leading exporter of sunflower seed oil, and says the rising prices of sunflower seed oil and crude oil raised the prices of other vegetable oils, like palm, soy and rapeseed. Altogether, the FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index rose 23.2% in a month.
  • Inflation: Food prices are going up — and at levels Americans haven't seen in decades
    Bingo! Here's excellent substantiation from NPR:
    Walmart will train scores of warehouse workers as truckers, starting at up to $110,000
    NEW YORK — Walmart workers who once unloaded trucks now have a chance to drive them.
    The nation's largest retailer has launched a training program that gives employees who work in its distribution or fulfillment centers a chance to become certified Walmart truck drivers through a 12-week program taught by the company's established drivers.
    Walmart, based in Bentonville, Arkansas, also said it is raising pay for its 12,000 truck drivers. The starting range for new drivers will now between $95,000 and $110,000, according to Walmart spokeswoman Anne Hatfield. The retailer said that $87,500 had been the average that new truck drivers could make in their first year.
    The moves announced Thursday come as the pandemic has made trucker shortages more severe as demand to move freight reaches historic highs. The American Trucking Associations, a large industry trade group, estimates that the nation is short about 80,000 drivers.
    Walmart said about 20 workers in Dallas and Dover, Delaware, have earned their commercial driver's licenses. About 400 to 800 workers in the company's supply-chain network are expected to complete the truck-driving program this year, Hatfield said.
  • Mairs & Power proxy vote on murkiness
    Update:
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1521353/000089418922002552/mpft_497e.htm
    497 1 mpft_497e.htm SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS
    Filed pursuant to Rule 497(e)
    Registration Nos. 333-174574; 811-22563
    MAIRS & POWER FUNDS TRUST
    Mairs & Power Growth Fund
    Mairs & Power Balanced Fund
    Mairs & Power Small Cap Fund
    (together, the “Funds”)
    April 8, 2022
    Supplement to the Summary Prospectuses, Prospectus, and Statement of Additional Information
    each dated April 30, 2021, as previously supplemented
    As previously communicated, a special meeting of shareholders of the Funds was held on March 30, 2022. At the special meeting, shareholders of each of the Funds approved a proposal to reorganize each Fund into a corresponding newly created series of Trust for Professional Managers (together, the “Acquiring Funds”), which are designed to be substantially similar from an investment perspective to the current Funds. Mairs & Power, Inc. will serve as the investment adviser to the Acquiring Funds. The reorganization is intended to qualify as a tax-free transaction for federal income purposes.
    The closing of the reorganization will take place in late April 2022. Shareholders of the Funds will become shareholders of the corresponding Acquiring Funds, receiving shares of the corresponding Acquiring Funds equal in value to the shares of the Funds held immediately prior to the reorganization. Following the closing of the reorganization, shareholders of the Funds will receive a Prospectus for their respective Acquiring Fund, which provides information about these changes along with other information regarding the Acquiring Funds.
    Thank you for your investment. If you have any questions, please call the Funds toll-free at 800-304-7404.
    * * * * *
    Please retain this supplement for your reference.