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Twitchy markets, some of the usual suspects.....TIS, deja vu or Groundhog Day, the movie theme

edited June 2018 in Fund Discussions
Many sectors globally, after a big run in January; and then the market twitch at the end of the month finds most areas at the very best, no better than a sideways move.

--- Asia, Europe, U.S. equity, many continue in a "down" trend and negative YTD

--- U.S. utils, real estate and consumer staples trying to establish an "up" trend the past 2 days

--- Investment grade bonds attempting to establish a continued "up" in pricing (meaning yields down).

Well, just my humble, inflation adjusted observation.

Our house remains 50% U.S. equity oriented, with the majority in tech. and health; and 50% money market cash.

Good fortune to your particular holdings.
Catch

Comments

  • edited June 2018
    Odd isn’t it? Such low volatility.

    I like to hunt for really beaten up sectors to throw a bit of $$ at. Sometimes it works. Sometimes doesn’t. But fun nonetheless. There really aren’t any right now. Latin America comes closest. But still sporting nice 1-year gains. So doesn’t meet my definition of “really beaten up.” EM bonds off a bit - but not greatly. Real estate’s another one. But not down as much as earlier in the year. Not nearly beaten up enough for me to take a gamble on it (but I hold a slim slice as a long term portfolio component).

    It’s been said “A fool and his money are soon parted”. This is not the time to be brave IMHO.
  • edited June 2018
    Hi @hank
    Agree. One choice could be Latin America, yes; more so, Brazil. The area is a traders paradise, if one is very good at that. The swings have been pretty wide for that market.
    There remains so much hot money in the global hunt, that I suspect the POTUS could launch a cruise missile or two to close a few more openings in the N. Korea mountains and a market down burp wouldn't last more than a few days.
    The late January/early February market twitch was supposedly to do with some funny business in the derivatives areas. I haven't had time to try to clarify the "truth".
    We're still waiting for the ax to fall hard in tech. and health; our largest exposure to equity, when a big "twitch" arrives and stays for awhile.
    Lastly, 9pm, Michigan time; the VIX is up by 3% (neg. imply for equity), u.s. gov't bond prices up; although Asia equity is mixed for the most part.
  • edited June 2018
    -- June 25, Monday 10pm

    -China related equity getting the big slap again (their opening markets).
    -Global overall still holding the barf bag and filling same.
    -U.S. equity closes today find utils/telecom/con. staples positive, a very short list.
    -The big winners for the past few years are naturally taking the hits...tech.; health along with large cap growth in general. Y'all knew getting d'FANGED would affect many areas, yes?
    -Real estate a bit negative, too

    ***In particular, with a view towards the above is that U.S. Treasury issues, 10 and 30 year are not getting much positive action.

    So, we don't have a scared to death market yet, eh?

    Profit taking only. If so, where is the rotation moving towards?

    Too many questions still without a good guideline.

    Feel free to add to the list, either negative or positive.
    Good night.
    Catch
  • edited June 2018
    Base on DOWS data, it's definitely almost corrections time... Who can predict what will happen next 6-12 months, hard to say...
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