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Jonathan Clement's Blog: Don’t Overthink: Making Predictions,

FYI: IMAGINE YOU’RE trying to guess the winner of a basketball or ice hockey game. Which of these methods do you think would work best?

Flip a coin.
Make an educated guess.
Gather data and conduct an informed analysis.
Regards,
Ted
https://humbledollar.com/2019/02/dont-overthink/
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