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  • Ted September 2019
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The Closing Bell: U.S. Stocks Up As Oil Prices Slump

TedTed
edited September 2019 in Fund Discussions
FYI: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose Tuesday as oil prices slumped, reversing some of their historic jump the day earlier.

The blue-chip index rose 33 points, or 0.13%, a day after breaking an eight-session winning streak. The S&P 500 edged up 0.25% as a decline in energy stocks offset a rally in safety sectors like real estate and utilities. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite added about 0.40%.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, dropped 4.8% to $65.69 a barrel after Reuters reported that Saudi output could return more quickly than initially expected. Prices on Monday had notched their biggest percentage gain on record after a weekend attack on Saudi oil facilities left investors struggling to calculate the likely impact on global supplies.

“What we are going to watch going forward is to see how these higher oil prices affect the consumer, especially here in the United States, as the U.S. consumer is driving the growth in the economy right now,” said Carter Henderson, portfolio specialist at Fort Pitt Capital Group.

In addition to monitoring information about oil supply, investors are looking ahead to the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this week. Markets are expecting another quarter percentage point interest rate cut Wednesday, but there will also be scrutiny of how recent developments with Saudi Arabia and trade talks with China might influence future policy.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield slipped to 1.798%,from 1.843% Monday. Bond yields fall as prices rise.

New data Tuesday showed U.S. industrial production rebounded sharply in August, a sign that is likely to ease worries about a manufacturing-driven economic downturn.

In China, the Shanghai Composite dropped 1.7% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.2% as the People’s Bank of China remained restrained in its response to a recent spate of weak economic data. The central bank on Tuesday disappointed economists who had hoped it would move to effectively lower interest rates, though it took steps to inject 200 billion yuan ($28.3 billion) into the banking system.

Investors were also monitoring signs of turmoil in the repo market. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York stepped in Tuesday for the first time in more than a decade to relieve pressures that were pushing short-term interest rates higher than the central bank wanted. The Fed moved to put $53 billion of funds back into the banking system through transactions known as repurchase agreements.

Wednesday’s policy decision is unrelated to the recent funding-market strains.

Despite the gloom, Japan’s Nikkei edged up 0.1% as President Trump moved ahead with a trade pact with the country on areas such as digital technology and agriculture. The step should see some tariffs on Japanese imports to the U.S. lowered.
Regards,
Ted
Bloomberg Evening Briefing:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-16/your-evening-briefing

MarketWatch:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-set-to-drift-lower-as-oils-surge-takes-a-pause-2019-09-17/print

WSJ:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-wobble-as-crude-holds-gains-11568707708

Bloomberg:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-16/asia-stocks-set-for-muted-open-treasuries-climb-markets-wrap?srnd=premium

IBD:
https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/stock-market-closes-higher-leading-stocks-outperform/
CNBC:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/17/dow-futures-down-ahead-of-federal-reserve-meeting.html

Reuters:
https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks/wall-street-subdued-as-focus-shifts-to-fed-idUKKBN1W21BI

U.K:
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-stocks/londons-ftse-100-ends-on-a-flat-note-sirius-minerals-plunges-idUKKBN1W20PR

Europe:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-stocks/european-shares-flat-as-investors-assess-saudi-attack-impact-idUSKBN1W20PQ

Asia:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/17/asia-set-to-trade-lower-after-oil-prices-jump-14percent.html

Bonds:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/17/us-bonds-treasury-yields-lower-as-investors-await-fed-meeting.html

Currencies:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/17/forex-markets-attacks-on-saudi-oil-facilities-in-focus.html

Oil:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/17/oil-slips-following-the-biggest-climb-in-history-after-saudi-attacks.html

Gold:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/17/gold-markets-us-federal-reserve-in-focus.html

WSJ: Markets At A Glance:
https://markets.wsj.com/us

Major ETFs % Change:
https://www.barchart.com/etfs-funds/etf-monitor

SPDR's Sector Tracker:
http://www.sectorspdr.com/sectorspdr/tools/sector-tracker

SPDR's Bloomberg Sector Performance Pie Chart:
https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/sectors

Current Futures:
https://finviz.com/futures.ashx


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