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  • Ted August 2019
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The Breakfast Briefing: Dow Futures Turn Lower, Amid US-China Trade, Global Growth Worries

TedTed
edited August 2019 in Fund Discussions
FYI: U.S. stock index futures were higher Monday morning, after China’s central bank set the official midpoint reference for the yuan at a stronger-than-expected level.

On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set its daily midpoint for yuan trading — which determines the limits for its onshore movement — at 7.0211 per dollar. That was weaker than Friday’s session, but beat market expectations.

On the data front, the Federal Budget for July is expected to be published at around 2:00 p.m. ET.

In corporate news, Sysco and Barrick Gold are both expected to publish quarterly earnings before the opening bell.

Bloom Energy and Tencent Music will report their latest results after market close.

Stocks across the globe rallied Monday, with Chinese markets advancing by the most in over a month, following a roller-coaster week in which U.S.-China trade tensions shook asset prices across the board.

The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 1.5% after the Chinese central bank set the yuan at a stronger rate than traders had expected—7.0211 to the dollar—easing concerns of a quick devaluation after President Trump last week accused China of manipulating its currency.

The benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 index gained 0.9%, led by a 1% advance in Germany’s DAX.

The positive turn in markets comes despite fresh gloom around U.S.-China trade talks, with Mr. Trump on Friday suggesting that negotiations could break off.

Among the biggest gainers in Europe was Tullow Oil , TUWOY 2.75% whose shares rose 17% after the company said it had found more oil off the coast of Guyana. Shares in ams AG AMS -8.70% , a 3-D sensor maker that supplies to Apple, dropped 9% on reports that the Austrian company has put in a bid to take over German lighting company Osram Licht , creating a bidding war with private-equity buyers. Shares in Osram were up 10% early Monday.

In Asia, amid a day of light trading with a number of regional exchanges closed, Cathay Pacific fell 4.5%, putting the Hong Kong airline on course to close at its lowest level in more than a decade. China’s aviation authority on Friday ordered the carrier to remove all employees involved in the protests in Hong Kong from flights to mainland China. The most closely watched class of shares in Swire Pacific, the Hong Kong conglomerate that is Cathay’s largest shareholder, fell nearly 6%.

This week, investors will be watching for new consumer price inflation estimates from the U.S. on Tuesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve cited subdued inflation as one reason for cutting rates last week. Consumer prices increased 0.1% between May and June.

Regards,
Ted

WSJ:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-jump-led-by-china-rebound-11565599208

Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-08-11/stocks-to-dip-after-u-s-drop-as-caution-reigns-markets-wrap?srnd=premium

IBD:
https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-jones-futures-apple-stock-amd-lockheed-amazon-zscaler-stock-market-correction/

CNBC:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/12/stock-market-wall-street-in-focus-after-china-fixes-yuan-at-stronger-than-expected-level.html

U.K.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-stocks/uk-shares-gain-broadly-thomas-cook-tanks-idUKKCN1V20J8

Europe:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-stocks/european-shares-rebound-ams-bid-for-osram-puts-ma-in-focus-idUSKCN1V20K5

Asia:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-markets-make-cautious-gains-following-rocky-week-2019-08-11/print

Bonds:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/12/us-bonds-treasury-yields-tick-lower-amid-trade-war-concerns.html

Currencies:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/12/forex-markets-us-china-trade-concerns-remain.html

Oil:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/12/oil-markets-demand-outlook-us-china-trade-war-in-focus.html

Gold:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/12/gold-market-trade-tensions-and-recession-worries-linger.html

Cuirrent Futures:
https://finviz.com/futures.ashx

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