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davidrmoran
I myself see a big pullback coming in the next six months but I don’t know that I have ever been correct over 45 years. I will put a lot of money in if a 10% pullback comes. I expect you r being prudent depending on how old you are. The thing is, if you’re young, you might as well stick it out and not try to time. He said.
As always, try and plan for bad things. As it says, obviously, assuming ~~4% of savings withdrawn annually, are you really going to also assume the bull continues ?
@davidmoran: You are correct I linked this article on 8/5/19 !
Regards,
Ted
https://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/51738/about-to-retire-check-your-stock-exposure-quickly#latest
mine is publicly readable :)
... the reason the yield curve inverted [is] the incredible plunge in longterm rates, from 3.2% last fall to just 1.45% this morning. That represents a huge shift toward economic pessimism.
[Krugman two days ago]
he could wear a beater and chain-smoke and huge numbers would welcome him back
who ever thought they would miss nixon, or lbj?? much less carter and h bush
hmm ... he just thinks media are being way way meangirl to the orange criminal and people should take to streets
no, no, wait, the opposite, --- if BO had been hit like putinpuppet, that woulda happened for sure, all libtard progs would riot and st…
Think if Obama and family were harrased called name like Dt/family have been past few yrs think us citizens DEFINITELY would Erupt into civil wars and riots all over large counties cities.. Indeed there maybe double standards( imho) Both clintons co…
same philo dude wrote, at the same time, 12/13:
To reach the valuation high of the 1955-1969 period -– 23.88, which was registered in January 1966 -– the current S&P would have to rise to 2125. To reach the high of the 2003-2007 period, which w…
to god's ear
do you think warren-buttigieg can win? that does not sound so promising to me. young midwest mayor ...
it cannot be two women. did you read jcapehart's wapo family reunion piece (in SC, I think, maybe NC? I think everyone is AA, like …
It's from the end of 2013.
I find these articles fascinating and persuasive; David S and Ed S and their ilk have similarly written very persuasively about overvaluation. Also Bogle and Buffett and others, I think. The math sure is clear.
Since t…
@GREGT
If you come to think that a fund which automatically sells and value-buys within the SP500 world every month might be sort-of defensive (not like low-vol funds and ETFs, though), you will want to take a look at DSENX/DSEEX and the etn they a…
Monte Carlo University,maybe, not Python
Still savoring this recent member summary!
Thank God for Trump! Was dealt the worst hand possible by the Manchurian candidate Obama,and has been fought every step of the way by the corrupt deep state politi…
this is what I was trying to grok
https://q1medicare.com/q1group/MedicareAdvantagePartDQA/FAQ.php?faq=Can-I-use-a-Drug-Discount-card-with-my-Medicare-Advantage-plan-or-are-these-programs-excluded-from-people-with-Medicare-&faq_id=659&catego…
I am (surely incorrectly) inferring that people on Medicare have use these outboard discount plans, but they do not apply at all in that situation, is my understanding and experience? Does anyone here have an MC PDP and uses GoodRx, say?
more
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/01/25/new-koch
and
https://www.theonion.com/david-koch-pumps-billions-of-dollars-into-campaign-to-s-1837513455
I would have concurred last week in the first sentence from @kings53man, but this is sobering, about self-reinforcing trade stupidities:
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/8/23/1880993/-The-Trump-presidency-may-well-have-entered-its-endgame-today
literally destructive:
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/23/opinion/sunday/david-koch-climate-change.html
I wonder how many here, attempting to accumulate wealth for selves and future, have grandchildren.
another interesting datapoint about lower SWR probabilities in a time of high p/e; from a place I do not know:
https://www.crestmontresearch.com/blog/excerpt/5/
(appears to conform with a kitces piece bee posted a year ago
https://finpage.blog/20…
I stick this here only because M* is so superior in its occasional investigative and/or analytical work by staff; I coulda slugged it Rekenthaler so good:
https://www.morningstar.com/articles/942232/how-to-lose-a-lawsuit
christ, what comedy, like saul on the road to damascus
as if this could not have happened prior, or even been imagined
'if'n you're that baby's daddy, where you been at??' (simpsons)
Any time I run into a snag at Fido, I call a rep (never had to wait on hold) and it's resolved. Only thing worth noting is that there are some issues the first rep you get may not know about; but normally if they don't, they find somebody who does, …
