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AndyJ

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AndyJ
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  • FYI, the figures Pimco puts on the fund pages under the Portfolio tab are apparently "duration weighted exposure" (DWE). The market value weighting is found with DWE on the monthly spreadsheet (Document tab, scroll down to "Pimco Funds Portfolio Sta…
  • IMHO, Mona, there's diversification benefit to owning both. * Different managers, different cultures. * An actively managed exposure to CEFs in RNDLX. * There's some amount of zig and zag effect in owning both: the chart of the two since RNDLX's…
  • Added to DSEEX ( thanks for the initial heads up davidrmoran ) and to SFGIX ( thanks for the initial heads up to David Snowball. Researching small cap Permian producers. Glad you mentioned the ticker, MS; I'd forgotten that Dbl I shares can be had w…
  • My only even slightly significant move lately was out of munis (VWALX), with the $ going mostly into existing accounts in multi-bonds PIMIX and RNDLX. In stocks, added to FMIJX and opened small starter/test positions in PGRNX and PAFSX.
  • So far, DSENX is high on the list for the U.S. stock exposure in the IRA my spouse plans to open with current 401k assets when she retires in ~ a year. Seems like a good equity discipline, charts well on the downside so far against known risk-averse…
  • If you simply must have your daily dose of sloppy scholarship, then IBD should be your primary preferred pharmacy. They will never ever short your prescription. Now there's a hoot. And here's another one: a bunch of retired guys practically fight ov…
  • Hi willmatt, so you've got more bonds in BERIX (mostly non-IG, I think? M* doesn't show the credit breakdown) and VWENX (30%+ in interest-rate sensitive, IG corporates and some 'government'). I'd factor those into the decision. The lineup doesn't …
  • Do you think it's a bad time to buy a fund with a large stake in treasuries? Depends on how much you have in equities, and the nature of those equities. If it's a larger and/or riskier stake, it's not a bad idea to have some T's on your side in a …
  • In the ARTFX writeup, thanks especially for the link to the research report on non-IG credit, David; good info there.
  • TAVFX was an outstanding U.S. small value fund coming out of the tech crash. But after MW shifted the focus, it lost its edge, IMHO. I owned it for several years, sold in early 2007, never considered it again. The heavy, heavy losses during the cris…
  • I agree with David. They certainly haven't been on a fund-launch rampage since going public, and the recent Krug/ARTFX launch is very much in line with the 'category killer' approach.
  • I see nothing wrong/imprudent with opening a small position in ARTFX. No joke. Once people realize who the manager is that Artisan lured away to launch ARTFX, the assets may pile up quickly, and Artisan closes funds at moderate AUM levels. I've be…
  • Alternative views here, from BofA and TRP, summarized at Barron's blog. The OP-linked article doesn't consider the HY spread, which is at least as important as yield considered in a vacuum; it's really compressed, but not approaching record territo…
  • Ha, heezsafe: you're welcome, you're worthy, and it can be your turn in 6 months! Good luck out there ...
  • The Shiller Enhanced CAPE fund (DSENX) seems more in the Db'line wheelhouse, vs. a straight actively-managed equity fund. It's a formulaic sector-rotation stock strategy represented by derivatives, backed by a Gundlach bond strategy ... broadly simi…
  • For comparison, here's what David Sherman calculated after the October '13 dividend, when RSIVX was brand-spanking new. Current yield: 8.43% Approximate expected gross investment yield: 7.12% Approximate duration: 3.12 yr. Avg market price: 103.61 …
  • Thanks, David. I just wonder why they won't publish those figures you quote on the web site, just as data and without the "approximation" number, which isn't nearly as supportable. Doesn't seem like they would be promising anything or running up aga…
  • Do The Math? We've had this discussion before. Yes, and there was another one before that, where I reported what David Sherman sent via e-mail, but those were a while back. The OP's question refers to "current yield." It's of course possible to fi…
  • As far as I know, they've never had any yield figure posted on the web site, but M* used to show an SEC yield for it -- now even that's gone.
  • Thanks, Ted.
  • FYI: Copy & Paste 6/21/14: Regards, Ted Source and author for your copyright violation?
  • Charles, yes, that appears to make MFO internal-logic sense for PRBLX on the basis you state, but in the case of comparison with SMVLX, you've given the latter a rating only over a period during which, simply by its structure, it would be very surpr…
  • I kinda see where you're coming from, Charles, but not really. I'm not able to get past the fact that since SMVLX launched, a period that includes both up and down markets, PRBLX has gained 85% cumulative vs. SMVLX's 63% ... with lower drawdown. Fr…
  • Charles: " It is PRBLX's performance during the five year bull market that lands it in the 4th quintile." Sorry to disagree, but that factoid actually supports the notion that low downside risk may be somewhat underweighted in the MFO system. The…
  • I haven't explored the data protocols that produce the owl list, but the fact that PRBLX doesn't make the list suggests to me that the protocols might underweight down-market performance in some way ... just a thought. Cheers, AJ
  • Welcome, Guido! I'd missed the previous posting of the link and appreciated your posting it, I wouldn't have seen it otherwise. Same here; thanks. Some very useful links can get lost in the daily blizzard.
  • Today's Bloomberg writeup of the new neutral is here.
  • @Maurice, some newer browsers will let you selectively delete cookies. That might be a solution for you. The wonder of add-ons: try 'Self Destructing Cookies'. Allows them for the time you're on the site, then kills them on exit, except for the si…
  • "We offer a Premium Membership Service for $23.95 per month, $199 per year, $339 for 2 years or $439 for 3 years. If you haven't already, you can preview Premium Membership with a free 2-week trial period." I've been offered a significant reduction…
  • Agree with Dave. I didn't realize RP does commentary; haven't found any on the site. One amusing bit from the semi-annual report, which is basically the 3-31-14 listing of holdings: RSIIX-RSIVX lists 5.2% in energy, among which is Checkers Drive-I…
  • Also from Barron's Income Investing blog, this piece says Japan's enormous pension fund (AUM = $1.26T) will now be allowed to invest more in foreign securities, and will prob'ly become a more significant source of demand for U.S. Treasuries, also he…
  • "I'm considering moving on, it appears I've outlived my usefulness." Actually, Ted, you'd be more useful to the board if you did as David asks. See IE's post; that's what David's asking for, some substance to explain why a particular article is w…
  • Well put, expatsp ... yep, that angle too. BK did very well vs. the category in 2008 and Q3 '11, and anything David can tease out about how he accomplished that then, and how he is managing the new fund today to limit the downside, would be welcom…
  • Hi David, thanks for asking. Maybe ask Bryan Krug what his strategy for the near future of ARTFX is, given that the HY spread continues to sink (~3.5) toward the record low shown in FRED data (~2.5). Best, AJ
  • Scott: " ... when I saw the title of the thread, that's the only thing I thought it could be." Same here - I went to the link to see what he had to say about it, and it's about some coins umpteen years ago? Really, Bill?
  • Scott, you nailed it. Kiplinger's, 2008: "But Nygren's largest blunder by far was his heavy investment in Washington Mutual (WM), the country's largest thrift. At one point, WaMu represented a towering 15% position in Select's portfolio. The Seattl…
  • Charles: "I don't see much in way of downside protection to justify the ER, so he's benefiting from the bull market." That's the reason, as tempting as SMVLX is when things are on a roll, that I've never put any $ into it.
  • The WSJ fund pages use the same data layout as the now-defunct Smartmoney did; that's the only place I've found that uses the old SM structure. (May be others, but I'm not aware of any.) Marketwatch uses Lipper data, but it's still structured like t…
  • Hope they plan to tweak the fund strategy; a 3y return of less than 1% annual is probably not going to attract a ton of investors, whether it's under the AdvisorShares banner or Cambria on its own.
  • Yes, there is quite a bit of material on FF divestment & fiduciary duty, and at least some of the ~ 95 institutions that have already pledged to divest per the campaign parameters specifically state that investment committees are to continue to …