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rforno

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rforno
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  • TCAL is very attractive -- was going to start a position last week tbh but end-of-semester crazy got in the way and I never got around to it. I'm also wondering if that might be a good thing to rotate from PRWCX into at some point....
  • @Sven- That's a little unfair to mob bosses. As a rule they're a fair amount smarter than Trump. A turnip is smarter than Trump....
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno May 9
  • 'Concepts of a plan' I think is the more accurate description. In other words, a nothingburger. But he'll bleat that more nothingburgers are coming "in a few weeks" just like his infrastructure and health care plans during his first term.
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno May 9
  • Donnie is panicking over his trade war based on his ALL-CAPS plea to China this morning. Better yet, another post suggests he's going to try and pin any trade policy failure or tariff drama on the Treasury Secretary -- because he can't accept resp…
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno May 9
  • ... which means FOTUS will be up late into the evening wailing on his liddle social media site about how Powell sucks, needs to cut rates NOW!, and deserves to be replaced immediately, right? Called it. So predictable and pathetic. Or as he might s…
  • I'll run Linux before I run Windows again. Apple products are expensive but generally okay if not frustrating for power users like me. However I don't trust their cloud architecture farther than I could throw it and it'll take a lot to convince …
  • ... which means FOTUS will be up late into the evening wailing on his liddle social media site about how Powell sucks, needs to cut rates NOW!, and deserves to be replaced immediately, right?
  • @WABC. Agree ! Every weekend we cruised past multiple CONTAINER SHIPS aboard our SAILBOAT. Not the same. Relatedly, don't anyone dare call a Navy submarine a 'ship' or they might just find themselves fired out of a torpedo tube. Submarines are…
  • CNN reporting the west coast ports already showing signficant declines in shipping cargo traffic... https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/economy/ar-AA1EgCdN
  • Good idea. I should probably stock up on TP & paper towels at Costco. Have plenty of Kleenex already. Better safe than sorry! I loaded up on single-malts in late March before 'liberation day' happened :)
  • "A portfolio constructed for long-term resilience will be well served by a high-quality government-bond allocation, in particular one with US Treasuries and agency mortgages. The 2022 experience—as well as 2025 thus far—also illustrates the virtue o…
    in Equity Ballast Comment by rforno May 7
  • Sellers are getting uo to 50% haircuts in exiting private-credits, LinkedIn. I'm sure folks will plow into these things b/c it makes them feel like a 'sophisticated' investor.... ... and why companies are trying to push this stuff into user-select…
  • End of an era, for sure. There won't be another Warren anytime soon. He got a standing ovation after the announcement, to which, in his typical folksy way, he told the crowd "That can be interpreted one of two ways..." lol
    in Warren Buffett Comment by rforno May 3
  • I still use their products (b/c I avoid Windows like the plague) but I am nowhere the Apple fan I was 5, 10, 15, or 30 years ago, that's for sure. Their QA has slipped noticeably in recent years and they're engaging in dirty tricks to keep their wa…
  • IMO it's just another data point to give me a 'guesstimate' about a company. I don't make decisions off of it alone. (also a Schwabbie)
    in CFRA Research Comment by rforno May 1
  • Relatedly -- Peter Navarro is delusional .... on CNBC: says this morning's horrible economic numbers are actually good news because if you remove the effect of tariffs "you have 3 percent growth. So we really like where we're at now." That's the s…
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 30
  • As expected, the flailing Toddler in Tweet is still blaming bad economic data happening during his regime on Biden... https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/30/trump-gdp-tariffs-biden-overhang.html
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 30
  • BBG, reporting on the Toddler's 100-days-rally tonight: “You’re not supposed to criticize the Fed,” Trump said. “You’re supposed to let him do his own thing — but I know much more than he does about interest rates.” Yeah, I'm sure YOU know more a…
  • Nibbling on what? “Stuff I post about in the B/S/W thread!” +1 / However - @masterd joined only a week ago. We’ll cut him some slack. :) Fair enough. I'm mainly stalking utes, energy support, and modern infrastructure.
  • I think insider trading is/will be rampant with this regime. After all, last week word came out that Tariff Toddler was telling Wall Street CEOs his tariff plans before they became public. Then, I read this weekend that one of his big benefactor…
  • I've been opportunistically nibbling, but buying in smaller chunks than I normally would, even to start a position. Which is frustrating at times when it goes up right away, but also helpful when it drops right away. :) Nibbling on what? Stuff I …
  • I've been opportunistically nibbling, but buying in smaller chunks than I normally would, even to start a position. Which is frustrating at times when it goes up right away, but also helpful when it drops right away. :)
  • UPS below $100 would be tempting any other time for me, but with a likely recession/stagflation and/or the insane global economic 'unknown unknowns' thanks to the Dotard-in-Tweet these days (er, nights), I think it might have farther to fall given i…
  • @PopTart- We held various American Funds/Capital Group growth funds for many years, and they did just fine for us. The dividend value play sounds interesting too. I always liked American/Capital because of their "committee" advisory approach... noth…
  • He sure likes talking about people's genes....
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 26
  • Jesus! Sorry, he's unavailable. Please leave a message after the beep.
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 25
  • Announcing 'trade deals' is going to become the 2025 version of 'Infrastructure Week' I think... https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-stuns-time-magazine-with-outlandish-claim-when-they-confront-him-on-zero-trade-deals/
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 25
  • Future press conference: Treasury Sec: No, we did NOT meet with the Chinese. Orange Buffoon: We met with the Chinese this morning. [accordion hands] Reporter: I see .. So then, which individuals have met with the Chinese and what was discussed? …
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 25
  • Treasury Sec: We did NOT meet with the Chinese. Buffoon: We met with the Chinese this morning. Question: Hmm...So then, which individuals met with the Chinese? Buffoon: (crickets) You forgot his accordion hands..... lol
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 24
  • Changed my Roth IRA SEP holdings from the AF Growth+Income model portfolio to one that'll be around 90% in AF Washington Mutual* F-2, some in JHEQX, and a tiny slice of cash. (I'd prefer to have it all in WaMu, but as it's a managed account and I n…
  • New position started in CMCSA @ 31.50 ... down 8.25% premarket on earnings, paying a now-decent and covered yield for an information infrastructure company.
  • From the B&S thread, it appears @rforno put some serious shorts on around noon today. Probably what hit the market. LOL my short yesterday was definitely not market-moving .... just a few hundred more shares of the ETF!
  • Added another chunk to SPXS (3x inverse S&P) at midday today.
  • Trump blinked again. See CNN below: https://cnn.com/2025/04/22/business/trump-china-trade-war-reduction-hnk-intl/index.html Depending who is the point person to negotiate with China, the outcome may vary considerably. Certain individuals such as V…
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 23
  • https://www.yahoo.com/news/white-house-insists-still-seal-184028885.html White House insists it can still seal 75 trade deals in 90 days – but says it’s currently only in talks with 34 countries And if you believe the 34 number, I got some choice …
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 23
  • This morning's POLITICO Playbook was amusing reading ..... seems the WH continues to cave on trade. Not only is FOTUS changing his public tune again on China and the Fed chair, but they’re now trying to ink ‘Memorandums of Understanding’ with coun…
    in Tariffs Comment by rforno April 23
  • While my login problems seem to be addressed at the moment with Schwab (fingers crossed) I still have a zero-balance virgin Fido account still sitting there if I ever truly get disgusted w/Schwab again and decide to bail .... even though in some way…
  • The puerile immaturity of the Toddler-in-Chief defies belief ... but then again, what do you expect from him.
  • Yup. My ETF with 20% exposure in Airbus should do nicely from this. I'm at the point where if I can profit from FOTUS' idiocy I will, because his policies by themselves won't be doing us any good no matter how much Power of Positive Thinking he t…