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rforno

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rforno
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  • Yeah ... 2007-8 those were the days when such moves were check-your-underwear days. Now? What-ever.....how times have changed!!!
  • Threw in the towel, yes it was a white towel ! Sold TMSRX. I ran out of bourbon ! That's a cardinal sin of trading, investing, teaching, or ... well, anything! You should always have enough bourbon in your hump to last 3 days, just in case! :) I…
  • I’m seeing green (for a change). Yeah major reversals this morning .. both ways!
    in Futures Comment by rforno May 2022
  • Private guarantees for current stablecoins are only as good as their guarantors (until the next run). Wait for the US CBDC for real guarantees (there are some around already, digital-yuan, etc). Sure. But I still put greater faith in those coins (e…
  • Looking nicely green across the board ! Will they get greener , or stay green is the question. As of 0841, nope. Dow -190 Naz -148....
    in Futures Comment by rforno May 2022
  • Sue Keenan, a late night commentator on Bloomberg TV, compared the drop in crypto to the recent stock market selloff - implying they were somehow related and both expected to behave in similar fashion. That doesn’t make sense to me. Isn’t Bitcoin …
  • I don't know. But CME May 2022 Bitcoin contract high was $60,093 on 11/29/21 & low overnight was $29,700. That is 50%+ retracement & then a strong bounce. Worth keeping an eye on the bounce and any low-retest. https://www.cmegroup.com/ Go…
  • Yesterday Bitcoin dipped momentarily below $30,000 but have rebounded off that low this morning. COIN is following a similar pattern but may be 2x volatility. This is a good sign because the stocks, especially Nasdaq Comp, are correlated with crypto…
  • Fun times for all, but really fun times in certain parts of cryptoland...
  • Then there's this... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/09/what-is-terrausd-ust-and-how-does-it-affect-bitcoin.html https://www.fastcompany.com/90750443/as-crypto-crashes-terra-usd-wobbles-shaking-the-foundations-of-algorithmic-stablecoins?partner=rss …
  • Little change in markets initially. One bank I own fell some. Hard to say why. Rising rates help banks. But slowing economies are a negative for them. Gold and other metals have been weak all day - a bit of a trend lately. Carnival atmosphere on …
  • PRWCX has 6% in AMZN, per M* 3/31/22 portfolio holdings
  • Maybe I'm confused. I thought he was putting up his own personal shares and options of TSLA as collateral. I didn't know he was using TSLA company owned shares or funds. Why wouldn't his shares and options already be accounted for in the stock price…
  • IF I were a TSLA stockholder, customer or supplier, I would be seriously worried that the company is in the control of an ideologue, not a real manager. Agreed. He's using TSLA as his personal piggy bank and as a result how many people/funds/pensi…
  • Or pick up a miner -- most of them stockpile crypto anyway. I hold BITF. Microstrategy just seems skeezy borderline irresponsible. CEO turning the company into a huge crypto investor with practically every last cent on thier books, which I don't t…
  • The internet's biggest troll suddenly owning the internet's biggest troll platform with a view that pretty much any speech is acceptable free speech and 'moderation' of any sort is bad ... what could *possibly* go wrong? It's no wonder the far rig…
  • Like turbulence on a plane trip -- or life itself, the only way out is thru. Or, as Dr Sidney Freeman would say on M*A*S*H, "ladies and gentlemen, take it from me. Pull down your pants, and slide on the ice...."
  • Like YBB I also held GIM and TGBAX off/on for years during Hassenstab's 'golden time.' In addition to the Ukranian bonds that IIRC blew up in his face a few years ago (at the time he had a reputation for diving into risky areas and winning) I lost…
  • At 7-9% I'd be tempted to devote a sizable allocation as a fire-and-forget position to them, sure. It'd be similar to what I've done with my crypto lending experiment currently earning 7%, albeit with more risk. If we ever hit 1980s rates (which I…
  • They really need to up the maximum $$$ an individual can buy. $10K is a lot to some, chump change to others. If I could load up a hefty slug at these rates, I'd be quite happy. Not sure it's worth the hassle of maintaining another account for 'j…
  • I wonder how long before we see active ETFs holding positions in newly-created OEFs that can serve as a 'black box' to get around some of the reporting and investing restrictions ETFs face if they try to hold those underlying assets (foreign/bonds) …
  • Itching to buy something ... Blood starting to trickle in the streets ... Thinking ... There are too many catalysts in the near-term to go whole-hog on the long side, but DCA'ing into positions during volatility drops over the near-term should …
  • If it counts, I bought some more cash the other day by selling 2 foreign stocks in one of my portfolios for tax purposes.
  • My 403b is entirely in RWMGX (AF WashMu R-6, related to WSHFX) and I've been quite pleased with its performance this year. Kudos to Capital for a job well-done thus far.
  • In other words.... (couldn't resist)
  • There's also the CEF UTF....
  • How about JENSX ? I've always liked JENSX allocations but on principle I won't buy funds with 12(b)-1 fees unless there's a really compelling reason.
  • I hold a large slug of PRBLX/PRILX in my taxable accounr. My 403(b) is 100% in American Funds Washington Mutual R-6 and is one of the funds on the page YBB cited. Can't see the M* 'rating' but it's been a solid performer for me over the past dec…
  • I don't see retail-grade Seeking Alpha folks being a huge factor in stock moves. A little, sure. Short and distort probably happens more effectively on social media and other finpr0n platforms that are trolled by hedgies, institutional speculator…
  • @rforno, I did the same back in January as I believed that the fund had lost it's way. Too bad because it was a decent fund. I was thinking about it back then, too. But oh, well -- that's what TLH is for. :/
  • Sold out of MGGIX the other day as part of early tax loss harvesting for 2022. It was acting too much like a concentrated tech fund and that's not what I wanted when I bought into it. Their 2021 Annual Report came today. Call me spoiled or misgui…
  • Clarification: You can buy oil futures (or any commodity, as I have done in the past), just be sure to close your position as appropriate so you don't accept delivery! Not sure about anyone else, but I don't have the parking available for a bunch o…
    in OIL Comment by rforno March 2022
  • Many of these semi-transparent ETFs from TRP or Capital are based broadly on and/or will try replicating the models/holdings of their 'equivalent' mutual funds but won't necessarily contain the same holdings, too. (For example TRP's Growth ETF mig…
    in TRP CEFs Comment by rforno March 2022
  • It may be hard to beat American Funds with 19 or more classes. http://financials.morningstar.com/fund/purchase-info.html?t=BALFX&region=usa&culture=en-US Agreed. I like (and hold several) AFs but having 19 share classes is beyond insane.
  • He's offered some decent prognostication commentaries regarding markets and investing over the years but I would bever trade or make specific investment decisions from his show, which he even admits is entertainment first.
  • Yes but think of how much they've gone UP over the past many years..... But sadly mass-market psychology (and/or lack of experience) doesn't always understand that context.
  • Mr. Giroux’s 2nd largest holding, Amazon (AMZN), is down 7% today. (Maybe in sympathy with Facebook?) Lipper lists AMZN as 5.5% of his portfolio. “Too smart by half” is an old saying that might apply. :) AMZN is up 15% in the aftermarket following…
  • I have to admit I'm slightly envious of long-term PRWCX investors. If anyone is disappointed with the fund's recent performance and is interested in liquidating their position, perhaps we can strike a deal? ;-) Hahahaha! Love this! Please add…
  • It’s Nuts. The short sellers have been blasting it for months. As I think I mentioned recently “a little bit of this one goes a long way.” (And “ouch” on the down days. :)) ARKK only up 3-4% today. At the risk of going too far off-topic, speaking …
  • DKNG (which I bought a week ago) +17% this morning. Who said stocks are volatile? Will probably close down by end of day. The only financial advice you can bank on 100% of the time to be totally accurate is: "markets will fluctuate, sometimes wild…