Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Dow at 10K would be almost -58% haircut from here. That would be shocking. Trump can help pull that off, though. Keep the tariffs coming and keep putting up various "walls". Box ourselves in.
"THE BIGGEST RISK to the housing market’s health today is interest rates, which have been creeping higher. "
In my mind, increasing interest rates will cap any gains for the US housing market, with the exception of a few "hot" cities.
So weird t…
My guessing game answer: Market will end flat for the year (plus or minus a few %), but with large fluctuations this summer/fall that will frustrate INVESTORS greatly.
This scenario would, however, make for some fun TRADING opps.
Tomorrow your weather forecast is 30% chance of Sunshine, 40% chance overcast, and 30% chance of precipation.
Its called covering your ***, because nobody knows whats going to happen next.
USELESS.
Its a message board dominated by 1 poster. Very heavy-handed and squashes outside interest.
LarryB, did you make a large contribution to MFO? Otherwise your comments will fall on deaf ears.
Shades of a Trump society.
Adding "value" would be…
In order to show how bonds offer some protection during a bear (equity) market, one would have to include 2008-2009. We know that doesn't mean these security classes will perform the exact same way during the next bear. And longer dated bonds (wh…
HMXIX - newer fund, but darn consistent/lacking in volatility. Available at Fido (TF). Looking forward to see how it performs in a downturn, assuming its still around whenever that finally happens.
p.s. Me? I'm putting money into the index for a short ride, then sell later.
Yeah, but exactly when is "later", and if there is no exact time-table, then what market movement triggers that sale?
A market that never corrects is supposedly an…
So trump's issues are mainly related to...."overcompensation" due to physical shortcomings and a poor upbringing (i.e. spoiled, entitled rich kid)?
So far, the GOP has used him as a means to an end. The rich got richer with these tax cuts, but …
+1
tnx
So what to do?
Per the author: "Showing concern is the only way to break the rhetorical polarization."
"Finally, there is indeed a place for your legitimate moral outrage: not the dining table, but the voting booth. Just ask Alabama Democr…
From the WaPo piece linked above:
"It does not matter that he is eroding the nation’s democratic institutions. That this combat is dangerous, hypocritical, built on lies. That you, after all, are innocent. His supporters are convinced that you ar…
larryB, thanks for summarizing this mess perfectly.
Lobbying and various unreported/disguised "contributions" are probably the biggest issues facing our political system. Corruption runs rampant, and only the wealthy will flourish. The system…
Though I'm not "Ted".....FWIW........ I use GILPX and ASDIX for quasi-cash (low risk, low duration and low-return) vehicles. Even more conserative allocations go to TRBUX and MINT.
Going up the ladder, I use SEMPX and SPFPX for more risk and more …
Investments, Risks, and Performance
Principal Investment Strategies The fund normally invests 45-75% of its net assets in fixed income and other debt instruments, including corporate and government bonds, mortgage- and asset-backed securities, and …
Over at M* boards, CCAPX (Chiron Capital Allocation) has been topic of conversation - newer World Allocation fund that has done fine in its very short life. Its on my watchlist.
"Something rich and strange" - Ron Rash (short stories)
"Last Day on Earth" - Eric Puchner (short stories)
"Dream hoarders : how the American upper middle class is leaving everyone else in the dust, why that is a problem, and what to do about i…
My quick look at HBLAX at the Fidelity website still shows a load of 5.50%. Perhaps you can purchase it load-waived, but that is not yet reflected on the website.
But let me point out one other thing at Fidelity with respect to this fund. With …
Crash,
I don't know why, but after Google initially updates NAVs around 4:30PM ET (just like Yahoo), later in the day the data reverts back to prior day's NAV. I've never understood that. Maybe its a refresh issue on my computer(s), but it seems …
Why do people care so much about a one day lag?
Because curiosity kills.
Conventional wisdom says not to look each day, but most of us will do so anyway.
Unfortunately, as Crash mentioned, Google's pricing updates can lag until the following day. I like Google for tracking stocks a lot better than tracking MFs.
Morningstar's portfolio is great for tracking MF performance and customizing categorie…
Oil patch is starting to look interesting (i.e. unloved). Sentiment is negative.
I am using AMLP, FEN and FENY. If it gets really ugly, I'll be buying bigger.
P.S. Otherwise, I'll just add to my "boring" funds ....VWINX, TAIFX and VWELX.
He's right about one thing though...if what we've seen is "winning", I've had just about enough.
With a current 56% disapproval rating (only 38% approve of DT right now), you are certainly not alone.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-appro…
275LB_NY_MCPO, You
"If you had a clue... you would know my account is BLOCKED!!! Now who is gutles…"
Hope he doesn't run out of chewing tobacco tonight because, wow,, it would get even better.
Gutless poster who is afraid to post in public forum....and also reinforces my point:
275LB_NY_MCPO, You
"Better to be a Deplorable than a crybaby LOSER!!! You cannot stand all the winning!!! "
Answer from Trump supporters after DT messes up repeatedly:
"Y...ye....yeah, but we won, y'all. Nah nah nah-nah-nah"- The Deplorables
Trump will claim he is responsible for any market gains, but if it drops? Well certainly that's Obama's fau…
"The one-step above Cramer, which another poster stated, I think is baloney. "
Please, elaborate.
I feel she is selling her own product...her name, her books, her various kits. She does offer constructive criticism to people who cannot budget the…
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=156001
Perhaps @DavidSnowball could snag an interview for the monthly commentary.
Take care,
Catch
No, don't do that to David. She would just blind him with her shiny bleached teeth.
Regarding JoeD's inquiry on the question of VWINX during a rising rate environment, M* notes the following:
"Between June 2004 and May 2007, the Fed raised rates by 25 basis points on 17 separate occasions, hiking the overnight lending rate to 5.25…