Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
@FD1000,
This thread is for discussing tariffs not DOGE.
Please stay on topic.
If you would like to discuss DOGE, I would suggest creating a new Off-Topic thread for this purpose.
It's interesting when people use pretzel logic in an attempt to somehow justify Trump's terrible tariffs.
The tariff "plan" is clearly absurd (e.g., rate calculations, taxing uninhabited islands)
and it was implemented haphazardly. Communication fro…
The Week in Charts (04/11/25)
The most important charts and themes in markets and investing, including:
00:00 Intro
00:33 Topics
01:21 Signs of Capitulation?
10:37 One of the Craziest Days in Market History
17:16 Expect More Volatility
25:04 Easing…
"It’s the kind of friendly treatment that industry was envisioning when Apple CEO Tim Cook, Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Google CEO Sundar Pichai, Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos assembled behind the president during his Jan. …
Don't know how this situation will evolve but am concerned.
We have the exorbitant privilege of the USD being the global reserve currency.
Treasury bonds are safe havens during market crises but they recently failed to provide any safety.
Hedge fu…
IIRC from last week, one was a long-short fund and one was a fund of funds (AQR alt funds).
I've been dismissive of alt funds in the past but I might consider purchasing one in the future.
Here's a link to Lewis Braham's "The Chaos-Resistant Fund Portfolio" article referenced by Hank.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/savingandinvesting/the-chaos-resistant-fund-portfolio/ar-AA1Ch1BR
"The author can't guarantee how long it would take to come back to even or how deep the markets would fall."
Of course not, nobody can.
"Where is the catch in the above? Smart authors look back in history and play with their numbers to make a state…
Around 830 ET this morning he tweeted out a plea to BUY.
Around 4 hours later, he announces the 90-day pause and indices shoot-the-moon.
In Trumplandia, market manipulation isn't a crime, it's just standard business practice.
"In the minutes before …
Who knows?
The circumstances, reasons, and results are different each and every time.
This punk was definitely not lucky!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V7Nci-GVuHE
Posted the following in another thread.
Businesses and investors remain bewildered after the 90-day pause on tariffs.
Clarity is needed to reduce massive uncertainty.
"White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt tried to characterize the sudden c…
Thanks for the link.
The hypocrisy of MAGA content creators is astounding!
"Justin Amash, a Republican former congressman, said on X that the about-face showed how
some Republicans’ political beliefs had morphed under Trump to a view they once stau…
Businesses and investors remain bewildered after the 90-day pause on tariffs.
Clarity is needed to reduce massive uncertainty.
"White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt tried to characterize the sudden change in policy as part of a grand negot…
Well, he only tallied one notable accomplishment in his 1st term, reducing taxes for the wealthy.
I hope Donald J. Trump is unable to get the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) extended
although Congressional Republicans' servile devotion to him suggests…
A short while ago, Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for 75 countries.
Across-the-board 10% tariffs will remain in effect for these countries.
However, Chinese tariffs were increased: "Based on the lack of respect that China has s…
@Charles,
Torsten Sløk does a good job explaining the Basis Trade and its risks.
I wasn't aware that hedge funds' bets may be leveraged up to 100 times! (☉_☉)
We naively assumed that admitting China into the WTO would increase democracy in that country.
This did not come to fruition.
China has often flouted WTO rules to their advantage.
The country promoted its exports but largely closed its own market to…
I haven't investigated JR's claim for buying on dips.
Perhaps you are referring to the following MW article published on March 7, 2025?
Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research calculated that the “golden era of dip buying”
occurred from the end of the 2…
Mark, thanks for the historical perspective.
I figured out NTIP meant No Text In Post after executing a second search query.
I was also curious about the other meanings hence my post above.
This sometimes happens when I have too much time on my hand…
"Market participants said the declines in the $29tn Treasury market on Monday reflected several factors, including hedge funds cutting down on leverage — or borrowing used to magnify trades —
and a broader dash for cash as investors sheltered from …
I didn't buy or sell anything today.
Multiple posters on another forum purchased Pimco Dynamic Income (PDI) today.
This CEF has sold at an average premium of 12.85% over the past year.
According to M*, the fund's premium is currently only 5.97%.
The…
I have to admit that I'm not familiar with the NTIP acronym.
There are a several different meanings associated with NTIP:
Naval Treaty Implementation Program
New Teacher Induction Program
Northern Tier Interoperability Project
National Tuberculosis…
I generally agree with your assessment.
But I think we may soon reach a tipping point where Republican politicians, important business leaders,
and some Trump supporters will increasingly voice dissatisfaction with certain administration policies.
I researched the results of President Nixon's meddling with the Federal Reserve
in light of President Trump's recent comments urging Jerome Powell to:
"CUT INTEREST RATES, JEROME, AND STOP PLAYING POLITICS!”
Some here may be interested in the findi…
It seems likely that China will benefit from the ensuing tumult if Trump's tariff "plan" is not modified significantly.
I abhor this outcome which would strengthen our primary foe.
Renowned hedge fund manager Bill Ackman has been a prominent supporter of Donald Trump.
On Sunday, Mr. Ackman recommended a 90-day pause on the implementation of tariffs.
https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1908992002366292286
https://x.com/BillAckman…
Treasury Secretary Bessent is full of insights.
"During an interview with NBC News’ 'Meet the Press,' Bessent called it a 'false narrative' that Americans
who are close to retiring may be reticent to do so after their retirement savings may have dr…
From James Mackintosh, Senior Markets Columnist of The Wall Street Journal, earlier today.
"The big question for traders going into Monday: How much worse can it get?
The selloff has already been one for the record books."
The 'Trump Thump' will g…
I think minor inconsistencies in FD1000's posts were probably just innocent errors.
After all, why would a rational person seek to impress a bunch of strangers on the internet?
Attempts to do so would be utterly absurd!
@FD1000,
Congratulations for venturing beyond the confines of the right-wing media bubble!
Unlike Fox News, USAFacts is a good source for fair, unbiased information.
The following details from the linked article may help readers
better understand i…
