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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

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hank

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hank
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  • From Crash - “...And now, 90 day delay. What will happen next? Who knows? Does Donald even know? Clearly, there is not any plan at all. Fly by the seat of your pants. Throw the dice.” Why guess? You might invest $19.95 in a Talking President Predi…
  • Two comments. Volatility creates opportunities. Injecting daily politics as a basis for investment analysis isn't a good choice. We’re in agreement.
  • ”Among several treads posted here, there was sizable amount of treasury sold last week.” Could it be that MFO has the power to move markets?
  • Interesting Bloomberg Article (here) Is anyone else surprised by how little ipads contribute to Apple’s bottom line? I sure was. 99% of my internet access is on ipads. I own 2 newer models, a larger ipad “Air” for home and a smaller “mini” whe…
  • Good post @Crash For sure. Liquidity issues among some big players were rumored last week. Shortage of cash in the system to cover losses. Perhaps the “elephant in the room” owing to the amount of leverage / speculation in the system. Credit …
  • Loved it. Caught it live. It’s also running over in Off-Topic. Hope Bloomberg’s announcers know a little more about the markets. Some days I wonder ... :) And good to hear macaroni & cheese is up!
    in Tariffs Comment by hank April 13
  • Thanks for reminding me why I never watch Fox! Manipulation? I don’t know. Bernie probably has it right.
  • ”Please limit comments to how tariffs may impact the economy or investing. This thread is not intended for political diatribes - please use Off Topic for that.” Thanks. I needed that! The President’s name is attached to these and he’s exercising…
    in Tariffs Comment by hank April 12
  • I'm looking for tips on how to invest during a trade war. This isn't your average cyclical market bummer, or a black swan like COVID. I'm not saying it's different this time. But I wasn't around for Smoot-Hawley, the McKinley Tariff, or The Tariff …
  • Inflation tends to drag many assets “higher” in nominal terms. I expect a lot of it down the road (next 3-5 years). The U of M sentiment survey released today shows consumers have raised their inflation expectations - ”Respondents also said they…
  • Update - As of 2:40 PM today the Dow was again above the historically significant 40,000 mark. +1.45% +580 points at 40,172 (Yes - it’s likely run back and forth before.) I’d appreciate it if you could direct any political perspectives to so…
    in Dow 40,000 Comment by hank April 11
  • American re-industrialization
  • Executed 5 separate sales across my basket at Fidelity between 2 and 4 PM Wednesday. Basket has 12 holdings (stocks / CEFs). Had put through 1 buy order earlier in the day and had also bought in the days leading up to Wednesday.. These maga-swi…
  • Sure feels like a ride on the vomit comet. Trying to place buys and sells at Fido as she rocks and rolls …
    in Levers... Comment by hank April 10
  • Thread moved to off-topic on 4/6/25.
  • @LarryB - Please do not turn my thread into a political discussion. Please know @LarryB has acknowledged investing in nothing except cash for several years. He is not a fund investor, He is clearly trying to disrupt this thread and turn it into…
  • ”… the world has changed drastically since Inauguration Day. If you can acknowledge that, you will find the point that you say you are missing …” Hugh? I was referring to the linked chart Larry. It appears to show the Dow today at the point it w…
  • @equalizer - Thanks. Excellent article. Helps explain what happened. I suspected some liquidity issues Friday (possibly part of the referenced ”margin” issues?) - just from the way everything except the very highest rated credits behaved. Pa…
  • I’m seeing a DJI low of around 27,089 in March 2020. It closed Friday at 38,315. Obviously, I’m missing the point here somewhere. I wouldn’t be surprised to see it test that 27,089 low the way things are going. So far … just a mere 10-15% down…
  • Power came back on after “only” 30 hours for me compared to 7+ days for my poor neighbors. Some thoughts - - Wondering how many have been seriously injured tripping over power cords during one of these unexpected events? Seems likely the biggest …
  • Here’s what Fido’s analytics pulled up for me this morning. Domestic Stock 16% Foreign Stock 24% Bonds 26% Short Term 22% Other 11% After 2 days buying I’ve moved the equity position from 35% to 40%. The “other” remained stable at 11%. Most of…
  • ”The truck hasn't been put into reverse yet.” The truck is in the ditch @Derf
  • Even though I had cash to invest during the pandemic, I hesitated - caught between wanting to exit or take a chance to buy while the market was low. I chose to hold what I had and invested only small amounts at the edges, kicking myself later for t…
  • this dope bought stock etfs yesterday I usually run into the fire. To remain topical - I’ve been liberated from quite a bit of money over 2 days.
  • Back home. No power or broadband internet. Have gas generator. And getting 3-bars off the nearby cell tower. Plenty of fuel. Will cope. Had to be awful for those who’ve endured a whole week of this. At least it was cold enough that there doesn’t s…
  • A lot of truth. I drove a nice new Malibu in Florida. Not a bad car. But was amazed how much nicer the Camry rides and drives when I got home. A world of difference. Made me wonder the last time Trump had to drive himself somewhere in a car and …
  • I would love to hear uncle Louie's take on this whole business. Me too @Mark - As I recall, Lou had a generally low opinion of politicians in the first place. He’d probably really be scratching his head today … Been trying to do more buying at F…
    in Mr. Market Comment by hank April 4
  • I was buying this morning, taking cash from 12% down to 7.5%. (Not all into equities of course.) ** Fidelity’s site was as slow as I’ve ever seen it. “Dead in the water” at times. At one point around 11 AM I received a message “We are presentl…
    in Mr. Market Comment by hank April 3
  • A photo trip - in more ways than one. (Just tap the X / Shouldn’t need to login.) https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0rzXALcs8EqxrNSCdos71NF3GNjWzaP8QZLVdemNMKbT29Lm9YJfYpP1UPAazHzbVl&id=100079639007200
  • Just a blurb off the internet a few minutes ago: From National Weather Service “ Extreme weather advisory 3 hours ago Winter weather advisory NWS Gaylord MI * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations around one inch.…
  • Ice storms are real good at taking down power lines. It may be a while before we hear from Mark, Rono, Hank, or Catch22. Thanks for the concern. Well placed. “hank” departed for a week in Florida Thurs - a day before the ice arrived. Hoping th…
  • I think it's great that people think that launching the largest trade war since the Smoot-Hawley tariff will have no significant impact on world equity and bond markets, much less the bank accounts of John and Jane Doe. It's just not polite to talk…
  • I suspect valuations had a bigger part to play in Friday’s market than anything else. I don’t know where the bottom or “reasonably valued” point might be for the S&P / NASDAQ / DJI. But suspect we ain’t there yet. Interestingly, utilities &…
  • @hank - That Silverado w/a 4-banger, I'm severely puzzled as to what they expect to do with that other than proclaim some kind of status badge. IMHO what a massive waste. I wasn't aware that Chevy would even equip one that way and ISTM that little 4…
  • @Derf - I don’t think they make any distinction between “cars” and “trucks”. All the same to them. You and I are old fashioned and still think of cars as sedans with a drunk trunk in the back. So the tariffs will affect SUVs and pickups. Interes…
  • Few mid-sized or larger sedans are manufactured by the U.S. makers. Interestingly, Toyota builds the mid-sized Camry sedan in Kentucky - though parts probably come from around the world. But the U.S. makers (Ford,GM) have largely shifted productio…
  • I’ve caught a few walleyes - but nothing that large. Yes, they taste great - a lot like yellow perch. Not sure what happens when they get that large. Some fish taste better small. Unlike most trout and fresh water run salmon, walleyes frequent shall…
  • ”Only dividends generated from shares held in a basket prior to the ex-dividend date will be allocated to the basket. Dividends from shares held outside of the basket, or in a basket on or after the ex-dividend date, will be allocated to the account…
  • Thanks @msf. You obviously know a lot more about it than the 2 Fido reps I spoke with yesterday and today. ;) I’ve got a great portfolio tracker. Slices & dices with ease. So the benefits of their basket were minimal (and $4.99 monthly). Yes, …