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Charles

Thank you sma3! We are spending this summer in northwest again. I have no quiet place I can be before noon eastern (9 am here). Library opens at 9am! I've set up a session for Friday, 2 pm eastern ... posted on board. But, if that does not work, just call me at 805 468 9599 ... if I can pick up I will. Hopefully, can pick a day where you can attended from noon on. Very happy to do! c

About

Users name: Charles
Joined: March 2012
Visits: 9,713
Last Active: August 17
Roles: Administrator, Premium

Comments

At close: HYD -0.89%, JNK -0.41%, IEF -0.50%, TLT -1.89%, AGG -0.52%.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
Probably not, at this point. Side note: On a recent train ride from Bellingham to Seattle aboard the Amtrak Cascades, which comes from Vancouver BC, there were NO Canadians on board.

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 8
@bee. Thank you! I'm a Howard Marks fan. Will look forward to reading. c

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
And I see yields up and bonds down again this afternoon. As of 12:30pm Pacific: HYD -0.8%, JNK -0.4%, IEF -0.4%, TLT -1.6%, AGG -0.4%.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
A bit over my head, but here's article on this topic in WSJ (may need subscription): Stocks Are in Turmoil, but Treasury Yields Are Stubbornly High

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
@larryB. Trying to reduce entropy is an eternal challenge.

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 8
@yogibearbull. Good post.

in James Bianco, "Who Blew Up" Today? Comment by Charles April 8
@equalizer. Cute!

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
@gman57. Yay. Predicting rates seems as hard as predicting equity markets. Maybe harder. In crash's recent post, I see BlackRock's Fink remains contrarian on rates.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
@WABAC. That's helps. Thank you.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
Indeed,

in FINVIS FUTURES, March 7 Comment by Charles April 8
Are you suggesting countries too (in addition to the hedge funds mentioned by @Observant1) started dumping Treasuries today helping push rates up?

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 7
Suspect the whiplash broke a few players today, given how much leverage can be in play.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 7
@Observant1. Thanks. That helps. Well, helps with understanding. It just did not make sense to me what happened today. Last Thursday was text book. But not today.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 7
@gman57. So, you are saying inflation caused investors to dump treasuries. Because they think Fed will raise rates? Or, because they think treasuries will not keep up? I discounted the former because I felt the inflation will not be caused by dem…

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 7
@rfono. One good trend pays for them all. Sweet!

in Ritholtz - How Not To Invest Comment by Charles April 7
@Mark. Thank you!

in Ritholtz - How Not To Invest Comment by Charles April 7
Yes, maybe it will be better in the morning!

in Board Asleep Comment by Charles April 7
@Anna. Yay, maybe pause DOGE for 90 days too.

in Tariffs Comment by Charles April 7
@Old_Joe. Ouch.

in Graphic: Stocks in Asia Fall Sharply, Extending a Rout Caused by Trump’s Tariffs Comment by Charles April 6
@Observant1. Actually, I think Ackman offers a good idea. He runs hot and cold, but I like this one.

in Tariffs Comment by Charles April 6
in Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum. Comment by Charles April 6
@Old_Joe. Wow. Just awful. Maybe rates will give a little relief. c

in Nikkei plunges as Asian markets brace for further tariff fallout Comment by Charles April 6
@yogibearbull. Good grief.

in March 6: FINVIS FUTURES Comment by Charles April 6
@Anna. Woe us and US indeed ... greatest destruction of capital since the airlines. https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/06/business/stocks-futures-sunday-tariffs/index.html

in March 6: FINVIS FUTURES Comment by Charles April 6
Glitches yesterday in Lipper drop. Flows finally showed up at 10:34 pm. About 14 hours late. MFOP updated now through 31 March. MTD through 4 April. Flows through 4 April, as applicable.

in July MFO Ratings & Flows Posted Comment by Charles April 6
@Sven. Since 28 March 2025, I'm liking TBills, CDs, IG Bonds. I do think that since inflation will not be demand driven, Fed may step in down the road. That said, IG Bonds have not been the place to be for years. Hopes of lower rates have just not m…

in Stagflation - "This Economic Paradox Nearly Took Down Three Presidents.." Comment by Charles April 6
Lipper slow this morning. Neither LGDF or LGFF has dropped yet, as of 7:10 am Pacific.

in July MFO Ratings & Flows Posted Comment by Charles April 5
I did sell all equities after three years, precisely. Week ago, Thursday, 27 March. Rolled into DODIX, PIMIX, HOSIX. Done pretty well. But if recession bell continues to ring, will exit to TBills.

in Death-Crosses Comment by Charles April 5
Yes, given uncertainty in administration, just don't see how industry or foreign nations can plan capital. So, I expect seriously rough ride ahead.

in Dow Plunges over 2200 Points / WSJ Comment by Charles April 5
Indeed.

in Berkshire Hathaway: "Donald Trump posted a fake quote from Warren Buffet on social media today" Comment by Charles April 4
Yesterday, BRKA held up well. Not so much today. Probably because of the Recession word.

in Berkshire Hathaway: "Donald Trump posted a fake quote from Warren Buffet on social media today" Comment by Charles April 4
In March/April 2020, Fed stepped in with monetary policy and Congress with fiscal policy. Helped backstop COVID slide ... and, then massively reverse it. Hard to see either Fed or Congress stepping in March/April 2025.

in Liberation Day! What’s the play? Comment by Charles April 4
Have not seen this much red in equities since March 2020, when it felt like world was ending. At least IG bonds hanging in there, so far.

in July MFO Ratings & Flows Posted Comment by Charles April 4
Will post tomorrow, Saturday. Lipper drops month ending each Saturday about 5 am Pacific Time. It will include MTD through today, 4 April. c

in July MFO Ratings & Flows Posted Comment by Charles April 4
Just posted all ratings to MFO Premium site, using Refinitiv data drop from Friday, 28 March 2025. Flows remain updated through 14 March.

in July MFO Ratings & Flows Posted Comment by Charles March 30
Just posted all ratings to MFO Premium site, using Refinitiv data drop from Friday, 21 March 2025. Flows remain updated through 14 March.

in July MFO Ratings & Flows Posted Comment by Charles March 23
PIMIX Since Inception March 2007

in Barron's Revisits Pimco Income Comment by Charles March 16
Just posted all ratings to MFO Premium site, using Refinitiv data drop from Friday, 14 March 2025. Flows too updated through 14 March.

in July MFO Ratings & Flows Posted Comment by Charles March 16
Through February (seems like years ago), a look at regional ETFs: 3-Year Regional Index Fund Performance - US on Top 3-Month Regional Index Fund Performance - Europe on Top Will add new unique Display period to MFOP and coin it: Trump 2.0. Wi…

in Euro up vs US$; International Stocks Up Comment by Charles March 10

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