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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    Working beyond age 65 is a realistic option if the jobs are there for people at or near retirement age. That is a BIG IF. In this past Great Recession, many, many people over 55 lost their jobs, and many of those may never find another job or one that pays anywhere near what they were making before with benefits. I was forced into early retirement at 62 when my office was closed in mid-2011. The prospect of my finding a full-time job with benefits at that age was pretty slim. But I was lucky. I qualified for small pensions from that employer and a previous one, and I and my sister inherited enough money from my father's estate shortly thereafter that my sister and I could become debt-free and have a very tidy nest egg, that (when I add social security to the pensions) I will not have to touch for the foreseeable future. Most of my time is spent in volunteer work and an occasional part-time temporary job. I will say it again--I was lucky.
  • Our Funds Boat, Week + .57% , YTD + 8.75% , ...Crop Rotation... 8-4-12
    Howdy,
    A thank you to all who post the links, start and participate in the many fine commentaries woven into the message threads.
    For those who don't know; I ramble away about this and that, at least once each week.
    NOTE: For those who visit MFO, this portfolio is designed for retirement, capital preservation and to stay ahead of inflation creep. This is not a buy and hold portfolio, and is subject to change on any given day; based upon perceptions of market directions. All assets in this portfolio are in tax-sheltered accounts; and any fund distributions are reinvested in the funds. Gains or losses are computed from actual account values.
    While looking around..... A recent post noted that while another's portfolio was tilted towards growth; our portfolio was inclined towards income. Our house views whatever investment sectors lead to growth of one's portfolio during any period, is growth; regardless of what investment vehicles drive the journey. The answer is no; our house is not invested for income; although the bond portfolio would suggest such actions. Whilst I was in 7th grade (same time the pencil was invented) my chosen science project was farm crop rotation and the resulting benefits. Five sheets of paper represented a 5 year period of crop rotation, with color schemes indicating which crop type was in which location for each year. Michigan's soils and climate allow for many of the staple grain crops to be rotated: corn, spring/winter wheat, soybeans, barley, etc. Many other crops are also planted, and within the staple group there are still more varieties. Aside from these crops are the numerous speciality crops of vegetables, fruit crops and sugar beets. The crop combinations reminds me of one's choices today for investment vehicles. A recent answer from a friend indicated he was invested in several bond and equity index funds via his adviser. I asked, "What type/style are these index funds?" He didn't know the answer, but thought it was a good question to ask, with an explanation. We related the question with a similar answer of; one owns a car or a truck. But, what type of car or truck? Is your car a Camaro ZL-1 or a Fiat 500? Not unlike a crop farmer, we investment farmers seek one thing, too; and that is growth from whatever style of investment suits our tolerance for risk vs the reward. Crop farmers and we face similar uncertainties. Farmers dealing with unknown forward weather conditions, and we deal with unknown forward monetary situations. We do have one large advantage over crop farmers. They are placed into the buy (plant) and hold (hopefully harvest a growth) of the crop; while we may plant our monies when and where we choose; as well as harvest a profit as dictated. So, the next time someone thinks you are an income investor based upon your holdings, you may note to them that you are indeed a growth investor; regardless of the investment crop types you have planted. We're all really growth investors, eh? Always attempt to be prepared to rotate those crops for your risk/reward farm!
    The data/numbers below have been updated.
    As to sector rotations below (Fidelity funds); for the past week: (Note: any given fund in any of these sectors will have varing degrees of performance based upon where the manager(s) choose to be invested and will not directly reflect upon your particular fund holdings from other vendors.)
    --- U.S. equity - 2.3% through + .9%, avg. = - .02% YTD = +10.5%
    --- Int'l equity - .9% through + 2%, avg. = + .96% YTD = +7.3%
    --- U.S. eq. sectors - .1% through + 2.3%, avg. = - .04% YTD = +9.7%
    --- U.S./Int'l bonds - .9% through + .4%, avg. = +.08% YTD = + 3.2%
    --- HY bonds + .2% through + 1.5%, avg. = + .73% YTD = + 8.7%
    An Overview, M* 1 Week through 5 Year, Multiple Indexes
    I have added a few blips related to our portfolio and market observations at the below SELLs/BUYs and Portfolio Thoughts.
    SELLs/BUYs THIS PAST WEEK:
    NONE
    Portfolio Thoughts:
    Our holdings had a + .57 % move this past week. Sidenote: The average return of 200 combined Fidelity retail funds across all sectors (week avg = + .26%, YTD + 8.48%). The equity markets still appear a bit on edge; so our portfolio will stay in place for now. NOT SURE why the European markets popped so much on Friday. Perhaps there is some good inside private info finding its home. Our portfolio obtained much of its return this week, from the high yield and emerging markets bond areas. There were a number of large swing days for pricing in some bond sectors; further indicating the head scratching between the equity and bond kids. Two year Spanish bond yields moved down quite a bit, which indicates to this house that the "powers" may be attempting to stabilize this short term borrowing area and hope things settle down enough to buy time for the 10 year Spanish bond which keeps bumping around 7%. A country today can not afford to operate with a 7% yield on a 10 year bond. I will retain the below write from previous weeks; as what we are watching still applies.
    --- commodity pricing, especially the energy and base materials areas; copper and related.
    --- the $US broad basket value, and in particular against the Euro and Aussie dollar (EU zone and China/Asia uncertainties).
    --- price directions of U.S. treasury's, German bunds, U.K. gilts, Japanese bonds; and continued monitoring of Spanish/Italian bond pricing/yield.
    --- what we are watching to help understand the money flows: SHY, IEF, TLT, TIP, STPZ, LTPZ, LQD, EMB, HYG, IWM, IYT & VWO; all of which offer insights reflected from the big traders as to the quality/risk, or lack of quality/risk; in various bond sectors.
    I have retained the following links for those who may choose to do their own holdings comparison against the fund types noted.
    The first two links to Bloomberg are for their list of balanced/flexible funds; although I don't always agree with the placement of fund styles in their categories.
    Bloomberg Balanced
    Bloomberg Flexible
    These next two links are for conservative and moderate fund leaders YTD, per MSN.
    Conservative Allocation
    Moderate Allocation
    A reflection upon the links above; we attempt to establish a "benchmark" for our portfolio to help us "see" how our funds are performing. Aside from viewing many funds within the balanced/flexible funds rankings (the above links), a quick and dirty group of 5 funds (below) we watch for psuedo benchmarking are the following:
    ***Note: these week/YTD's per M*
    VWINX .... + .33% week, YTD = + 7.89%
    PRPFX .... + .02% week, YTD = + 2.71%
    SIRRX ..... + .17 % week, YTD = + 4.67%
    TRRFX .... + .42% week, YTD = + 7.16%
    VTENX ... + .29% week, YTD = + 6.64%

    Such are the numerous battles with investments attempting to capture a decent return and minimize the risk.
    We live and invest in interesting times, eh? Hey, I probably forgot something; and hopefully the words make some sense. Comments and questions always welcomed.
    Good fortune to you, yours and the investments.
    Take care,
    Catch
    ---Below is what M* x-ray has attempted to sort for our portfolio, as of June 1, 2012---
    From what I find, M* has a difficult time sorting out the holdings with bond funds.
    U.S./Foreign Stocks 1.9%
    Bonds 93.9% ***
    Other 4.2%
    Not Classified 0.00%
    Avg yield = 3.72%
    Avg expense = .55%
    ***about 16% of the bond total are high yield category (equity related cousins)

    ---This % listing is kinda generic, by fund "name"; which doesn't always imply the holdings, eh?
    -Investment grade bond funds 28.2%
    -Diversified bond funds 22.4%
    -HY/HI bond funds 14.5%
    -Total bond funds 32.4%
    -Foreign EM/debt bond funds .6%
    -U.S./Int'l equity/speciality funds 1.9%
    This is our current list: (NOTE: I have added a speciality grouping below for a few of fund types)
    ---High Yield/High Income Bond funds
    FAGIX Fid Capital & Income
    SPHIX Fid High Income
    FHIIX.LW Fed High Income
    DIHYX TransAmerica HY
    ---Total Bond funds
    FTBFX Fid Total
    PTTRX Pimco Total
    ---Investment Grade Bonds
    ACITX Amer. Cent. TIPS Bond
    DGCIX Delaware Corp. Bd
    FBNDX Fid Invest Grade
    FINPX Fidelity TIPS Bond
    OPBYX Oppenheimer Core Bond
    ---Global/Diversified Bonds
    FSICX Fid Strategic Income
    FNMIX Fid New Markets
    DPFFX Delaware Diversified
    LSBDX Loomis Sayles
    PONDX Pimco Income fund (steroid version)
    PLDDX Pimco Low Duration (domestic/foreign)
    ---Speciality Funds (sectors or mixed allocation)
    FRIFX Fidelity Real Estate Income (bond/equity mix)
    ---Equity-Domestic/Foreign
    NONE outright, with the exception of equities held inside of some of the above funds.
  • Is Working Past Age 65 a Realistic Option?
    Hi Mark,
    Yes, working beyond age 65 is indeed a realistic option. Unfortunately, for some reluctant non-savers and some reckless spendthrifts, it is mandatory. The other side of that coin is that they can work and recover. As our life expectancy has increased, so has our potential for workplace longevity.
    Technology and the Information miracle offer positions that are less demanding manually, but more demanding mentally. Age need not be a handicap while experience becomes more highly rewarded. Education and continued learning is a paramount and sometimes decisive factor.
    Chasing the Holy Grail, the magic Number (net total wealth that permits a reasonable likelihood that your resources will survive you) can be illusive, given the housing meltdown, a nervous investment marketplace, an uncertain economic environment, and high unemployment levels. These are challenging times, especially when preparing to make a retirement decision.
    For many folks, their 401(k) contributions have been reduced to a 201(k) plan, and their home values have been substantially slashed. But alterative options exist. Especially if we subscribe to what Greek philosophers advised: Know Thyself. Identify and capitalize on what you do best while acknowledging and honoring your shortcomings.
    The Number is an ever-changing target. If much of that Number is dominated with investment portfolio holdings, diversification is a prerequisite for ultimate success. Conscientious savings, both in good times and bad times, must be considered a compulsory task. To accomplish this, the pre-retiree needs to be flexible in his spending habits. If already in retirement, the retiree needs to adjust downward his planned withdrawal rate when anticipated returns are not realized.
    I have completed a mountain of Monte Carlo simulations that demonstrate the survival robustness of a portfolio when minor drawdown adjustments (like don’t cover inflation rate increases) are exercised during spotty investment periods. In the final analysis, it returns to the Know Thyself axiom. Patience and persistence are also useful attributes that permit the making of lemonade from bitter lemons. The conventional wisdom of the baseline 4 % annual drawdown rule requires constant monitoring and some fine-tuning that is situational and event dominated. By adroitly adjusting to a poor period, that withdrawal rate could be stretched by an additional 1 %.
    The major mutual fund houses have invested a fortune to develop programs and tools that will help plan and achieve a comfortable retirement. Of course they aim to profit from client accumulation and fees. It can be a win-win game for everyone.
    To illustrate, Fidelity saw the future, and developed an organization and a definitive set of private investor-friendly tools in 2002. Today, its 401(k) division is huge and services millions of customers, both individual and institutional.
    On an anecdotal level, I retired before this impressive array of financial planning tools became commonly available. Hence, I did much of the heavy lifting myself. I remember arguing with a financial planner with respect to the merits of Monte Carlo simulations before they were popularly recognized. I was a believer, he was not. About a year later he called and apologized for his shortsightedness. I never did do business with him.
    For those still struggling with the retirement decision, I would encourage you to stay the course. Keep learning and keep the information exchange network active.
    Age alone does not demand any specific retirement date. Again, on an anecdotal basis, incremental retirement is an attractive option, especially if you enjoy work interactions. For the first five years of my retirement, I worked as a paid aerospace consultant. Since that time, I still consult; however, now I do the consulting on a volunteer freebie basis.
    The outfits that still seek my service offer to pay for that service, but I reject the monies. I am financially secure and want to give-back to the industry and, yes, even to the Country. I enjoy teaching the younger engineers who benefit from my experience. I feel good about being a “lamp of history” that lights the way and mostly avoids costly pitfalls.
    As I age, I do not wish to be judged by how much I made, but more importantly, how much of a difference I made. Everyone sets his own measures of performance. Don’t be shocked that they change over time.
    This topic has endless avenues to explore that demand an eternity of time. But for now, enough from this quarter.
    Best Wishes.
  • PIMCO's Gross prophesies death of equities in August outlook
    Dessauer investment outlook...
    http://www.johndessauerinvestments.com/uploads/August_2012.pdf
    personally I think if you are near retirement or have < 5 yrs to go, maybe best to have 70% bonds/30% stocks portfolio to be more safe than sorry...
  • Yield Hungry Funds Lend $2 Billion to Ukraine
    Reply to @hank: Yep. And I think the thing becomes that this period of "quest for yield" could go on longer than anyone could imagine, making the end result even worse.
    I think it's really tough, especially for those in retirement age. I kind of agree with what Mark Cuban wrote - "3. I always laugh at all the pundits /analysts who try to tell you what any non-dividend paying stock is worth. Its a function of supply and demand. Its never fundamentals. Read what I wrote a long time ago about the stock market. In the case of facebook they put an ENORMOUS number of shares into the market. Too much supply. Valuation has no relevance what so ever. Conventional wisdom says the buyers of stocks will try to determine the value of a stock before they buy or sell and make the appropriate rational decision. Not even in a Richie Rich cartoon does that happen." (http://blogmaverick.com/)
    I think yield is really important, but it's difficult to find real *value + yield* when everyone and their cousin is desperate for any sort of yield whatsoever.
  • Yield Hungry Funds Lend $2 Billion to Ukraine
    Reply to @scott:
    It looks like we have an answer:
    http://www.mauldineconomics.com/landing/yield-shark-4/MEC005ES0712A
    "Time for action: Our three-pronged strategy to investment income can help you dramatically ratchet up your returns – and help you ADD THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS OF INCOME to your bottom line, month in and month out."
    John Mauldin, Chairman, Mauldin Economics
    Washington is trampling all over
    your investment income and
    retirement prospects.
    Here's how to get out from under it and add
    thousands of dollars of investment income
    to your bottom line, month in and month out.
  • Brookfield Global Listed Infrastructure Income Fund (NYSE: INF)
    Dan, I own BIP in my retirement account, and according to my research, in such accounts, the K-1 amount is treated like any other money earned and taxable only when you start withdrawals.
    Kevin
  • Any insights on Thomas White International (TWWDX)?
    My favorite in this space continues to be SGOVX which is available NL/NTF at Schwab for minimums of $2500 and $1000 in retirement and taxable accounts, respectively.
    Kevin
  • EM Allocations.How much??
    Yes, I'm not adding to my EM bonds or equity funds for the time being. As always, the EM piece is already too big a piece of my pie. I'm letting divs and cap gains ride and grow. I'm semi-retired, which means I'm unemployed, having taken retirement early. But I ENJOY money coming to me for doing....ummmm... NOTHING! Yes!!!
  • Looking for comments on DWS RREEF Global Infrastructure = TOLSX
    Reply to @bee: Well, I think it also falls under "real assets" - hard assets that are strategic, productive and produce a consistent cash flow. I've discussed on the board before that I think infrastructure will get increasing attention as an asset class, both from small investors and things like Sovereign Wealth Funds. You're seeing Asian investment going into European infrastructure -
    "China Buys Into Portuguese National Power Company, Politicians Aghast"
    http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/China-Buys-Into-Portuguese-National-Power-Company-Politicians-Aghast.html
    "Canada Pension ‘Interested’ In European Infrastructure Assets"
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-08/canada-pension-interested-in-european-infrastructure-assets.html
    "Canada Pension has been investing in private companies and infrastructure in the past decade, buying stakes in utilities, pipelines and companies as it diversifies from stocks and fixed income assets. Canada Pension, with C$152.8 billion ($152.9 billion) in assets of Dec. 31, manages retirement funds for 18 million Canadians in every province except Quebec."
    There's a lot more, as well, but I do think strategic infrastructure (ports, rail, lots more falls under that) will continue to draw a lot of interest in coming years.
  • mutual fund strategy
    Reply to @Investor: Good point on spousal Roth contribution. This is directly from IRS,
    http://www.irs.gov/retirement/participant/article/0,,id=211358,00.html
    "Spousal IRAs
    If you file a joint return, you and your spouse can each make IRA contributions even if only one of you has taxable compensation. The amount of your combined contributions can’t be more than the taxable compensation reported on your joint return. It doesn’t matter which spouse earned the compensation.
    If neither spouse participated in a retirement plan at work, all of your contributions will be deductible."
  • mutual fund strategy
    Reply to @MaxBialystock: If you are in a low tax bracket now, it is a great opportunity to invest in Roth as during retirement people may actually be in a higher tax bracket because during retirement exemptions etc. do not exist and you cannot shelter money in 401k etc. I would take this an opportunity to invest in Roth.
    I personally invest max. in 401k and max out also Roth IRA. There is an advantage of deciding where to draw money from in retirement. Also, you do not have required minimum distributions from Roth IRA vs Traditional IRA. I wished I started contributing to Roth earlier than I first started doing so. (Note: You can also have spousal Roth even if she is not working. You only need to cover enough *earned* income to contribute)
  • Looks like Affiliated Managers Group (AMG) have completed Yacktman Funds acquisition
    Reply to @Sven: While the ticker stayed the same CUSIP has probably changed and Fidelity has not installed the page under new CUSIP. Even if the page was there, the minimum purchase is often overstated than really allowed.
    If you try to put an order of $1, you can get an idea on the minimum. $500 was for retirement account. Taxable could be different.
  • Favorite buy and hold fund?
    Reply to @kevindow:
    Hi K-dow,
    Thanks for your comments and list. I noticed that Invesco offers a retirement fund that has an expense ratio of .25 and invests solely in ABRIX. The fund ticker is TNEAX...looks like an even lower ER than ABRIX.
    From Fundmojo:
    "Invesco Balanced-Risk Retire 2050 A Fund seeks to provide total return with a low to moderate correlation to traditional financial market indices. Invesco Balanced-Risk Retire 2050 A Fund is a "fund of funds" and invests assets in other mutual funds. It has an approximate target asset allocation of 100% in the AIM Balanced-Risk Allocation Fund, as of April 30, 2010, until approximately 10 years prior to the fund's target retirement date at which time the fund will begin transitioning from an accumulation strategy to a real return strategy. Invesco Balanced-Risk Retire 2050 A Fund is designed for investors whose target retirement date is in or about the year 2050. It is non-diversified"
    http://www.fundmojo.com/mutualfund/fund_report/mutualfund/TNEAX
    TNEAX is available through USAA brokerage for a minimum of $250. Funny thing...this note appeared just as I placed my order...
    "We are unable to process the order referenced above. This fund is not available for purchase by residents of your state."
    Other comments:
    Looks like Marisco manages Harbor's fund but Harbor has a higher minimum hurdle ($50K with an ER of 1%) vs MFCFX ($2500 with an ER of 1.27%).
    I pay a TF fee to buys TGBAX (ER=.63). TTRZX is NTF at my brokerage with an ER=.79%. As a strategy, I buy small amounts of TTRZX often and then once a year I have a scheduled transfer to TGBAX. Because it is scheduled there is no TF fee. I assume this would work in the other direction if someone where to be in retirement and selling out of shares.
    Thanks for you ER points.
  • Favorite buy and hold fund?
    I sold FAIRX earlier this year and planned to move to FAAFX, but backed out because I was not agreeing with Berkowitz's strategy. Basically I watched FAIRX climb as high as 30+% YTD this year but with no significant change in portfolio. I know he trimmed back on a few positions, but the fund is still almost wholly financials. I don't know what kind of returns Berkowitz is aiming for, but in my opinion if you've made 30% in a couple of months in a hated sector, you should give yourself a pat on the back, cash in your winnings and move on to another game. Surely RIMM or some other lousy company is at least as good a value as SHLD was in 2011.
    I think others will have more thoughts on stock funds and bond funds but I just wanted to comment on REITs, which have been a part of my portfolio for a long time. I have tried a few funds but the only one that I have stuck with is the good ol' index, VGSIX. However earlier this year, I found an alternative in PRRSX, which is Pimco's derivative-pumped version of a REIT index fund.
    Lastly I now have a significant holding in PAUIX, which I think of as a "true" buy-and-hold in the sense that I am trusting the manager to handle all of the underlying allocation for me (much like one of those all-in-one target date retirement funds).
  • RPHYX RiverPark Short Term High Yield: What role in your portfolio?
    Reply to @MarkM: This fund compare to Ultra Short Term Bond funds and floating rate bond/credit funds.
    Most of those funds in 2008 was investing in sub-prime mortgage bonds to generate higher yields than money market funds, this fund is investing in high yield bonds that are about to be called or mature. As such, the fund is pretty easy to understand.
    Ultra short term bond funds and floating rate funds had extremely stable NAV until tail risk in 2008 suddenly eroded the NAV and redemptions much above normal levels forced fund to sell assets before maturity and suddenly jumping defaults did not help either.
    Can this fund endure such a tail risk scenario? I don't know. We will probably not going to know until it actually happens.
    Disclosure: I do own this fund for a small portion of my total retirement portfolio (~5%)
  • RPHYX RiverPark Short Term High Yield: What role in your portfolio?
    Of interest: Back in August 2011, I parked ~$10,000 in each of RPHYX and VCSH [Vanguard Corporate Short Term ETF] with dividends/interest reinvested in both. Since then, the balance in each has nominally been within ~$100 of the other with VCSH being the more volatile of the two.
    I plan on using RPHYX in my (soon) retirement as a repository for my annual cash, with a fixed monthly transfer to my checking account for budgeted living expenses. [The monthly transfer out is a feature if you have an account directly with RiverPark.]
    The pseudo 'steady income stream' will keep the better half happy :-)