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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Gentle Reminder - SeaFarer Conference Call Today 4:15 Eastern
    It's very comforting to have that information, and I thank both of you. OK, Latin America is down right now, so that provides a background which naked figures in a spreadsheet comparative list do not explain. I'll hold onto SFGIX now that I know what the story is.
  • Gentle Reminder - SeaFarer Conference Call Today 4:15 Eastern
    The team did spend several minutes explaining the two LA materials positions (SQM and Vale), which accounted for 40% of the fund's Q2 losses, while LA overall accounted for 75% of the losses. Basically, they were considered quality businesses with good market positions trading at attractive valuations, and now they're at even more attractive valuations. They're a higher global growth-scenario investment; since essentially the entire rest of the portfolio is staked out for a lower growth scenario, they look at those two as balancing their outlook. The Vale investment is in preferred shares with a div yield > 7%.
    In answer to a question, Andrew F. said he thinks EMs overall are at attractive valuations now, about a 7 on a 1-10 scale, and they're planning to make some active moves to take advantage of the situation.
    There was a lot more to the call, and good charts and summary pages on the site for following the presentation ... worth a listen for SFGIX shareholders or potential buyers.
  • Best Latin American Fund
    Along with Scott and AndyJ, I'd recommend an EM fund not restricted geographically. I too own SFGIX and have been disappointed, but not enough to sell it. I'm holding on. Consider that option.
  • Best Latin American Fund
    I agree with Scott: diversified EM is my preferred way of getting a little LA exposure, although it's been the bane of SFGIX, the one diversified EM stock fund I own: Andrew Foster says in his Q2 commentary that two LA stocks were responsible for 3/4 of the fund's downside last quarter.
    You might look at ECON, EGShares EM Consumer, as an LA-lite option ... 44% or thereabouts in LA, roughly 2.5x the benchmark. (To be interested, you've gotta like consumer staples & discretionary, though!)
  • experienced managers launching their own firms: Barron's gets it (mostly) right - updated
    I invest in all 3 funds mentioned. On one hand, I like the funds I have chosen is being recognized. On the other hand, I prefer (selfishly) that they remained under the radar so they do not have to deal with influx of money. Of the 3, GPGOX is now closed. SFGIX is investing in emerging markets that is not so popular at the moment and thus unlikely to have new money rushing in so that leaves VVPSX.
    I've moved monies from ARIVX to VVPSX after determining that ARIVX was not a good match for me. So far, I am very satisfied with VVPSX.
  • Funds to get some position in China
    Matthews is the expert fund company in Asia region a china. MACSX has good amount of China exposure. Take also a look at SFGIX which is newer fund which the manager was the manager of several funds (MACSX, MAPIX) while he worked at Matthews.
  • experienced managers launching their own firms: Barron's gets it (mostly) right - updated
    This week's Barron's has an article on star managers who choose to strike out on their own and launch fund firms ("Introducing the New Guard," July 8, L17-19). They focus on four firms about which, you might have noticed, I have considerable enthusiasm:
    Vulcan Value Partners, whose Vulcan Value Small Cap Fund we profiled.
    Highlights: C.T. Fitzpatrick - one of the few managers whose funds I've profiled but with whom I've never spoken - distinguishes Vulcan's approach from the Longleaf (his former employer) approach because "we place as much emphasis on business quality as we do on the discount." He also thinks that his location in Birmingham is a plus since it's easier to stand back from the Wall Street consensus if you're 960 (point eight!) miles away from it. He also thinks that it makes recruiting staff easier since, delightful as New York City is, a livable, affordable smaller city with good schools is a remarkable draw.
    Seafarer Capital Partners, whose Seafarer Overseas Growth & Income is in my own portfolio.
    Highlight: Andrew Foster spends about a third of this time running the business. Rather than a distraction, he thinks it's making him a better investor by giving him a perspective he never before had. He frets about investors headlong rush into the more volatile pieces of an intrinsically volatile sector. He argues in this piece for slow-and-steady growers and notes that "People often forget that when you invest in emerging markets, you're investing in something that is flawed but that you believe can eventually improve."
    Grandeur Peak Global Advisors, whose Grandeur Peak Global Opportunities was profiled in February 2012 and whose new Global Research fund is the subject of an upcoming profile.
    Highlight: Robert Gardiner and Eric Heufner both began working for Wasatch as teenagers? (Nuts. I worked at a public library for $1.60/hour and doing landscaping for less.) They reject the domestic/international split when it comes to doing security analysis and - I've really got to follow up on this - Gardiner is "intent on keeping Grandeur Peak, which is now on the small side, just shy of $1 billion under management." Uhhh ... International and Global already have $825M and if you allow for asset growth there, this implies a tiny capacity for Global Reach. Time to call Eric.
    Okay, mostly right. They got the name of the fund wrong, the photo caption wrong and the quote wrong. Apparently Mr. Heufner said Grandeur Peak currently had a bit under a billion, that their strategies' collective capacity was $3 billion but they're apt to close once they hit $2 billion to give them room for growth.
    RiverPark Advisors, five of whose funds we've profiled, two more of which we've pointed to and one of which is in my personal portfolio (and chip's).
    Highlight: Mitch Rubin's reflection on the failure of their first venture, a hedge fund "Our mistake, we realized, was tryig to create strategies we thought investors wanted to buy rather than structuring the portfolios around how we wanted to invest" and Mitch Rubin's vitally important note, "Managers often think of themselves as the talent. But the ability to run these business well takes real talent." Ding, ding, ding, ding! Exactly. There are only a handful of firms, including Artisan, RiverPark and Seafarer, where I think the qualit y of the business operation is consistently outstanding. Lots of small firms handicap themselves by making the operations part of the business an afterthought. Half of the failure of Marx's thought was his inability to grasp the vital and difficult role of organizing and managing your resources.
    The article's most curious claims surround the economics of starting a firm. One claim is that it takes about a million in start-up capital. The other comes from Frank Strauss, of Beacon Consulting Group: "Depending on the type of fund and cost structure, you need $100 million to $200 million in assets before a fund can start making a profit." That's an awfully big "depending on," since most managers place breakeven at or below $50 million.
    More soon,
    David
  • Seafarer: from the bottom up
    Just got mine in the mail yesterday. I'll peruse it while I watch the game today.
    http://quotes.morningstar.com/fund/f?region=USA&t=SFGIX
    So far: Not BAD. My Matthews stuff is doing better: MAPIX, MACSX. I saw a remark from Foster lately, however, that sounds like he's singing my song. China is looking interesting BECAUSE of the pullback lately. Buy LOW, sell HIGH. (What a concept, eh?)
    "Ya, That's the way you do it. Money fer nuthin' --- and yer chicks fer free."
  • June/Quarterly Allocation Funds Performance Review
    Hello, I do this monthly report on the discuss forums on M*.com and thought it would be useful to some here who use allocation funds.
    Market Recap

    • Interest rates jumped after the fed announced the possibility of reducing their bond purchasing program (QE3) if the economy continues to improve. Most securities sensitive to interest rates (Bonds, Preferreds, Mortgage REITS, Utilities) took a decent size haircut.
    • SHIBOR? China experienced a liquidity crunch and their central bank drained reserves from the system. The b word (bubble) is getting thrown around a lot. China (FXI) was down -11% in June.
    • The S&P 500 (SPY) was down -2.38% in June and was positive for the quarter, up 2.80%. The Russell 2000 (IWM) was down -1.75% in June and was up 4.12% for the quarter. The S&P 600 (SLY) was down -1.07% for June and up 4.86% for the quarter.
    • The 20 year treasury (TLT) fell -3.78% in June and -6.72% in the second quarter.
    • Despite a major retracement in the Nikkei, Japanese equities (EWJ) were still able to manage a gain, up 4.78% in June and up 8.09% for the quarter.
    • Emerging market equities/bonds continued to sell off in June and for the quarter and there were some pretty severe moves. Brazil (EWZ) was down -18.73% for the quarter. Turkey (TUR) was down -17% for the quarter.
    • Gold (IAU) was down -12.55% in June and -22.89% for the quarter. Silver (SLV) was down -13.69% for June and -29.97% for the quarter. The worst quarter for gold in 45 years!
    • The dollar (UUP) strengthened and was up 0.49% in June and 0.18% for the quarter.
    image

    Monthly Leaders: PVSYX, VILLX, PRWCX, GRSPX, FPACX, DODBX, LKBAX
    Monthly Laggards: ABRYX, PAUIX, PRPFX, TIBIX, IVAEX, LSWWX, PQIIX, JNBSX
    Quarterly Leaders: PVSYX, VILLX, DODBX, FPACX, PRWCX, BERIX, LKBAX, VWELX
    Quarterly Laggards: PRPFX, PAUIX, ABRYX, PGBAX, BRUFX, IVAEX, JNBSX, GLRIX
    [Click to Enlarge]
    image


    ** The data is as of 6/28/13 and the one month performance goes back to 5/28/13.

    Comments:
    Allocation funds that were light on bonds and international stock/bonds navigated through this recent sell off fairly well. Do any of you think it will be a continued trend? Or do you think it’s just a short term event from a knee jerk reaction to a rise in interest rates?
    Is anybody adding to emerging markets/world allocation funds after the recent selloff?
    I got some cash to work in June. Purchased SFGIX towards the end of the month and started a tiny position in GDXJ on the 26th. Both are a small part of my overall asset allocation.
    Report Your BUYS, SELLS & WHY-- JUNE '13
    Some Good Reads:
    “We are not tightening”, says a tightening Fed – economist.com
    China’s economy is freezing up. How freaked out should we be? – washingtonpost.com
    Record $13B ETF Outflows In June 2013 - indexuniverse.com
    Missed the big market rally? Here’s what to do now. – ritholtz.com
    GMO’s Montier on Why to Hold Cash – advisorperspectives.com
    Steve Romick: Trade Into The Gold You Can Eat, Farmland - Forbes.com
    The Outlook for Equities - oaktreecapital.com
    Why the Markets’ Latest Stumbles Are Good News – wsj.com
  • Portfolio Change- Advice is Welcome!
    Hello, Hrux.
    Thanks for the info. You can't stand a lotta volatility. Understood. In your 40s, both working. Children. YOUNG children. They are a blessing, but they are a financial black hole. Don't worry, it's worth it in the end in ways that can't be counted in dollars.
    Maximize tax deductions. 401k, 403b, IRA. But you knew that.
    Stay mostly in equities, given your age. Others will advise you to hold less international, but I'd go with 50/50 domestic EQUITY and foreign EQUITY.
    BONDS: I'd be holding no more than 30% bonds now. You need growth now, not income.
    Not too hard to hold a portfolio that is not volatile. If it helps you to sleep, just don't look at it every day. And don't be so diversified that you end-up diluting your earnings. There will be downdrafts, like in the very recent past. That's always going to be part of the game.
    Specific suggestions:
    DOMESTIC EQUITY................... PRBLX (Large Value) MSCFX (small-cap)
    Emerg. Mkt./International..............TBGVX MAPIX and/or MACSX SFGIX
    DOMESTIC bonds: DODIX
    Overseas bonds: MAINX, FNMIX and/or PREMX
    OK. Break that other leg, now. We'll see which other recommendations you get......The folks in here know what they're talking about. If you would spend a bit of time getting familiar with some of the investing nomenclature and concepts, you could construct a portfolio and run it on your own, with little effort.
    *Stick with NO-LOAD funds!
  • "Conservative" portfolio down 2% today
    Got out of bond funds last month. Miss the old days when they made up for the stock fund losses and VWINX is not holding up like it used to do. MACSX, MAPIX and SFGIX hit bad today. One green spot: PVFIX up. 12%. How did they manage that?
  • Morningstar, Day Two: the missing report
    Bless yer heart, Dr. Snowball. Thanks for all the work. The Fosters, eh? What can you tell us about SFGIX in particular?
  • Open Thread - Anyone Buying/Selling/Pondering?
    Holding steady on PONDX and RPHYX in bonds, and SFGIX, WAFMX, MFLDX, GASFX and ACMVX in equities. Sold PETDX, and reduced exposure in remainder of American Funds and American Century funds. Will start averaging back in when I get a feel for what's happening.
  • Seafarer makes the big time (plus some other guys)
    I would like to see SFGIX lower its minimum additional investment amount from $500 to $100, like most other mutual funds. It seems too high for a retail class of a fund that has $2,500 initial investment.
  • Seafarer makes the big time (plus some other guys)
    Which is to say, Morningstar has noticed them. The article "Three Promising Diversified Emerging Markets Funds" profiles Seafarer (SFGIX), Thomas White Emerging Markets (TWEMX) and Columbia Acorn Emerging Markets (CAGAX).
    Seafarer is seen as promising for three reasons: Andrew's work with MACSX, his ability to invest in a variety of asset classes and the fund's excellent performance since launch. $39M in AUM, 1.40% e.r. (misreported on the fund profile, right in the story), $2500 minimum.
    White is seen as promising for a comparable array of reasons: same team manages this fund as manages Thomas White International (TWWDX), they use the same "quant-driven, value-oriented strategy" at both, and the fund has comfortable (if not hugely) outperformed its benchmark since launch. $32M in AUM, 1.46% e.r., $2500 minimum.
    Columbia has the same "quality-oriented stock-selection" as Columbia Acorn International which features "a distinctive portfolio with a nice mix of bolder and tamer traits," four experienced managers and has more or less clubbed its e.m. and small cap e.m. peer groups. $147M in AUM, 1.77% e.r., 5.75% front load, $2000 minimum.
    The only commenter on the article point to the new Scout Emerging Markets Fund (SEMFX) as an option. Launched in November, pretty much fully invested but still held up very well in the late spring e.m. sag. $11M in AUM, 1.4% e.r. after waivers, $1000 minimum. By far my biggest hesitancy here comes from the recent decisions to liquidate Scout Stock and Scout International Discovery. Those might have been good (or necessary) business decisions, but they do raise serious questions about Scout's ability to maintain viable equity funds.
    I'm meeting with the Fosters at Morningstar and have asked to meet with Scout's chief equity strategist as well. Let me know if you have questions to raise or comments to pass along.
    As ever,
    David
  • Matthews Asia Dividend Fund will close to new investors (both individual & institutional)
    Reply to @sligo: I worry that Matthews is doing things now the way TRP and a million others are doing it: create a million different specialty funds and present them in such a way that they all fill a bit of a niche in anyone's portfolio... China Div, Laos Div, Thai Birds Nest Div....... I own MACSX. The very first fund I ever invested in, in '03. And since '09 I've owned MAPIX. Lately, I bought SFGIX, with former Matthews guy, Andrew Foster, at the helm. .....SFGIX has an expressed investment world which goes out beyond Asia and Matthews has chosen Asia ONLY. Remember: Asia is the future. But don't ignore the rest of the world.
  • Investment Advice
    I see. Fidelity. That's good, except that not every NO-LOAD fund is available without a FEE via Fidelity......Well, you don't want to own so many funds, in the name of diversification, that you are virtually running your own "fund of funds."
    The Oracle, above, makes a lotta sense. Index funds will fall terribly, following the index they're tied to, when things turn sour. Stick with open-ended funds that know how to be defensive when conditions call for it.
    I can (with Oracle) recommend MAPIX and I own it. Also, with the Oracle, MAPOX. And I own it, too. For EM Bonds (a smaller slice of your pie: FNMIX or PREMX (I own PREMX, too.).. LSBRX doesn't turn me on. DODIX deals in domestic bonds. (I have tracked it for years. Solid, reliable.)
    I would go broader out beyond the USA with SFGIX, run by Andrew Foster, who did very well for shareholders at Matthews before opening up his own "Seafarer" fund.
    You'll do well.
  • Investment advice
    Yes, I'll try to be brief. You truly ought to diversify. Keep the LC funds the others have recommended. Just two or three. Add small cap. Like PRSVX or MSCFX. (Small-cap is on fire lately. The whole market, you should already know, has been in the midst of a huge run-up over the past several months.)
    EM bonds: FNMIX or PREMX
    International: MACSX, MAPIX , SFGIX. (The first two are all Asia. SFGIX is run by a Manager who did very well for Matthews, but left to start his own shop: Andrew Foster.)
    Domestic bonds: DLTNX, MWTRX, MWHYX.
    I want to recommend MAPOX, too. It is balanced, holding both equities and bonds. The bonds will hold it back from ever blazing a trail at the head of the pack, but the bonds will help to moderate losses during downdrafts.
    Here's what I own, and I am heavily overweight in International/Global, not enough in the domestic area:
    DLFNX (dom. bond, pays monthly)
    MAPOX (balanced, pays quarterly)
    MSCFX (small-cap, pays at year-end)
    MAPIX (Asia, pays quarterly)
    MACSX (Asia ex-Japan, pays June/December)
    MAINX (Asia bonds, pays quarterly)
    SFGIX (Global, still mostly Asia, pays June/December.)
    TRAMX (Africa/Middle East, pays year-end)
    PREMX (Emerg. Mkt. bonds, pays monthly.)
    My next move will be to add another domestic equity fund, soon. i need to reinvest a bond maturing on July 1st. ... I have been in here gathering opinions, suggestions. Parnassus Equity PRBLX has been mentioned, as well as YACKX. I feel like I will be holding too many funds, but along the way, circumstances don't always unfold neatly and on time. My holdings amount to something over 6 figures, barely. Don't diversify so much that you end-up just diluting the profits you COULD have had. OK, "break a leg."