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  • More 0n a Balanced fund Portfolio (P: MJG)
    MJG,
    I checked a few funds and results are not consistent.
    at low-risk, VFINX
    period 12/31/2006 to 3/31/2009
    Portfolio Total Return: -40.9%
    The above portfolio's total return was -40.9%, outperforming the S&P 500's return of -43.7%. The total return includes stock price appreciation and dividends.
    Q1. Why is VFINX return better than VFINX?
    Q2. Morningstar has total balance at $5906 for this period for VFINX, which should be around -31% total return, not -40% as above. However, OAKBX has ending balance of $8809, which matches low-risk site total return of -11.8%.
    I had checked VGHCX over a few periods and the total returns matched.
  • More inflation, volatility in managers’ crystal ball
    Thanks John...some thoughts
    S&P 500 is undervalued...
    Any good dividend paying S&P 500 funds that pay while you wait?
    Japanese equities (could be a value trap...needs a growth catalyst):
    I own these:
    OAKIX= Oakmark International (30% exposure to Japan)
    MAJFOX = Matthews Japan
    PRJFX = TR Price Japan
    Emerging markets(need to watch closely...big runs up and down):
    Own these:
    TREMX (T Rowe Price Int:Em Euro)...Russia,Turkey E. Europe will benefit...this fund is out of favor right now
    VWO = Vanguard Emerging ETF...better choice to VEIEX...no transaction fee with Vanguard Brokerage Acct.
    WAEMX = Wasatch Emerging Small Cap...nice alpha recently
    PRASX = TR Price New Asia...401k offering
    Technology:
    Smart Phone has opened the door to the smart grid (Electric power(Energy)+ IT)
    VOX = Vanguard Telecom
    PRMTX = TR Price Media & Telecom...Long term hold...long term leader
    PRGTX = TR Price Gloal Tech
    MATFX = Matthews Asian Tech
    Energy: (its impact on inflation/recession is a concern)
    Alternate Energy has a opportunity to be a opportunity area such as;
    (Lithium Ion Tech)
    1. Power Storage for Vehicles = Electric Storage, Vehicles, Electric Producers
    2. Power Storage for the Grid
    (NG Fueling stations)
    1. Fleet Vehicles (Trucks, Buses, etc.)
    I own:
    VDE= Vanguard Energy ETF...VGENX replacement
    GASFX = FBR Gas Utility...Dividend paying distribution & Infrastructure Companies
    Industrials: (I need suggestions here)
    VIS = Vanguard Industrials ETF
    Health care:
    PRHSX = TR Price Health Sciences
    VHT = Vanguard Health Care...ETF replacement for VGHCX
    FPHAX = (Fidelity Sel Pharm)
    BUFTX (Buffalo:Sci & Tech)...nice combination of Tech and healthcare
    Income Choices( Not US teasuries but):
    High Yield Corporate
    Corporate Bonds
    Selective Muni Funds
    Corporate) Inflation Protection verses TIPs
    Emerging Bonds
    Countries that seem worth researching:
    Canada
    Australia
    New Zealand
    Mexico
    Brazil
    Norway,Germany,UK,France
    Russia
    Turkey
    Japan, Korea, Taiwan
    Get paid (dividend) while you wait for these to come into favor:
    Homebuilders & (REITS)
    Small Banks
    Large Banks
    Nuclear Power
    Any thought appreciated,
    bee