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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • October's commentary is posted.
    the significance of females in positions of authority or power - perhaps more so in the field of finance.
    I totally agree with that assessment. While I may not agree with some of her individual stock picks, her forward thinking of the landscape is unique and it has proven itself since the pandemic started last year.
  • Selling or buying the dip ?!
    Below is some hasty / lazy work for me to show myself my actual practice since covid onset and I sold off nearly everything after return to breakeven summer '20 (as I was sure covid would be this bfd hit to all markets).
    - All dip buying and selling were done by feel, not by percentage or any defensible criterion other than 'ooh, ooh, it just went down pretty sharply', ... just because it eventually hit me over the head that p/e be damned, this market was just too strong and kept returning to strength, for all the reasons already mentioned by others.
    - I am too chicken to figure out if buy-hold woulda been better, but I suspect so, given said unstoppable market strength.
    What the below activity did was make me feel better about my fairly quick / short 'defensive' darts in and out of the traffic.
    buys and sells of VON_, AOR, and/or CAPE, plus a TRP mfund
    (gains; no losses; all Roth, so no tax consequence)
    bot 6/11/20 and sold the next day, >1%
    bot 10/28/20 and sold 11/13/20, 10%
    bot 2/25/21 and sold 4/9/21, 7%
    bot 4/22/21 and sold 5/6/21, >3%
    bot 5/12/21 and sold 5/14/21, <3%
    bot 6/18/21 & 7/6/21 and sold 9/22/21, <3%
    bot 7/2/21 and sold 9/2/21, <1%
    bot 7/19/21 and sold 8/3/21, >2%
    bot 8/4/21 and sold 8/11-2/21, 1%
    bot 8/18/21 and sold 9/1/21, 5%
    bot 9/20/21 and sold 9/23/21, 3%
    I am again now almost completely out of equities.
    And of course the kick-myself revenge makeup motive going on here was to try and recoup the hundreds of thou lost by my summer 2020 selloff decisions, after the big covid dip. If I had stayed the equities course (duh) we would have enough extra now to half-forgive kids' debts to us, lavish on grandchildren education funding, replace a car and roof and such, and give way more seriously to a few charities and colleges.
  • Biden Nearing Methane Crackdown Dreaded (and Dodged) by Industry
    It's looking like the oil and gas industry may soon be faced with significant additional expenses but that agriculture may continue to get a pass for now....
    image
    Crackdown
  • Selling or buying the dip ?!
    sold all vong and cape
    will buy back in later
  • Senate bill could spell end to ETF tax advantage
    @davfor - If I understand what you are trying to say then I disagree with your statement above "Passage of this bill would force taxable account investors to buy and hold onto individual stocks to continue to receive some of the advantages available through tax-deferred retirement accounts. That would uncomfortably alter the investing landscape for many taxable account ETF investors."
    Those taxable account ETF investors can sell shares of their ETF's and receive cash on which they'd pay their fair share of taxes 'rather' than receiving (from the article) "A proposal has been drafted to change the law eliminating exchange traded funds’ chief tax advantage in the US by levying taxes on in-kind redemptions."
    The average Joe ends up paying the taxes either way because few, if any, are "authorized participants" while those who are already exceedingly rich can game the system.
    "Only “authorized participants” – a form of institutional investor – may redeem shares directly from an ETF. These investors are also able to contribute securities to a fund in exchange for newly issued ETF shares. Retail investors, on the other hand, can only buy and sell ETF shares through a broker."
    From this article: What is an in-Kind Redemption
  • Senate bill could spell end to ETF tax advantage
    Passage of this bill would force taxable account investors to buy and hold onto individual stocks to continue to receive some of the advantages available through tax-deferred retirement accounts. That would uncomfortably alter the investing landscape for many taxable account ETF investors.
  • Lighten up a bit on stocks?
    @bee
    Templeton is one of my all time favorites. I owned his flagship TEMWX almost from its inception and during the time he managed it. That said, Sir John had a very long-term focus. That’s fine for those who can ride out even the fiercest of market downturns with the confidence and equanimity he exuded. For example, TEMWX fell nearly 40% in 2008. For those whose demeanor and station in life allow them to accept with Templeton-like calm that kind of one year draw-down I say “hats-off”.
    However, there’s a larger point to be made here. Sir John would not recognize the investment climate today. His formative era was one in which institutions and wealthy estates ruled the equity markets. To his credit, Sir John planted the seeds that led to individual investors taking a significant role and reaping the rewards. In Sir John’s day you read the WSJ (in print format) to find out how markets performed on the previous day. You phoned-in “buys” and “sells” to your broker during the trading day. Mutual funds were in their infancy. “ Commission-free ” trades did not exist. Nor did ETFs. There was no internet. No cell phones. No Bloomberg or CNBC. No Fidelity (as we know it today). No Schwab, Robinhood or E-Trade. Sir John would not understand SPACS, Kathy Wood’s ARK or day-trading. And he’d have scoffed at the idea of individuals buying stocks “on margin”.
    To my broader point - these and other changes have altered the investment landscape in ways Templeton wouldn’t recognize, ways which we are still trying to understand, and with repercussions which I fear will prove to be to our eventual detriment.
    “A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds …“ - Ralph Waldo Emerson
  • The S&P 500 is headed for 5,000...
    There were doom and gloom economic projections with potential y2k problems and stock market marched through that, similar to the current problem of pandemic. So, may be there is a similar big capex or other spending going on or anticipated. I do not have the answers.
  • What's on your FUND (or ETF) wishlist?
    Sold all VONE and VONV at last peak, bought smaller amount of VONG today, also a little CAPE. Have augmented nut this year nontrivially doing high-low sell-buy, unusually. Such lasting bull strength.
  • The Era of Cheap Natural Gas Ends as Prices Surge by 1,000%
    If the cost is in fact $15/MMBTU, that isn’t good. The chart shows Europe and Asia, not North America.
    mmbtuimage
  • Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show - with Consuelo Mack
    Block Tower Newsletters:
    Originally known as “open finance”, the advent of DeFi represents yet another innovation on the rapidly evolving world of cryptoassets and blockchain technology. As with most new innovations, there is the growing litany of new announcements, innovative solutions and industry mania as these offerings progress throughout the landscape. For many, it seems a chance for new business models and rapid wealth creation. For the more sober minded, it is yet another step in the swift transformation happening across financial markets, and indeed across all industries in the global economy. As always, change and disruption require us to revert back to first principles. And these first principles demand that we ask the question: why? Why decentralized finance? What problems does it solve? And what, in truth, do we actually mean by “decentralized finance”?
    These inquiries bring us to the motivation for this publication. It is our hope that this primer can offer a proposed definition for DeFi, in all of its forms, as well as share with the reader current and future DeFi use cases. It also touches on the challenges of DeFi, not least of these being the uncertain and evolving regulatory and legislative challenges coming to the fore. As a product of the WSBA Accounting Working Group, this work also delves into the
    very complex accounting considerations that DeFi poses, both now and in the future. Finally, we conclude with some thoughts on what the future holds and offer some resources to keep pace with this future.
    It is our goal that this be the first in a series of thought leadership publications that continue to aid the advancement of the cryptoassets and blockchain ecosystems, the accounting profession and global markets around the world. We welcome your thoughts and feedback and hope that you find this document informative as well as useful.
    https://blocktower.substack.com/
    Decentralized Finance: A Primer
    whitepapers/WSBA-Accounting-DeFi-Primer-May-2021.pdf
  • Is it smart to for retirees to get out of the stock market entirely?
    stillers: "100% bond OEF Investors seem more than capable of justifying TO THEMSELVES that their strategy is a worthy one. Using Dick as an example though is one of the more creative ones, but does little to convince me that what they're doing remotely resembles "smart" investing."
    No one on this thread, including me, are attempting to "convince" you of anything. You are an individual investor, who has your own idea of what is "smart", but the point in using capecod in this discussion about "should equity exposure decrease in retirement" is simply that he does not use equities in his retirement investing. He has stated many times that he avoids equities because he considers them "too speculative". There are many different ways to be a successful investor in retirement, whether you use equities or not. Retired investors vary tremendously from one retiree to another, they have many varied goals and objectives as a retiree, and what is appropriate for one retiree my not be appropriate for another retiree.
  • Is it smart to for retirees to get out of the stock market entirely?
    There are many different kind of investors, with many different investing objectives, so the answer to that question varies with each investor. "Smart" is only relative to whether the individual investor is successful at meeting their personal portfolio objectives. One of the "smartest" and well known investors, I have run across on investing forums was "capecod" who use to post on the M* forums. He was a retired professional bond investor, who only invested in bond CEFs, ETFs, and OEFs. When asked about equities, he would state that they were "too speculative" for him, and he preferred to invest, using his professional trading experience, in bonds. Was he "smart"? Everyone I know, who followed "capecod" think he was one of smartest investors they knew! That said, I am not "smart" enough to use his investing system, and my investing objectives are different than capecods, so I use a system I fully understand, that meets my "preservation of principal" portfolio objectives, and that includes very little in equities.
  • TRPrice: Midyear Market Outlook: Positioning for a New Economic Landscape
    Seemed Worth Sharing...From T Rowe Price:

    Key Insights
    Global growth accelerated in early 2021, led by China and the U.S. The economic recovery from the pandemic appears set to broaden in the second half.
    Despite strong growth, earnings expectations could be difficult to meet. But there may be potential for earnings outperformance in some non-U.S. markets.
    Strong institutional demand for U.S. Treasuries is holding yields down. Fixed income investors may want to consider credit sectors for opportunities.
    China’s tighter corporate governance standards, better capital allocation, and technical innovation are expanding the opportunity set for investors.
    positioning-for-new-economic-landscape.pdf
  • George F. Shipp of Sterling Capital to retire in 2022
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/889284/000139834421014273/fp0067111_497.htm
    497 1 fp0067111_497.htm
    Filed pursuant to 497(e)
    File Nos. 033-49098 and 811-06719
    STERLING CAPITAL FUNDS
    SUPPLEMENT DATED JULY 12, 2021
    TO THE
    CLASS A AND CLASS C SHARES PROSPECTUS AND THE
    INSTITUTIONAL, CLASS R AND CLASS R6 SHARES PROSPECTUS,
    EACH DATED FEBRUARY 1, 2021, AS SUPPLEMENTED
    This Supplement provides the following amended and supplemental information and supersedes any information to the contrary in the Class A and Class C Shares Prospectus and the Institutional, Class R and Class R6 Shares Prospectus, each dated February 1, 2021 (collectively, the “Prospectuses”), with respect to Sterling Capital Special Opportunities Fund and Sterling Capital Equity Income Fund:
    Sterling Capital Special Opportunities Fund
    Effective immediately, Joshua L. Haggerty is appointed as a co-portfolio manager of Sterling Capital Special Opportunities Fund, and Daniel A. Morrall is appointed as an associate portfolio manager of the Sterling Capital Special Opportunities Fund. In addition, it is anticipated that George F. Shipp will retire from Sterling Capital Management LLC on or about January 7, 2022 and will cease to serve as a co-portfolio manager on or about December 24, 2021 .
    Accordingly, the “Management—Portfolio Managers” section in the Prospectuses with respect to Sterling Capital Special Opportunities Fund is hereby deleted and replaced with the following:
    Portfolio Managers
    George F. Shipp, CFA
    Senior Managing Director of Sterling Capital and Co-Portfolio Manager
    Since inception
    Joshua L. Haggerty, CFA
    Executive Director of Sterling Capital and Co-Portfolio Manager
    Since July 2021
    (formerly, Associate Portfolio Manager from February 2016 - July 2021)
    Daniel A. Morrall
    Executive Director of Sterling Capital and Associate Portfolio Manager
    Since July 2021
    Sterling Capital Equity Income Fund
    Effective immediately, Adam B. Bergman is appointed as a co-portfolio manager of Sterling Capital Equity Income Fund, and Charles J. Wittmann is appointed as an associate portfolio manager of Sterling Capital Equity Income Fund. In addition, it is anticipated that George F. Shipp will retire from Sterling Capital Management LLC on or about January 7, 2022 and will cease to serve as a co-portfolio manager on or about December 24, 2021.
    Accordingly, the “Management—Portfolio Managers” section in the Prospectuses with respect to Sterling Capital Equity Income Fund is hereby deleted and replaced with the following:
    Portfolio Managers
    George F. Shipp, CFA
    Senior Managing Director of Sterling Capital and Co-Portfolio Manager
    Since inception
    Adam B. Bergman, CFA
    Executive Director of Sterling Capital and Co-Portfolio Manager
    Since July 2021
    (formerly, Associate Portfolio Manager from February 2016 - July 2021)
    Charles J. Wittmann
    Executive Director of Sterling Capital and Associate Portfolio Manager
    Since July 2021
    The following replaces the description of the Portfolio Managers set forth under “Fund Management—Portfolio Managers” in the Prospectuses with respect to the Sterling Capital Special Opportunities Fund and Sterling Capital Equity Income Fund:
    Special Opportunities Fund and Equity Income Fund. George F. Shipp, CFA, Managing Director, founded what is now the Sterling Capital Equity Opportunities group in December 2000, after serving for 18 years as a sell-side equity analyst with the broker-dealer BB&T Scott & Stringfellow. He is Co-Portfolio Manager of the Special Opportunities Fund and Equity Income Fund and has been a portfolio manager of those funds since their inception. George is a graduate of the University of Virginia where he received a BA in Biology, and an MBA from its Darden Graduate School of Business in 1982. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.
    Joshua L. Haggerty, CFA, Executive Director, joined the CHOICE Asset Management team of BB&T Scott & Stringfellow in 2005, which integrated with Sterling Capital in January 2013. He has investment experience since 1998. He has been Co-Portfolio Manager of the Special Opportunities Fund since July 2021 and was Associate Portfolio Manager of the Special Opportunities Fund from February 2016 to July 2021. Josh is a graduate of James Madison University where he received his BBA in Finance. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.
    Adam B. Bergman, CFA, Executive Director, joined the CHOICE Asset Management team of Scott & Stringfellow in 2007, which integrated with Sterling Capital Management in January 2013. He has investment experience since 1996. He has been Co-Portfolio Manager of the Equity Income Fund since July 2021 and was Associate Portfolio Manager of the Equity Income Fund from February 2016 to July 2021. Adam is a graduate of the University of Virginia’s McIntire School of Commerce where he received his BS in Commerce. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.
    Charles J. Wittmann, CFA, Executive Director, joined Sterling Capital Management in 2014 and has investment experience since 1995. He is an equity portfolio manager and has been Associate Portfolio Manager of the Equity Income Fund since July 2021. Prior to joining Sterling Capital, he worked for Thompson Siegel & Walmsley as a portfolio manager and (generalist) analyst. Prior to TS&W, he was a founding portfolio manager and analyst with Shockoe Capital, an equity long/short hedge fund. Charles received his B.A. in Economics from Davidson College and his M.B.A. from Duke University's Fuqua School of Business. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.
    Daniel A. Morrall, Executive Director, joined Sterling Capital Management in 2014 and has investment experience since 2001. Dan is a portfolio manager and has been Associate Portfolio Manager of the Special Opportunities Fund since July 2021. Prior to joining Sterling Capital, he worked as an equity analyst for Harber Asset Management and S Squared Technology LLC, technology-biased long/short funds. Dan received his B.S. in Business and Economics from Washington and Lee University, his M.B.A. from Columbia Business School, and his M.S.I.T. from Capella University.
    SHAREHOLDERS SHOULD RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT
    WITH THE PROSPECTUSES FOR FUTURE REFERENCE.
    STAT-SUP-0721
  • 2021 Midyear Investment Outlook
    https://www.lordabbett.com/en/perspectives/economicinsights/2021-midyear-investment-outlook.html?ite=3076&amp;ito=2067&amp;itq=c52ab8f8-d9c4-4874-b389-888060e46474&amp;itx[idio]=3427736&amp;et_cid=84176034&amp;[email protected]&amp;et_fc=&amp;cid=
    2021 Midyear Investment Outlook
    June 24, 2021
    Lord Abbett’s investment leaders share their thoughts on key economic and investment issues that could shape the investment landscape in the second half of the year.
    Slow as a turtle but we may get there someday
  • Question: Does First-in / First-Out apply to selling NTF funds?
    To clarify. The statement read only “commission.” I added the “deferred sales” (words) to help clarify, but ultimately sewed confusion.
    Sounds like the two $100 charges were maybe something imposed by the funds themselves? Or possibly related to my “free ride” or liquidity crunch? Like I said, they’re erased unless I can dig up an old screen-shot I might have taken.
    Fidelity charges a short-term trading fee each time you sell or exchange shares of a FundsNetwork NTF fund held less than 60 days.” Yep - I read that quite early in my “Fiducation””. And I asked a fido phone rep about it. He adamantly denied it and turned it back to the fee on Fido’s own funds. Than he added a “however” and went into some *** about how some other charges could apply on some funds.
    That’s not to say or claim that he was correct - or that I got it straight. But it’s what I thought he said.
    I feel possibly some in the mfo community might benefit from my experience, even though I escaped relatively intact, I know we’re all wealthy here. But a couple hundred dollars is nothing to sneeze at. Especially if tax-deferred money, making it worth even more. And the multi-year compounding capability is taken out.
    Hank said ; Good grief. This stuff is complicated!
  • Woke Companies and Fund Families
    Is there any escape, or partial escape from the wokeness?
    What companies do you know of that don't take sides on political social and moral issues?
    Also, which of the fund families do you think is least woke?
    Not every company makes explicit public statements of policy but are there really any companies that don’t have a position on public issues?
    Companies take positions all the time on economic issues which have political, social, and moral consequences.
    Even if they don’t make public declarations, companies show where they stand (and always have) by their actions and policies.
    I think you’re looking for a unicorn - though it sounds like you’re not looking for companies that don’t take positions but companies that don’t take a certain position.
  • Woke Companies and Fund Families
    Is there any escape, or partial escape from the wokeness?
    What companies do you know of that don't take sides on political social and moral issues?
    Also, which of the fund families do you think is least woke?