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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Capital Group (American Funds parent) getting into PE
    Capital and KKR are planning a series of hybrid funds that will invest in both publicly and privately traded assets. The first two strategies, expected to launch next year, will hold about 60% in public bonds picked by Capital managers, and 40% in direct and asset-based loans sourced by KKR.
    These are likely the asset allocation or balanced funds. Really have to monitor these funds as they evolve.
    TRP has a global allocation fund with 10% in private equity, and the fund is very average in performance for a number of years.
  • market commentary from Eric Cinnamond @ PVCMX - May 2024
    PVCMX made about half of the SP500 for 5 years, so it's not alright. :-)
    Good established funds don't guarantee anything either, remember that over long time the SP500 beats most funds because it's formula is very efficient.
    So are you mainly invested in a S&P 500 index fund then?
  • market commentary from Eric Cinnamond @ PVCMX - May 2024
    PVCMX made about half of the SP500 for 5 years, so it's not alright. :-)
    Good established funds don't guarantee anything either, remember that over long time the SP500 beats most funds because it's formula is very efficient.
  • welcome to the discussion a/k/a help board for MFO's premium tools
    A very old thread!
    But I will ask a question here.
    Ulcer Index (UI by Martin) is prominently featured and often discussed at MFO; there was even a feature on it in the monthly MFO by @David_Snowball in May 2023. The typical definition of UI is over 14 days [e.g. StockCharts UI(14), Yahoo Finance Ulcer(14)]. Although MFO Definitions don't indicate the time period, I assume that it's also 14 days. So, it just indicates the most recent drawdown behavior and shouldn't really be compared with other longer period parameters SD, Sharpe Ratio, etc (typically over 3, 5, 10, 15 years).
    There is a related UPI that is a variation of Sharpe Ratio but its definitions vary - from just 14-days to averaging UI over longer periods.
  • Applaud Good Service from service Reps
    Apple. One of the biggest reasons why I’m a huge Apple fan is their customer service. Their staff in stores are friendly, helpful and knowledgeable. Over the years, I have sought assistance many times through the Apple help line by telephone, and they have unfailingly helped me solve whatever problems I’m having— at no cost. Their telephone service representatives are knowledgeable and friendly.
  • market commentary from Eric Cinnamond @ PVCMX - May 2024
    Investing in SC or anywhere else is your choice.
    When someone lags the most famous index in the world, the SP500, they pull out the DIVERSIFICATION card.
    Buffett said the following: "Diversification is a protection against ignorance". His second best idea is using the SP500.
    But, as you know, it does not always work, during 2000-10 the SP500 lost money for 10 years...and this is when you should when to hold them and when to fold them (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hx4gdlfamo)
    Mr C. is not alone, in 2008-9 Arnott with PAUIX looked like a hero and was interviewed everywhere claiming he got the secret formula for VALUATION. I bought PAUIX + the Intrepid fund managed by C.
    I sold both within months because valuation isn't an accurate indicator, never was, never will be...and markets can be irrational for a lot longer than you think. A fund manager is good as his last 6-12 months of performance.
    Many great experts made the same mistake, read (https://fd1000.freeforums.net/thread/13/wall-shame-worse-experts-predictions).
  • Fidelity Rewards Signature Card?
    As a frequent Amazoner, the 5% is great. Its statement credit more than paid for a high-end Bosch dishwasher that I purchased locally a few years ago. I only use it for Amazon/Whole Foods but it serves as a 'backup' in my wallet since I'm mostly an Amex guy.
    Otherwise I just rack up points and double-points on my 2 AMEX cards.
  • Applaud Good Service from service Reps
    EVA Air. (Taiwanese.)
    Many years ago. Late getting into Manila from Cebu. Long story. And Manila is the worst airport in the world, by the way. My ticket was with China (Taiwan) Air, with a stop in Taipei. But the next one out, from Manila, was not for many, many hours (to Los Angeles.) My ticket was a patchwork job. Somehow, I ended up in First Class on EVA Air from Manila to Taipei, in the midst of this adventure.
    In the meantime, back in Manila, I gave EVA my ticket, since they volunteered to see if a transfer to their airline could be done, all the way to Los Angeles. If they could get China Air to say "yes," I would not have to wait forever to get out of Manila on China Air. I do recall that somehow, they managed to get me to Taipei quite a bit sooner. But China Air did not want to give up the revenue, from Taipei to L.A.
    ...So, there I am, still on the ground in Manila. And I remember that each individual passenger must pay a small extortion fee to a guy in a booth with a badge, in order to simply LEAVE. Passengers must pay, because their gummint cannot trust Philippine Airlines to collect the tax and remit the money to their Tax Authority. So, they made a universal rule. Every PASSENGER will pay the fee, with a ticket on ANY airline.
    I did not have the cash for the fee. So, in the EVA office, they took up a collection for me!
    I took down names and described their kindness in a letter to their HQ, and left it with them, to send to the proper person. I got back Stateside and sent more than the equivalent in US dollars back to them, with my gratitude. They even sent a reply, inviting me to fly with EVA anytime.
    You won't find anyone connected to an airline doing such a thing TODAY. I bet you, dollars to donuts.
  • market commentary from Eric Cinnamond @ PVCMX - May 2024
    You know what else puts this fund into perspective? The fact that it is more than 5 years old and has only attracted $273 million in assets. Maybe most people, like me, see the folly in paying a 1.26 expense ratio for a fund that routinely holds so much cash.
  • Applaud Good Service from service Reps
    It's easy because there are not many providers with great service unless they are very expensive.
    1) After several decades with different discount brokers Schwab is #1 for me, and Fidelity is second and why I have accounts with both for many years.
    2) Amazon has the best service, responds within seconds, and solves everything.
    3) REI: the best camping/sport store with excellent knowledgeable employees and good prices.
  • market commentary from Eric Cinnamond @ PVCMX - May 2024
    MikeM " @FD1000, you seem to have an incredulous dislike for this manager and his fund."
    FD: There is no dislike here. I used to like PIMIX and had over 50% in it for years, but 0% since 01/2018.
    FAIRX: I owned it for about 8 years during 2000-10, and left it behind since then.
    I only like funds that make money. If they don't I switch I don't care how M* defines it.
    Remember, if Cinnamond is a great star why he hasn't managed the same fund for decades and increased the AUM to billions? Millions of investors have been looking for an edge and all missed it?
    The above is just an opinion, you can do what you like, it's your money.
    I already posted the goals from https://www.palmvalleycapital.com/goal
    Investing for Risk defined as losing money.
    Flexible mandate allows for patience (FD: that means, if we lag, don't blame us :-)
    No sector constraints
    Elevated career risk
    Independent; unique
    Fiduciary duty uninhibited
  • Applaud Good Service from service Reps
    Are we limited to strictly financial dealings? I can recall a "beyond the call of duty" episode with airline staff, many years ago, at the airport...
  • FDIC in Turmoil
    He’s a bit of a fall guy for sins which have been going on for years even before he became chairman. Nice bit of jujitsu on his part to postpone the resignation until a successor is in place - Republicans were calling for his head so their guy would become acting chair and gum up the works. They didn’t really seem to care about the shenanigans when they were occurring during the previous administration.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    I added to NAD and EVT in my taxable account...adding about 5% to each. Given their FI holdings, they will likely bump up when rates eventually recede along with 4.63% and 7.49% distribution respectively. In my IRA rollover I cashed out of RPMGX. 20 years ago I jumped through hoops to maintain this fund as I changed employer plans. I sold in order to gain additional fixed income exposure, currently sitting in SNVXX. I'm waiting for a pullback and then will initiate a new position in most likely an allocation fund...FMSDX and FPURX are in the mix at present.
  • Vanguard Website
    @hondo
    Wife 401k was at Fido and most of non retirement money at Schwab and Vanguard
    I dislike using one brokerage for redundancy purposes
    Schwab customer service has always been better than Fido although there is the irritating issue of no sweep account.
    As Vanguard has deteriorated over the years I gradually moved our accounts out. Mine to Schwab and most of wife's to Fido.
    If Schwab had a sweep account MMF I might dump Fido altogether but probably not. I think two different brokerages is worth the inconvenience
  • Commodities advice?
    It’s fun to play around in this area for experienced investors. RIO is one of several I’ve played with in recent years. What I’ve learned is gambits like that need to be kept small because of the heightened risk. And in small scale they really don’t move a portfolio that much (but may contribute to heartburn). Applies to most stocks - not just the one cited.
    Gold is rising and etf flows have picked up. May well go to the moon. But it will come back to earth and you don’t want to be holding a lot when it does. I bought gold coins in the 70s when the metal spiked to over $800 and it was all the talk of the town. I sold 3-4 years later at $400. It later got down to near $300.
    I looked and looked for “value” in the commodities sector a couple months ago. Looked at OEFs, ETFs, CEFs. Some good funds. But none appeared undervalued. All had already been bid up. But - very likely there’s something out there I missed.
  • Withdrawal Studies with Updated PV in 2 Steps
    No consistent relationship has been found between point-to-point TR and safe-withdrawal-rates (SWR). Dave Ramsey recently fell into this trap.
    Bengen-type withdrawals should be seen as benchmarks. Not many use them as described - 4% initial withdrawal with annual COLA. PV does have the capability of withdrawals with or without COLA.
    Flexible withdrawal approaches are popular. I have my own - keep withdrawal amounts fixed for 5 years & then reevaluate the portfolio & reset the withdrawals. This can lead to 5-6% withdrawals that often keep rising (at 5-yr intervals).
    I have another variation of SWR, called SWRM. It's the max withdrawal rate sustainable that also returns the inflation-adjusted principal at the end. Then, the withdrawal program can be restarted. Obviously, SWRM << SWR.
  • Td acquired by schwab
    the distinction between cost method and lot selection
    Exactly. Further, each - cost basis and lot selection - is a distinct legal (accounting) fiction. In reality shares owned are nothing but fungible writings in an electronic ledger. For the tax purpose of computing gain, the IRS offers two different methods of ascribing cost - average and actual. If there is no gain to be calculated for taxes (as is the case for tax-sheltered accounts), then there is no cost basis.
    That doesn't preclude investors from thinking about how much money they made in buying and selling shares, regardless of whether they are taxed on cap gains. To facilitate this, brokerages often provide their own tax-sheltered "cost basis" calculations for investors to track gains in their minds. Though not on their 1040s.
    To illustrate this dichotomy between tax purposes and investor perceptions, consider income averaging. Say you make $100K in a single year, but the IRS lets you average that income over five years. From your perspective, you made $100K up front; you've got $100K in your pocket. From the IRS perspective, you made $20K that year, and you'll make $20K over each of the next four years. Which is real, $100K all at once or $20K each of five years? You may say the former, since you've got $100K now, but if you're talking taxes, the $20K/year is the "real" interpretation.
    Likewise, funds and brokerages have their own rules for calculating holding periods. These rules need not be consistent with each other or with tax rules.
    Typically, funds (a) waive short term redemption fees on shares purchased via div reinvestment (including cap gain divs), and (b) apply the redemption fee (e.g. 2%) only to those shares sold within the short-term period as opposed to all shares sold in the transaction.
    In contrast to (b), brokerages typically charge a flat short term trading fee if any of the shares sold are subject to the brokerage's short term fee. Fidelity, at least, explicitly waives fees on reinvested divs:
    [Fidelity's short-term trading fee] does not apply to ... shares purchased through dividend reinvestment.
    https://www.fidelity.com/bin-public/060_www_fidelity_com/documents/Brokerage_Commissions_Fee_Schedule.pdf
    Finally, to illustrate the difference that ordering rules make, consider the following transactions:
    Jan 4 - purchase 100 shares
    Nov 25 - purchase 100 shares
    Dec 28 - div reinvest - purchase 10 shares
    Jan 16 (next year) - sell 110 shares
    On a strict FIFO basis, 10 shares (purchased Nov 25) will have been sold within 60 days of purchase. If for the purpose of calculating a short-term redemption fee, reinvested divs are deemed to have been sold first, then the 110 shares sold will be the 10 purchased on Jan 16 and the 100 purchased on Jan 4. No fee will be assessed (assuming no fee is charged for redeeming div reinvestment shares).
  • Td acquired by schwab
    There's no cost basis accounting in tax-sheltered vehicles.
    You might find the following relevant:
    I have a long standing mutual fund holding in my IRA but in March I had some idle cash in the account and I added to that mutual fund, which is subject to a 2% redemption fees if sold within 90 days of purchase.
    The fund prospectus says, "In determining whether a redemption fee is applicable to a particular redemption, it is assumed that the redemption is first of shares acquired pursuant to the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains distributions, and next of other shares held by the shareholder for the longest period of time."
    I tried to sell shares I bought a few years ago.
    Schwab Rep and supervisor are adamant that cost basis method in IRA controls for purpose of applying the 2% redemption fees. They say the March purchase taints the sale because average cost basis is used in that account and thus they have to apply the 2% redemption fees. (The strange part is, their reps are not trained and their system are not designed for their own literature, which correctly says, "Assets using the Average Cost Method will default to the FIFO Lot Selection Method when disposed." We already know the brokerages thoroughly confuse the distinction between cost method and lot selection. If they actually applied the FIFO lot selection as their literature says, there is no redemption fees in my case.)
    The above issue is also there at Fidelity. We discussed this in the Fidelity Community in the past year - I go there very rarely these days but anyone active there probably can pull up that discussion. My memory is not good re Fidelity's exact process but they might even just apply average cost basis method (means test the last purchased shares to see if there is a taint) in applying the fund level redemption fees, not withstanding what the customer's selection is. Posters should pay attention to what Fidelity does or read that discussion in Fidelity Community where Fidelity employees participated.
    It is interesting how these brokerages' own short term redemption fees ($50) is applied on a FIFO basis but these brokerages use some other method for purposes of applying the fund's redemption fees, irrespective of what the prospectus says. I guess it is easy for them to have a simpler punitive system, rather than customize for each fund. Most customers do not select a cost (or lot) method in retirement accounts and so they are defaulted to a average method. Something to be aware of.
    While it is likely differences among funds exist, I have only seen funds apply FIFO.
  • Withdrawal Studies with Updated PV in 2 Steps
    Withdrawal Studies with Updated PV in 2 Steps
    This 2-STEP trick will work with the updated PV. This month is 05/2024 (May), so the free PV will run without issue from 5/1/2014 - 4/30/2024 (the new 10-yr limit). But the PV will also run without limit for start and end dates prior to 5/1/14 (i.e. no limitations on older data beyond the recent 10-yr window; this was found by experimentation with the updated PV). So, the current month provides the unique break point (10 years ago) for these 2 steps.
    In this demo, the PV run for Bengen-type 4% withdrawal with annual COLA will be from 1/1/1985 - 4/30/2024 (the maximum possible at PV) in 2 steps.
    STEP 1, PV Run 1/1/1985 - 4/30/2014 (dates beyond recent 10 years)
    https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio?s=y&sl=3qDAqcuhRZT8zHPzoUQlPT
    Initial Principal Amount $100,000, initial Monthly Withdrawal $333 (= 4,000/12 rounded).
    A limitation of PV is that these inputs must be integers; to reduce the effect of rounding errors, $100,000 initial was used instead of the default $10,000. 3 funds used were VWELX, FPURX, DODBX and 1 benchmark used was VFINX.
    STEP 2, PV Run 5/1/2014 - 4/30/2024 (recent 10 years), with VWELX only (asset % for FPURX and DODBX were cleared to avoid confusion). To start the 2nd PV run, use the VWELX balance and Monthly Withdrawal on 4/31/2014.
    “Initial” Principal Amount $1,264,742, “initial” Monthly Withdrawal $745 (=$2,979/4 rounded; this is the payment for 4 months in 2014 divided by 4).
    https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio?s=y&sl=6Hbd9noxhDMxTtlIuqR4ns
    On 4/30/2024, Final Balance $2,530,484, Monthly payment $978 (=$3,911/4 rounded; payment for 4 months in 2024 divided by 4).
    Step 2 can be repeated for FPURX (Step 3), DODBX (Step 4), VFINX (Step 5).
    This is more complicated and tricky than the old single-step PV runs. One can subscribe to PV to still have that capacity.
    LINK