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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • The Death Of The Fund — And What Comes Next
    Hard to know what to say here. I don't find these arguments especially compelling.
    I mean, yes, we know AI is here and it's going to take over the world. I don't see AI customization creating 150mm separate portfolios for 150mm separate retail investors, but maybe I'm missing the author's point.
    Financial advisors are already using "really, really, really smart" software to make allocations for clients.
    Now, whether or not all fund companies go AI, is another matter...is TROW or Fidelity, for example, going to largely do away with its human analysts in 10 years or so?
  • The Death Of The Fund — And What Comes Next
    FYI: In the next few years, the entire rationale for investing via funds will dissolve. Advances in technology have transformed industry cost structures. Absent the need to pool assets for volume discounts, advisers and relationship managers can skip the one-size-fits-all cookie-cutter vehicles. Instead, financial advisers will use software to truly customize portfolios, resulting in a more engaged and loyal client base.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.google.com/search?source=hp&ei=1mdQXPjrJ5e9jwTp9KfgDA&q=Death+Of+The+Fund+&+What+Comes+Next+&btnK=Google+Search&oq=Death+Of+The+Fund+&+What+Comes+Next+&gs_l=psy-ab.3..33i22i29i30.3480.8036..9172...0.0..1.164.1760.14j5......0....2j1..gws-wiz.....0..33i299j33i160.Ors8USFYOpk
  • Mark Hulbert: Dow Needs To Give Back Some Gains Before Stocks See Another Big Leg Up
    FYI: The Dow Theory is still flashing a “sell” signal. Before this indicator can turn bullish again, the rally that has taken the Dow Jones Industrial Average almost straight up since its Dec. 24 low must end.
    That’s why bullishly predisposed Dow Theorists should be hoping for a market pullback.
    The Dow Theory is the oldest stock-market timing system in widespread use today. It was created by William Peter Hamilton, the editor of the Wall Street Journal in the first decades of the 20th Century. Its popularity is reason alone to pay close attention, since a buy signal presumably would unleash a wave of new buying in the stock market.
    The Dow Theory is also worth following because its long-term track record is enviable. This has been confirmed not only by my Hulbert Financial Digest tracking of Dow Theory newsletters such as TheDowTheory.com (edited by Jack Schannep) and Dow Theory Forecasts (edited by Richard Moroney), but also by academic studies.
    Though individual Dow Theorists disagree on the specifics of how to apply the Dow Theory in any particular situation, there is a broad consensus on what it takes to generate a buy signal:
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-needs-to-give-back-some-gains-before-stocks-see-another-big-leg-up-2019-01-25/print
  • Merrill Edge not very mutual fund friendly
    Yup, they are oddly unsophisticated, and in important ways, I think.
    If ML were not hardwired w/ BoA (where we have checking / savings / mortgage / heloc / 3% credit card sort of), and above all did not have free trading, and did not pay so much for accounts transferred into them (I guess the same as other places, turns out), I would move everything back to Fido.
    Also, fwiw, ML's accounts aggregator, My Financial Picture, is invariably accurate, while Fido's has been sketchy for about a decade, even as they changed from yodlee to other data feeds, and earnestly promise improvement every other month. I have a dozen emails about FullView and My Portfolio update problems. Still laggard and/or wrong, almost every night.
    There is worse, too, in just trying to ascertain whether you can buy a given fund --- it shows availability right up to the moment you make the actual purchase attempt. And the capper for me is their restriction list, already covered in this forum, notably for me CAPE unavailability.
  • STATX - what am I missing?
    "As the name of the counterparties clearly states these are SYNDICATIONS"
    Minor item first, I guess. A SYNDICATE is a group acting together for a purpose; in the financial arena that's often a group of lenders coordinating a sizeable loan, or a group of actors facilitating (underwriting) the new issue of a security. In this context, SYNDICATEs are generally temporary (unlike the LLC here).
    https://financial-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/syndicate
    In contrast, a SYNDICATION is the act of forming a SYNDICATE, or (often in the media context) an act of distributing (selling) something (such as a news column) to multiple buyers (who are not themselves a SYNDICATE).
    https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/syndication
    King Features Syndicate is a SYNDICATION company in the business of putting out content in SYNDICATION. Just as Zeitgeist Films is a distribution company that is in the film distribution business. "Syndication", "distribution", these are attributive nouns; as used, they're not standalone nouns.
    You might have been thinking about SYNDICATE desks, though there's no mention of "desk" in the company names.
    Really, though, if we're going to read stuff into names, what should we make of the management company New York Alaska ETF Management LLC? This company has never managed an ETF.
    Though it tried; it filed in 2015 first to manage the "1-3 Month Liquidity Bonds ETF", which later that year was apparently renamed "1-3 Month Enhanced Short Duration ETF". It was to have traded under the ticker TBIL. Apparently it gave up the ghost at the end of 2016; last filing appears to have been 12/26/16.
    https://sec.report/CIK/0001627597
    In the meantime (mid 2016), it proposed offering essentially a clone in open end form, called "1-3 Month Enhanced Short Duration Fund". It wanted to use the ticker BILLX, but the SEC felt that this sounded like a MMF. Ultimately this evolved into what you know and love as the "Enhanced Ultra Short Duration Mutual Fund", STATX.
    " I called up the fund, asked them questions and they explained it all to me and gave me a lot of info on this Repo and Securities lending industry. ... iShares, which is one of the biggest fund managers in the world, actually does the same thing ... [see] [a link to an article on securities lending]"
    This may be the most disconcerting statement so far. The fund is conflating reverse repurchase agreements with securities lending.
    While they look very similar, they're quite different. I'll try to illustrate with an analogy.
    I own a house. I give you use of the house for a fee. (In real estate terms, I'd be leasing it to you.) You can use the house as you wish (e.g. sublease it), so long as you pay me the rental fee and return it to me as we agree upon.
    I own a house. I need cash, so I turn it over to a third party as collateral (via a deed of trust), you give me cash, and I sign a promissory note that says I'll pay you back with interest. This use of third party trustee and promissory note is the way "mortgages" are effected in many western states.
    Notice that either way, you get the house, I get cash to use. In the first, I'm "lending" you the use of the house and making a profit on the rent. In the second, I'm borrowing money and putting up the house as collateral. You're the one making the money here.
    I own some securities. I give you the use of those securities (lending them to you, perhaps so that you can sell them short, who knows?). You pay me "rent" for the use of the securities. That's what iShares does, that's what most funds do to make money. It's how Vanguard sometimes manages to beat the indexes it's tracking, in spite of its expenses. We're talking relatively small amounts here (i.e. barely enough to cover index funds' costs).
    I own some securities. I need cash. I sell sell them to you (effectively giving you collateral for the money you "lend" me). We make an agreement that I will give you back the cash with interest (i.e. repurchase the securities for a higher price) at an agreed upon time. What we've made is a repurchase agreement.
    Notice that either way, you get the securities, I get the cash to use. In the first, I'm lending you the use of the securities and making a profit on the "rent". In the second, I'm effectively borrowing money and putting up the securities as collateral. You're the one making money here.
    Two very different arrangements despite superficial similarities. The fact that you were told that these are the same I find quite disturbing. I begin to understand how Mona could have been told that the fund accrues dividends daily.
    Here's Vanguard's paper on how it lends securities. A key takeaway is on p. 6 - all the measures that Vanguard takes to minimize risk in these transactions. They include limiting the amount of loans to any one counterparty. I have faith in Barclays as well. What's New York Alaska ETF Managment doing to protect your investment?
  • Investing Prophet Jeremy Grantham Takes Aim At Climate Change
    FYI: Terrifying an audience is one of Jeremy Grantham’s specialties. The legendary investor, co-founder of Grantham Mayo Van Otterloo (GMO), is famous for predicting doom. And he’s famous for being right, with a remarkable record of spotting investment bubbles before they pop, notably the 2000 tech crash and 2008 financial crisis.
    These days, the topic of Grantham’s warnings is not financial markets but the environment.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-01-17/jeremy-grantham-s-1-billion-plan-to-fight-climate-change
  • Warren Buffett: Jack Bogle Did More For The Individual Investor Than Anyone He's Ever Known
    I never met Jack Bogle, but I owe him my current financial security to him and his wisdom. Following his advice was and will continue to be my family's well-being and happiness. Thank you Jack.
  • Would you buy a mutual fund from Amazon?
    Large retailer moving into financial services/products space. Where have I heard this before?
    Oh yes, 1981, when the U.S.'s largest retailer (Amazon is currently only third), already owning an insurance company, acquired a financial services company. Most of its business came from selling mutual funds, MMFs, and CDs. At the time, it was looking forward to making even more money off a new fangled financial product called an eye-are-eh.
    So how'd that work out with Sears, Dean Witter, Allstate, and Discover?
    Of course there are many ways for a company to get into the mutual fund business besides this one and the couple mentioned in Investopedia. It could simply serve as the sales arm of an existing fund or family as Vanguard originally did when Bogle founded the company: provide administrative and distribution services for an existing company. Or it might function like Harbor, branding the funds and overseeing the management, but outsourcing the day-to-day management of all its funds to third party money managers.
  • Would you buy a mutual fund from Amazon?
    Caught the speculation on Bloomberg today. Nothing definite. But usually where there’s smoke there’s fire.
    BY DANIEL LIBERTO Updated Jul 25, 2018
    Excerpt:
    Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) has all the right tools in place to take the asset management industry by storm, according to Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. In a research note, reported on by Bloomberg and Financial News, the investment manager said the Seattle-based company’s strong online presence and vast customer base, including 100 million-plus Amazon Prime subscribers, leaves it “well placed” to sell mutual funds to retail investors .....
    Bernstein predicted that any move by Amazon to start selling funds would prove popular with its customers. The analysts noted that a large portion of the company’s Prime subscribers fit the same profile as mutual fund buyers and added that many of them have already thrown their support behind the idea, via a recent survey by online marketplace LendEDU.

    https://www.investopedia.com/news/amazon-well-placed-disrupt-asset-management-industry-bernstein/
  • The Money Honey: Maria Bartiromo Was a Generational Icon for Financial Television. What Happened?
    FYI: Over at the Fox Business Network, believe it or not, there seems to be considerable schizophrenia when it comes to President Donald Trump.
    There are the Lost Causes, such as Lou Dobbs, Stuart Varney, and Trish Regan, who are so pro-Trump on a daily basis that it’s hard to tell where the White House ends and their television studios on Sixth Avenue begin.
    There are also those, such as Neil Cavuto, Liz Claman, and Charlie Gasparino, who do their best to steer clear of the president of the United States, and just try to report — wait for it — the business news of the day.
    And then there is Maria Bartiromo.
    In an era that seems to prefer affirmation over information, she may be in a class by herself. The Brooklyn-born-and-raised Bartiromo, who once dominated the lane reporting on the vicissitudes of the stock market, has been busy lately transforming herself into a Trump acolyte. People have noticed. “Is this a piece on how she’s totally changed?” asks one FBN devotee. “How she went from being the ‘Money Honey’ focused on business to crazy-slash-drinking-the-Trump-Kool-Aid?”
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b1cq2nzw56k40k/Maria-Bartiromo-Was-a-Generational-Icon-for-Financial-Television-What-Happened
  • dupp pls delete
    Did anyone post this article?!
    This year already appears more promising for investors after the difficult environment experienced in 2018 for most asset classes, as volatility often creates opportunity. That said, increasing concerns in financial markets around slowing global economic growth, international trade and political uncertainty have created a more tenuous backdrop for many sectors in 2019.
  • Investors Are Hiding Out In Cash: Assets In Money Market Funds Surge Past $3 Trillion
    “(Oppenheimer’s) Stoltzfus notes that investors have a poor sense of timing when it comes to stocks. Investors pulled more than 27 percent out of stocks in 2009, a year when the market bottomed out amid the financial crisis and then rallied to end up 23.4 percent. . . “
    But there are stark differences between those two situations. In early ‘09 the market was in the process of bottoming following a brutal 30-40% 18-month decline; whereas in 2018 the market had recently attained all time highs after a 10-year bull market when the exodus occurred. So he’s not being totally honest in the way he’s trying to compare those two rather dissimilar periods.
    On the larger issue: You saw it here first. It became quite apparent beginning in early November that a good many retail investors were fleeing equity funds (or reducing exposure) and moving into cash & short-term money market instruments. And (perhaps predictably) shortly after that it was noted that yields on cash & cash proxies had begun to fall back.
  • Grandeur Peak reopens some of its funds with restrictions
    Just received an email about the soft opening of funds:
    Grandeur Peak
    to Soft Open Several Funds
    January 14, 2019
    RE: Grandeur Peak will Soft Open the Global Opportunities, International Opportunities, Global Reach strategies on January 14, 2019.
    Dear Fellow Shareholders,
    With the recent global market selloff, we are re-opening the Global Opportunities, International Opportunities, and Global Reach Funds to existing shareholders as of today for those interested in taking advantage of the selloff to purchase additional shares. We, of course, have no idea whether the selloff will continue, and if so, for how long, but we think the current prices make this an interesting long-term entry point regardless. As Robert mentioned in his recent annual letter: “growing assets is not a priority for us, but with the recent market selloff and our investment style being somewhat out of favor this past year, it feels like an interesting time to be investing in our style and niche.”
    The soft re-opening is likely to be for a limited time, as we remain committed to keeping assets tightly limited in our small and micro-cap funds, but the time frame will depend on where the market goes from here and the level of additional investments received. Besides re-opening these Funds to existing shareholders, we will also allow new shareholders to purchase these Funds if they buy them directly from Grandeur Peak Funds (www.grandeurpeakglobal.com). Financial advisors and retirement plans with clients in one of these Funds will be able to invest in the Fund for both existing as well as new clients.
    The Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund, which is currently open only to existing shareholders, will now also be open to new shareholders purchasing the Fund directly from Grandeur Peak Funds.
    Outlined below is the revised status of the Grandeur Peak Funds as of today.
    Open to existing fund shareholders and new Direct shareholders:
    Emerging Markets Opportunities (GPEIX/GPEOX)
    Global Opportunities (GPGIX/GPGOX)
    Global Reach (GPRIX/GPROX)
    International Opportunities (GPIIX/GPIOX)
    Remain open to new and existing shareholders (no change in status):
    Global Stalwarts (GGSYX/GGSOX)
    International Stalwarts (GISYX/GISOX)
    Remains Hard Closed (no change in status):
    Global Micro Cap (GPMCX)
    Thank you for being an investor in the Grandeur Peak Funds. If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to reach out to me, Mark Siddoway, or Amy Johnson.
    Best Regards,
    Eric Huefner
    President & COO
    801-384-0003
    The objective of all Grandeur Peak Funds is long-term growth of capital.
    RISKS:
    Mutual fund investing involves risks and loss of principal is possible. Investing in small and micro cap funds will be more volatile and loss of principal could be greater than investing in large cap or more diversified funds.
    Investing in foreign securities entails special risks, such as currency fluctuations and political uncertainties, which are described in more detail in the prospectus. Investments in emerging markets are subject to the same risks as other foreign securities and may be subject to greater risks than investments in foreign countries with more established economies and securities markets.
    An investor should consider investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus, containing this and other information, visit www.grandeurpeakglobal.com or call 1-855-377-PEAK (7325). Please read it carefully before investing.
    Grandeur Peak Funds will deduct a 2.00% redemption proceeds fee on Fund shares held 60 days or less. For more complete information including charges, risks, and expenses, read the prospectus carefully.
    Grandeur Peak Funds are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc (“ADI”). Eric Huefner, Mark Siddoway, and Amy Johnson are registered representatives of ADI.
    Robert’s Chairman Message 2018
    GPG000742 12/31/19
    OR-----
    link to GP website:
    https://www.grandeurpeakglobal.com/documents/grandeurpeakglobal-pr-20190114.pdf
  • Grandeur Peak reopens some of its funds with restrictions
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/915802/000139834419000618/fp0038543_497.htm
    497 1 fp0038543_497.htm
    FINANCIAL INVESTORS TRUST
    SUPPLEMENT DATED JANUARY 14, 2019
    TO THE SUMMARY PROSPECTUSES AND PROSPECTUS FOR
    THE GRANDEUR PEAK EMERGING MARKETS OPPORTUNITIES FUND,
    GRANDEUR PEAK GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES FUND,
    GRANDEUR PEAK INTERNATIONAL OPPORTUNITIES FUND AND
    GRANDEUR PEAK GLOBAL REACH FUND
    (EACH A “FUND,” AND TOGETHER, THE “FUNDS”)
    DATED AUGUST 31, 2018
    Effective immediately, the Grandeur Peak Global Opportunities Fund, Grandeur Peak International Opportunities Fund, and Grandeur Peak Global Reach Fund will re-open to existing shareholders and to new shareholders who purchase directly from Grandeur Peak Funds. Financial advisors and retirement plans with clients in one of these Funds will be able to invest in the Fund for both existing as well as new clients.
    In addition, effective immediately, the Grandeur Peak Emerging Markets Opportunities Fund will re-open to new shareholders who purchase directly from Grandeur Peak Funds. This Fund is already open to existing shareholders.
    INVESTORS SHOULD RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT
    FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
  • Recent MFO Premium Site Webinar Charts & Video
    Thank you all for attending!
    Please find link to charts here.
    Please find link to conference video here.
    And, below is Brad's beautiful big picture view ... he was awesome!
    c
    image
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    As highlighted in this month's commentary, we have two sessions planned, one hour each nominally, on Tuesday 15 January 2019 at 2pm and 5pm eastern ... 11am and 2 pm pacific.
    Like last time, we will employ easy-to-use the Zoom web conferencing tool.
    Brad Ferguson of Halter Ferguson Financial will highlight how he uses the premium site to help 1) find funds that best match his clients needs, and 2) "find the next Robert Gardiner."
    We'll also discuss latest upgrades, including a lightning fast, highly addictive MultiSearch tool.
    If you've not already done so, please register here for first session:
    https://zoom.us/meeting/register/c6501c7fc6e7d51bd746f627e8486654
    Or, here for second session:
    https://zoom.us/meeting/register/ff9379c674d9c5a6d746f627e8486654
    Thank you!
  • Q&A With Dan Ivascyn, Group Chief Investment Officer At Pimco
    FYI: Dan Ivascyn may not be known very well to the public. Yet, the Group Chief Investment Officer of Pimco is one of the most powerful investors in the world. The bond firm from Southern California manages around 1.7 trillion dollars of client money and ranks among the ten largest asset managers in the world. Ivascyn who rarely speaks to the media expects another turbulent year for the financial markets. Because of the fragile state of the global economy and political risks investors may have to cope with even more turmoil than in 2018, says the down-to-earth American in an exclusive interview. That’s why he argues for caution when it comes to equities and corporate credit. According to his view, there are better opportunities in US government bonds and in housing related investments.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.fuw.ch/article/there-will-be-more-rude-awakenings/
  • The Best Stock Funds For Risky Markets
    Pretty pathetic article. Little data, same old saws and no explanation of several funds listed. Barrons is going the way of the WSJ and all the old stalwarts of investigative journalism. It isn’t interesting that all of the sources of reliable insightful financial data and analysis for individual investors are dying? There is more to this than it seems
  • Can More Information Lead To Worse Investment Decisions?
    Hi Guys,
    Does more data always deliver better decisions?
    My answer may seem cowardice, but I believe there is no simple, single reply. It depends. It depends not on the quantity of data, but much more significantly on its quality, it's accuracy, it's relevance to that special decision process, and it also requires that a final decision is actually made. We need to pick carefully and select data that actually has an impact. In investing, those meaningful data for prediction purposes have not been uniformly defined. The debate continues in that arena.
    Actual controlled experiments with vested interest people have been conducted for decades to establish that decision accuracy is a weak function of information quantity, but it surely enhances our confidence levels. What we know and what we thing we know are two very distinct quantities. This is especially true for financial matters where projected outcomes,are so very uncertain. Black swans happen all too frequently. That's one reason why luck is such an important factor that dominates investment outcomes. That's not too comforting an observation, but far too true. Good luck to all of us.
    Best Wishes
  • IRS Will Pay Refunds During Government Shutdown, Official Says
    If you're living paycheck to paycheck on $100k, you are living outside of your means. How can you possibly deny that?
    So the government shutdown and payless paydays signify God’s Wrath inflicted upon those who haven’t practiced sound financial management?
    (Never mind the 800+ credit scores, home ownership or substantial tax-sheltered retirement accounts these folks may have garnered over a lifetime of work. They should have anticipated this monster.)
    You're absolutely right JoJo. You picked out arguably the highest paid profession in the list of 800,000 government employees, comprising 1.88% of those affected ...
    Just hope you’re not being guided into LGA some rainy windy night by one of those unpaid, stressed-out and hungry ATCs ...
  • Vanguard Equity Income
    To The Shadow et al- My financial intention with VEIPX are hold it in a Roth for 10 years/ Ill have contributed 13500 by the end of this year.