Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Markets Await Powell’s Address Tuesday
    @hank et al David Rubenstein is an excellent interviewer, if you've had a chance to watch his shows over the years; and he is well versed in the investment world from many years in that world. He's doing a chit-chat with Tom Keene just now (2:08pm) about the Powell interview.
  • PRISX, some single stocks: regional banks
    Bank of Princeton was to be acquired some years ago by Investors Bank in NJ; however, the deal fell through. Investors was later acquired by Citizen Financial Group early last year.
    Earnings news release from the SEC website:
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1913971/000119312523016226/d441956dex991.htm
  • Seafarer Overseas Value Fund adds co-portfolio manager
    Great to see he's adding some support for the fund. This helps assuage my concerns that they might liquidate it because of its small size. Not that much info that I can find on Brent Clayton. Found this:
    "Brent Clayton has been investing in frontier and emerging markets equities for the past ten years at LR Global, a boutique asset management firm that spun out of the Rockefeller family office. He joined LR Global as an equity analyst in 2007 and became a co-portfolio manager in 2012 in conjunction with the launch of the firm’s Frontier Markets -dedicated equity strategy. He also has helped build, train, and manage a Hanoi-based fundamental research team in support of this fund.
    Brent received a B.A., cum laude, from Dartmouth College with a concentration in Government and a minor in Portuguese. He is also a Chartered Financial Analyst charterholder."
  • PRISX, some single stocks: regional banks
    Why do you think BPRN earnings just spiked? We drove there frequently several years ago when kid was at Princeton. I was always surprised at the construction and new condos etc, all high end, given the NJ tax climate.
    Sorry, no. I meant share price, not earnings. My own school sits right next to the University:
    "...Founded in 1812 under the auspices of Archibald Alexander, the General Assembly of the Presbyterian Church (USA), and the College of New Jersey (now Princeton University), it is the second-oldest seminary in the United States." (I think Harvard Divinity is the oldest?)
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Princeton_Theological_Seminary
    **********
    **********
    Chart:
    https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/bprn/chart
    BPRN is up +14.14% in 3 months!
    YTD: +12.99%!!!!!
    https://thebankofprinceton.com/
    EDITED to add: SMMF, a regional bank in the Eastern Panhandle of WV serving that locale plus the Wash. D.C. exurbs and the Shenandoah Valley in Virginia. A merger is ALREADY accomplished with Provident State Bank (PSBP) which has HQ on the Eastern Shore of MD in Preston. The Summit name will be kept.
  • PRISX, some single stocks: regional banks
    Why do you think BPRN earnings just spiked? We drove there frequently several years ago when kid was at Princeton. I was always surprised at the construction and new condos etc, all high end, given the NJ tax climate.
  • Fidelity Private CRE Fund
    Fidelity has jumped into private commercial real estate (CRE). This FIDELITY CORE REAL ESTATE FUND fund requires investor accreditation, $25K initial minimum, +$5K additional monthly additions, ER 1.0% plus 12.5% of performance over +5%.
    Fund will not be listed or traded on exchanges.
    After 3 years of operations, quarterly redemptions up to 5% of fund assets allowed at the option of Fidelity.
    It is suggested as an addition to traditional 60-40 stock-bond portfolios.
    Note that Blackstone BREIT and Starwood SREIT have been in the news due to reaching their quarterly 5% redemption limits.
    TIAA Real Estate Account VA QREARX is different in that it its Liquidity Guarantee (from TIAA) allows quarterly redemptions of any amount.
    Listed real estate funds behave differently due to their leverage and market factors. Examples include VNQ, XLRE, FRESX, and hybrid FRIFX. Fidelity also has multi-asset FMSDX that combines stocks-bonds-alternatives.
    An interesting time for Fidelity to enter private CRE area.
    May be @TheShadow can find more information on its filing.
    Video https://www.fidelity.com/go/alternative-investments-core-real-estate?ccsource=em_Promo_1057918_1_0
    Video Transcript https://media.fidelity.com/assets/Fidelity.com_VMS/868/695/CoreRealEstateVideoTranscript_1.17.23.pdf
    Limited SEC/Edgar Info https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1953520/000195352023000001/xslFormDX01/primary_doc.xml
  • Default Denialism is real
    ”I liked the "old" Barron's far better. I could leisurely mull over the articles all weekend … Unfortunately, I can't even get the print edition delivered at my house anymore. Now it is mailed so it doesn't arrive until Tuesday some weeks.”
    Not in a position to compare the “old” and “new” Barron’s. Read the paper edition regularily in the 80s before losing interest. Only in the past 3 or 4 years have I again become a regular reader. But I do find Barron’s better at what it does than any other financial publication I’ve sampled in recent years. I’d guess you’re correct if you believe it was “better” 25+ years ago. I find virtually every print magazine or newspaper I read to fall into that category. Recently resubscribed to The New Yorker. While still worth the price of admission, it doesn’t compare in content to 10 years ago.
    As you might be aware, the Amazon Kindle editions of WSJ & Barron’s are essentially the same as the print editions in terms of stories and photos / art work. Look forward to my Barron’s arriving every Saturday morning. However, there may be some omitted charts / data. The Kindle format doesn’t support such very well. Not an issue for me because so much data can still be pulled up for free online.
    * Those reading Barron’s on a Kindle app may find it necessary to re-format it (using various embedded settings) to make it appear correct. I suspect some don’t read it on Kindle due to not being familiar with all the available settings.
  • Default Denialism is real
    ”Not for the timid.”
    Hell no. Nearest thing to gambling available under the guise of “investing” I know of. Getting burnt badly a few times is probably part of the game. To demonstrate what can happen, following are the M* returns over a bad 3 year stretch for a “5-star” rated gold (miners) mutual fund. Since I presently own the fund, I won’t name it.
    2013 -48.83 - 47.83%
    2014 -15.39%
    2015 -23.14%
    All three were down years. A $100 initial investment would have been worth less than $33.50 at the end of that run, Though I haven’t identified the fund, one will find those numbers quite similar to the M* “category” averages for the years mentioned.
  • Apple’s Earnings Miss Target / NASDAQ Futures Decline
    The money Google spends on their employees is mind boggling. My son's best friend works there.
    2 or 3 free high end meals a day, multiple services, allowed to work anywhere in the world
    A few years ago the average bonus was $80,000. Probably not this year.
  • Default Denialism is real
    @hank, Weekend Barron's articles start trickling in at Barron's Online about midweek. Most of them are available Friday when I start my Summaries. I guess based on categories and authors. The current Editor tends to rotate authors and also has multiple articles that may fit a category - in the old days, column authors sort of owned their columns, but not now (just imagine Alan Abelson - Editor himself - rotated in/out from Up and Down Wall Street).
    It used to be that Barron's market impact was felt on Mondays, but now, it can be in the late week (Thursday-Friday). The articles on gold in this issue were available on Friday, but gold still tanked on Friday.
    To your question, the ENTIRE weekend issue is available at Barron's Digital early-AM on SATURDAY - 4am Central is the earliest I have checked, but just months ago, it was after 6am CT only. I also rely on my home delivery that is between 5am-7am CT on Saturday; Barron's can expect a call from me about missed delivery and redelivery request around 7am+ CT Saturday.
    My Summaries are out on Saturdays - Part 1 by early-AM, Part 2 by late-AM. About 2 years worth of Summaries can be found at this link (searchable) but I have decades worth of Summaries (also searchable) in my PC.
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/board/12/market-insights
  • Secure Act 2.0 rewind, Age 72 b-day in 2023 receives a one year RMD deferral
    Thanks @msf / Your math has always been impeccable. And the idea of using tax deferred money (and paying taxes on such) to do a conversion is flawed as your math has shown before. OTOH, I wouldn’t discourage someone from doing so if they felt it met their needs. You acknowledge some other benefits.
    My view on the matter is of course biased - and probably overly-simplistic. Interestingly, I’d just begun drawing SS at the time the markets tanked in ‘08, having subsided on pension alone for a few years prior. So the additional income stream was put to work converting a sizable chunk at distressed market valuations (early ‘09). Everyone should be as lucky.
    ISTM there was a 1-time change in the law at the time allowing 3 years to cover the tax hit from conversions. But I might be mistaken. Research turned up only such an an extension instituted in 2010.
  • Secure Act 2.0 rewind, Age 72 b-day in 2023 receives a one year RMD deferral
    Whether conversions, having the up front tax hit, make sense … that’s a different matter and msf for one has effectively, I think, cast that into doubt. Still, conversions at lower market valuations seem a good idea to me.
    Assuming no change in tax rates, you can come out ahead doing conversions if you can pay the taxes with money from a taxable account. If the tax money comes out of a tax-sheltered account, it's a wash.
    At lower valuations, you come out even further ahead if paying taxes with taxable account money. Curiously, if you're paying taxes with tax sheltered money, it's a wash regardless of whether the market is up or down.
    Briefly, that's because when the value of the investment you're converting is down, so is the value of the portion of the investment you're using to pay the taxes. Still, if you want to convert a given dollar amount, lower valuations let you convert a bigger percentage of your IRA at a single time.
    Also, there are other benefits to Roth conversions beyond saving money. For example, heirs (who may be younger, working, and in higher tax brackets) won't have to deal with taxes on inherited IRAs. Especially now that they have to pull everything within 10 years. Also, when you pull from Roths instead of traditional IRAs you have a lower MAGI for things like IRMAA.
  • Secure Act 2.0 rewind, Age 72 b-day in 2023 receives a one year RMD deferral
    Down to 21.5% left in Traditional IRA (compared to 100% when I retired over 20 years ago). Most now in Roths. Some in TOD. When you pull necessary funds from a Roth w/o the immediate tax-hit it’s kind of reminiscent of a Yogi Berra expression: ”And they give ya real money.”
    The plan has been to pull mainly from the Traditional IRA annually for normal needs, saving the Roth $$ for the occasional larger needs. Whether conversions, having the up front tax hit, make sense … that’s a different matter and @msf for one has effectively, I think, cast that into doubt. Still, conversions at lower market valuations seem a good idea to me.
    Lots of websites will calculate your RMD - including, I believe, some from the govt. Doesn’t hurt to do some cross-checking among sites if the amount / time periods are critical for you.
    Under recent market conditions have been tilting the Roth more in the direction of growth, while fixed-income holdings and a few small equity hedges are concentrated in the traditional account. Were the equity markets to bounce hard, would probably gradually increase income-oriented component of the Roths as a defensive measure.
  • Secure Act 2.0 rewind, Age 72 b-day in 2023 receives a one year RMD deferral
    @Graust To add to YBB's comment; this is from Lord Abbett Investment Company site:
    529 plan to Roth IRA rollover – Effective in 2024, SECURE 2.0 authorizes 529 plan funds to be directly transferred to a Roth IRA tax and penalty free. Importantly, several conditions must be satisfied to be eligible: The Roth IRA receiving the funds needs to be in the name of the 529 plan beneficiary, the 529 plan must have been maintained for a minimum of 15 years, any contributions (plus earnings) to a 529 plan in the last five years are ineligible to be transferred, the annual transfer limit is the Roth IRA contribution for that year (i.e. $6,500 in 2023), and the lifetime rollover is limited to $35,000.
    Perhaps to let the 'dust' settle on this legislation for the full language markup, if needed. No actions may be taken until 2024, so you have enough planning time. Further clarification will be able to be discovered at the IRS site.
  • T. Rowe Price Emerging Europe Fund to close to all investors
    The strategy had $400million+ in assets 10 years ago....now, $33million. It's been a tough time to focus on this part of the world. A tough 10 year run. Economics can't make sense to keep this running.
  • M-Mkt Funds Dropping Fee-Waivers/ER-Caps
    Probably stating the obvious here - but the waivers became necessary several years ago as short term rates sank to near 0 to keep money market fund yields from potentially going negative. I get the print version of Barron’s. Don’t recall seeing the article last weekend. Perhaps it will publish in the Feb. 6 issue?
  • T. Rowe Price Emerging Europe Fund to close to all investors
    Year 2000 inception. Down for the full period by -49.47%. For the previous 1-year, to 02 Feb, it's down -80.38%. Share price at inception was typical: $10.00. Share price tonight = $2.96. Rather dismal. I suppose it's been exactly the wrong geographical area to open a new dedicated fund. Think about Hungarian nonsense with Orban. Think about the putrid leadership in Belarus, Russia. Think about the invasion of Ukraine. Moldova might be a bright spot, but there's corruption there, so I've read. But at least the leadership supports Ukraine. The Russian-led insurgency in Transnistria is like a boil on the ass of Progress, not to mention the injustice of it all. (Integrity of national borders, and all that good stuff. But that means nothing to the Poot-doink.)
    Montenegro: In 2015, the investigative journalists' network OCCRP named Montenegro's long-time President and Prime Minister Milo Đukanović "Person of the Year in Organized Crime." Dreadful.
    The wrong fund at the wrong time. But 23 years ago, things looked different, surely.
    For convenience, here's the ticker: TREMX.
  • This Tale of Humira Made Me Doubt My Healthcare Holdings
    @mark
    Yes should be "less" Thanks. Don't get me started on VA! They do the best they can, given the restrictions imposed by politics.
    @BenWP
    Humira Story gets worse.
    From Barrons
    "ABBV ‘s anti-inflammatory drug Humira, one of the top-selling prescription drugs in history, is facing generic-style competition for the first time this week since its introduction 20 years ago.
    Hopes that competition would bring immediate cost savings was tamped down on Tuesday, however, when Amgen (ticker: AMGN) announced a pricing scheme for its generic-style competitor that raises new questions about how effective so-called biosimilars will be reducing spending on high-price drugs.
    The first, Amgen Amjevita, launches Tuesday. The company said early Tuesday it will sell Amjevita at two different list prices: One at 55% below Humira’s list price, and one at 5% below Humira’s list price. Humira’s list price is $6,922.62 for a four-week supply.
    Both prices buy the same product. It’s up to the middlemen known as pharmacy-benefit managers, or PBMs, which are generally owned by big insurance companies, to decide whether to pay the higher or lower price. The high-price version appears to be intended to allow Amgen to pay higher rebates to the PBMs.
    “This pricing strategy is likely designed to give PBMs and plans the flexibility to choose the version that suits their needs, either a low price/low rebate or high price/high rebate version depending on the plan’s individual strategy,” Cowen analyst Yaron Werber wrote in a note early Tuesday."
    Seems like this really should be illegal.
  • Bed, Bath & Beyond Default
    They had some pretty decent stores in northern Michigan. Used to visit / shop in them occasionally. But, how does one compete with the likes of Amazon? (on small appliances especially.) And with inflation, it’s likely now that more low-income folks are turning to the Dollar stores.
    Good article in the WSJ few days ago. Focused on the two gentlemen co-founders who are retired, 80+, and living in Florida. Apparently the franchise slipped from profit to loss very quickly - within 2 or 3 years. One wonders if “activist” investors may have been involved - just a guess.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    I have filed K-1s on TurboTax for several years. It takes extra time and occasionally some fudging ( PTP income requires two separate K-1s for each company) but it can be done without hiring an accountant.
    OF course the sums involved in my case are not huge ( under $5,000) so if I screwed up the IRS probably doesn't care.
    The biggest problem is some of the companies do not issue K-1s until late, even after April 15th.
    If you want to invest in energy MLPs a lot easier to use one of the ETFs or Mutual funds that do so, although it will charge the management fee