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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Crisis of HTM - Banks, Brokerages, Insurance, Pension Funds
    I might have pointed to Larry Summers as the Democratic poster boy for deregulation.
    Between 1992 and 2001, Summers held various positions in the US Treasury Department, including that of Treasury Secretary from 1999 to 2001. Summers has described the 1990’s as a time when “important steps” were taken to achieve “deregulation in key sectors of the economy” such as financial services. He has also said that during this period government officials and private financial interests collaborated in a spirit of cooperation “to provide the right framework for our financial industry to thrive.” Summers recommended before he left the Treasury Department that removing policies that “artificially constrict the size of markets” should remain a priority for the US government.
    Along with Robert Rubin and Alan Greenspan, Summers brought about elimination of key US financial regulations including the Glass-Steagall Act. He was particularly aggressive in his efforts to block regulations of derivatives, regulations that might have prevented the economic meltdown the US suffered in 2008. According to economist Dean Baker, "The policies he promoted as Treasury Secretary and in his subsequent writings led to the economic disaster that we now face."
    https://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/Larry_Summers
    That's some of what Summers did while he was working in the government. In contrast, Barney Frank had left Congress years before attempts were made to weaken Dodd-Frank. As a private citizen, and as the bill in question was reaching the House for a vote, he wrote an opinion piece titled: "Why I would vote 'no' on Senate bill to amend Dodd-Frank".
    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/01/barney-frank-why-i-would-vote-no-on-senate-bill-to-amend-dodd-frank-commentary.html
    Though while objecting to the bill, he did not excoriate it. One of his objections was that the threshold for subjecting "large" banks to the most stringent level of examination was set too high. He would have preferred $125B, as opposed to $250B.
    Both Dems and Reps voted to loosen regulations. Bags of pus
    The opposition to the legislation, though in the minority, was also bipartisan. One Republican voted no.
    If calling that bipartisan sounds a bit weird, consider that 83% of the Democratic representatives voted against the legislation, while 99.6% of voting Republican representatives supported it.
    https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2018216
  • 30-year Tips Article by William Bernstein
    Although I agree with some of what Bernstein says here, I find it amusing for him to use the term "rational investor" in the same article he uses the term "riskless." Nothing in life is riskless. Investors call T-bill interest the "risk-free rate" because it is backed by the "full faith and credit" of the U.S. government. In the short-time frame that T-bills have to mature, that is a fairly safe bet, although the debt ceiling debate shenanigans currently reveal how even a T-bill is not truly riskless. But 30 years? 30 YEARS. I can barely predict what is going to happen tomorrow in the U.S. or in my own life let alone 30 years from now. To assume that a 30-year TIPS is riskless if you hold it to maturity is a mistake.
    Securities markets are not rational. People are not rational. Spock, or our inner Spock as Bernstein describes it, is a fictional television character I think certain men with a scientific bent aspire to as a role model. Yet the show was interesting enough to expose the flaws in Spock's beliefs--yes, belief, not absolute fact--in reason. And Spock, and the investment models and algorithms "rational" investors use are also designed by flawed humans to measure other flawed humans financial behavior.
    There's a reason physics, chemistry and biology are called the "hard sciences" while economics and psychology are called soft sciences, and even the former despite the scientists in those fields attempts at objective measurability are subject to human biases. I'm not sure finance even qualifies as a soft science as a subset of economics. It's very difficult to determine what is luck and what is skill in this field.
    Yet it is very important from a marketing perspective to present certain professional investors as rational. That is the emotional subtext behind this veneer of rationality in the investment management business--greed for investor assets. The usual line of advertising goes: These extremely educated investors approach finance as a science and have developed a never-fail rational and repeatable scientific system for beating the market. See how well that worked with the Long-Term Capital hedge fund.
    Alternatively, the line of advertising logic goes for indexing "scientists": Our data of the last 100 years indicates in the long-term the market rises. In every ten year period if you just bought and held, you would have had strong positive performance, and beaten the active managers. And because this was true in the last 100 years we are now going to extrapolate into eternity that owning an index of U.S. stocks is a good idea because human history and global history always repeat themselves.
    The irony to me is the most predictable thing in finance may be the fees professional investors charge for us to believe in them. I would add this is where Bernstein, Bogle, and indexers are, for the most part, rationally right. Bogle aways said it wasn't the efficient market hypothesis he subscribed to. It was the costs matter hypothesis.
  • Matt Levine at Bloomberg News
    I know many folks cannot afford a subscription to Bloomberg News ( ? $300 a year) but I have found many of the columnists at least as useful as those in Barron's
    Money Stuff by Matt Levine is extremely good at explaining very complicate financial and legal nuances, plus he pokes fun at himself!
    Programming note: Money Stuff will be off tomorrow and next week, back on April 10. Empirically this is expected to dampen market volatility, though this is not investing advice and past results may not be representative of future performance. But enjoy a nice quiet week in financial markets without me, have fun, try not to break anything.
  • M-Mkt Fund Vulnerabilities - YELLEN, 3/30/23
    "The structural vulnerabilities at the heart of money market and open-end funds aren’t new. In the banking sector, capital and liquidity requirements and federal deposit insurance reduce the likelihood of runs taking place. In case runs occur, access to the discount window helps provide buffers for banks. Yet the financial stability risks posed by money market and open-end funds have not been sufficiently addressed.
    Over the past two years, the SEC has proposed rules to mitigate the vulnerabilities plaguing these funds.13 The SEC’s proposals would reduce the first-mover advantage, reducing run incentives during times of stress. They would also require new liquidity management tools, while mandating more comprehensive and timely information on these funds for the SEC and investors."
    https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1376
  • FDIC to consider bank size in applying “special assessment fee”
    ”The U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) will take the plight of community banks into account when charging financial institutions a "special assessment fee" to cover recent losses incurred over the U.S. banking crisis, the FDIC's head told lawmakers in a hearing on Wednesday. The special assessment fee, which is required by law, will help the FDIC cover losses to its deposit insurance fund from backstopping depositors at Silicon Valley Bank, which collapsed earlier this month.”
    Reuters
  • Five things we learned from the Senate hearing on the Silicon Valley Bank collapse
    It's a variant of TBTF bailouts. If the bank's insolvency doesn't rock the boat, it goes under. But if it is large enough to affect the financial structure .... A variant of the aphorism:
    If you owe the bank $100 that's your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that's the bank's problem.
    https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/j_paul_getty_129274
  • Five things we learned from the Senate hearing on the Silicon Valley Bank collapse
    Undiscussed in the above comments is the aspect that the "bonus" coverage was as much designed to temporarily stabilize the entire small/medium banking sector as to cover the uninsured SVC depositors. If a contagious series of bank runs had ensued it would of had a huge destructive effect on the entire financial structure, including the stock markets, potentially causing grief for everyone- insured and uninsured alike, "good" and "bad" banks, and their customers... alike.
  • Crisis of HTM - Banks, Brokerages, Insurance, Pension Funds
    The concern is that there is a lot of Twitter stuff on how this is going to destroy regional banks and eventually fdic fund. So it is important to throw light on this matter
    And all it takes are a few well-known Twitterers or shark investors (eg, Bill QUACKMan) to start posting their thoughts (correct, well-meaning, or otherwise) and I suspect we'll see more bank runs taking place.[1]
    But given how much CRE is held by pensions directly or indirectly, does anyone see this situation requiring a massive 'bailout' down the road to save things? Or will there be a sudden arbitrary rewriting of various accounting rules to better reflect the present day realities?
    On a semi-related note, it's interesting that practically every statement these days by Powell, Yellen, etc keep saying "the financial system is strong" ... at what point does that start sounding like "thoughts and prayers" or "inflation is transitory" and lose all meaning?
    [1] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall-streets-most-ruthless-investors-100300271.html
  • Crisis of HTM - Banks, Brokerages, Insurance, Pension Funds
    it was clear to the "market" (but not to regulators?) that IF the HTM Treasuries were marked-to-market, the equity (the book values) of the failed banks would have been wiped out.
    What does "clear to the 'market'" mean? Are we talking about the magnitude of the risk of being wiped out by a run? Wouldn't the market incorporate clearly perceived risk into an equity's price?
    If stock price is a metric of risk perception, it looks like the risk wasn't clear to the market until after SVB virtually failed. On March 8, SVB announced to the world that during the day it had run out of AFS securities and needed to raise cash immediately.
    The March 8th closing price of SIVB was $267.83, with volume in its typical range of well under 1M shares traded. The price was up 16% YTD. The next day trading volume exceeded 38M shares and the price dropped 60% while the market was open. It dropped further after the market closed before trading was halted.
    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SIVB/history?p=SIVB
    https://news.yahoo.com/svb-shares-slump-again-clients-105042807.html
    Technically there are only two failed US banks, SVB and Signature. Admittedly, Republic Bank would have failed without extraordinary measures.
    https://www.fdic.gov/bank/historical/bank/bfb2023.html
    Signature Bank was different from SVB, because its involvement in cryptocurrency did make its risk apparent after SVB's collapse. Barron's wrote:
    Signature also had a cryptocurrency business. While Signature didn't have loans backed by cryptocurrencies or hold cryptocurrencies on its balance sheet, it had a payment platform for processing crypto transactions. But deposits associated with the crypto platform had been dropping, prompting some concern from Wall Street.
    Before SVB's failure, there wasn't too much concern. Signature had 10 Buy ratings out of 17 analysts listed on Bloomberg following earnings reported on Jan. 17. The average analyst price target was about $145 a share.
    As the crisis at SVB mounted, Signature stock fell about 50%. The company reported deposit balances of about $89 billion and loan balances of about $72 billion on March 8.
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/signature-bank-shut-down-collapse-a0adf63f
    So far, I haven't found a report that Signature's security portfolio was loaded with Treasuries (not that I've looked that hard). As you noted, all types of long term securities are subject to interest rate risk - not just Treasuries, and not just illiquid securities. It would be interesting to know, strictly as a matter of curiosity, what Signature was holding.
  • TAGG ETF
    Interesting to see an actively managed bond fund by T. Rowe, albeit a quant one, have an 0.08% expense ratio: https://troweprice.com/financial-intermediary/us/en/investments/etfs/qm-us-bond-etf.html The fund is small, though, so I don't know how much volume the shares have to trade. But if it performs well, I doubt it will stay small.
  • Five things we learned from the Senate hearing on the Silicon Valley Bank collapse
    Following are heavily edited excerpts from a current NPR report.
    Days after one of the largest bank failures in U.S. history, the fallout continues. Some of the country's top banking and financial regulators appeared before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday to testify about what led to the downfall of Silicon Valley Bank. Policymakers will be debating whether new laws, rules or attitudes are needed to keep other banks from going under.

    Five takeaways from Tuesday's hearing:
    • Silicon Valley Bank's management messed up
    • Regulators issued warnings, but the problems were not fixed
    • Modern bank runs can happen really fast
    • Other banks will pay for the failure, but maybe not all banks
    • Bank executives could pay

    • Silicon Valley Bank's management messed up-
    Regulators had some tough words about SVB's management at the hearing. Silicon Valley Bank more than tripled in size in the last three years, but its financial controls didn't keep pace.
    The government bonds it was buying with depositors' money tumbled in value as interest rates rose, but the bank seemed unconcerned by that. "The [bank's] risk model was not at all aligned with reality," said Michael Barr, the Federal Reserve's vice chair for supervision. "This is a textbook case of bank mismanagement."
    • Regulators issued warnings, but the problems were not fixed-
    How much blame should be laid at regulators feet? That was a question that cropped up repeatedly during the hearing.
    Barr stressed that federal regulators had repeatedly warned the bank's managers about the risks it was facing, at least as far back as October 2021. The bank was served with formal notices documenting "matters requiring attention" and "matters requiring immediate attention." But the risks remained and the Fed stopped short of ordering changes, which frustrated some of the senators in the Senate Banking Committee from both sides of the aisle.
    The problems developed during a time when the Fed was generally pursuing a light touch in bank regulation. In 2021, for example, the Fed issued a rule — at the urging of bank lobbyists — noting that guidance from bank supervisors does not carry the force of law. That led some senators to call out colleagues who pushed for lighter rules, only to turn around and blame a lack of regulatory muscle for the bank's failure.
    • Modern bank runs can happen really fast-
    In their testimony, regulators also stressed the speed at which the banks collapsed. When big depositors got wind of the problems at Silicon Valley Bank, they raced to pull their money out, withdrawing $42 billion in a single day. The bank scrambled to borrow more money overnight, but it couldn't keep up. By the following morning, depositors had signaled plans to withdraw another $100 billion — more than the bank could get its hands on.
    • Other banks will pay for the failure, but maybe not all banks-
    Also under scrutiny throughout the testimony, was the federal regulators' decision to backstop all deposits at SVB as well as Signature Bank. Silicon Valley bank was taken over by the FDIC on March 10, but fears of a more widespread bank run led regulators to announce days later they would guarantee all the deposits at both SVB and Signature Bank, not just the $250,000 per account that's typically insured.
    By law, that money will come from a special assessment on other banks — and that's left many senators unhappy. The FDIC has some discretion in how those insurance costs are divided up among different categories of banks. A recommended formula will be announced in early May.
    • Bank executives could pay-
    The role of SVB's top executives came under scrutiny as well during the hearing. Lawmakers expressed frustration at reports that executives at Silicon Valley Bank sold stock and received bonuses shortly before the bank's collapse.
    Although the government doesn't have explicit authority to claw back compensation, it does have the power to levy fines, order restitution and prohibit those executives from working at other banks, if wrongdoing is found. Sen. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md, said "Almost every American would agree it's simply wrong for the CEO and top executives to profit from their own mismanagement and then leave FDIC holding the bag,"
  • What was the San Francisco Fed's role in SVB collapse?
    Too bad the financial heavyweights at the Fed level didn't get together for a few beers and talk this over months ago.
    Naw. Powell looks more like a scotch drinker. You’re right of course.
  • What was the San Francisco Fed's role in SVB collapse?
    "one convincing guest this morning who strongly asserted the Fed is done raising rates and the 2% inflation target will be abandoned"
    @hank- well, that really wouldn't surprise me all that much. I'd think that at this point Powell would try to cut a line between destabilization of the banking industry and reducing inflation.
    Too bad the financial heavyweights at the Fed level didn't get together for a few beers and talk this over months ago. I don't imagine that the FDIC folks are too happy right now.
  • What was the San Francisco Fed's role in SVB collapse?
    Following are abridged excerpts from an excellent article by Kathleen Pender, in The San Francisco Chronicle:
    One of the biggest questions to come out of the Silicon Valley Bank debacle is: Where were the regulators?
    SVB’s regulators for safety and soundness were the Federal Reserve, primarily the San Francisco Fed, and the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation, known as DFPI. Although hindsight is 20-20, there were some big red flags waving at SVB.
    Some short sellers, who bet on stocks they think will fall, and other investors saw warning signs. One author who posts under the name CashFlow Hunter on SeekingAlpha.com pretty much nailed it in a Dec. 19 post titled “SVB Financial: Blow Up Risk.”
    The Fed reportedly stepped up its oversight of SVB and issued six warnings last year. But it failed to take decisive action before the state regulator seized the bank and turned it over to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. on March 10. Hoping to prevent contagion, the government agreed to guarantee all deposits in SVB and Signature Bank, which failed on March 12, and provide a lifeline in the form of emergency loans to other banks.
    Fed Chairman Jerome Powell seemed to acknowledge regulatory lapses in a press conference last week, when he said, “Clearly we do need to strengthen supervision and regulation.” Both the Fed and DFPI said they are reviewing their oversight of SVB and will issue reports in early May. Until then, both declined to discuss their supervision of the bank.
    What went wrong at SVB?
    Although SVB mainly served venture-backed tech and biotech startups, it wasn’t done in by its own loan portfolio. Its problem stemmed from an old-fashioned maturity mismatch between assets (such as loans and securities) and liabilities (such as deposits). From December 2019 to December 2021 – when tech was booming and companies were flush with cash from venture capital and initial public offerings – SVB’s deposits tripled, to $189.2 billion.
    Because its customers didn’t need a lot of loans, the bank invested a big chunk of these deposits in long-term bonds backed by government-backed mortgages and Treasury bonds. Although these bonds had almost no default risk, they had gobs of interest-rate risk. SVB purchased most of these bonds when interest rates were near historic lows because they yielded a bit more than short-term securities. When the Fed started ratcheting up interest rates in March 2022 to fight raging inflation, the bonds lost value.
    To meet withdrawals, the bank announced on March 8 that it had sold bonds at a $1.8 billion loss and planned to sell $2 billion in stock. The next day, its shares fell 60%, sparking a lightning-speed run on the bank. SVB was seized the following day.
    What were the red flags?
    A big one: About 96% of its deposits at the end of last year were uninsured – the highest of any bank with more than $50 billion in assets, according to S&P Global. The average for all U.S. banks is a little below half, said Amit Seru, a finance professor at Stanford’s Graduate School of Business. Another was its bulging bond portfolio. In 2021, the bank had taken steps to “hedge” or reduce its interest rate risk, but by the end of 2022, it had virtually no hedging in place, according to the Wall Street Journal. Also, the bank was also without a chief risk officer for eight months last year.
    Why did SVB have so many uninsured deposits?
    It generally required its loan customers to keep all of their banking deposits at SVB. Even if it wasn’t a requirement, most startups keep all of their cash at a single bank because it’s convenient.
    Who regulated SVB?
    It’s complicated. Banks can choose to be chartered by the state or federal government. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency regulates nationally chartered banks. State-chartered banks “have both federal and state oversight,” the DFPI said via email. In California, state-chartered banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System have the Fed as their primary federal regulator. SVB was in this category.
    The FDIC is the primary federal regulator for California-chartered banks that are not Fed members. San Francisco’s First Republic Bank, which is also under pressure, is in this camp. California requires almost all banks to be examined at least once a year. “We fulfill this obligation with the help of our federal regulatory partners through joint examinations,” the DFPI wrote.
    Neither the DFPI nor the Fed would say who did what at SVB. In addition, all banks in California have FDIC insurance and therefore must comply with certain FDIC rules. SVB’s consumer activities were regulated by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. And its publicly traded parent company was regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Fed.
    Which regulator was responsible for preventing the bank’s failure?
    Did the Fed take any steps to prevent a failure? Yes, according to news reports citing unnamed sources, but not enough. As early as 2019, the Fed alerted management to problems with the bank’s risk controls, the Wall Street Journal reported. In early 2022, the San Francisco Fed appointed a more senior team of examiners to SVB, Bloomberg said.
    Last year, examiners issued about six citations known as “matters requiring attention” and “matters requiring immediate attention.” These are “supervisory memos urging but not compelling action,” the Journal reported. Powell seemed to confirm the six citations.
    According to the New York Times, by July 2022, the bank “was in a full supervisory review,” and was “ultimately rated deficient for governance and controls. It was placed under restrictions that prevented it from growing through acquisitions.” By early this year it was in a horizontal review that identified additional weaknesses. But “at that point, the bank’s days were numbered.”
    Why didn’t the Fed pay more attention to how its interest-rate increases would affect bank solvency?
    “Their mindset was inflation, inflation, inflation,” said Stanford finance professor Amit Seru.
    SVB is often called unique, because of its concentrated client base, large unrealized bond losses and enormous level of uninsured deposits. But while it was extreme, it is hardly the only bank at risk of a run. Other banks took in large deposits in 2020-21 and invested them in long-term bonds that seemed safe, at least from default.
    An academic study published shortly after the bank failed looked at more than 4,800 U.S. banks to gauge their exposure to interest-rate and deposit-flight risk, the factors that led to SVB’s collapse. They found that the average bank’s bonds and other long-term assets have lost around 10% percent of their value over the past year and are worth about 9% less than the value shown on their books. About 10% of banks had worse levels of unrealized losses than SVB. But in terms of uninsured deposits as a percent of assets, SVB was in the top 1%.
    The researchers estimated banks’ ability to withstand a run under various withdrawal scenarios. In one, it assumed that half of all uninsured deposits flee. “The bank under this case is considered insolvent if the (market) value of assets – after paying all uninsured depositors – is insufficient to repay all insured deposits,” the authors wrote. In this case, 186 banks holding about $300 billion in insured deposits would be considered insolvent. Most are small and mid-size banks but several are large, with more than $250 billion in assets.
    “There is no doubt a ton of stress in the banking system,” said Stanford’s Seru, one of the co-authors. “But because of what the Fed has done, we are not going to see failures, at least that come out, in the immediate future. The Fed has to figure out how to take many weak banks in the system and either shut them down or have them consolidate into something that is viable.” *
    * Text emphasis added.
  • First Citizens Bank buys Silicon Valley Bank
    Bloomberg
    The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is on its way to profiting off the deal it helped broker for First Citizens BancShares Inc.’s takeover of SVB Financial Group.
    Equity-appreciation rights awarded to the regulator went into the money Monday, as shares began trading with a surge of as much as 49%, to $870.15. The rights, which have a potential value of $500 million, mean the FDIC stands to gain if the stock rises above $582.55, according to a regulatory filing.
  • Credit Default Swaps
    see below of bank perpetual preferred summary via Bloomberg:
    Issuer Spread (bps) Yield
    Citizens Financial 2775 30.47%
    Bank of New York Mellon 1386 17.13%
    Capital One Financial 1066 14.19%
    PNC Financial Services 907 12.70%
    Citigroup 805 12.03%
    State Street 743 12.26%
    U.S. Bancorp 723 10.69%
    JPMorgan Chase 716 11.38%
    Goldman Sachs 642 10.36%
    Bank of America 634 10.24%
    Truist Bank 586 9.97%
    Wells Fargo 563 9.62%
    TD Group US Holdings 534 8.62%
    Morgan Stanley 350 7.72%
  • Credit Default Swaps
    No directly responding to your question ... Quickly scanning Bloomberg, Deutsche Bank 5 yr CDS is around 205. The article below from Bloomberg on Friday also provides some insight:
    By Macarena Muñoz
    (Bloomberg) -- Deutsche Bank AG was at the center of
    another selloff in financial shares heading into the weekend.
    The German bank tumbled 12% on Friday. Credit default-swaps
    on Deutsche Bank’s euro, senior debt surged to the highest since
    they were introduced in 2019. Other banks with high exposure to
    corporate lending also declined, with Commerzbank sliding 9% and
    France’s Societe Generale falling 7%.
    The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the emergency
    rescue of Credit Suisse last weekend has rattled investors and
    raised questions about the broader stability of the financial
    industry at a time of soaring interest rates and high inflation.
    The moves follow losses in US banks yesterday, which
    tumbled even after US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told
    lawmakers that regulators would be prepared for further steps to
    protect deposits if needed.
    “The situation will not be solved by comforting words, but
    will only be mitigated with concrete facts and figures,” said
    Andreas Lipkow, a strategist at Comdirect Bank. “Patience is
    therefore required and the coming quarterly figures from banks
    will be highly scrutinized.”
    Separately, a tier 2 subordinated bond by Deutsche Bank
    surged toward face value on Friday after the lender unexpectedly
    announced its decision to redeem the note early.
    The notes, which mature in 2028, had slumped to as low as
    90 cents in the aftermath of Credit Suisse’s takeover. While
    pricing had recovered in recent days, they were still indicated
    at about 94, suggesting a large probability of Deutsche Bank
    skipping its call option.
    The pressure on European banks is coming after regulators
    and company executives have sought to reassure traders about the
    health of the industry. The government-brokered takeover of
    Credit Suisse by UBS is “no indication” of the state of European
    banks, Deutsche Bank management board member Fabrizio Campelli
    said at a conference yesterday.
    He also said that the German lender’s retail deposits are
    “very diversified” and hence don’t have the kind of
    concentration risk that seems to have persisted at Silicon
    Valley Bank.
    Deutsche Bank Junior Bond Surges as Firm Defies Call Skip
    Fears
    The Stoxx 600 Banks Index was 4.4% lower on Friday, making
    it the worst-performing sector in Europe.
    “The greater danger is the economic outlook and indeed how
    both the economy and the financial system will cope with a
    recession,” said James Athey, investment director at Abrdn.
    “That’s when asset impairment is more likely. But of course the
    former can easily precipitate the latter, so it’s a fragile
    situation.”
    --With assistance from Farah Elbahrawy.
    To contact the reporter on this story:
    Macarena Muñoz in Madrid at [email protected]
    To contact the editors responsible for this story:
    Rodrigo Orihuela at [email protected]
    Charles Penty, Lynn Thomasson
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    Hey @PRESSmUP... Oh I think I remember you mentioning that fund a couple of years ago as having great recovery from the financial crisis... Am I correct in that. It seems to me we are due for a rebound soon in financials as fear has been driving the narrative and just about everything has gotten hit in financials.
  • Don't believe --- Bruce Fund
    yogibearbull is exactly right - and the 'financial' writer made the same mistake consistently. And what was the editor doing? Surely a 'distribution' of "58.7%" should have led someone do to some fact checking.
  • CDs versus government bonds
    Before doing this investment analysis, it’s worth doing a budget analysis of how much you’re spending per month or anticipate spending. Are you alone, married, have any relatives that might need financial assistance or provide financial assistance if you need it? What sort of medical bills do you have? Do you have any insurance policies like long-term care insurance to help with care should you become incapacitated? Are you planning any big trips? It’s worth figuring out what you expect your monthly and annual expenses to be before figuring out how your portfolio should be invested.