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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • One Of BlackRock's Longest-Serving Mutual Fund Managers To Retire
    FYI: One of BlackRock Inc's longest-serving mutual fund managers, who is responsible for tens of billions of dollars in investors' money, is stepping down.
    Dennis Stattman, who has run what is now BlackRock's largest mutual fund for more than 28 years, will retire from his role at the BlackRock Global Allocation Fund in August, according to an internal memo on Tuesday.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.fa-mag.com/news/one-of-blackrock-s-longest-serving-mutual-fund-managers-to-retire-33226.html?print
    M* Snapshot MDLOX:
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/MDLOX/quote.html
    Lipper Snapshot MDLOX:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/mdlox
    MDLOX Is Ranked #13 In The (WA) Fund Category By U.S. News & World Report:
    http://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/world-allocation/blackrock-global-allocation-fund/mdlox
  • Emerging Markets Bonds
    Permit me just an initial reaction, without really looking further. DoubleLine has been around only since, when? ... 2009? They already have a fair-to-middling EM Bond fund, run by Luz Padilla. (DLENX, 5 years +5.09%, 39th percentile.) Compare PREMX +6.01/12th percentile. FNMIX +6.3 and 7th percentile. I think a short-term EM bond fund is not a thing that would interest me. In DLENX, you already have 108% turnover. PREMX = 60%. FNMIX =82%. And with a low-duration EM bond fund (DELNX), what ARE you investing in, then, when the "standard" DoubleLine EM bond fund already carries 108% turnover. How long is anything being held in DELNX? A week? Morningstar shows 60% turnover, but this is within a professed short-duration universe. So, my reaction is negative just based on common sense. Others will surely disagree. ... Yes, PRSNX is NOT a purely dedicated EM bond fund. Latest numbers at Morningstar show 41.64% of holdings are USA. The rest is REALLY spread-out, starting with Serbia, and ending with Japan, among the top 10 countries. India, Mexico, Malaysia and Brazil are surely EM, besides Serbia.
    EM bonds are especially appealing with higher-grade domestic stuff just not paying much. PRSNX pays me only about .03 cents/month, but it's something of a counterweight to my all-in bet with PREMX. They're not designed to be quite the same thing, so they don't DO quite the same thing. ... Compare the disgustingly low rates of return on Savings Bonds. I looked at Canada sav. bonds, too. It's pathetic. Canada now offers TAX-FREE savings accounts. The returns are less than 1%. So a global or foreign or EM bond fund makes sense. Otherwise, you're treading water. No way to invest... Just don't go whole-hog. By the way, David Snowball featured PRSNX as a "Morningstar orphan" recently:
    http://www.mutualfundobserver.com/2017/02/t-rowe-price-global-multi-sector-bond-prsnx/
  • Mutual Fund Assets
    My local library in NC provides a free variation of Morningstar premium with a" Performance" tab. Yearly AUM going back 10 years is listed in the chart that comes up. Works for me. You may have it free via your library also. You might want to check this out.
    I have M* Premium (free via T. Rowe Price) and the AUM data is definitely not available in the Performance tab, or anywhere else for that matter that I can find. I see there is a "customize" option in the chart you mention, but don't see AUM as an option.
  • Mutual Fund Assets
    @fundly, I'm not sure how you see it because I don't see it on the internet pages BUT I did find net assets for the last 10 years on the .pdf report for a fund. The pdf report is also a Premium feature but thanks for your persistence that drove me to keep looking.
  • Mutual Fund Assets
    My local library in NC provides a free variation of Morningstar premium with a" Performance" tab. Yearly AUM going back 10 years is listed in the chart that comes up. Works for me. You may have it free via your library also. You might want to check this out.
  • Ben Carlson: Bulls, Bears & Charlatans
    Hi Guys,
    Charlatan is six-.dollar word. A cheaper and more common equivalent word is liar.
    There are many signals that a liar unconsciously delivers. These have been studied for many years. Several excellent videos have been produced that summarize that research. These videos just might help you to uncover the many liars that we are exposed to just about every day. Here is a Link to a few liar characteristic signal presentations:
    Edit: You can access the presentations by typing "how to spot a lie videos".
    Enjoy and learn to recognize these charlatans.
    Best Wishes
  • Ed Slott: 4 Ways To Reduce RMD Taxes
    Not so fast. While it could be a one time "blip" in 2015, that the US life expectancy for men and women did in fact decline for the first time. If it holds up and the decline continues, the probable reasons are...
    . obesity epidemic
    . opioid epidemic
    . economic decline of the middle class, especially since 2008
    . suicide
    . increases in Alzheimer's disease, respiratory disease, kidney disease and diabetes. Some of which may be attributed to the obesity epidemic.
    Did you know that obesity with respect to women in the US, has shot up over 40%? And in case you think I'm "fat shaming", I too am struggling with my BMI now over 25. Of course, losing an inch and half in height over the last twenty years, doesn't help the number. (Taking calcium supplement with vitamin D3.)
    Anyway, I was only grasping at a financial laugh. Enjoy your RMD!
    Life expectancy in the US declines in 2015
    Obesity rate for women
    Could not agree more. I am biased but I can't think of anything more important than being thin as we get older. Excess weight causes a host of problems too numerous to detail here. And by being thin I also mean no pot belly. I have read that regardless of weight, a pot belly can be a real killer.
    Edit. As pertains to the topic of RMD my biggest financial mistake was no Roth. My annual living expenses increases some 60% this year because of the taxes on my RMD.
  • The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
    That just about covers the waterfront. Wife's 403b is in an Index-Vanguard small-cap fund, VSCIX. My other two small-cap funds have done better. Go figure, eh?
    5 years:
    MSCFX 16.99
    PRDSX 16.38
    VSCIX 15.00
    But I suppose that VSCIX got there with lots less volatility?
    MSCFX holds 52 positions.
    PRDSX = 299 (Quant fund.)
    VSCIX =1,432
  • The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
    Hi Guys,
    Jonathan Clements is very conservative, especially with regard to his investment advice. In a totally lucky happenstance many years ago, I fortunately and randomly sat with him on a train ride from New Jersey to New York. Using his columns as a guide, his thinking has not changed much over the years. Hooray for consistency that allows for some learning.
    Today, he published a list of investment products and strategies that were sorted relative to their risk ( as perceived by Clements) into three general categories. Here is a Link to that list:
    http://www.humbledollar.com/2017/06/goodbadugly/
    Plenty of fodder for argument here, but it might just be helpful to novice MFOers. Have fun!
    Best Regards
  • The Financial Pain Equation
    Very generously...OT, and only because we don't have BS category on MFO.
    People do not live their investment lives over 100 years.
    People also don't notice "pain" unless portfolio goes down 20% because they are "told" not to.
    Then people start wondering - deers caught in headlights - while their 20% loss turns into 50% loss. Then they sell. And of course, not a single "expert" at that point will stick his neck out and say "don't sell". THEN, after the market returns back to the point where the correction started we get "investors are so stupid".
    First, investors need to define their own "success". Don't let someone do it for you.
    Second, a "successful" investor is one that does not lose money, as in permanent loss of capital.
    All 20 year olds can read this post or they can read the other. Just remember, you do what YOU think is right, else either I or some expert is going to laugh at you in 30 years either way. And I hope one does not need a "Buddha" to explain this.
  • Trading a mutual fund in one of our accounts, there are 5.
    I own RPHIX in a non-taxable account and wanted to purchase it in an IRA account. I got this response a couple of years ago from RiverPark when I asked:
    "Unfortunately we can’t make an exception here. Since we implemented the second “soft” close in November we have been flooded with requests from shareholders that own the fund in one account and would like to open up IRAs or joint accounts or 401(k)s and we have been forced to say no just so we didn’t defeat the purpose of the tightening and continue to get flows that were so large that it would make the fund hard to manage…I hope you understand."
    Matt Kelly
    Chief Marketing Officer
    RiverPark Funds
  • Oberweis International Opportunities Fund closing to new investors
    This is good news if their recalibration works, and I'll stand corrected during the next correction if it is. However, there is a hole in the narrative. During the 2000-2002 bear market, Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities (OBSOX) dramatically underperformed its small-cap growth peers and the Russell 2000. It did so also in 2008. Why wasn't the process corrected before during the last dramatic 2000-02 underperformance? Admittedly, Oberweis Micro OBMCX did better during the 2000-2002 period, but so did all micro-caps and it actually lagged significantly a micro-index fund --Bridgeway's BRSIX. In some respects, Oberweis reminds me of Bridgeway. Historically, the funds have done well in bull markets and poorly in bears. They seem to be slightly leveraged--not literally but from a beta perspective--amplifying their upside and down by more aggressive bets in sectors like technology. Now the style re-calibration--at both shops actually post 2008--may have changed that, but it seems the nature of the beast somewhat with small-cap growth funds that they amplify risks. From a purely sector perspective recent years have been particularly good for the tech sector and Oberweis tends to focus on those kinds of names. When the sector turns, the performance may not be so good.
    Regarding tax efficiency, one secret many investors don't realize is that when a fund has a small asset base that is growing rapidly it is inherently tax efficient. If you have $50 million of capital gains it is far more dramatic in a $100 million fund than a $1 billion fund. New money dilutes the tax impact of all those gains even in a high turnover fund. When money flows in the other direction--out of the fund--the opposite can be the case.
  • Oberweis International Opportunities Fund closing to new investors
    "... she was horrid."
    Maybe. The manager did address this question when I talked with him, and it's reflected in the profile. Bottom line: he was surprised and appalled at '08, and began a thorough review and recalibration of some of their stress tests and sell disciplines. Over the past five years, anyway, he's had much lower downside deviation, a better bear market rating and higher returns than his peers.
    For what that's worth,
    David
  • Oberweis International Opportunities Fund closing to new investors
    @LewisBraham... luckily I didn't own the fund then but using 2008 as the basis of your comment misses how they dealt with those losses. As Dr. Snowball reported in his 2013 review of the fund, "Indeed, OBIOX in 2013 isn’t even the OBIOX of 2009. During the 2007-09 market trauma, OBIOX suffered a 69.7% drop, well worse than their peers’ 57.7% decline. The manager was deeply dissatisfied with that performance and took concrete steps to strengthen his risk management disciplines. OBIOX is a distinctive fund and seems to have grown stronger."
    That's not to suggest it can't still perform poorly but if you look at the upside and downside capture ratios over the last 3 and 5 years, they've done pretty well. To your point, the last 12 months haven't been great, but if you can deal with the volatility then the results over time have rewarded you with good risk adjusted returns.
    One of the things that amazes me is the tax efficiency. It's a very high turnover fund, higher than I prefer by a lot, and M*'s tax cost ratio is very low. I haven't figured out exactly how they manage that based on the available information and I don't always trust M*'s numbers to tell me what I think they're telling me, but in absolute terms it's an impressive ratio that seems inconsistent with their turnover.
  • Bill Gross Likes 2 Closed-End Funds, Even As He Says Most Assets Overvalued: DPG & JPC
    @BobC & MFO Members: Bill has recommended several CEF's over the years, none of which, I would invest in.
    Regards,
    Ted
  • Oberweis International Opportunities Fund closing to new investors
    The language here is very strange. It reads like this is a hard close except for retirement accounts but it seems to include retail IRAs. It also includes advisor managed accounts but only for rebalancing. Am I reading that incorrectly? Do they really expect Fido or Schwab, E*TRADE or TD to block taxable accounts and allow IRAs? Maybe they have that capability but I don't think I've ever seen it before. And isn't restricting advisors to rebalancing a wide open door that's almost impossible to police? It means all the advisors and clients who follow rules no matter what will limit themselves while anyone who views rules with more flexibility can do what they want more or less. If the old studies are still accurate that should mean about 10% of advisors wouldn't consider being more flexible.
    I own the fund in a rollover IRA for years and I've been a very happy camper. I just hope they'll let me continue to buy and sell as I desire.
  • Bill Gross Likes 2 Closed-End Funds, Even As He Says Most Assets Overvalued: DPG & JPC
    Hmmm...We should buy these closed end funds who are running discounts which if were wiped out would actually have returned positive returns for the years. Both are negative right now.
    So this is like someone saying P/E ratio is low, but stock keeps sucking wind and we are supposed to buy "value". I really don't see it differently at all.
  • Artisan Global Discovery Fund in registration
    VF is right on. Mark Hockey's record is spotty in recent years. Left the International fund before 2004 when more suitable substitutes became available. Also the above average ER is ridiculous.
  • How to determine a fund's tax efficiency?
    Morningstar's pages have a tab called "tax", which shows you the "tax cost ratio". For example, here's FCNTX 's tax page:
    http://performance.morningstar.com/fund/tax-analysis.action?t=FCNTX
    This calculation is but one way of representing tax efficiency. This one tells you what percentage of your investment went to pay taxes. Here's M*'s brief description:
    http://www.morningstar.com/InvGlossary/tax_cost_ratio.aspx
    Note that most sites (and all prospectuses) use the highest tax rates in computing tax efficiency. If you're in a lower bracket, and especially if you're in a 15% or lower bracket (where qualified divs and long term cap gains get taxed at 0%), you'll want to take the figures with a grain of salt.
    There's also an oddity in how mutual funds handle cap gains. If they have net gains, they distribute them to you, just as if you'd owned the portfolio and bought and sold it yourself. But if they have net losses, they are not allowed to distribute them to you. The losses accrue (accumulate), and next year, or the year after, or ... whenever they have a net gain, they can use those accrued losses to reduce the gains distributed.
    This has the effect of distorting tax cost figures. After the market swoons (e.g. 2008), pretty much everyone has large losses accrued. So for the next few years, all funds look tax efficient as they apply those losses against realized gains.
    IMHO turnover should be low enough that the fund isn't generating short term gains (taxed as ordinary income). But so long as the cap gains are long term, it doesn't matter too much. Sooner or later, even with very low turnover, the fund is going to sell appreciated shares. If it's allowed the stock to appreciate a lot, then it will recognize large gains then. Averaged over time, it comes out the same as taking a little at a time.
    Very low turnover (vs. low turnover) helps on the cost side, since trading costs are a big hidden cost in fund ownership. As you noted, you want low costs, whether explicit (in the ER) or implicit, in the trading commissions paid by the fund.
    I pay attention to tax efficiency but I don't obsess over it.
  • Pinnacle Value - PVFIX
    I'd beg to differ, at least slightly, on a few points. Risk does not matter more in absolute terms. You can eliminate almost all risk and get almost no return and that's not really what matters most. Risk matters when you don't have a long enough time horizon to deal with volatility or you don't have enough discipline, which is true of most human beings, to stick with it when things get ugly.
    The problem I have with funds that hold lots of cash, and this fund even more, is that we know the statistics about how hard it is for a manager to overcome his/her expense ratio over time. It seems to me when a manager holds large amounts of cash the hurdle is even higher unless they're good or lucky with their timing.
    Unfortunately there's no evidence that this guy is good or lucky with his timing and he's charging a 'high' expense ratio for the privilege. He did great during the credit crisis and then he plodded along until the S&P caught up with and surpassed him. He ranks in the 72nd percentile of small value funds over 10 years, the 97th percentile over 5 years and the 88th percentile over the last 3 years. Anyone who's psychologically ill-equipped to deal with volatility should be equally ill-equipped to deal with poor performance for so long.
    I don't think there's anything wrong with wanting a smooth ride if you're willing to pay for it and this fund has been very good at that. IMHO, however, the price here is too high.
    Great post! Thanks. Seems for many 2008 still lives on and has severely impacted their returns.