Last week's title was:
Bonds not getting any love right now
AAA bonds found some "lovers" this past week. For a week compare, if you choose; review the week return at the start of this thread and compare to the below returns.
Well, we investors have the "FED kick" still in place from March, and may invest, with this in mind, where one feels comfortable. At least relative to U.S. investment sectors, hopefully your positions are still seeing profits.
--- From March: The Federal Reserve kick-started the rebound into risk assets by pledging $3 trillion in unprecedented monetary support, going so far as to buy corporate bonds. That led to many investors repeating the mantra: "Don't fight the Fed" as they swooped in to follow the central bank's lead.
Those tiny, tiny yield numbers. Tis is easy enough to read in print or view on the tv screen those yield numbers. However, even in a weeks time; the yield numbers may reflect large percent moves. This past week wouldn't seem like much in the 10 year Treasury yield, being .71% on Aug. 14 (near term high) and at .64% on Aug. 21, so if one glanced on the 14th and again on the 21st and kinda forgot about the numbers; you need to keep in mind that the change is almost a 10% change. If this number were a SP
500 number, it would be the news of the week. Now, this 10% change is not fully reflected into performance changes for AAA bonds; but is reflected into a positive direction for price performance, which is where the money is made.
Overview: AAA, safe haven bonds appeared to be more in line with normal performance and movement when investors become a bit twitchy with other market sectors (being overbought/too expensive ???) Do I know if this will persist ???? .......NOPE. Not unlike you, I can only watch price movements and attempt to discover the mood of the equity(s) markets and how this becomes reflected towards AAA bonds. The below is an OMG for those who ponder and wonder about the world of bonds relative to safe havens and/or market expectations from the big players.
4 days ago - Germany's longest-maturity bonds saw demand rise to an all-time high as investors seeking alternatives to dollar assets bought the nation's highest-yield notes.
Bids for the nation's 30-year notes outstripped supply by 2.9 times, the highest since at least 1997, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Personal note: the yield on this 30 year bund was at -.05% at the time of the auction.
I should have previously included performance for AGG, as a gauge, which is now included in the below list.
The AGG, formerly known as the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond Index, is an index used by bond traders, mutual funds, and ETFs as a benchmark to measure their relative performance. The index is broadly considered to be the best total market bond index, as it is used by more than 90% of investors in the United States.
Currently, I glance at data for , but do not track muni's, mortgage or foreign bonds.
A few data views from bondland, for mostly AAA rated bonds:
AUGUST 21 WEEK / YTD---
AGG = +.4% / +7.1% (widely used bond benchmark)
--- MINT = + .03% / +1.23% (Pimco Enhanced short maturity, AAA-BBB rated)
--- SHY = + .01% / +2.96% (UST 1-3 yr bills)
--- IEI = + .16% /+7.1% (UST 3-7 yr notes/bonds)
--- IEF = +.6% /+11.6% (UST 7-10 yr bonds)
--- TIP = +.6% / +8.7% (UST Tips, 3-10 yrs duration, some 20+ yr duration)
--- LTPZ = +1.9% / + 22% (UST, long duration TIPs bonds
--- TLT = +1.9% /+23.8% (20+ Yr UST Bond
--- EDV = +2.
5% / +31.6% (UST Vanguard extended duration bonds)
--- ZROZ = +2.8 /+33.
5% (UST., AAA, long duration zero coupon bonds)
***Other, for reference, not AAA rated:
--- HYG = +.8 / -.7% (high yield bonds, proxy ETF)
--- LQD = +.8% / +8.
5% (corp. bonds, various quality)
Well, enjoy and be careful.
Regards,
Catch