How Did Moderate-Allocation 60-40 Do? Thanks guys. No intent to diminish a fund I’ve owned since the late 90s. But I seriously doubt whether PRWCX would hold up as well in a bear market today as it did in 2008 (when it fell 27%). It was 2.3 months later (3/
10/‘09) when equities finally stopped falling and turned up. So the drawdown must have reached 30% at one point. The fund’s a lot bigger (less nimble) today and bonds (which Giroux currently despises) wouldn’t provide any offset to falling equities. Also, it’s more concentrated in mega-caps - much different than when first conceived in the 90s.
As I noted, it has a lot to do with time horizon. If as a retired single person or couple you can watch your entire investment portfolio fall 25-30% in a year’s time and not panic and sell out (likely near the bottom), than a
100% allocation to PRWCX probably makes sense. I “bought-down” all through that year, which eventually paid off. But a -2
1% beating in ‘08 was hard enough to stomach.
Not trying to trash the fund. Certainly it would hold up better than most equity funds. Just looking at it through the
theoretical concept of an older retiree putting
100% in it. In fairness to Mike, he did say “PRWCX and maybe a couple others.”
PS -
@MikeM - Maybe TB will start his own fund, or at least lend his name to one. I’ve a feeling it would sell. :)
Small-caps at all? @JonGaltill: I had a somewhat similar experience with BCSIX, a long-time SCG holding that had a miserable year. I reduced exposure but kept a small bit because it is a closed fund. The fund had drifted into MCG territory, although that is not a problem with MSSMX. Brown Capital has concentrated funds that trade infrequently. They do well with SC stocks, but their record with MC stocks is middling. MSSMX seems to be invested in hot stocks that just went belly-up this year. I do look at my tax situation before selling to see if shedding a loser will raise or lower my CG.
We own two MS funds, MGGPX and GLCAX, Kristian Heugh funds. I reduced MGGPX, but increased GLCAX in a tax deferred account just after a huge ST and LTCG distribution in hopes that 202
1 was just one bad year. Our initial purchase was really badly timed, not the first time that’s happened. I’m not sure if my approach, admittedly scattershot, can give you any insight. BTW, that’s a handsome chart from Fidelity.
How Did Moderate-Allocation 60-40 Do? Giroux (46) has been with PRWCX since mid-2006 (he was only 31 then). So, he has been through the Great Financial Crisis (2007-09), the Covid selloff (2020) and other minor selloffs in between. He may have 2-3 decades ahead of him unless he gets bored. But his new roles at Price should keep things interesting for him. PRWCX is closed to new investors, but those who hold it don't have to worry about manager change any time soon.