Old_Skeet's Market Barometer ... Spring & Summer Reporting ... and, My Positioning Hi guys,
The barometer as of market close Thursday maintains its reading of 180 indicating that the S&P 500 Index is extremely oversold. I am also detecting that a bottom is forming as three of the data feeds and influences that the barometer use are green lighting. Naturally, this is a process and there is still a good bit of market votatility that most likely will follow. But, things look to be improving for equities.
Old_Skeet has been reducing cash and raising my allocation to equities. With this, I have temporairly moved to a 15% cash, 40% income and 45% equity allocation to play the anticipated equity rebound. Currently, I favor equity income over fixed income as equity income has been beaten up pretty badly, thus far, while fixed income is now starting to feel the effects of the storm. My fixed income sleeve is down, for the rolling week, by -7.8% while my domestic equity income sleeve is down -3.1% and my global equity income sleeve is down -5.5%. Thus, I'm thinking equity is the better move at the moment as it is showing some rebound life.
With this, I continue to shop the equity income isles for bargins as the short volume for the Index has been in decline for the past three days. In addition, I am also nibbling in the growth area of my portfolio.
Take care ... and, I wish all ... "Good Investing."
Old_Skeet
Another buying opportunity 
From the "We Have Your Backs" Department From the DailyBeast: Sen. Kelly Loeffler Dumped Millions in Stock After Coronavirus Briefing. (Sens. Burr and Inhofe also. Loeffler is married to Jeffrey Sprecher, the chairman of the New York Stock Exchange, and the chairman and CEO of Intercontinental Exchange, which is NYSE's parent company.)
From The Week: Senate Intelligence Chair unloaded stocks after reassuring public about coronavirus preparedness.
Daily Beast article hereThe Week Article Here
IOFIX - I guess it works until it doesn't Looking at MFO almost every day, I've been feeling really stupid ever since going to 95% cash about a year ago. I felt that at 80, with a very decent pension & SS income, we didn't need the market exposure. I'm not feeling so stupid now, at least about finances.
For you younger folks, hang in there- everything will be just fine in five or ten years, just like after 2008.
IOFIX - I guess it works until it doesn't Note: I was writing this when Charles posted his comment and didn't read his comment until mine was posted.
Ouch! It looks like IOFIX may have just moved ahead of PONAX to claim the lead in the race for worst YTD performance in my Bond Pot. Remembering back to 2008, I owned a Pimco floating rate bond fund that tanked by maybe 25% in the later part of that year (it too was thought to be a steady Eddy). But, if my memory serves me correctly, it recouped most all of that loss by mid 2009. My Bond Pot holdings are primarily for income. So I will do nothing unless I become convinced that the party is truly over for IOFIX. Does anyone own a good crystal ball or have some useful knowledge about that topic....other than what Charles just noted above? (My gut tells me the pricing of holdings has probably tanked in this cash is king market environment.....but those lower prices are just paper losses on thinly traded bonds.)
IOFIX - I guess it works until it doesn't Until today, it had actually been tracking to core bond funds, like DODIX, down about 9% from peak. And, it continued to do a bit better than PIMIX, down 13% ... it dropped 2.5% today as did ZEOIX (double ouch). I saw a dislocation in REITs earlier in day, so had a feeling it might be bad for IOFIX. Biggest concern is liquidity with all things right now. Fear-driven markets don't behave normally. When everybody runs for cash, watch out. It certainly not interest rate or duration risk, which in my mind leaves credit and liquidity. The former since people's ability to pay mortgages depends on them being employed. I've reached out to the firm to try and get insight on liquidity. No response yet. Junkster would have sold after the fund dropped 1%, I'm sure. But he was very disciplined that way! Other than cash, all seems very shaky right now.