With stock valuations high and bond yields low ... Where is the best place to put new money? HI
@johnN, I've pretty much packed the trunk in high yield at about 20% of the portfolio. A good number of my asset allocation and hybird income give me good exposure to this asset class so it no longer is a go for me to add more as a stand alone.
Hi
@Puddnhead, Yep I agree about playing the dip if it will progress into a pull back which is a decline in the five to ten percent range. I'll want to see a reading on my barometer in the
160 range before opening a spiff.
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@expatsp, I usually let my barometer be my guide as when to load equities. I have found in the past a good entry point is when the barometer has a reading of
160, or better. The higher the reading the more the investment value the S&P 500 Index has over a lower reading. That's my plan
160 or greater.
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@sma3. Yep, I agree on the quandary. Sometimes it is hard to just sit but sometimes if you are fully invested within your asset allocation as I am that is perhaps the best thing to do. Right now, I've got ants in my pants, looking for an opportunity and not finding one.
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@Derf, One of the things that worked well for me in the last market swoon was to enter in step fasion with each buy step being greater than the previous based upon the theory that the deeper the pull back went the less risk there was in buying. I'm thinking from memory I had a total of about eight buy steps as I bought on the way down and then on the rebound until I reached my average buy in point. However, with any plan build some flexability into it.
Hi
@carew388. Merger arbitrage funds like MERFX or HMEAX is something that I have not invested in before. It is something I'll have to study up on. Can you tell me and the others that have made comment what you favor about them and how this has worked out for you. Is it a possition that can be held long term? Or, is it more of an in and out play? I'd be very interested in hearing your comments.
Again guys ... thanks for making comment.
Old_Skeet
With stock valuations high and bond yields low ... Where is the best place to put new money? I am also in a quandary. I don't see Covid disappearing and I think it will cause at the best a "W" recovery. While these extremely low interest rates do sorta justify the sky high PEs we are seeing, I am always leary putting more money into equities when valuations are stretched like this. We ( SP500) are at tops not seen since the dot.com bust ( But back then the 10 year treasury was yielding what 5%?)
The additional disaster is the basement low bond yields. The country might keep chugging along without inflation, but to believe this I think you have to assume there will be no economic recovery.
At some point, either covoid will be controlled, the market will blast off and inflation with it, and bonds crater, or covid will continue the economy sputter, bankruptcies take off and the market crash.
Thus you can either assume the worse and get a capital gain out of your Treasuries, or party on and hope American Ingenuity will beat Covid, convincingly.
I am light on equities but don't see bonds as providing the ballast they used to and am stuck in cash.
i have bought small amounts of blue chip dividend stocks, esp Health care, consumer staples etc staying away from REITS and Utilities, hoping to add more when the market tanks
If I felt comfortable with options I could follow some of the strategies to profit in both scenarios without risking the nest egg.
With stock valuations high and bond yields low ... Where is the best place to put new money? Hi Skeeter,
1. The next dip will be fast. I think it will work, but be quick because the dip-watchers will be buying. Have a plan now.
2. Will work if, as you say, things go as planned.
3. Real estate is a no go for me. Also think bankruptcies and defaults ..... it's too early yet.
4. How bad do you want to invest? Please be an American. More is always better. Planes, tanks, ships, missiles......haven't you learned that yet? lol......
5. CFIAX - is not something I would add to value and low quality bonds. Why is the market going to change soon to make this good? Also, has no cash in my opinion. INPAX would be a better choice, just me saying. Better quality.....it's what you want with what's coming. You, the one with so many funds.....why buy now? You're being a Robin Hood-er, bro'.
XXXXXXXXX ......uh, that was the Dukester. I can't get a cold one without his causing a problem. What did he say?
You're dealing with an ocean of money. Wherever you go, it's been bought already. So his advice is to get some good whiskey .... the sipping stuff..... and relax for awhile. It's not time yet for this. The Brown One ......if he weren't a dog, the things he might do.
God bless
the Pudd