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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Wintergreen Fund, Inc. to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326544/000089418919002203/wintergreen_497e.htm
    497 1 wintergreen_497e.htm SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIALS
    WINTERGREEN FUND, INC.
    (the “Fund”)
    April 17, 2019
    Supplement to Prospectus and Summary Prospectus each dated April 30, 2018, as amended.
    At a meeting held on April 15, 2019, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Wintergreen Fund, Inc. (the “Fund”) approved the liquidation and dissolution of the Fund. Effective immediately at market close on April 17, 2019, the Fund has suspended most sales of its shares pending the completion of the liquidation and the payment of liquidating distributions to its shareholders. The Fund expects to make the liquidating distributions and cease operations on or shortly after June 3, 2019 (the “Liquidation Date”).
    In limited circumstances, such as sales to certain retirement plans and sales made through retail omnibus platforms, the Fund will continue to offer its shares for a limited time, but no offer or sale of Fund shares will be made after April 30, 2019.
    Shareholders should be aware that the Fund will convert its assets to cash and/or cash equivalents before the liquidating distributions are made to shareholders. After the Fund converts its assets to cash, the Fund will no longer pursue its stated investment objective or engage in any business activities except for the purposes of winding up its business and affairs, preserving the value of its assets, paying its liabilities, and distributing its remaining assets to shareholders.
    In connection with the liquidation, the Board approved the immediate suspension of the Fund’s distribution and/or service (Rule 12b-1) fees. The Board also approved a waiver of the redemption fee of 2.00% imposed on shares redeemed within 60 days of purchase for redemptions of Fund shares that occur after the date of this supplement.
    If a shareholder has not redeemed his or her shares prior to May 30, 2019, then the shareholder’s account will be automatically redeemed and proceeds will be sent to the shareholder’s address of record.
    The liquidation of the Fund, like any redemption of Fund shares, will constitute an event upon which a gain or loss may be recognized for state and federal income tax purposes, depending on the type of account and the adjusted cost basis of the investor’s shares. The tax year for the Fund will end on the Liquidation Date.
    The Fund expects to make one or more distributions of income and/or net capital gains prior to the Liquidation Date in order to eliminate Fund-level taxes. The Fund must declare and distribute to shareholders realized capital gains, if any, and all net investment income no later than the final liquidation distribution. The Fund currently expects to pay a capital gains distribution prior to the liquidation of the Fund. As with any other distribution, such pre-liquidation distribution by the Fund will be taxable unless you hold shares in a tax-advantaged account, such as an IRA or a retirement plan.
    Please contact your tax advisor to discuss the tax consequences to you of the liquidation.
    Important Action Required for Direct Shareholders with IRA Accounts
    As an IRA account shareholder holding an account directly with the Fund, you should contact a shareholder service representative at 1-888-468-6473 to arrange a transfer of your Fund assets to another IRA custodian.
    Please respond by May 30, 2019. If we do not receive a response by May 30, 2019, your investment in the Fund will be liquidated as an age-based distribution with 10% federal withholding on the Liquidation Date. Please also note that state withholding may also apply. Checks will be mailed to your address of record. You may have a limited time, typically 60 days, to reinvest proceeds to avoid tax consequences.
    * * * * * *
    YOU SHOULD RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT WITH YOUR PROSPECTUS AND
    SUMMARY PROSPECTUS FOR FUTURE REFERENCE.
  • Investors Jump Back Into U.S. Stock Market After Two-Week Retreat
    FYI: Investors sent a net $6.2billion into mutual funds and exchange-traded funds that hold billion into mutual funds and exchange-traded funds that hold U.S. stocks last week, ending a two-week retreat from the domestic stock market, according to data released Wednesday by the Investment Company Institute.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-mutualfunds-ici/table-investors-jump-back-into-u-s-stock-market-after-two-week-retreat-idUSL1N21Z0XC
  • Hussman Strategic Value Fund to liquidate
    Does anyone have John Hussman’s own remarks to his investors for what went wrong here? Since it appears other Hussman funds are remaining open or being opened, it would be out of character of him not to comment on this closure. Not that anybody cares. But it would be interesting to some of us, anyway, to hear what he sees as the primary reason for the fund’s failure.
    You could argue that there’s more - or at least an equal amount - to be learned from failure than from success. I think Musk had 3 Falcon 1 rockets blow up before one actually made it to space. There was a “cute” cliche widely touted in education seminars 30 years ago: “Monitor and adjust.” - :) Of course, that gem can be applied to most disciplines.
    PS - While I found one poster’s video amusing, most will agree Hussman had more education and intellect than the fictionalized 60s television persona the poster linked above. It doesn’t take a lot of brains to lose money, but having the afore-mentioned education / intellect is no guarantee that you won’t either.
  • Michael Batnick & Ben Carlson: Animal Spirits: Money Made By Chance: Podcast
    FYI: Stories Discussed:
    .High yielding stocks
    .Money made by chance
    .Ray Dalio thinks capitalism is broken
    .Sometimes your friends beat you
    .College grads selling a piece of themselves
    .How do financial advisors spend their time?
    .Retail pain
    .Amazon’s letter to shareholders
    .Is voice the future?
    .Disney plus
    .Pensions have a problem, and it’s not their investments
    .House flipping is back
    .Where active management really works
    .Investing in the real world
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2019/04/17/animal-spirits-money-made-by-chance/
  • Hussman Strategic Value Fund to liquidate
    Gosh. That one good year (2018) went to his head. The guy can’t stand success. :)
  • Hussman Strategic Value Fund to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1110502/000139834419006651/fp0041132_497.htm
    497 1 fp0041132_497.htm
    April 16, 2019
    HUSSMAN INVESTMENT TRUST
    HUSSMAN STRATEGIC VALUE FUND
    Supplement to the Prospectus dated November 1, 2018
    Effective immediately, Hussman Strategic Value Fund (the “Fund”), a series of Hussman Investment Trust (the “Trust”), is terminating the public offering of its shares. Shares of the Fund are therefore no longer available for purchase by investors. As discussed below, all outstanding shares of the Fund will be redeemed at their net asset value per share determined as of the close of business on May 29, 2019 (the “Redemption Date”).
    The redemption of all outstanding shares of the Fund was approved by the Board of Trustees of the Trust (the “Board”) based on the Board’s determination, in consultation with the Fund’s investment adviser, Hussman Strategic Advisors, Inc. (the “Adviser”) that, given the Fund’s very small asset size relative to its fixed expenses, and the Fund’s limited expectation of growing its assets from sales of additional shares to investors, failure to redeem all shares could have materially adverse consequences to the Fund and its shareholders. Through the Redemption Date, the Adviser will continue to reduce its fees and to reimburse expenses of the Fund as necessary to limit the ordinary operating expenses of the Fund to 1.25% annually of the Fund’s average daily net assets (as described in the Prospectus).
    All shares of the Fund will be redeemed on the Redemption Date, and the proceeds of the redemption of shares held in each shareholder’s account will be sent to the shareholder’s address of record or to such other address as may be directed by the shareholder, including special instructions that may be needed for Individual Retirement Accounts (“IRAs”) and other tax deferred retirement accounts (as discussed below). Between the date of this Supplement and the Redemption Date, the portfolio securities of the Fund will be sold in an orderly manner as necessary to satisfy redemption requests and to effect redemptions of shares on the Redemption Date. This liquidation of the Fund’s portfolio holdings will reduce, and eventually eliminate, the Fund’s normal exposure to equity investments. Accordingly, during the liquidation process through the Redemption Date, the Fund will not be pursuing its stated investment objective.
    Shareholders continue to have the right to redeem their Fund shares or to exchange those shares for shares of any of the other Hussman funds on each business day prior to the Redemption Date. Redemptions (including the redemption of shares in connection with an exchange) will be processed at the net asset value per share of the Fund next computed after receipt of the redemption or exchange request. Shareholders wishing to exchange their shares of the Fund for shares of another Hussman fund should obtain and read carefully the prospectus of the Hussman fund into which you wish to exchange shares before submitting an exchange request.*
    The redemption of shares of the Fund, and the exchange of shares of the Fund for shares of another of the Hussman funds, as described in this Prospectus Supplement, will each for tax purposes be considered a sale of your Fund shares. Shareholders should consult with their own tax advisors to ensure proper treatment of the redemption or exchange on their income tax returns. In addition, shareholders invested in the Fund through an IRA or other tax-deferred retirement account should consult the rules regarding reinvestment of their redemption proceeds. In order to avoid the taxation of redemption proceeds in the current tax year, such a shareholder may choose to authorize, prior to the Redemption Date, a direct transfer of their retirement account assets invested in the Fund to another IRA or tax-deferred retirement account. Generally, a shareholder will have 60 days from the Redemption Date to invest their redemption proceeds in another IRA or tax-deferred retirement account to avoid treatment of the redemption proceeds as taxable income for the current tax year.
    If you have any questions regarding your investment, or the redemption or exchange of Fund shares as described in this Prospectus Supplement, please call 1-800-487-7626.
    Investors Should Retain this Supplement for Future Reference
    * Before deciding whether to exchange your shares of the Fund for shares of another one of the Hussman funds, you should consider carefully the investment objective, risks, and charges and expenses of the other fund. The prospectuses for the Hussman funds are available at www.hussmanfunds.com or can be obtained by calling 1-800-487-7626. Please read the applicable prospectus carefully before investing. Purchases of shares of a fund acquired by means of an exchange will be effected at the net asset value of that fund next determined after receipt of your exchange request.
  • Morgan Stanley's GIC Weekly: April 15th 2019
    Interesting read that counsels lightening up on equities before a predicted earnings recession sets in. Is this in contrast to Black Rock Chief Executive Larry Fink's pondering about a possible coming stock market melt up (see short article linked below)? Or, perhaps this is just the sequence of events that gets to unfold over the next few months as animal spirits shine for a while longer before being crushed.
    From this Morgan Stanley GIC Weekly:
    It is appropriate that risk premiums have readjusted for the change in Fed policy, but valuation multiples are now at the high end of their range....We believe the headwinds from a weakening Europe, a strong US dollar, rising labor costs, higher oil and industrial metals prices, increased capital costs and above-average inventories will cause an earnings recession and further disappointment....Consider taking profits in the tech sector, where valuations are rich and negative operating leverage on profits may be most severe
    From the short article linked below:
    “Despite where the markets are in equities, we have not seen money being put to work,” Fink said. “We have record amounts of money in cash.”...Fink said the dovishness of central bankers creates a shortage of “good assets,” which could serve as a trigger for a global melt-up in equity prices.
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/blackrocks-fink-says-stock-market-at-risk-of-a-melt-up-not-a-meltdown-2019-04-16
  • Beware The Bold Claims Of Tax-Loss Harvesting
    "Wealthfront, for example, harvests losses by switching between the Vanguard ETF and the Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF."
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-sec-fintech/sec-sanctions-robo-advisers-wealthfront-hedgeable-idUSKCN1OK22E
    Wealthfront, for example, was fined $250,000 by the SEC for allegedly making "false statements about a tax-loss harvesting strategy it offered to clients."
    The company had told clients using the service that it would monitor all clients’ accounts for transactions that might trigger a sale of securities that would diminish the benefits of the tax-loss strategy but it failed to do so, the SEC alleged.
    For a period of over three years these sales occurred in at least 31 percent of accounts enrolled in the company’s tax-loss harvesting strategy, the SEC alleged.
    [The SEC also claimed that Wealthfront paid bloggers for client referrals w/o disclosure, and that it posted performance figures that included less than 4% of their clients' accounts - the better performing ones, of course.]
    Definitely beware the bold claims when they're paid testimonials and rigged numbers.
  • M*: 5 Nominees For Outstanding Portfolio Manager
    FYI: Today, Morningstar revealed the nominees for the Morningstar Awards for Investing Excellence--Outstanding Portfolio Manager. Morningstar analysts nominated five candidates for the award across equity, fixed-income, and multi-asset categories. The winner will be announced during the Morningstar Investment Conference in May 2019.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.morningstar.com/articles/923257/5-nominees-for-outstanding-portfolio-manager.html
  • M*: What You Can Learn From Your 2018 Tax Return
    FYI: I know several CPAs who are closing in on retirement and they’re all saying the same thing: Thanks to the new tax laws that went into effect last year, the just-ended tax season was a doozy. Although many fewer taxpayers are expected to itemize their deductions under the new tax regime, tax preparers still had to run the numbers to compare deductions eligible for itemization with the new, higher standard deduction.
    There’s also the form itself: While the 1040 form itself has fewer lines, many of the line items on the old 1040 have been scattered across six new schedules. Having spent some time with the new form, I'm unconvinced this is an improvement.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.morningstar.com/articles/923273/what-you-can-learn-from-your-2018-tax-return.html
  • Beware The Bold Claims Of Tax-Loss Harvesting
    FYI: The exchange-traded fund industry has claimed credit for democratizing strategies once available only to the rich, such as trading oil futures or using leverage to amplify returns. The latest target: your tax bill.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/beware-the-bold-claims-of-tax-loss-harvesting-11555153200?mod=md_mf_news
  • Would a political Fed rescue the world?
    Michael Lewis's "The Fifth Risk" is a compilation of previous articles and some new material on the consequences of Trump's appointees to key government departments, as Lewis B alluded to. Truly frightening.
    As to Herman Cain's candidacy for the Fed, I recall a friend talking about how amusing Cain was as a presidential candidate in 2012. At the time I don't think any of us realized that the idiocies of that Republican primary campaign were but a prelude to the unreal 2016 primaries which brought us today's lunacy. It's no longer a laughing matter.
  • Would a political Fed rescue the world?
    The fact is you don't want stupid people in charge of any government agency but for obvious reasons this Fed appointment is getting the most attention. I am far more concerned about idiot Trump appointees in charge of for instance the Department of Energy which is responsible for our nuclear arsenal or the Department of Agriculture responsible for food stamp and food safety or the Department of Education: https://vanityfair.com/news/2017/07/department-of-energy-risks-michael-lewis
    That said, if the U.S. were to lose its world reserve currency status I think it would be game over for us as a superpower and our markets would crash, especially the ones we often view as the safest--Treasuries.
    Trump’s decision to consider close political allies for the central bank comes at a sensitive moment for the world economy and the IMF.
    When isn't it a sensitive moment? The problem is having nationalists in charge of the world's most powerful country when we're now living--and have for at least 100 years-- in a global economy in which everything is intricately linked.
  • Would a political Fed rescue the world?
    "The question is suddenly relevant for global economic officials and central bankers after moves by President Donald Trump to put two strong partisans on the Federal Reserve board."
    By Howard Schneider at Reuters.
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-fed-global/would-a-political-fed-rescue-the-world-idUSKCN1RQ0AB
  • Fidelity's FSMEX, medical tech. fund, CLOSED
    @jerry et al I don't disagree about a time frame chosen by Fidelity. They know better than any of us about the internals.
    A couple of notes for the curious.
    FSMEX and fund assets for the past few years.
    2016 remained mostly around for the year for each month. I suspect, although did not check; this flatness to be the same for 2015, as that year was pretty much sideways for health funds in general.
    ---2016, avg. monthly assets =$2 billion
    ---2017, Aug. = $4 billion
    ---2018, Oct. = $6.3 billion
    ---2019, Mar./early April = $7 billion
    Not a fair and fully just comparison, but FSPHX (broad-based health), which has been in place since 1981 and is very well known and respected, currently has $7.2 billion of managed assets.
    Lastly, we did a test trade and for those having a position in FSMEX, all is well for purchase at this time. I suspect the same holds true for as long as access is allowed where this fund exists within 401k's, 403's, etc. Obviously, a lot of money may still flow to this fund.
    ADD: Fidelity closed the FDGRX fund to new money in 2006. However, notice was provided as to a time frame. I don't recall exactly, but suggest the cut off was within a 3 month period. But, the fund remains open to adding money from existing fund holders, including where available in 401k/403b type retirement accounts.
    Good evening,
    Catch
  • Barry Ritholtz: Estate Tax Gets A Lot More Attention Than It Deserves
    ”Maybe it is who we are as a culture or, maybe, a species. Do we really worry more about the wealthy and their businesses and farms (or the profit derived from them) than about food for the young? At the minimum, don't you find it interesting that taxing large estates bring more panic to the average American than cutting food stamps?”
    Maybe that elite minority is better able to articulate and propagate their case to the masses? It’s not uncommon for Great Lakes coastal resort communities to invest millions of state / local tax dollars on amenities like public marinas for the “high-flyers” who visit the area 2-3 months of the year, while ignoring basic infrastructure and services for the less affluent locals residing only blocks away from all that extravagance. The contrast in many communities is stunning.
    Worse, the “locals” who pay these taxes don’t seem to notice or mind. However, they’ll often begrudge a food stamp recipient or government employee or union worker earning a modest wage and living just a bit better than they can afford. Go figure.
    “The rich are different from you and me ... .” (F Scott Fitzgerald)
    “I should have called it Something you somehow haven’t to deserve.” (Robert Frost)
    Superyacht: https://www.superyachtfan.com/yacht_seaquest.html
    image
  • Old Skeet''s Market Barometer Report & Thinking for April 2019 ... April 26th Update
    Hello, old_skeet. I'm confused.
    "Old_Skeet's market barometer closed with an extremely overbought reading of 128 which is down from last week's overbought reading of 135. Generally, a higher barometer reading indicates that there is more investment value in the Index over a lower reading.
    ..."I'm not presently putting new money to work in either my stock or bond funds while I await a higher barometer reading indicating a better investing climate for stocks; and, I'm also awaiting better yields from bonds. Currently, by the metrics of the barometer, stocks are extremely overbought..."
    My conundrum is: 128 is a LOWER number than 135. Come again, please?
  • Barry Ritholtz: Estate Tax Gets A Lot More Attention Than It Deserves
    Here is the real shocker: there are 6 million small businesses and 2 million family-owned farms in America. In the last year of the old law in 2017, only 80 small businesses and farms nationwide faced any estate tax.
    Nothing makes more sense than the estate tax if you believe in American individualism and democracy, that people should make their own way in their the world and earn their keep instead of being coddled by the government or family wealth. It’s not a “tax on success” as the heirs didn’t actually produce the wealth they’re inheriting. If anything a high estate tax would force them to work hard and make their own way in the world. Moreover, massive inheritance is a threat to democracy as it concentrates power in a few families like kings or queens for generations in perpetuity. Yet nothing is more ridiculously maligned in the conservative press as this article illustrates. It’s a non-threat, a bogeyman that for 99.5% of right wing Americans with delusions of grandeur will never affect them.