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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Old_Skeet's New Portfolio Asset Allocations (2016)
    Hi @Bitzer,
    Thanks again for making comment.
    I feel my active management has indeed been worth while. Let me explain. Take a million dollar portfolio and the difference of my ten year annualized return of 6.9% vs. my buddies ten year return of 5.6% as noted in the post that I linked equals a spread of 1.3% or about $13,000.00 per year. And, when ths is carried out over a ten year period this amounts to about of $130,000.00. I score this as being worth my time. At least, it has been for me.
  • Manning & Napier's Focused Opportunities Series to liquidate (see last post)
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/751173/000119312515409219/d104788d497.htm
    497 1 d104788d497.htm MANNING & NAPIER FUND, INC.
    MANNING & NAPIER FUND, INC.
    Supplement dated December 21, 2015 to the combined Prospectus (the “Prospectus”) dated May 1, 2015 as supplemented August 3, 2015, November 17, 2015, November 25, 2015 and December 16, 2015 for the following Series:
    Focused Opportunities Series
    This supplement provides new and additional information beyond that contained in the Prospectus and should be read in conjunction with the Prospectus.
    The Board of Directors of the Manning & Napier Fund, Inc. has voted to completely liquidate the Focused Opportunities Series (the “Series”).
    The closure of the Series to new investors and to additional investments from existing shareholders was described in the December 16, 2015 supplement to the Prospectus.
    The Series will redeem all of its outstanding shares on or about January 25, 2016 and distribute the proceeds to the Series’ shareholders (subject to maintenance of appropriate reserves for liquidation and other expenses).
    As is the case with other redemptions, each shareholder’s redemption, including a mandatory redemption, will constitute a taxable disposition of shares for those shareholders who do not hold their shares through tax-advantaged plans. Shareholders should contact their tax advisors to discuss the potential income tax consequences of the liquidation.
    As Series shareholders redeem shares of the Series between the date of this supplement and the date of the final redemption, and as the Series increases its cash positions to facilitate redemptions, the Series may not be able to continue to invest its assets in accordance with its stated investment policies. Accordingly, the Series may not be able to achieve its investment objectives during the period between the date of this supplement and the date of its final redemption.
    PLEASE RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
  • A Milestone For Vanguard: New Fund Could Include Junk Bonds
    Vanguard Core Bond Fund filing:
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/836906/000093247115009408/malvern485a.htm
    In the appended SAI, one finds:
    " Brian W. Quigley, Gemma Wright-Casparius and Gregory S. Nassour co-manage Vanguard Core Bond Fund; which as of the date of this Statement of Additional Information had not yet commenced operations.
    As of May 31, 2015, Mr. Quigley managed 1 other registered investment company with total assets of $5 billion (advisory fee not based on account performance). As of May 31, 2015, Ms. Wright-Casparius managed 4 other registered investment companies with total assets of $41 billion (advisory fees not based on account performance). As of May 31, 2015, Mr. Nassour managed 3 other registered investment companies with total assets of $75 billion, co-managed 2 other registered investment companies with total assets $15.8 billion, and co-managed 1 other pooled investment vehicle with total assets of $10 billion (none of which had advisory fees based on account performance)."

    And, not touched upon in the Barron's blog:
    "Daniel Shaykevich manages Vanguard Emerging Markets Bond Fund, which as of the date of this Statement of Additional Information had not yet commenced operations. As of May 31, 2015, Mr. Shaykevich managed X other registered investment companies with total assets of $X billion, and co-managed X other pooled investment vehicle with total assets of $XX billion (none of which had advisory fees based on account performance)."

    So, not only will Vanguard have an actively-managed Core Bond fund, they apparently will also have an actively-managed Emerging Mkts. Bond Fund. Well, whaddayaknow, that's a change.
    Vanguard's announcement:
    https://personal.vanguard.com/us/insights/article/fund-announcement-C-122015?link=topStories&linkLocation=Position1
  • ETF Investors Have Spent $24 Billion Trying to Call a Bottom in Oil
    In all these cases, we witnessed a rare phenomenon that exists in only the most extreme bottom-calling scenarios. It is when the price of the E T F hits an all-time low while the shares outstanding hit an all time high. That is exactly what is happening right now with USO as shown in the chart below. That is a wide, scary mouth, and it is gobbling up investor cash.
    image
    Better Link to AndyJ posting
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-21/etf-investors-have-spent-24-billion-trying-to-call-bottom-in-oil
  • A Milestone For Vanguard: New Fund Could Include Junk Bonds
    FYI: Vanguard Group’s new bond fund would pave the way for the fund giant’s in-house portfolio managers to buy or sell junk bonds for the first time.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2015/12/21/a-milestone-for-vanguard-new-fund-could-include-junk-bonds/tab/print/
  • Has American Century Become an Asset Potato to be Passed Around?
    Time and again, you see mutual fund families reach a certain size and they become, what seems to me, "investment vehicles" for others. Whether this is a bad thing is often hard to tell, but I'm hard-pressed to recall an instance where a mutual fund operation showed evidence where large outside investment proved to be a good thing. Or maybe it doesn't really matter--- hey, somebody's gotta hold the shares--- as long as the outside stakeholder remains a minority stakeholder.
    At what point should it be concerning? Are there red flags that should raise concern; if so, what are they? My thinking on this is pretty fuzzy. What say others?
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-21/american-century-sale-proceeds-seen-helping-cibc-on-other-deals
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-21/nomura-agrees-to-pay-1-billion-for-41-american-century-stake
  • Old_Skeet's New Portfolio Asset Allocations (2016)
    Below is a description of my portfolio sleeve management system along with my new portfolio asset allocation targets for 2016. In short, the cash target was raised by five percent from fifteen to twenty percent while the growth area target was reduced by five percent from twenty percent to fifteen percent. The income and growth & income area targets remain the same at thirty percent and thirty five percent respectively.
    Old_Skeet's Portfolio Sleeve Management System (12/18/2015)
    Here is a brief description of my sleeve system which I organized to help better manage the investments that were held in five accounts. The accounts consist of a taxable account, a self directed ira account, a 401k account, a profit sharing account and a health savings account plus two bank accounts. With this I came up with four investment areas. They are a cash area which consist of two sleeves … an investment cash sleeve and a demand cash sleeve. The next area is the income area which consists of two sleeves. … a fixed income sleeve and a hybrid income sleeve. Then there is the growth & income area which has more risk associated with it than the income area and it consist of four sleeves … a global equity sleeve, a global hybrid sleeve, a domestic equity sleeve and a domestic hybrid sleeve. An finally there is the growth area, where the most risk in the portfolio is found and it consist of five sleeves … a global sleeve, a large/mid cap sleeve, a small/mid cap sleeve, a specialty sleeve and a special investment sleeve. Each sleeve consists of three to six funds (in most cases) with the size and the weight of each sleeve can easily be adjusted, from time-to-time, by adjusting the number of funds and amounts held. By using the sleeve system one can get a better picture of their overall investment picture and weightings by sleeve and area. In addition, I have found it beneficial to xray each fund, each sleeve, each investment area, and the portfolio as a whole quarterly. Again, weightings can be adjusted form time-to-time as to how I might be reading the markets and wish to weight accordingly. All funds pay their distributions to the cash area of the portfolio with the exception being those in my 401k, profit sharing, and health savings accounts where reinvestment occurs. With the other accounts paying to the cash area builds the cash area of the portfolio to meet the portfolio’s monthly cash disbursement amount with the residual being left for new investment opportunity. In addition, most all buy/sell trades settle from or to the cash area with some nav exchanges between funds taking place.
    Here is how I have my asset allocation broken out in percent ranges, by area. My current target allocations are cash 20%, income 30%, growth & income 35%, and growth 15%. I do an Instant Xray analysis on the portfolio quarterly (sometimes monthly) and make asset weighting adjustments as I feel warranted based upon my assessment of the market, my risk tolerance, cash needs, etc. Currently, going into 2016, I am about 20% in the cash area, 30% in the income area, 35% in the growth & income area and 15% in the growth area.
    Cash Area (Weighting Range 15% to 25% with target being 20%)
    Demand Cash Sleeve… (Cash Distribution Accrual & Future Investment Accrual)
    Investment Cash Sleeve … (Savings & Time Deposits)
    Income Area (Weighting Range 25% to 35% with target being 30%)
    Fixed Income Sleeve: GIFAX, LALDX, LBNDX, NEFZX, THIFX & TSIAX
    Hybrid Income Sleeve: CAPAX, CTFAX, FISCX, FKINX, ISFAX, JNBAX & PGBAX
    Growth & Income Area (Weighting Range 30% to 40% with target being 35%)
    Global Equity Sleeve: CWGIX, DEQAX & EADIX
    Global Hybrid Sleeve: BAICX, CAIBX & TIBAX
    Domestic Equity Sleeve: ANCFX, FDSAX, INUTX, NBHAX, SPQAX & SVAAX
    Domestic Hybrid Sleeve: ABALX, AMECX, DDIAX, FRINX, HWIAX & LABFX
    Growth Area (Weighting Range 10% to 20% with target being 15%)
    Global Sleeve: AJVAX, ANWPX, NEWFX, PGROX, THOAX & THDAX
    Large/Mid Cap Sleeve: AGTHX, IACLX, SPECX & VADAX
    Small/Mid Cap Sleeve: PCVAX, PMDAX & VNVAX
    Specialty Sleeve: LPEFX, PGUAX & TOLLX
    Spiffs: None
    Total Number of Mutual Fund Positions = 47
    I wish all ... "Good Investing."
  • Lewis Braham: The Safest Concentrated Funds

    Qualified dividends are taxed at 0%, 15% and 20%, the latter if you are in a 39.6% tax bracket.
    From @heezsafe 's link:
    "[Q]ualified dividends ... are taxable federally at the capital gains rate, which depends on the investor’s modified adjusted gross income (AGI) and taxable income (the current rates are 0%, 15%, 18.8%, and 23.8%.)."
    This is due to the Medicare surtax of 3.8% which kicks in once your AGI (not taxable income) exceeds a certain level.
    From http://truepointwealth.com/recent-tax-changes-and-how-they-affect-you/
    "Note, the 20% bracket doesn’t truly 'exist.' By the time income reaches the top marginal tax bracket of 39.6%, one is already subject to the additional surtax."
    In addition to the description of qualified divs in the Fidelity link, there's another gotcha for mutual fund owners. Even if your 1099 says that dividends are qualified (box 1b), they are not unless you hold those shares for at least 61 days around the ex-div date.
    This is the same rule as stated in the Fidelity page, but that page wasn't too clear about pass through entities like mutual funds. That is, the fund itself must hold underlying stock for 61+ days for it to pass through the div as a qualified div, but in addition you must hold the mutual fund shares 61+ days around the fund's ex-div date.
    Here's another Fidelity page that goes into this gory detail:
    https://www.fidelity.com/taxes/tax-topics/qualified-dividends
  • Lewis Braham: The Safest Concentrated Funds
    @Mona, over the years I had enough of paying IRS on distribution even in down markets. Since vast majority of active managed funds failed to out-perform their respective indexes, getting the boring index level return is good enough for us. So on taxable accounts, we use exclusively index funds and ETFs to minimize the tax consequences. Granted that dividends will be tax according to our tax bracket, but at least I can minimize short term and long term capital gains. </blockquote
    Sven,
    If you are invested in Vanguard Index 500, 100% of the dividends were qualified. In Vanguard Total Stock Market Index, 95% were qualified. And for another example, if you are invested in Vanguard Mid-Cap Index, 86% were qualified.
    https://personal.vanguard.com/us/insights/article/estimated-yearend-distributions-122015
    Qualified dividends are taxed at 0%, 15% and 20%, the latter if you are in a 39.6% tax bracket. So unless you are making a lot of money putting you in 39.6% tax bracket, you are paying no higher tax rate on your qualified dividends than you would would pay on Long-term Capital Gains.
    Mona
  • 6 Index Funds You Can Buy For A Song
    Vanguard Small Cap ETF: ER of 0.09% matches wifey's 403b holding in VSMAX. It's down -5.34%, ytd. In small cap, my others are: PRDSX, eking-out a positive number, ytd, at +0.66% and MSCFX, down further than the Vang, at -6.63%. But Friday last was a stinker.
  • Lewis Braham: The Safest Concentrated Funds
    it is not an easy call on the balance of risk and reward over long investment period. Question for most investors is getting the market return good enough?
    Domestically, it's become an easy call for me. For the past 4 years or so I was in ARTLX, it seemed each year at distribution time that the IRS was the big winner. Along with other concentrated mutual funds I have owned over the years with high active share, I learned the hard way that many (most) times it does not translate into a fund that beats it's benchmark. Now, I mostly go the Index route and when I want to go to Las Vegas and play the concentrated active fund machine in my taxable account, the ER must be under 50 basis points and the turnover under 15%. Even then I limit my bets.
    Mona
  • 6 Index Funds You Can Buy For A Song
    FYI: The positive impact of low fees for ETF and index fund investors is palpable.
    “In any market, the average return for all investors before costs is, by definition, equal to the market return. Once various costs are accounted for, however, the distribution of returns realized by investors moves to the left, because their aggregate return is now less than the market’s. The actual return for all investors combined is thus the market return reduced by all costs paid. One important implication of this is that, after costs, fewer investors are able to outperform the markets,” according to Vanguard[7].
    With that in mind, let’s have a look at some of the lowest fee ETF index funds on the market today
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://investorplace.com/2015/12/cheap-portfolio-cheapest-etfs-index-funds/print
  • M*: All Of The World In One Fund
    VMNVX continues to be my preferred "world in one fund" with a greater exposure to MC and SC equities than VT (average market cap of $7.4B vs. $30.3B for VT/VTWSX), and a more attractive standard deviation/Sharpe Ratio over the past year of 7.57/0.97 vs. 13.09/-0.08 for VTWSX. According to MSCI, minimum volatility has attractive backtested RESULTS.
    Kevin
  • Schwab vs Vanguard Customer Service
    Customer service is bad everywhere no just discount brokerages. Have you try to resolve computer problem from big box PC manufacturers such as HP and Dell?
    In our experience, cash transfer between brokerages is the easiest - typically takes 3-5 days to complete. Transfer on mutual funds and stocks will take up 10 days to ensure everything is in good order that include copies of most recent statement. Fidelity accepts the electronic version while Vanguard requires the hard copy. Bit old school but I am patient. I believe that is part of the rules imposed on brokerages to prevent money laundering.
  • 2015 Capital gains distribution estimates

    Fiduciary Management, Inc. » FMI Mutual Funds » FMI Large Cap Fund (FMIHX) » FMIHX Distribution Summary
    FMIHX Distribution Summary
    Ex-Dividend Date
    Reinvestment Price
    Income
    Short-Term Capital Gain
    Long-Term Capital Gain
    12/18/15 18.23 0.20835660 0.16523 1.67694
  • Jason Zweig: Buy The ETF, Not The Mutual fund
    FYI: On Dec. 10, Third Avenue Focused Credit Fund suspended its investors’ right to ask for their money back whenever they wish. That drastic step wasn’t unprecedented, however. It exposed a flaw that has always lurked within the heart of mutual funds — one that exchange-traded funds have largely solved.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2015/12/18/buy-the-etf-not-the-mutual-fund/tab/print/