@VintageFreak You can do some homework @ the link below.My largest holding.Often some deep value and thinly traded securities in portfolio.In times like '08-'09, value can get a lot deeper and if few want your IBM shares who's going to buy your Alanco Technologies, Inc. shares.Yes that was an extreme draw down for a M* moderate allocation fund but the long term performance is exceptional.Father/Son managed fund,Consider age and experience?
One of Ted's favorite links:
http://www.marketwatch.com/tools/mutual-fund/screener?FundType=0&FundValue=0&ReturnFundPeriod=11Management’s Discussion and Analysis REPORT TO SHAREHOLDERS 1
BRUCE FUND, INC.
Annual Report
June 30, 2009 (
Bold added)
The Bruce Fund (the “Fund”) shares produced a total return of -24.31% for the six months ended December 31, 2008,
compared to a total return of -28.48% for the S&P
500 Index for the same period. The first six months of our fiscal year
were dismal.
While we thought we were prepared for the onslaught, we were wrong. Positions in low rated convertible
bonds dropped precipitiously with no support from interest payments. Likewise our common stocks were punished,
much worse than we anticipated. The U.S. Government bonds showed appreciation in the period and the cash balances
remained above normal.
The outlook for capital appreciation is muted. The economy could be weaker for much longer than most believe.
Preservation of capital is job one. Gains will be hard fought.
Bear markets do several things; they wash out inefficient companies and create values. There will come a time to be
more aggressive and we hope we will be ready. Management will continue to screen investment opportunities for their
capital appreciation potential and profile that against the risks the investment might present. Areas of recent interest
have been various bonds selling at discounts to par value offering reasonable yields. The bonds as well as the stocks in
the portfolio encompass significant investment risks, which are again outlined in the prospectus
Footnotes to some of BRUFX holdings
(a)
Non-cash income producing security.
(b)
In default.
(c)
Private Placement and restricted security under Rule 144A of the Securities Act of 1933.
(d)
Variable rate securities; the money market rate shown represents the rate at June 30, 2009.
(e)
This security is currently valued according to the fair value procedures approved by the Board of Directors.
(f)
This security has no expiration date, it will convert to common stock at a future date
http://www.thebrucefund.com/document-library.aspx
Gold Closing Out The Week At Five Year Lows Many things are at/near 5 year lows, including emerging-market equities (EEM), emerging-market debt in local-currencies (EMLC), most commodities (DBC), MLPs (MLPI). Looking at a 5-year chart, without doing anything else, and drawing inferences as to the investment merit of an asset is... foolhardy.
AU/USD, like most of the investment classes cited above are a function of the strength of the USD. --- I say this, because AU, while down in USD terms, is NOT down across all currencies. Its down vs. USD, GBP, SFR over 5 years. AU is also down vs CNY -- but then CNY's is (usually-) manipulated to track the USD. However AU is UP vs the CAD$, Yen, rand, rupee, AU$, ruble and MXP. AU is (essentially) flat vs. EUR.
The strength in the USD is itself a function not of American economic strength, but of our economy being the "cleanest dirty shirt", and of waning commodity demand from China. No one can foresee when these trends will reverse, but I suspect, they will reverse/mean-revert at some time. I suspect AU will still experience a "capitulation panic", however, generally assets are best bought when they are cheap, not dear. US equity enthusiasts should keep that in mind, as we are now in the 7th year of a very, VERY high-return equity bull. No tree grows to the sky.
AU can be first/foremost thought of as portfolio insurance -- providing diversification of returns over long periods of time. During the past 5 years, US equities have done wonderfully. So US equity investors were rewarded, while their AU holdings declined. OTOH, during the 2000-2010 period, equity returns languished/were lousy, but bullion holders were well rewarded.
For anyone dis-enchanted with their bullion holdings, I have a standing offer: contact me, and I will be happy to haul away any of your unwanted bullion, and I won't charge you a fee for the service, not a dime.
Bogle: Stocks 6%, Bonds 3% Interesting ...
I took the anticipated returns as noted in the article for bonds at 3% and stocks at 6% and I ran a forecast of what my portfolio would be expected to return based upon it's current asset allocation. It bubbled close to 4%. According to Morningstar's Portfolio Manager in doing a ten year lookback (portfolio's current configuration) returned better than 8%. So, in short words I should expect about half of what I received from the market going forward for the next ten years when compared to the past ten year period. With this, I just may have to make some special investment positions from time-to-time if I want to better these projected return estimates as I'd like to at least average 5% to 6%; and, I don't want to be fully invested in stocks to do it. So, it looks as though I will have to make those spiff investment positions, from time-to-time, to achieve my return goal.
2015 Capital gains distribution estimates
Quality Vs. Momentum ETFs: What's Winning Lately?
Two Vanguard Mutual Fund Managers To Retire By Middle Of 2016 Maybe there are many money managers taking a look down the road they imagine and not much liking what they imagine could happen. And so, having made some very good money for themselves, some are concluding they just don't want to play that rough game anymore. It isn't just the greybeards. Just saw a blimp about Brett Lynn, manager of Janus Overseas, about to walk away from his charge at the end of 2015. He's still a young guy, hitting his prime years, yet he's had enough.
Just wondering. Given the number of liquidations being reported by The Shadow, there should be no shortage of possible replacements.
DoubleLine Funds planning expansion in rather dicey times Not much new here, about which most on the discussion board are fully aware. With one exception (see last line of synopsis):
http://www.cnbc.com/2015/11/12/gundlachs-doubleline-winning-at-pimcos-expense.html"(Ron) Redell [president of DL funds] said the firm plans on launching 14 new products in the first quarter of 2016."14? Uh-oh. Doesn't seem to me that the current state of affairs suggests it's an optimal moment to be getting all bold and adventurous.
Well, we'll see.
Gold Closing Out The Week At Five Year Lows
Some Fund NAVs not updating Here is the info from the Wasatch Funds website:
WAEMXCurrent Share Price (NAV): $2.43 as of 11/12/1
50.00% (Daily % Change)
I'm saying, I smell a rat.
Some Fund NAVs not updating Here is the info from the Wasatch Funds website:
WAEMXCurrent Share Price (NAV): $2.43 as of 11/12/1
50.00% (Daily % Change)