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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • John Waggoner: Trouble In Index City
    FYI: You got trouble, my friends, right here in River City. Either you're closing your eyes to a situation you do not wish to acknowledge, or you are not aware of the caliber of disaster indicated by the presence of an index fund in your community.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2015/02/20/trouble-in-index-city/23692439/
    Trouble In River City: Robert Preston:
  • M*: When Is A Fund Manager Change A Red Flag?: Video Presentation
    FYI: A manager change is a good reason to re-evaluate a fund, but not usually a reason to sell, says Morningstar's Russ Kinnel.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.morningstar.com/cover/videocenter.aspx?id=685180
  • New Regulations Spell the End of Money Market Funds
    I continue to be puzzled by suggestions to use ultrashort bond funds in place of cash. Their SEC yields are typically under 50 basis points (vs. 1% for insured bank savings accounts), unless they are diving well into junk.
    On top of that, here we have a column suggesting one use ETFs rather than funds - with their extra costs that impede use as cash accounts. If they are offered NTF, they have heavy short term trading penalties. If ETFs are sold with commission, well, that also impedes their use as cash. Not to mention the omnipresent bid/ask spread, and the risk of tracking error (price vs. NAV).
    Here's a rarity - a well reported, detailed (dare I say dense) article about Fidelity's MM changes (four phases), with links to Fidelity articles and SEC filings, as well as actual numbers about what customers expect to do (rather than just "many customers have said"). Crain Data: Fidelity Announces Major Changes to MMFs; Staying Stable, Going Govt
  • How To Top Money Funds’ Near-0% Yields
    Hi all,
    Seems my below comment will fit well in several threads.
    This is how I played the low yield cash environment.
    I closed out my money market and CD's years back after the yield's of each went next to nothing; and, I took up positions in a few short term bond funds with some of this money which is a part of my fixed income sleeve. You might say, that short term bond funds have now become high risk cash positions with me.
    The low return on cash has effected my portfolio's overall return greatly as I use to be able to get a four to five percent retrun on my cash ... and, well, now next to nothing ... and cash usually makes up about 15% to 20% of my overall portfolio.
    This has forced me to make some special spiff positions within the markets, form time-to-time, to help make some of my cash more productive. Thus far it has ... but, has not fully covered the prior yields of four to five percent once had. And, last year the spiffs were few and far between. I am still with the October 2014 Spiff with an average cost of 1905 on the S&P 500 Index. This puts this spiff thus far at about a 10.2% return. But, it would take a number of these to cover the full four to five percent yield I was earning on all of my cash since these spiff positions are much smaller in size than my total cash position.
    I am wondering what you might have done to deal with this low return on cash environment?
    Old_Skeet
  • GMO Asset Class 7-Year Real Return Forecasts
    Not sure if this fits your thread question about timber, but it seems to fall along the edge of the forest:
    A couple of quotes:
    "The latest news from the American Institute of Architects (AIA) has some economists alarmed, because it shows a potential shrinkage in housing related activity. The AIA publishes data based on surveys of member firms, known as Architecture Billings Indices, and their two main index products are the Billings Index and the Inquiries Index. Billings represents actual work that gets billed to the customer, while Inquiries is a softer data set reflecting customers potentially generating new work."
    and,
    " I have found that lumber prices give a 1-year leading indication for housing activity....an even better leading indication foretelling trouble in the housing sector, and thus in the economy. Lumber price data are shifted forward by a year to reveal how lumber prices lead what happens in the housing market."
    Article:
    mcoscillator.com/learning_center/weekly_chart/architecture_billings_index_flashes_warning/
    My question, where will the demand for timber products come from?
    -Student loans will strap newly minted professionals,
    -Retirees need less house (not more)
    -China has plenty of housing for their new middle class.
    *Maybe India...?
    Note: Now that 5 mugs of coffee a day is in our best interest...how about coffee trees?
  • How To Top Money Funds’ Near-0% Yields
    More fine journalism - STSBX may have had a 10 year return (not yield) of something approaching 3%, but its current SEC yield is 0.21%, and trailing twelve month yield is 0.51%. Its 78 basis point ER might have something to do with that, even if you did purchase it load-waived (e.g. TD Ameritrade).
    More interesting to me is the reference to another WSJ article about Fidelity (and others) changing their MMFs. You can find the full article via Google, here:
    https://www.google.com/search?q=Advisers+Prepare+for+Changes+to+Money-Market+Funds&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8
    Fidelity announced months ago that it was significantly reducing its offering of MMFs as brokerage "core" (settlement) funds. It seems that they now offer only Fidelity Cash (a general obligation of the brokerage company), and a couple of government MMFs. No more muni funds. FWIW, you're losing on interest, because 0.01% tax free (muni fund) was better than 0.01% taxable :-)
    Seems that Fidelity puts at least part of the blame for this change on SEC regulations. Here's their office memo explaining the changes and rationales:
    https://familyoffice.fidelity.com/app/literature/view?itemCode=9860767&renditionType=pdf
    My bottom line - stick with FDIC-insured bank accounts paying 1% or better if you need something entirely liquid (up to six withdrawals per month for these savings accounts). CDs, I-bonds, etc. for "cash" (no fluctuation in value) with somewhat less liquidity (early withdrawal penalties mostly).
  • Money Market Reforms Force Advisers To Rethink Risk
    Hi all,
    This is how I played the low yield cash environment.
    I closed out my money market and CD's years back after the yield's of each went next to nothing; and, I took up positions in a few short term bond funds with some of this money which is a part of my fixed income sleeve. You might say, that short term bond funds have now become high risk cash positions with me.
    The low return on cash has effected my portfolio's overall return greatly as I use to be able to get a four to five percent retrun on my cash ... and, well, now next to nothing ... and cash usually makes up about 15% to 20% of my overall portfolio.
    This has forced me to make some special spiff positions within the markets, form time-to-time, to help make some of my cash more productive. Thus far it has ... but, has not fully covered the prior yields of four to five percent once had. And, last year the spiffs were few and far between. I am still with the October 2014 Spiff with an average cost of 1905 on the S&P 500 Index. This puts this spiff thus far at about a 10.2% return. But, it would take a good number of these to cover the full four to five percent yield I was earning on all of my cash since these spiff positions are much smaller in size than my total cash position.
    I am wondering what you might have done to deal with this low return on cash environment?
    Old_Skeet
  • Money Market Reforms Force Advisers To Rethink Risk
    FYI: SEC Chairwoman Mary Jo White said reforms would “fundamentally change” funds. She was right.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20150219/FREE/150219912?template=printart
  • European ETF's/Funds
    Evermore global value EVGIX is managed by David Marcus formerly at mutual series. It is 55 percent eurozone, overweight financials, overweight industrials, overweight real estate , underweight healthcare, underweight technology (as compared to world stock).
    Performance has not looked good, but it is small ish cap, independent and concentrated. The er is high and I wouldn't consider unless you have access to load waived. I don't think you can get lw at fido without a million bucks. Check out the MFO profile in April of 2014. FWIW
  • European ETF's/Funds
    Hi Pop Tart,
    With the ECB in QE mode and the US Fed to start raising interest rates sooner than later, I am confident that the Euro will continue to weaken relative to the USD. So you may want to consider currency-hedged ETFs like HEDJ and DBEU. The currency trend may reverse, so it is always a good idea to have an exit plan, and for me that involves following the 20/50/100EMAs.
    I would also take a look at MEURX, a relatively low volatility multi-cap value with an attractive long-term track record. This fund continues to be available in Wellstrade retirement accounts for a $250 minimum per test trade.
    Another multi-cap fund to consider would be PRESX, which has a solid track record and continues to perform in 2015.
    Kevin
  • European ETF's/Funds
    Hi there PopTart- been quite a while since we've talked! Not sure if Pear Tree Polaris Foreign Value Small Cap Fund Ordinary Class QUSOX meets your requirements, but David Snowball believes it to be one of the three best funds of this type. Not completely Europe, but a fair amount.
    Some of the major holdings:
    Japan 15.29%
    United Kingdom 14.95%
    India 7.59%
    Germany 6.83%
    Thailand 6.36%
    Hong Kong 5.58%
    China 4.92%
    Norway 4.90%
    Ireland 4.60%
    Sweden 4.40%
    I''m thinking of putting some money there, so be warned: that probably will result in the fund immediately plummeting to the bottom of the class.
    Here's a link to Schwab's info site, which I find to be pretty good. Hope that you find this info helpful.
    Regards- OJ
  • Reorganization of Parnassus Small Cap Fund into Parnassus Mid Cap Fund
    Additional information:
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/747546/000114420415010742/v402218_497.htm
    Parnassus Funds
    February 18, 2015
    Supplement to the Prospectus dated May 1, 2014 (as Amended and Restated September 19, 2014)
    Parnassus Mid Cap Fund
    This Supplement provides new and additional information beyond that contained in the Prospectus and should be read in conjunction with the Prospectus.
    Merger of Parnassus Small Cap Fund into Parnassus Mid Cap Fund
    The Board of Trustees of the Parnassus Small Cap Fund (the “Small Cap Fund”) and the Parnassus Mid Cap Fund, each a series of Parnassus Funds (the “Trust”), has approved a proposal for the Small Cap Fund to be merged into the Mid Cap Fund. In connection with the merger, all of the Small Cap Fund’s assets will be transferred to the Mid Cap Fund, and shareholders of the Small Cap Fund will receive shares of the Mid Cap Fund in exchange for their shares, on a tax-free basis. The merger is expected to occur on or about April 24, 2015. The expenses of the merger will be borne by the investment adviser to the funds.
    The Trust will file a prospectus as part of a Registration Statement on Form N-14 with the Securities and Exchange Commission in connection with the proposed merger. The definitive Form N-14 Prospectus (when available) will be sent to shareholders of the Small Cap Fund. Shareholders of the Small Cap Fund are urged to read the Form N-14 Prospectus when it becomes available, because it will contain important information about the proposed merger.
    Parnassus Mid Cap Fund Principal Investment Strategies
    The Parnassus Mid Cap Fund’s principal investment strategies are revised to read in full as follows:
    “The Parnassus Mid Cap Fund normally invests at least 80% of its net assets in mid-sized companies. The Fund considers a mid-sized company to be one that has a market capitalization between that of the smallest and largest constituents of the Russell Midcap Index (which was between $284 million and $36 billion as of February 18, 2015) measured at the time of purchase. The Russell Midcap Index includes approximately 800 of the smallest companies in the Russell 1000 Index. The Fund will not automatically sell or cease to purchase stock of a company it already owns just because the company’s market capitalization grows or falls outside the ranges of the Russell Midcap Index, which are subject to change. The Fund may normally invest up to 20% of its net assets in smaller- and larger-capitalization companies. The Fund invests mainly in domestic stocks of companies that are financially sound and have good prospects for the future, and may invest up to 20% of its assets in foreign securities of similar companies. Using a value-oriented investment process, the Fund seeks to invest in equity securities that have the potential for long-term capital appreciation. To determine a company’s prospects, the Adviser reviews the company’s income statement, cash flow statement and balance sheet, and analyzes the company’s sustainable strategic advantage and management team. Upon initial investment, stocks must be trading below their intrinsic value, which means that the Adviser seeks to purchase stocks trading at discounts to the Adviser’s assessment of the companies’ estimated value. The Adviser also takes environmental, social and governance factors into account in making investment decisions. The Fund will sell a security if the Adviser believes a company’s fundamentals will deteriorate or if it believes a company’s stock has little potential for appreciation.”
    * * *
    The date of this Supplement is February 18, 2015.
    Please retain this Supplement for future reference
  • M*: U.S. Asset Flows Update February 2015
    FYI: On the active side, flows were fairly balanced last month. Except for the recurring outflow from
    the U.S. equity Morningstar category group, all other category groups had positive estimated
    flows, with municipal-bond funds and sector-equity funds in the lead. On a trailing one-year
    basis, U.S. equity funds registered a significant outflow, as did taxable-bond funds, although to
    a lesser extent. International-equity and allocation funds received the largest inflows.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/PR/FebAssetFlows2015.pdf