the February 2017 issue is live Hi, hank.
I was pondering that very point ("in a
100 years") on the drive in this morning. At least in terms of political culture, the last shift this disruptive
might have been when Andrew Jackson came to power in
1829. Mr. Jackson represented a sharp break from both the policies and style of the dominant political culture.
There's a particularly interesting episode in Jackson's tenure; he triggered an economic boom by dismantling the Second Bank of the United States, which functioned as the era's regulator of financial markets. The surge of economic activity rolled on to wild excesses in the financial markets, defaults, eventually a strong government (over)reaction and collapse in the financial panic of
1837 - 44.
Mr. Trump has
endorsed with comparison, in part by hanging a picture of Mr. Jackson behind his desk in the Oval Office.
William Jennings Bryan (
1900,
1908) might have been a similarly transformative if he'd won. Huey Pierce Long, likewise, if he hadn't been assassinated and had beaten FDR in the '36 primary.
Just pondering,
David
What Was BCSIX Smoking Yesterday? @David_SnowballIt's a relatively concentrated fund with just 38 stocks; that's high commitment for a small cap product. A number of their holdings had a decent day (1-2%) but their second largest holding (Blackbaud) rose 13.5% and their fifth largest (Tyler Technologies) rose 10%. No idea of why but I'm guessing that accounts for most of the jump.
Also interesting is that AGOZX, now managed by Amy Zhang, a past member of the BC team for
12 years, gained 3.07%, have these two companies in its own portfolio and 7 holdings among its top ten with that of BC as of EOY.
the February 2017 issue is live (From David's opening remarks): So why the rally? Mostly, I suspect, because people have become unhinged by the circus in D.C. Peggy Noonan, Reagan’s best speech-writer and doyen of the country-club Republicans, frets “we are living through big history and no one here knows where it’s going or how this period ends… Mr. Trump has overloaded all circuits. Everything is too charged, nothing feels stable. ‘Nothing is stable,’ [a prominent friend] replied” (“In Trump’s Washington, Nothing Feels Stable,” WSJ, 2/4-5/17). In such moments of great uncertainty, crowds surge. (I think about the news reports of people crushed to death against the doors of a burning theater as the crowd behind them rushes without thought or perception.)
---
Yep - A potential Supreme Court test case of Presidential Powers arising within the first month in office? Has to be some kind of record. All I would wish for would be to be around in 100 years to read the history books on this period.
What Was BCSIX Smoking Yesterday? Hi, Ben.
It's a relatively concentrated fund with just 38 stocks; that's high commitment for a small cap product. A number of their holdings had a decent day (1-2%) but their second largest holding (Blackbaud) rose 13.5% and their fifth largest (Tyler Technologies) rose 10%. No idea of why but I'm guessing that accounts for most of the jump.
David
DSENX/ DLEUX Shiller Enhanced CAPE® and Shiller Enhanced International CAPE® Webcast Tuesday,Feb 7th CAPE crossed the $100 share price mark this week. Not meaningful, but rewarding if you own it.
M*: 5 More Under-The-Radar And Up-And-Coming Funds
Top Ten Highest Yielding ETFs
American Funds - first timer Just FYI, I entered order for BALFX for $250 at TIAA. Why? Because it clearly says for F1 shares, fund is NTF and minimum investment is $250.
Then they reject my order. Jokers! I'm already regretting opening account with them.
T. Rowe Price Overweights Bonds for First Time Since 2000 Don't know what they're smoking over there. But Price has muffed quite a few calls lately. Most glaring is a statement from the (now year-old) Annual Report for New Era (PRNEX). Anyone who's watched commodities over the past year must seriously doubt the report's claim that we were in the initial years of a commodities bear market. (It got the low in oil correct, stating it would go below $30. Doubt they had a clue it would than double to over $50 by the end of 2016.)
"As we have written in previous shareholder letters, we believe that we are in the initial years of a secular down cycle in commodities." (Annual Report T. Rowe Price New Era Fund December 31, 2015)
That's not to say they don't have the bond call correct. I simply don't know. I've been looking over their end of 2016 report for their target date funds and find myself in disagreement on several calls - especially their preference for domestic over international equities.
T. Rowe Price Overweights Bonds for First Time Since 2000
T. Rowe Price Overweights Bonds for First Time Since 2000 FYI: In a contrarian move, the asset allocation team at T. Rowe Price (TROW) is overweighting bonds. It’s the first time the team has made that recommendation since 2000.
The consensus among many investors is that interest rates will rise, crimping bond prices, while equities could continue to rally as the Trump administration ushers in pro-growth policies.
But T. Rowe’s David Giroux, Sébastien Page and Charles M. Shriver write in a new paper that they are concerned any upside to stocks from a strengthening economy is already priced in while downside risks are being ignored. They are making a “modest tactical shift” from equities to bonds as a way to make their portfolios more defensive and add some “dry powder” to deploy if stocks to fall from here.
Regards,
Ted
http://blogs.barrons.com/incomeinvesting/2017/02/09/t-rowe-price-overweights-bonds-for-first-time-since-2000/tab/print/
DSENX/ DLEUX Shiller Enhanced CAPE® and Shiller Enhanced International CAPE® Webcast Tuesday,Feb 7th @davidmoran Do you have thoughts why the DLEUX performance thus far (6w) has been worse than European indexes?
The underperformance mentioned was because the fund's four sectors lagged the MSCI Europe Net Return USD Index over such a
short time period and can be expected to happen when the most undervalued sectors lag the broad market. The expectation is that the fund will outperform
over time.
As of 2/8/
17, DSEUX is outperforming the MSCI Europe NET Return USD Index (the benchmark) by 49 bps. The benchmark has returned 2.
12%, and DSEUX has returned 2.62%.
AAII Investor Sentiment: Individual Investors Slightly Less Depressed
something to think about before jumping into high yield and bank loans
something to think about before jumping into high yield and bank loans
Where Active Fund Investors Were Flocking to & Fleeing From in 2016 @WallStreetRanter, Thanks.
While 3 D&C funds gained assets, that doesn't nearly equal the outflows from 3 others.
The increase in DODIX is however interesting. A lot is probably hot money chasing an outperforming fund. (Although the 20
15 rankings suggest otherwise).
A small bit of that is money that I've gradually shifted in from DODBX over the past year.
Where Active Fund Investors Were Flocking to & Fleeing From in 2016 @WallStreetRanter,
Thanks for commenting.
I looked up the ticker symbol for Bridge Builder Small/Mid Cap Value (BBVSX) and have linked its Morningstar report for those that would like to take a look. Indeed it has a good number of managers (
19 listed). Interestingly, it stock positions total
1,972 under portfolio holdings. Click on the management tab to view a blurb about each advisor. In addition, from review of the fund in Instant Xray it looks more like an all cap fund, to me, with
17% in large caps, 46% in mid caps and 39% in small caps. Notice the percentages total
102% (I guess this is because of rounding).
http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/BBVSX/quote.htmlNow, I am starting to wonder? Is this an all cap fund?
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/allcapfund.aspSeems, to me, that it could indeed be one based upon the above defination.