Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Why Fannie, Freddie Declines Leave Big Investors Unfazed: Bill & Bruce: "What Me Worry"
    I'm sorry but one need only look at the last name of one of the bill's authors to see where this was headed. I still wonder if BB bought more.
    lol.
    Frannie wind-down could spare preferreds; faces hurdles in any case
    Mar 13 2014, 11:20 ET
    “It’s hard to find any reasonable outcome that’s really terrible for the preferreds, given what I perceive to be the value of the business that’s already there," says portfolio manager Jeffrey Lewis, an owner of the shares. Investors in the common stock, however, are making a bet Fannie Mae (FNMA +12.4%) and Freddie Mac (FMCC +13.4%) will be allowed to become dominating private companies again and keep their profits.It's up to the courts to decide how investors will be treated, says Sen. Mike Crapo, who co-wrote the bill to wind the GSEs down. "We are not necessarily going to dictate the outcome."As for whether a bill actually becomes law anytime soon, former Senate banking panel aide Mark Calabria gives it maybe a 10% chance of getting to the president's desk this year. The dim prospects look to be giving a boost to the common shares today.
    http://seekingalpha.com/news/1625313-frannie-wind-down-could-spare-preferreds-faces-hurdles-in-any-case
    I wouldn't count on the courts to favor investors, either, but that's just me.
  • How do I find top ranked funds within a category???
    MFO...
    Here are top ranked moderate allocation funds over past 20, 10, 5, and 3 years (aka Great Owls):
    image
    Obtained using Miraculous Multi Search =).
  • How do I find top ranked funds within a category???
    MFO...
    Gives quintile rank, here again for VWENX:
    image
    For past 1, 3, 5, 10, and 20 year periods, as applicable. Based on its risk return measure (Martin Ratio).
  • How do I find top ranked funds within a category???
    Morningstar...
    Here is result for VWENX:
    image
    Gives rank order placement of fund each each based on its risk return measure (MRAR).
  • Pimco's New Managed Futures Fund Out.
    Scott,
    I agree the new fund is something most won't understand but it has a fancy name. I also followed the Long-short fund but decided on a cheaper fund. That Pimco fund has done well.
    I just think maybe the Pimco fund appeals to some advisors and that's probably it. I just don't see retail interest.
    There are managed futures hedge funds that have exceptional records and have both the management and the technology.
    However, they also have the flexibility to be highly nimble - and they get paid 2 and 20. You have some of these managed futures mutual funds that adjust around once a month (see RYMFX), which just continues to be whipped around by trying to adjust monthly to a market that is far more minute-to-minute and being frequently positioned wrong.
    The giant managed futures hedge funds have massive amounts of research and tech.
    "The scientists at Winton say one thing that sets them apart is the sheer amount of data they base their algorithms on. More historical information, they say, helps put price trends into context.
    The company's London offices display charts tracking the prices of commodities going back hundreds of years, old maps and bank notes and even a dividend cheque from the 18th-century South Sea Company.
    Winton sends researchers to libraries and archives across the world to find numbers held in books and on microfilms. It has found barley and sesame prices from ancient Babylon, and English wheat prices going back to 1209.
    It now employs more than 90 researchers, including extragalactic astrophysicists, computer scientists and climatologists. The company hired a meteorologist who had researched the "El Nino" phenomenon. The physics graduate - Winton wants to keep his name secret for fear a rival might poach him - works in London correlating weather data to crops such as corn, wheat and soybeans. That data can be used to forecast how prices might fluctuate with the weather.

    While traders in commodities have long looked at weather statistics and forecasts, the attempt to computerize the process creates the basis of an industry."
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/21/us-trading-blackbox-idUSBRE84K07320120521
    That reuters article from a couple of years ago is titled "The algorithmic arms race" and while one can debate the merits of these funds, the idea is that you have exceptionally well-funded managers who are trying to go to the ends of the Earth for any little bit of data that will give them an advantage.
    The managed futures mutual funds just cannot compete, both in terms of research/data and flexibility. Maybe the AQR one, to some degree, but even that is hampered by lack of flexibility.
  • 6 Great Mutual Funds That Benefit From Small Portfolios
    I love this theory a la WB and subscribe to it somewhat, owning YAFFX and PRBLX bigtime. But this is not a strong article and show other things as well. For one, you also can do well if you go with a demonstrated pro: FLPSX significantly exceeds FPA Perennial in a similar space over the 1/3/5/10/25y spans, incredibly, with 750+ stocks or something instead of 30. Also, Parnassus E-Inc exceeds PARNX precisely from when Ahlsten took over from Dodson, although since PRBLX has a low-number portfolio, I suppose that would help prove his point.
  • Mutual Fund (Full Service) Brokerage review
    Thanks, bee.
    The article notes being a 2014 review. A quick note about what is listed for Fidelity and perhaps for other vendors, too; that may be incorrect.
    ---Article notes that non-Fidelity funds have a $75 trading fee. The fee is $49.95. Also noted is a short term redemption fee of $75 for funds held less than 180 days.
    Not so, and may be as short as 60 days or none. Exceptions exist for short term holding periods established by non-Fidelity funds and some Fido funds........
    Might be other stuff, no time remains for further discovery.
  • AllianzGI Disciplined Equity Fund and AllianzGI Dynamic Emerging Multi-Asset Fund to be liquidated
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1423227/000119312514095329/d691874d497.htm
    Liquidation of the Funds
    Effective on or about May 16, 2014 (the “Liquidation Date”), AllianzGI Disciplined Equity Fund and AllianzGI Dynamic Emerging Multi-Asset Fund (the “Funds”) will be liquidated and dissolved. Any shares of the Funds outstanding on the Liquidation Date will be automatically redeemed on the Liquidation Date. The proceeds of any such redemption will be equal to the net asset value of such shares after dividend distributions required to eliminate any Fund-level taxes are made and the expenses and liabilities of the Fund have been paid or otherwise provided for. Allianz Global Investors Distributors LLC, the Funds’ distributor (the “Distributor”) will waive contingent deferred sales charges applicable to redemptions beginning five (5) business days prior to the Liquidation Date, including such Liquidation Date.
    At any time prior to the Liquidation Date, shareholders may redeem their shares of the Funds and receive the net asset value thereof, pursuant to the procedures set forth under “How to Buy and Sell Shares” in the Prospectus. Shareholders may also exchange their shares of the Funds for shares of the same class of any other series of the Trust or Allianz Funds that offers that class, as described under “How to Buy and Sell Shares – Exchanging Shares” in the Prospectus. Such exchanges will be taxable transactions for shareholders who hold shares in taxable accounts.
    Redemptions on the Liquidation Date will generally be treated like any other redemption of shares and may result in a gain or loss for U.S. federal income tax purposes. However, it is not expected that redemptions of Fund shares will result in such a gain or loss because of the Fund’s policy to maintain its net asset value at a constant rate of $1 per share.
    Shareholders should consult their own tax advisors regarding their particular situation and the possible application of state, local or non-U.S. tax laws.
    Restrictions on New Purchases and Exchanges for Shares of the Funds
    The Board of Trustees of the Trust has imposed the following restrictions on new purchases of, and exchanges for, shares of the Fund:
    Effective May 9, 2014, shares of the Funds will no longer be available for purchase by current or new investors in the Funds, other than through the automatic reinvestment of distributions by
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    current shareholders, and shareholders of other series of the Trust and Allianz Funds will no longer be permitted to exchange any of their shares for shares of the Funds, as described in the Prospectus under “How to Buy and Sell Shares – Exchanging Shares.”
    The Board of Trustees of the Trust and the Distributor, each reserve the right at any time to modify or eliminate the terms described above, including on a case-by-case basis...
  • Jeff Gundlach: What Hath QE Wrought ?
    All an Alfred E. Neuman, "What, me worry?" thingy.
    --- Social Security..........an ongoing form of fighting deflation (from a gov't. view, inflation from the receiver view); as too many folks have to plow all of the money back into their staying alive. The others spend much of the money into the economy.
    ---Medicare......probably should be reduced a bunch. This will free up monies from the budget from direct Medicare payments and also reduce forward SS costs as the old ones die off sooner.
    Note: This would also reduce healthcare jobs and other direct monies into the economy; which would also include myself and family. Another, "oh, well scenario".
    ---Some other really big money in the form of local grants and matches to do so many projects; schools, road repairs and the list goes on and on...........if these monies are reduced or removed, more lost jobs and system fails in many areas.
    ---Taxes, gotta keep going higher somewhere; be it excise or otherwise. No other way to attempt to prop the system now in place.
    QE has always been with us in modern times; it is merely more front page at this time; as "it" has a real name.
    Take much of this away and watch the economy melt within 5 years.
    Even the hard core psuedo richie, wanna be folks I know and have known; including the middle classers who have bitched to me in the past about all of the give away government programs didn't think or want their entitlemen monies from being able to deduct their mortgage interest to be removed. They didn't see this as an entitlement, to them, via the tax code.
    Always lots of funny stuff to consider about governments and money functions. Much of the time, it only depends upon from which side of the fence the view is being seen.
    The next physical revolution will attempt to clean some of the system. But, only new faces will appear; not new thoughts.
  • New ETF Launches Today! Cambria Global Value (GVAL)
    Here is link to site:
    Cambria Global Value (GVAL)
    GVAL Fact Sheet
    At first glance, I notice this one seems direct with Cambria with a 0.69% er, whereas flagship Cambria Global Tactical (GTAA) through Advisor Shares suffers from a 1.59% er.
    GTAA has underperformed since its inception Nov 2010.
    Shareholder Yield (SYLD), on the other hand, launched last year, appears to be off to good start. It too is run directly by Cambria and has a low er at 0.59%. Maybe it should be the new flagship? Here is M* performance plot:
    image
  • You own MAPIX? Don't bail on it at least until.....
    What difference does that make for a mutual fund?
    The dividend will cause the price to drop. Hopefully some of that dividend is qualified.
    If you've held the shares for less than a year, selling after the dividend will increase a short term loss in exchange for a qualified dividend (taxed the same as a long term gain).
    A hypothetical might help:
    Suppose you purchased on Aug 29th, at $15.14/share. (Current price is $15.10). Assume the price doesn't change between now and 3/20. If you sell before the dividend, you've got a 4c loss/share.
    If the fund distributes 2c/share, the price will drop to $15.08. You'll have a 6c short term loss, and a 2c dividend (hopefully qualified). Thus you've increased your short term loss by 2c in exchange for a 2c extra dividend. The dividend may be taxed at a lower rate than the tax rate on your short term loss.
    This comes with many qualifications - it only works on short term shares; it only works if the dividend is at least partially qualified; the IRS might disallow this tax arbitrage.
    On that last point - if the dividend is long term cap gains, the IRS requires you to hold the shares for at least six months to play this game. See Fairmark. I haven't found a similar rule for qualified dividends, but I haven't really looked that hard, either.
    Are these games worth playing? If you're scratching your head over what I wrote above, the answer is no. You only "win" if you've got short term gains to balance out, and I suspect the amount of the "win" is pretty small in any case. But small opportunities are sometimes there.
  • Live blog of Jeffrey Gundlach’s webcast on his markets outlook...
    Crash..keep up the good life...In about 1550 the Italian doctor Leonardo Fioravanti saw a man's nose sliced off in an argument, and promptly urinated on the fallen organ before stitching it back on. Henry VIII's surgeon Thomas Vicary recommended that all battle wounds should be washed in urine; and others advised the same for potentially gangrenous ulcers, or poisonous bites and stings. Being sterile when it leaves the body, urine was then a far safer cleaning agent than the kind of water typically available.
    Hopefully the only part of you that is sterile.
    Also great for jump starting your compost heap
  • Presidio Multi-Strategy Fund to be liquidated
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1464413/000146441314000090/r497e0314.htm
    497 1 r497e0314.htm STARBOARD INVESTMENT TRUST - PRESIDIO MULTI-STRATEGY FUND
    STARBOARD INVESTMENT TRUST
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Presidio Multi-Strategy Fund
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Prospectus Supplement
    March 11, 2014
    This supplement to the prospectus dated September 30, 2013 for Presidio Multi-Strategy Fund, a series of the Starboard Investment Trust, updates the prospectus to include additional information as described below. For further information, please contact the Fund toll-free at 1-800-773-3863. You may obtain additional copies of the prospectus and statement of additional information, free of charge, by writing to the Fund at Post Office Box 4365, Rocky Mount, North Carolina 27803 or calling the Fund toll-free at the number above.
    This supplement is to notify shareholders, prospective investors, and other interested parties that that the Presidio Multi-Strategy Fund will discontinue operations on April 10, 2014. On March 11, 2014, the Fund’s Board of Trustees, in consultation with the Fund’s investment advisor, CV Investment Advisors, LLC, determined that the dissolution and liquidation of the Fund is in the best interests of the Fund and its shareholders. In accordance with the decision, the Board of Trustees has directed that (i) all of the Fund’s portfolio securities be liquidated in an orderly manner and (ii) all outstanding shareholder accounts on April 10, 2014 be closed and the proceeds sent to the shareholder’s address of record or to such other address as directed by the shareholder, including special instructions that may be needed for individual retirement accounts and qualified pension and profit sharing fund accounts. As of the date of this supplement, the Fund is ceasing the sale of new shares and will no longer accept purchase orders. The Fund will accept redemption orders until April 10, 2014.
    This will be considered a sale of Fund shares and shareholders should consult with their own tax advisors to ensure its proper treatment on their income tax returns. In addition, shareholders invested through an individual retirement account or other tax-deferred account should consult their own tax advisors regarding the reinvestment of these assets.
    Shareholders may direct any questions about their account to the Fund at 1-800-773-3863.
  • Muni Bond Costs Hit Investors In Wallet
    FYI: Highlight Copy & Paste 3/11/14: WSJ Matt Wirz: The graphic is missing from link
    Regards,
    Ted
    Investors who put cash into municipal bonds—a widely popular strategy for those seeking safe, tax-free bets—are paying about twice as much in trading commissions as they would for corporate bonds, according to a study for The Wall Street Journal.
    Regulators largely bypassed municipal debt as they transformed much of Wall Street over the past 20 years, but are studying it more closely now.
    Individuals are the biggest participants in the $3.7 trillion industry, which provides funding for states, cities, hospitals and school districts across the country.
    A study of 53,000 municipal and corporate bonds by S&P Dow Jones Indices for The Journal shows how much more investors are trading for the municipal assets.
    Individual investors trading $100,000 in bonds of a municipality, such as Washington state, in December paid brokers an average "spread" of 1.73%, or $1,730. That compares with 0.87%, or $870, paid on a comparable corporate bond, such as one issued by General Electric Capital Corp., the data show.
    Brokers of stocks and corporate bonds must disclose market pricing and give individuals "best execution" on trades, ensuring they receive the best prices possible. In the municipal-bond industry, those protections are absent, allowing brokers to pocket higher spreads by buying the bonds low and selling them high.
    Individual investors, especially retirees, have long been attracted to municipal debt as a relatively safe investment whose interest payments aren't taxed. They own 45% of all municipal bonds directly and another 28% through mutual funds, amounting to a combined $2.7 trillion, according to data from the Federal Reserve.
    The market is supervised by several regulators and structured differently than the stock and corporate-debt markets, and regulation of muni-bond trading has been slow to evolve.
    "I think we can do more here for retail investors," said Michael Piwowar, one of five commissioners on the Securities and Exchange Commission, in an interview. "We spend an awful lot of time on the equities side of the market where spreads are counted in pennies—and in the 'muni' market, spreads are counted in dollars."
    Brokerages say that municipal bonds cost more to trade because they change hands far less frequently and in smaller amounts than do other securities. They have warned that regulatory changes could hurt activity in the municipal market.
    The SEC held hearings on the issue in 2010 and 2011 and proposed changes in a 2012 report, but they haven't been implemented.
    Investors bought and sold $183 billion of municipal bonds last year in trades of $100,000 or less, in line with recent years, according to data from the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board.
    One of those investors was Jack Leonard, a 67-year-old resident of Ipswich, Mass., who on July 23 sold bonds promising a 5% annual interest payment from his home state in two lots of $100,000 each.
    The broker buying the bonds told Mr. Leonard the best price he could get was about $1,030 per bond, or $206,000.
    The following day, a broker sold the same amount of 5% bonds to investors for $1,060 a bond, or $212,000, according to an online history of trading prices maintained by the MSRB. The difference of $6,000 in the two transactions is equal to 3% of the bonds' value.
    It wasn't possible to verify that both trades involved Mr. Leonard's bonds from the MSRB database, which doesn't identify trade participants. But in July, MSRB records show brokers collectively sold $1 million in Massachusetts bonds to investors at a 3% average markup from the prices they paid for them, amounting to $30,000 in profits.
    "That's a lot of money, and the real question is: Why are they allowed to do it?" said Mr. Leonar
    Mike Becker, a retired options trader in Boca Raton, Fla., said he has grown frustrated trying to get his broker at the Merrill Lynch unit of Bank of America to tell him the best bid being offered for the Florida state bonds he wants to sell and has petitioned the SEC to pass rules giving "the public a fairer shake." Josh Ritchie for The Wall Street Journal
    The SEC oversees the MSRB, which sets rules for the industry, and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, which enforces them. Oversight coordination has been poor at times because the market is supervised by three regulators rather than one and the issue has had a low priority in Washington, said Hester Peirce, a former SEC staff attorney who is now a research fellow at George Mason University in Arlington, Va. "I think it's going to be under more scrutiny" going forward, she said, referring to Mr. Piwowar's push and recent proposals by the MSRB.
    MSRB Executive Director Lynnette Kelly said the board "is working closely with the SEC to address market structure issues in a realistic time frame." John Nester, a spokesman for the SEC, said his group and others "work cooperatively on issues affecting the municipal securities market." Staff from Finra and the MSRB meet frequently "to ensure and sustain this collaborative approach," a Finra spokesman said.
    Proposed changes face opposition from brokers, which fund both the MSRB and Finra. Firms such as Charles Schwab & Co. and Wells Fargo Advisors LLC have lobbied against some changes.
    "The devil is always in the details when it comes to new regulations, but we commend the MSRB for bringing this issue forward and urge them to continue this important effort," said Jeff Brown, senior vice president of legislative and regulatory affairs at Schwab. Wells Fargo declined to comment.
    Meanwhile, the lack of pricing information gives mom-and-pop investors little leverage to negotiate.
    "I don't know what the market is, because they won't show me," said Mike Becker, a retired options trader. The 70-year-old Boca Raton, Fla., resident said he has grown frustrated trying to get his broker at the Merrill Lynch unit of Bank of America Corp. to tell him the best bid being offered for the Florida state bonds he wants to sell and has petitioned the SEC to pass rules giving "the public a fairer shake."
    "We have policies and procedures in place that adhere to MSRB guidelines as they pertain to fair pricing," a Merrill spokeswoman said.
    The MSRB proposed a municipal-bond best-execution rule last week that it hopes to enact this year or next and is working on a digital pricing platform, a person familiar with the matter said.
    MSRB Chairman Dan Heimowitz, a banker at RBC Capital Markets Corp., said he is working to balance necessary changes against the risk that a rushed overhaul could spur brokers to quit the market, making it harder for individuals to trade. "That is why we go slowly and methodically, but we haven't given up on this by any means," he said.
    Mr. Piwowar, a former economist who studied trading costs in corporate and municipal bonds, is pushing for fixes he hopes the SEC can enact this year, like requiring brokers to give clients more price information ahead of potential trades. He said stock and corporate-bond brokers also complained that similar reforms would stifle trading when it was imposed on their markets, "but in fact, all the evidence suggests the opposite."
    Peter Coffin, a municipal-bond manager for wealthy individuals at Boston-based Breckenridge Capital Advisors, said it is about time the muni market got an overhaul. "You think of how the retail industry has gone from the local grocery store to Wal-Mart to Amazon," he said. By contrast, he said, "In municipal bonds, we're still shopping at the local grocery store."