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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Oakmark reopens three funds to all investors
    As an investor in Oakmark funds for the past 20 years or so, specifically the international funds, I am not happy to hear this. Both OAKIX and OAKEX performance has suffered recently and I am fairly certain that asset bloat with OAKIX at 23.5 billion AUM and OAKEX at 2.4 billion AUM has been a factor on this poor performance. OAKEX in particular hasn't beaten it arrivals for last 1 yr, 3 yr, 5yr , or 10 yr periods. But I believed in the management and stuck with them all the years albeit cutting back on my exposure to OAKEX to about 25% of my original investment. But I think this may finally bring me to sell the remaining holdings in the fund. I originally invested in OAKEX to get small cap international value/blend exposure which was not offered in my 401K selections which only had foreign LC and Emerging Market as investment options. But now I believe their are several better options in the SC International arena. Funds such as ICMIX, ISMRX, and SBSHX all appear to be more compelling options in the international SC area with ICMIX probably being the standout option IMHO. So while I am glad that Oakmark believes that have some many good investment options, I am saying good bye to at least to OAKEX. So be warned since I am planning on selling OAKEX next year they probably return to stellar performance against their peers - just my luck. Disclosure I currently own 4 Oakmark funds - OAKLX, OAKWX, OAKIX, and OAKEX.
  • any one jumping on the oil/energy train??
    Since 1986, energy as part of a simple, seasonal three sector switching strategy has had it's best statistical profitability in the winter / spring months. 2016 was exceptional .
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NrMJ1hs2zhLrXc-WgjdbA_0uf0KUPzvKdgKUJZvyFCM/edit?usp=sharing
  • VDIGX: closed
    Meh. Not seeing what size has to do with it, pro or con. Chart it against PRBLX, SCHD, and DVY (say) the last 5/4/3/2/1y and compare: sometimes slightly better, sometimes slightly worse, nothing marked either way. Lower TTM yield too, for some reason.
  • recommendation on good replacement for Harbor International fund
    It's always difficult to divine hedging policies, even with M* analyst breadcrumbs. FWIW, M* writes that FMIJX "fully hedges its non-U.S. currency exposure to the dollar." Not merely that it is currently hedged.
    The prospectus, um, hedges its currency policy by saying that it "may hedge a significant portion of its foreign stock investments", but the rest of the sentence suggests a general bias toward hedging: " in an effort to have its returns more closely reflect the market performance of its investments, rather than the value of the currency".
    That is, it hedges to take currency out of the equation, not to protect one way against a rising dollar. That suggests hedging most of the time.
    To build on JoJo26's statement, impressions often don't match reality. It feels like the dollar is going up, but it hasn't over the past year. I suspect that feeling is due to at least a couple of factors: the dollar is already very high (so just standing still, it feels like its value is growing), and Brexit pummeled the pound Sterling (making the dollar look good relative to one currency, though not relative to the world).
  • recommendation on good replacement for Harbor International fund
    For foreign large growth, JOHAX is my choice, although it is recovering from a serious drop in 2015. Over the past few years, I have cut back on pure foreign stock funds in favor of global funds. My best result has been with ARTRX, worst with now-departed Oakmark offerings. Good global managers should be able to allocate more or less to foreign equities as conditions warrant and do it better than I can. If I recall correctly, FMIJX hedges currency when conditions call for it, not always.
  • recommendation on good replacement for Harbor International fund
    While what TD1 says is true about the potential whipsaw when the dollar does finally decline, I wouldn't make your decision for FMIJX based on the FX hedge alone. If you like the way FMI approaches investing, which is to construct a concentrated portfolio of high quality businesses at cheap valuations, then you should still consider the Fund.
    To speak to performance, yes the FX hedge has benefited the Fund longer-term, however, over the past year (through 6/30) the EAFE was down 10% in both USD and local currency terms, and the Fund up 75 bps => hedge has not been the main reason for outperformance. Since inception, the Fund is outperforming EAFE (USD and local).
  • Investors Pulling Money Out Of Prime Money Funds
    @msf- Speaking as an "unnatural person", I'm also wondering what to do with the cash that we've been keeping in American Funds and American Century MMFs. Not particularly worried about safety/stability of either of those companies, but makes nothing there, might make more sense to move to FDIC protection.
    I took a quick look at AC brokerage accounts - curious that they don't seem to say that their sweep options (transaction/core account) will be changing, or even give you the option to choose their government MMF TCRXX.
    You're right that all of AC's MMFs have painfully low yields, ranging from a "high" of 0.07% federally tax free (BNTXX) to a low of 0.01% taxable (TCRXX). I agree with you that at least for a taxable account, if you can wait a day or two for access to your cash, an online savings account (yielding around 1%, insured) looks much better.
    The difficulty is in doing this with IRAs. It's not so easy to move money back and forth between IRAs at different custodians. Which is why the 0.45% MMF yield with FZDXX (Fidelity $500 IRA min) or VMMXX (Vanguard $3K min) seem to make sense for cash in IRAs.
  • Fund Focus: Vanguard REIT ETF: VNQ
    Real estate funds remains 14% our of equity side.
    Side note: the past several weeks have seen very strong swings in pricing on a daily basis close. One half of a percent and greater in both the up and down side of pricing.
    We're staying put with our real estate until something indicates it is time to leave the area.
  • Fund Focus: Vanguard REIT ETF: VNQ
    US REIT sector is one of the brighter sector this year. YTD return of VNQ is up 16.8%.
  • any one jumping on the oil/energy train??
    @MFO Members: After briefly touching bear market territory earlier in the session, crude oil prices have caught a bounce intraday, taking WTI out of bear market territory (20% decline from closing high of $51.23). Despite the bounce, though, crude oil is still down 19.5% from its 2016 high, so it’s still very close to entering a new bear.
    Regards,
    Ted
    Crude Catches A Bounce Out Of Bear Territory:
    https://www.bespokepremium.com/think-big-blog/crude-catches-a-bounce-out-of-bear-territory/
  • any one jumping on the oil/energy train??
    Quite happy with GASFX in the energy sector:
    Returns: 1/3/5/10 yrs:
    +9.87% +11.80% +12.91% +10.58%
    YTD:
    23%
  • Multi-Asset Income Funds
    @JohnChisum, Like you I am facing the same issues with bonds. Perhaps I am a bit early, I reallocated high yield and emerging market debts to US investment grade bonds, intermediate term. Also I am keeping some in Vanguard Total Bond Index In my 401(K). I also notice that some balanced fund such as TRP Capital Appreciation, PRCWX, has reduced bond allocation while holding double digit in cash. Are they telling us something?
  • Investors Pulling Money Out Of Prime Money Funds
    Hi @Old-Joe
    How about ACITX ? This equals gov't. or either of the American's offer a short term gov't. bond fund? Fido has a short duration gov't. bond fund that has a YTD of +1.9%.
    And no, the TIPS fund is not because of inflation, but is getting the action because of investors moving into U.S. gov't. related; as is part of the action for such a fund type.
    My no fee, no guarantee of continued positive movement in something like TIPS funds remains unchanged. Please sign below to trigger the hold-harmless agreement:
    ____________________________
    Have a pleasant time at the river, if you two are traveling that direction.
    Catch
  • Investors Pulling Money Out Of Prime Money Funds
    The quote above talks about generic "investors" pulling cash from MMFs, but the article goes on to write about corporate investors.
    It would be interesting to know whether a disproportionate amount of outflows are coming from the institutional side. Funds open to institutional investors must either be limited to government securities such as Treasuries, or must have a floating NAV. One means low returns, the other means risk of loss.
    In contrast, individual investors ("natural persons") can continue investing in retail MMFs which invest in other securities and still have a fixed $1 NAV. (The gotcha is that in times of stress, they're allowed to impose a redemption fee and/or hold your cash for ten days.)
    The outflow is causing yields to rise (as noted in the article), which is beneficial to individuals, especially in brokerage IRAs. One typically has at best a choice between a bank sweep account paying virtually nothing or in-house MMFs. With yields rising, at least one can now get at least a few cents on a captive sawbuck.
  • Fund Focus: Vanguard REIT ETF: VNQ
    FYI: Real estate securities continue to shore up their popularity with ETF investors, with demand for these income-producing assets accelerating in recent months.
    Vanguard REIT (VNQ) saw $860.4 million net inflow in the month ended July 25 to take its asset haul this year to $4.12 billion, according to analytics firm XTF.com. Investors have poured fresh money into VNQ every month since the February stock market pullback, including $1.33 billion in June alone.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.investors.com/etfs-and-funds/etfs/with-yields-as-high-as-10-real-estate-funds-drum-up-assets-and-appeal/
    M* Snapshot VNQ:
    http://www.morningstar.com/etfs/arcx/vnq/quote.html
    VNQ Is Unranked In The (RE) ETF Category By U.S. News & World Report:
    http://money.usnews.com/funds/etfs/real-estate/vanguard-reit-etf/vnq
  • Q&A With C. Thomas Howard: Is Active Management Dead? Not Even Close
    FYI: Several years ago, I interviewed C. Thomas Howard of AthenaInvest to learn more about his firm’s unique implementation of behavioral finance. This turned out to be one of the best performing pieces of content Enterprising Investor has ever run. But it isn’t just AthenaInvest’s originality that’s so compelling, so too is its strong performance.
    Howard also has an interesting pedigree as a recovering and almost lifelong finance professor turned practitioner. Recently he has focused his attention on another problem: determining whether or not active management is dead. In addition, he is dedicated to uncovering ways active managers can improve their performance — and he has the academic chops to back up his story.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2016/07/26/is-active-management-dead-not-even-close/
  • Investors Pulling Money Out Of Prime Money Funds
    FYI: (This is a follow-up article).
    Assets in money market funds that invest in short-term corporate debt securities have fallen to 17-year lows, according to new data from the Investment Company Institute, a fund industry trade group. Investors are pulling their money from the investment vehicles ahead of money market fund reform due to take effect in October.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2016/07/28/investors-pulling-money-out-of-prime-money-funds/