Those top ten lists (I didn't look that closely) are really interesting. From the brief descriptions, I had assumed that the only difference between the indexes would be the cutoff in the number of stocks selected - a fixed top
100 for the new, and more or fewer for the old (depending on how many stocks were ranked A- or better). Also that the relative weights would be the same (just scaled differently because there would be different numbers of stocks in the two lists).
I was wrong on both counts. The reordering of top ten (e.g. J&J moved from 4th to
1st) shows the weighting algorithm is different. The presence of Apple in the new but not the old index shows that the candidate stocks are different as well - either that or Apple got a really low weighting in the old index, which seems unlikely (even with a different weighting algorithm).
All of this raises the question - what are you looking for in a substitute? Same stocks (as implied by your suggested alternative)? Similar sector weightings? Same style box (cap size/style)? Same geography (US, or is foreign okay)? Yield? Concentration?
The M* basic (free) ETF screener can do a pretty good job, if you know what you're looking for. If you just use a single criterion: ETFs with at least 20% in industrials, you've already eliminated 93% of the ETFs in the database. (Note, I'm using the GIC Industrials classification, not M*' Industrials category, since the classifications posted above are GICs).
If we ignore sector ETFs and foreign ones, we're down to just 8 large cap blends (including SPHQ), 3 midcaps, and 8 small caps.
If we look for funds with at least
10% consumer staples (including companies like Hormel), we've eliminated 99% of ETFs. All of those remaining have a fair amount of consumer discretionary. Focusing on the diversified US ETFs, we have just six large cap blends (including SPHQ), and one mid cap.
Eyeballing these, the closes appears to be First Trust Capital Strength (FTCS). Closest in industrials (25.95% vs. 26.85%), it is also fairly close in the consumer categories: staples (20.23% vs.
17.60%) and discretionary (
16.
12% vs.
19.
19%). Trailing twelve month yield is also very similar, at
1.94% vs.
1.8
1%.
The portfolio is more concentrated, with 50 stocks vs.
132 for SPHQ. But NOBL also has just 50 stocks, so that doesn't seem to be a concern for you.
The overlap of FTCS with SPHQ seems about the same as that of NOBL.
- FTCS doesn't have #
1 Hormel, but it does hold #2 Raytheon while NOBL doesn't.
- Neither NOBL nor FTCS hold #3 Ross, #6 Yum, #7 Nike, or #
10 Disney.
- All of them have a healthy slug of #4 J&J.
- Only FTCS shares #5 Omnicom and #9 Lockheed; only NOBL shares #8 McCormick.
Overlap using M*'s stock intersection (premium) tool.
Here's a tool for looking at ETF correlation, unfortunately FTCS isn't in its database.
http://www.etfreplay.com/correlation.aspxBut that's just one way of looking for similar ETFs. What you consider similar depends on what you consider important. Me, I'd just get VIG (or more likely, VDADX) and call it a day. It's among the six large cap blend finalists, cheaper, also focused on high quality stocks, from a great fund sponsor, much higher volume and AUM (for ETF pricing purposes).
Or if you're open to actively managed funds, VDIGX. Here's a M* column comparing the two Vanguard funds:
http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=666314