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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Good ol' Fairholme
    Thanks BaluBalu.
    I extracted the paragraphs below from our 2021 MICUS report. A bit dated, but I believe M* has continued to grow its business even higher in the 3 years since.
    The Business
    If attendance at Morningstar The Conference was down this year, it does not reflect the success of Morningstar The Business, in spite of COVID or perhaps helped by it. Since Kapoor took over CEO in 2017, employees have doubled, as have MORN’s valuations. The company’s market cap has nearly quadrupled.
    Adding to its acquisition of private equity tracker Pitchbook, the company acquired credit rating firm DBRS in 2019 and ESG rating firm Sustainalytics in 2020.
    Since most people probably think of Morningstar as just the “Good Housekeeping” of the fund industry, it’s probably worth listing all their current products:
    • DBRS Morningstar – Independent rating services and …
    • Morningstar Advisor Workstation – Investment research, financial planning, client reporting …
    • Morningstar Data – Global equity, managed investments, and market data …
    • Morningstar Direct – Advanced portfolio analytics and performance reporting …
    • PitchBook – Data, analysis, industry news, and in-depth reports on the private and public markets …
    • ESG Investing Solutions – Assessments of ESG risks and opportunities across asset classes …
    • Financial Planning Solutions – Web-based financial planning tools for advisors
    • Sustainalytics – Sustainable investment strategies and security-level ESG research and ratings …
    • Morningstar Office – Web-based portfolio and practice management …
    • Morningstar Research – Independent, comprehensive evaluations on equities, funds …
    • Morningstar Annuity Intelligence – Annuity research for professional investors
    • Morningstar ByAllAccounts – Account-aggregation and financial-management tools…
    • Morningstar Commodities & Energy – Research and data in the commodities and energy sectors …
    • Morningstar Credit Information and Analytics – Credit tools and research …
    • Morningstar Enterprise Components – Configurable, ready-to-integrate enterprise software …
    • Morningstar Essentials – Investment statistics and ratings for institutional marketing professionals
    • Goal Bridge – Goal-setting and investment planning for financial advisors
    • Morningstar Investment Research Center – Comprehensive investment resources for library patrons
    • Morningstar Reporting Solutions – Marketing materials, regulatory documents, and other custom …
    • Manager Selection Services – Manager selection and investment analysis for financial advisors
    • Morningstar Total Rebalance Expert – Tax-aware rebalancing for financial advisors
    • Morningstar Indexes – Product benchmarking & creation for financial institutions and asset managers
    • Managed Portfolios – Mutual fund, stock, and exchange-traded fund portfolios …
    • Morningstar Retirement Manager – Workplace retirement account service for plan sponsors
    • Advisor Managed Accounts – Managed accounts for registered investment advisors
    • Morningstar Fiduciary Services – Investment selection, portfolio monitoring, and portfolio reporting …
    • Morningstar Plan Advantage – Comprehensive retirement-plan management …
    • Target-Date Solutions – Target-date funds for plan sponsors
    • Morningstar Premium – Analysis of stocks, funds, and markets, plus tools …
    • Morningstar Investor Newsletters – Investment strategies and in-depth analysis …
    Morningstar’s founder and chairman, Joe Mansueto, retains about 45% of outstanding shares, representing a current value of about $5 billion. If there is someone vested in Chicago’s recovery, it would be him. He purchased the historic Wrigley Building in 2018 and most recently the Waldorf Astoria Chicago. He owns Major League Soccer’s Chicago Fire. He remains a large donor to the University of Chicago, his alma mater.

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    One of the businesses Morningstar entered just under three years ago was their own brand of mutual funds, which replaced other funds in its Managed Portfolios business. The nine funds have accumulated $5.3B in AUM, or about $44M in additional fees for Morningstar.
    At the time, it seemed awkward to us [here’s David’s Take] and it remains awkward for Morningstar to offer its own competing funds. What’s worse is that so far they have performed unremarkably, as can be seen in the table below. As a fiduciary, I would be hard-pressed to defend why these funds were chosen over others recommended by Morningstar’s own research teams. None of the funds will qualify for Morningstar’s “5 Star” rating when they soon reach the 3-year mark. Morningstar is also a sub-advisor of five other funds for ALPS. These five ETF asset-allocation portfolios suffer even worse performance; in fact, Morningstar itself ranks the ALPS family “Below Average.”

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  • Baby Bonds Mutual Fund
    Baby bonds (I believe) are bonds that are traded on exchanges in denominations less than $1,000….usually $25, although some are $50 and some are $100 (or other par prices). There are also preferred stocks that trade similarly (in denominations, exchanges, etc.), but baby bonds are higher in the capital stack, have call and due/maturity dates, and generally trade more muted (lower volatility) than preferred stock (which are closer to equity—or the bottom—of the capital stack).
    I know trading individual baby bonds (or any other security) can be a PITA, but if you spend some time looking at individual baby bonds, you can get yields easily of 6% or higher (usually called stripped or current yield), with built in capital gains if buying under par, that adds to the return (usually called yield to maturity or yield to call).
    PIMCO also has a fund that invests in baby bonds and preferreds….PFANX is the A share version of it.
    I have invested in several individual preferreds and baby bonds, so am happy to answer any more questions; usually ETF or mutual fund versions that hold these funds have several limitations (usually liquidity and excessive exposure to financial companies because these are the most likely to issue these securities) that hurt longer term returns.
  • Baby Bonds Mutual Fund
    Checked HOBAX / HOBIX. It does invests in BDC baby bonds. HOBAX is no-load/NTF at Fido only (not at Schwab).
    https://www.holbrookfunds.com/_files/ugd/0b9fcd_f222282487f94c3490f5c24fb5daa6e6.pdf
  • Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF in registration
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1771146/000199937124008566/roar-485apos_071224.htm
    Excerpt:
    Principal Investment Strategies
    The Fund is an actively managed exchange-traded fund (“ETF”). Under normal circumstances, the Fund invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus the amount of borrowings, if any, for investment purposes) in catastrophe bonds. Catastrophe bonds, also known as event-linked or insurance-linked bonds, are structured securities whereby insurers or reinsurers transfer specific risks, typically those associated with severe events such as catastrophes or natural disasters, to capital market investors. These investments also may cover risks such as mortality, longevity and operational risks. For purposes of the Fund’s 80% test, catastrophe bonds include other forms of insurance-linked securities (“ILS”), including quota share instruments (a form of proportional reinsurance in which an investor participates in the premiums and losses of a reinsurer’s portfolio of catastrophe-oriented policies), bonds or notes issued in connection with excess-of-loss, stop-loss, or other non-proportional reinsurance (“Excess of Loss Notes”), collateralized reinsurance investments and industry loss warranties, event-linked swaps, and other insurance-and reinsurance-related securities.
    Trigger Events
    Trigger events with respect to the Fund’s investments typically relate to natural disasters or events, including hurricanes, windstorms, tornados, fires, floods, and other weather-related phenomena. Trigger events may also include earthquakes and tsunamis. In addition, catastrophe bonds may have trigger events that are non-natural catastrophes, such as plane crashes, or other events resulting in a specified level of physical or economic loss, such as mortality or longevity (life-span). The Fund does not expect to invest significantly in such securities.
    Trigger events are typically defined by three criteria: an event; a geographic area in which the event must occur; and a threshold of economic or physical loss (either actual or modeled) caused by the event, together with a method to measure such loss. In order for a trigger event to be deemed to have occurred, each of the three criteria must be satisfied while the bond is outstanding. The Fund has no limit as to the types of natural catastrophes, geographic areas or thresholds of loss referenced by event-linked bonds in which it can invest. Generally, the event is a natural peril of a kind that results in significant physical or economic loss.
    https://www.artemis.bm/news/brookmont-launch-exchange-traded-cat-bond-fund-catastrophic-bond-etf/
  • CrossingBridge Nordic High Income Bond Fund in registration
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1141819/000089418924004051/crossingbridgenordic485a.htm
    Excerpt:
    Principal Investment Strategies
    Under normal market conditions, the Fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing at least 80% of its net assets, (plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes) in income producing bonds that are issued, originated, or underwritten out of the Nordic Countries (as defined below). The Adviser considers the Nordic Countries to be Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. The Adviser will construct the Fund’s portfolio by investing in corporate bonds including, but not limited to, fixed or floating rate bonds, zero-coupon bonds and convertible bonds, and bonds issued by governments, government agencies or government instrumentalities of the Nordic Countries.
  • DJT in your portfolio - the first two funds reporting (edited)
    DJT up 53% in pre-market trade.
    Meme stocks will do that....
  • Rotation City. U.S. equity and bonds
    @BaluBalu, losing Super Micro and Deckers probably didn't help. Despite all that, still ahead of the 500.
    If it was you who talked me into buying it, thank you very much. I was replacing Vanguard CSRP-based funds that were more alike than different. I am much happier with the mix in my taxable than I was.
  • American Funds active ETFs
    American Funds issues of the last 15-20 years was largely due to fund size making them giant closet indexes. These ETF's have a ton of room to run and I've always been a big fan of their management process. I likely will forgo investing in them but will continue to pay attention.
  • MRFOX
    So the outperformance of the Marshfield equity composite from late 1989 thru mid 2020 vs sp500 was 283bps annually. Looking briefly at MRFOX vs sp500 since inception of the mutual fund was approx 260 bps. That outperformance over time is huge.
    So from where I sit, seems to me that is similar outperformance. Now, the real question is if it's repeatable or not?
  • Rising Auto & Home Insurance Costs
    Good article.
    Good to see insurance premiums is getting a lot of attention. Hopefully, we as a country will find soon a solution to this chaos.
    On a different thread we discussed how insurance companies charge higher home insurance premiums if they perceive the homeowner may have personal risky behavior. Many forum members own their homes outright or have very little LTV, which I would consider a very low risk pool. Not sure why these forum members had yearly increases in premium of 20-55%. Only the insurance companies seem to know what they are doing.
  • ESTATE PLANNING. The Whole Enchilada
    Recently @yogibearbull linked in 'off topic', an estate planning article he wrote for a news publication.
    Considering the vast knowledge and experience here, this topic deserves a full overview here; for the benefit of all involved in our lives.
    I'll place next, the text of a Word document we produced about 25 years ago. This document has had many adds over the years.
    -----
    PERSONAL INFO FOR (NAMES)
    UPDATED/EFFECTIVE DATE = XXXXXXXXXX
    NOTE !!!!!   The below listings would be used in conjunction with any of the following legal forms that should be established for and by you for yourself and family members:
    WILL, TRUST (there are many trust styles; i.e., revocable living trust, irrevocable, etc.) https://store.kiplinger.com/family_records_organizer_download.html GENERAL POWER OF ATTORNEY, DURABLE POWER OF ATTORNEY FOR PROPERTY AND MONIES, LIVING WILL AND/OR DURABLE POWER OF ATTORNEY FOR HEALTH CARE and HIPAA authorization and release form (allowing release of pertinent private medical information to authorized persons)
    SOCIAL SECURITY NUMBERS:
    *** full legal name, ssn#
    DRIVER LICENSE #’S:
    *** full legal name
    HEALTH/DENTAL INSURANCE; names, policy type & numbers, contact phone #’s
    MEDICARE, MEDICAID OR OTHER FEDERAL OR STATE RELATED
    ***relative information for any of these or related documents/forms
    CREDIT CARDS:
    *** issuers, card numbers, their phone #’s, etc.
          
    INSURANCE POLICIES:
    -home 
    -auto
    -life
    -other
    ELECTRONIC DEVICES UNLOCKS:   passwords, keypad method, thumb, facial or voice
    RECIPIENT/BENEFICIARY MONIES FROM OTHERS OR A BUSINESS:
    -are you listed in someone’s will/trust/business agreement that should be documented here? Is someone your beneficiary and needs to made aware of this?
    PERSONAL AND REAL PROPERTY:
    -real estate, cars, and personal property (collections, artwork, boats, jet skis and anything else one considers that others need to be aware of.
    ALSO indicate as to what property is PAID IN FULL and OWNED
    LIABILITIES:
    -home mortgage
    -home equity loans
    -auto loans
    -all other monies owed to a third party
    * provide all pertinent information regarding these liabilities: what, where, who, etc.
    PERSONAL RETIREMENT ACCOUNTS:
    401K, 403B, 457, IRA’S, COMPANY PENSION PLAN:    
    *vested company pension plans may be set with a spousal/beneficiary statement
    CHILD/CHILDREN ACCTS (EDUCATIONAL, 529, SAVINGS, ETC.):
    ANNUITIES:
    BROKERAGE/STOCK/MUTUAL FUND ACCTS:
    Note: contact info…phone numbers, acct numbers, login info, etc.
    CHECKING/SAVING ACCOUNTS: organization, acct. #’s, contact names/phone #’s
    Note: whose names are on the accounts???
    SAFE DEPOSIT BOX: location & box number
    NOTE…..who has a signed contract for access and who has a key
    PASSWORDS:  home pc, pc documents, all online accounts; which may require security questions ansers and/or two factor verify with the code being sent via email or a cell phone number
    DOCUMENTS LOCATION (physical  papers, etc.):
    NOTE……indicate where these “original” documents are located
    -check book, payment books (house payment, home equity, etc.)
    -will, trust, power of attorney, living/medical will, guardianship (child)
    -house deed/title
    -auto titles
    -cemetery plot/ownership documents
    -IRS/State, previous tax years filings
    -passports
    -birth, marriage & related documents
    -business/work required license
    PHYSICIAN/DENTIST & related:
    -preferred medical doctors and facility, all phone numbers and related
    -daily medications list
    -drug allergies
    -allergies
    -blood type
    -immunizations
    -brief medical history
    EMPLOYER CONTACT INFO:
    -this would include pension plan contact information
    -local contact info, names and phone numbers
    -human resources
    -coworkers
    CHILD’S SCHOOL & RELATED CONTACT INFO:
    FAMILY/FRIEND CONTACT INFO (email, phone/mailing address):
    CPA, ATTORNEY & related:
    MEMBERSHIPS, SUBSCRIPTIONS (publications, societies, etc.):
    LIST OF USUAL MONTHLY BILLS  (phone, utilities, cable tv, etc.)
    -WHEN and how are recurring payments made? Electronic or paper check
    PETS (local vet contact info):
    -deposition of  pet(s), upon owner impairment or death
    GENERAL COMMENTS & INSTRUCTIONS related to this info listing:
    ******** As to the list above, one may copy and paste into a Word document as a starting document to build upon.
    As expected, some areas will need to updated as needed. ALSO, the CAPS in the document I've set in BOLD, and some line items are in RED. An example(s) would be Medicare numbers changed several years ago. Most VISA and DEBIT card numbers expire every 4 years. We've had to add doctors info and medications taken (it's an age thing). We have a separate list for common recurring payments. Some are with VISA, ACH via the checking acct. and few random payments; one being a once a year payment for an inflation protected insurance policy for a high end musical instrument. This payment request arrives, in the mail, every May. We decide how to pay at that time. Also, our local real estate taxes and water/sewers bills are always sent in the mail. There isn't a payment plan that may be set.
    Our Word document is password protected in a laptop, has thumb drive backup and paper copies. Your storage methods may vary; but those who need to be aware of this information need to know this, too.
    An example of what may help you with gaining more knowledge are YouTube finds. This will provide an example for TOD/POD set ups.
    Ok for now. I'm ready for a nap on this hot and humid day in Michigan. I plan to add more at a later time.
    Share your experiences and suggestions with all things for 'estate planning'.
    Thank you.
    Remain curious,
    Catch
  • MRFOX
    @stillers - look up performance of Marshfield equity composite...Mr Niemszewski was managing the fund back in late 89' (do your own homework, not like I spent 10 hours researching this)...absolutely blows away SP500...from 12/89 thru 6/2020 composite returns were ~ 3530% vs 1568% SP...I'd say that was outperformance...
    https://issuu.com/biglehart2016/docs/marshfield_associates_for_rbc_june_2020_equity_bro
    Ugh.
    I apparently already did more research on MFROX than it appears you have, yet you seem to want to glorify it for 30 year performance THAT NEVER HAPPENED!
    Maybe YOU should re-read my post as YOU didn't answer my very simple question.
    Let me try to make it even more clear:
    MRFOX did not EXIST prior to 12/28/15. (See my prior post that provides pretty clear evidence of that FACT.)
    So why are you referencing ANY period or performance prior to 12/28/15 in a discussion specifically about MRFOX?
    Either clearly answer that specific question or don't bother posting anything else in response.
    Guessing where you're coming from here:
    Managers often manage a lot of different funds over their tenures. But their respective performances are fund-specific, NOT aggregate. Duh.
    Oh, and your link was worthless in relation to this question.
  • MRFOX
    @stillers - look up performance of Marshfield equity composite...Mr Niemszewski was managing the fund back in late 89' (do your own homework, not like I spent 10 hours researching this)...absolutely blows away SP500...from 12/89 thru 6/2020 composite returns were ~ 3530% vs 1568% SP...I'd say that was outperformance...
    https://issuu.com/biglehart2016/docs/marshfield_associates_for_rbc_june_2020_equity_bro
  • MRFOX
    Positive vibes on this fund is for a couple reasons. Long term record going back 30 years with same strat is outstanding vs sp500. Up/ downside not even close. Very experienced fund MGMT, not just one star manager. Doesn't hold any of the glamour tech stocks
    ...
    Baseball fan
    What do you mean by "Positive vibes on this fund is for a couple reasons. Long term record going back 30 years..."
    This fund's Inception Date is 12/28/15.
    https://marshfieldfunds.com/fund-facts/
    Excerpt:
    1 Year 3 Year* 5 Year* Since Inception (12/28/15)*
    https://www.morningstar.com/funds/xnas/mrfox/people
    Excerpt:
    Management Team
    Elise J. Hoffmann
    Dec 29, 2015–Present
    Christopher M. Niemczewski
    Dec 29, 2015–Present
    Chad Goldberg
    Dec 29, 2022–Present

  • Good ol' Fairholme
    I held 3 funds most of the years between 2000-10...FAIRX,SGIIX,OAKBX because the SP500 was not good (it lost money for 10 years). In 2010, I replaced the above funds with US LC tilting growth. So, I want to thank Bruce.
    I don't care how good any manager is, when their funds don't work, and I don't care why, I switch.
  • Bloomberg Real Yield
    12 July, 2024:
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2024-07-12/bloomberg-real-yield-07-12-2024
    Refused to load, at first. Had to turn off one of my (new) adblockers. Stinky poopy cruddy and fecal. But I swallowed hard and did it.
    Wow. That blue dress...
    Interviewees did not surprise. Sonali Basak quoted BARCLAY'S: we should right now SHORT 5-year Treasuries. Jaypers. No, I don't play in that pool. I'll stick to my known knitting.
  • Good ol' Fairholme
    @Shostakovich - I just plucked these two items quickly off a google search. However I am of the opinion that former CEO Eddie Lampert basically drove it into the ground. I never did understand why Berkowitz was so enamored with him other than he saw prospects for all the real estate controlled by Sears and later Seritage Growth Properties.
    1) What happened to Sears Holdings?
    It was the 20th-largest retailing company in the United States in 2015. It filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on October 15, 2018, and sold its assets to ESL Investments in 2019. The new owner moved Sears assets to its newly formed subsidiary Transformco and after that, Sears Holdings Corporation was closed.
    2) What caused the downfall of Sears?
    The Downfall of Sears: A Failure to Embrace Digital ...
    Sears' inability to execute on delivering these omnichannel experiences is just one of the many ways this former retail hero let down its once-booming customer base. Sears ultimately failed because of its reluctance to fully believe in the consequences of a rapidly changing retail landscape.
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    (I’m moving these comments first made in the euphoric markets thread to the “Buy / Sell” thread instead where they better belong.)
    Sold all 3 stocks owned Friday. NSRGY: Averaged IN @$102 / OUT @$105.50. Decent 7-week gain. Also sold GHC and CNS which I reported buying on June 26. Both had risen 8-10% since I bought them (not bad for 17 days). Tired of the toys for now. Funds are so much easier to work with and vastly less risky. I think the first 2 stocks mentioned above have further to run. The third (CNS) appears to be overvalued - unless it’s under consideration as an acquisition - as is sometimes rumored.
    Proceeds went to open a stake in GAA , a Cambria fund managed by Meb Faber, who also runs an etf with the symbol ”TOKE”. (What could possibly go wrong here?)
    Added - I have also gradually reduced my equity exposure (as determined by Fido’s screener) from 45% a few weeks ago to about 37% as of today.