Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Rotation City. U.S. equity and bonds
    Those hot SCG funds are for YTD (really, StockCharts 11/1/23-). But ANYTHING that beats SP500 these days attracts attention, especially SCG. Not all are recognized by StockCharts, but they are by MFO Premium.
    https://i.ibb.co/L1yX6J0/Hot-SCG-YTD.png
    https://i.ibb.co/hspBB3g/Not-Hot-SCG-3-Yrs.png
    image
  • Good ol' Fairholme
    Didn't FAIRX take a big bet on Government backed bonds (Freddie/Fannie) that never panned out in the short term?
    https://reuters.com/article/us-usa-fannie-freddie-idUSBRE94S19F20130529/
    Seemed almost criminal the way the government reneged on their payment obligations on those bonds and BB (FAIRX) sued US Government as I recall.
    Tens years later shareholders (maybe FAIRX)?) win in court:
    significant-trial-victory-in-helping-fannie-mae-and-freddie-mac-shareholders-recoup-612-million-in-class-action
  • Rotation City. U.S. equity and bonds
    Info from Schwab 5/31 which may interest you.
    Cash 16%
    79 % Micro + SC
    134 % Turnover
    My thought - can they handle a large inflow of $$$ ?
  • Rotation City. U.S. equity and bonds
    @BaluBalu
    SCV AUERX has been on our watch list for about a year. Probably shoulda bought it back then. The ER has always been a bit of a turnoff for us but the performance, like you said, has been very good for the past 5 years.
    Considering it and a few others, including some SCG funds yogi listed in this week's Barron's summary.
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/nvidia-broadcom-meta-stocks-to-buy-roundtable-68451d5e?mod=djem_b_magazine_20240713
    HISGX/HASGX
    CTSAX/CTSIX
    JSJAX/JSJIX
    CWSAX/CWSGX
    HRSRX/HRSMX
    We have not reviewed any of these and have no comment on any of them yet.
    Having however very recently jettisoned SCG NEAGX to reduce Tech exposure and risk, not sure we want to venture too deep back into SCs...yet. Will be looking for one with low Tech exposure. Note that AUERX has only 7.8% in Tech.
    Also considering a broader stroke approach via equal weighted index funds RSP/VADAX, or simply doing nothing!
    Let's see what next week holds RE: what CNBC this week dubbed, the (sic) "Great Rotation"!
  • The Week in Charts | Charlie Bilello
    The Week in Charts (07/12/24)
    The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
    00:00 Intro
    00:15 Topics
    01:11 Down Goes Inflation
    08:23 Here Come the Rate Cuts
    16:50 The Rotation Heard Round the World
    22:58 An All-Time High a Day
    24:50 Last 10 Years: Fundamental Gains vs. Share Price Gains
    27:25 Costco's Highest Valuation Ever
    29:45 Nike's Biggest Drawdown Since 2000
    31:29 The Most Important Chart in an Economy
    Video
  • MRFOX
    A quick update -
    June Fund Facts and commentary are out.
    https://marshfieldfunds.com/fund-facts/
    https://marshfieldfunds.com/commentary/
    25% cash
    "While the cash we now hold . . . clips our wings a bit in terms of our ability to keep pace with the currents propelling today’s market, we don’t care. In taking the long view, we choose to embrace discretion over temporary gains, happy to exchange probabilistically fleeting prices for the optionality of cash and the relative safety of lower altitudes and reduced turbulence."
    (Is there a middle finger image in there I missed?!)
    Managers do not disclose how much they invest in the fund, except to state that they own more than $1M - pretty standard language. I was looking to find the actual amount invested / owned - a few fund managers do such a disclosure, though not common.
    This fund managers also manage separate accounts with total assets of $4.8B spread over 5,200 accounts. The fund AUM is <$900M. Not sure why we had a discussion about the fund potentially closing around $1B - it does not really matter.
    https://marshfieldfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/2023-1229-Marshfield-SAI-final.pdf
  • Variable Annuity(s) as sold by insurance sales folks. Real time knowledge of fees,recurring fees.
    @yogibearbull Thank you and to @msf for the input to this post.
    Fidelity's VA. If you're curious, these are the FIDO VA investment choices (65). They provide return/ER information in general with this list and you may click the ticker for a bit more information. I think this is a decent presentation for the VA.
  • Fido or Schwab
    5 year chart: SCHW up +101.63% (M*.)
    If I were looking in that direction, I'd have no qualms about dollar-cost-averaging into it.
    July 7: Charles Schwab upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette.
  • Fido or Schwab
    Was going to post in comparison thread , but a different question. Which stock would you buy ? Fido pays dividends twice a year & Chuck 4 times ! Fido looks to be at 5 year high, Chuck has room to grow or is it GO ! I didn't look deeper.
  • Fido first impressions (vs Schwab)
    @MikeM - look at Page 35 of their 2023 10K (Total Net Revenues). 50% of their income is Net Interest Revenue, which includes uninvested client cash.
    https://content.schwab.com/web/retail/public/about-schwab/SEC_Form10k_2023.pdf
    The definition of Net Interest Revenue is right below the chart:

    "Schwab’s primary interest-earning assets include cash and cash equivalents; cash and investments segregated; margin loans,which constitute the majority of receivables from brokerage clients; investment securities; and bank loans. "

    ... ok, so maybe not 50% is ALL from uninvested client cash (poor wording on my part, sorry) but the general consensus in the community is that by not paying interest on those funds Schwab, like many other banks, reaps a huge source of easy income / cost savings.
  • Variable Annuity(s) as sold by insurance sales folks. Real time knowledge of fees,recurring fees.
    The TIAA VAs that yogi is writing about are the CREF annuities. TIAA invented variable annuities for the predecessor of 403(b) plans back in 1952. These qualified annuities are different from the non-qualified annuities that Catch is asking about.
    Non-qualified annuities are funded with after tax dollars. From an IRS perspective they are similar to non-deductible T-IRAs. Like IRAs, they have a penalty if you take withdrawals before age 59½. One difference is that unless you annuitize, the non-deductible dollars are the last ones out, unlike non-deductible T-IRAs, where withdrawals are prorated between pre- and post-tax dollars.
    If one disregards typically expensive optional bells and whistles (enhanced death benefits, GLWBs, etc.), VAs can be used as non-deductible T-IRAs after maxing out one's IRA contributions. Unlike T-IRAs, they do not have RMDs at age 73 or so; however they do require one to withdraw money or annuitize at an age specified in the contract (usually somewhere between 85 and 90 or 95).
    VAs all carry a variety of charges. Each contract sets its own rates, just as each mutual fund sets its own fees. Morgan Stanley (see link below) does a good job of giving industry ranges. Read the paper if you care to know what these fees are for:
    Mortality and Expense Risk (M&E): 0.20% - 1.80%
    Administrative and Distribution Fees: 0.00% - 0.60%
    Annual Fee: $30 - $50, waived with high enough balance (typically $50K)
    Contingent Deferred Sales Chage (CDSC) - think "class B shares" - 0% to 9% declining
    https://www.morganstanley.com/content/dam/msdotcom/en/assets/pdfs/wealth-management-disclosures/understandingvariableannuities.pdf
    As you can see from these ranges, there are some VAs with low "wrapper" fees (the first three charges), and that don't charge a fee to get out (no CDSC). The Fidelity Personal Retirement Annuity mentioned by catch (0.25% wrapper fees) is one such annuity. Until 2019 Vanguard had its own VA. At the time I believe its wrapper fee was 0.30%. There are others.
    Of note, especially since yogi mentioned TIAA, is TIAA Intelligent Variable Annuity. Its fees depend on the size of the annuity, ranging from 0.50% (plus $25 if under $25K) to 0.35% (at $100K) and 0.25% (at $500K). The kicker is that after ten years, the wrapper fee drops to 0.10% regardless of balance. See prospectus.
    Schwab sells a low cost VA (Genesis Life from Protective Life) with a 0.45% wrapper fee. There are a few others (I recall Pacific Life being one); search for no-load variable annuities.
    As with 401(k)s, one also needs to consider the costs of the underlying portfolios. Like mutual funds, these come in multiple share classes. So it's not enough to simply look at the VA portfolio fund, but its share class. For example, both Fidelity and TIAA sell Pimco VIT Commodity Real Return Strategy. But Fidelity sells the Administrative class shares (see the prospectus it links to) with 1.48% ER after waivers, while TIAA sells the institutional class shares with an ER of 1.33% (see its fund prospectus).
    Last and probably least :-) are a couple of comments about M*'s coverage of VAs. When comparing star ratings (if you can find them) M* has two different sets of ratings. One is for the fund itself (could vary by share class), the other is for the fund within the VA, i.e. including the wrapper fees. Most funds will tend to get high star ratings in the low cost VAs simply because they cost about 3/4% less than in "average" VAs. All those 4 and 5 star ratings are relatively meaningless if what you're interested in is the risk-adjusted performance of the underlying funds.
    Second is that one can still eke out some VA info from M*. One has to search for a hidden "ticker" symbol of the fund of interest. That ain't easy. For example, here's the google search I did for dfa VA international value portfolio. It turned up a FT page with a ticker-like value of 0P00003CY8. In M*'s portfolio manager, create a portfolio with this as the sole holding, you'll be able to get a little info, including its YTD gain of 9.48%. And if you have premium membership, you'll be able to x-ray that portfolio to find that it is 98% foreign, with 54% in LCV.
    If you add "pdf" to the search string, you might even turn up a 2 page M* report on the portfolio, such as this one at Pacific Life. (Just check the date to make sure you found a current report.)
  • Fido first impressions (vs Schwab)
    " in 2023 Schwab made 50% of their revenue from interest on uninvested cash"
    @rforno, @Old_Joe, I don't find anywhere where the interest from uninvested cash is 50% of their revenue. I do find this, below, that lays out where the 50%+ interest income is coming from, but interest income comes from many sources.
    Charles Schwab makes more than half of its money from interest earning assets like margin loans, investment securities, and bank loans.
    According to page 146 of Schwab’s latest 10-K Form, they brought in roughly $6.5 billion of revenue from interest. The breakdown of interest earning assets and revenue are as follows:
    Available for sale securities: $4.5 billion
    Receivables from brokerage clients: $848 million
    Bank loans: $545 million
    Securities lending revenue: $334 million
    Cash and investments segregated: $141 million
    Cash and cash equivalents: $120 million
    The order of how Schwab makes it's money.
    #1. Interest Revenue (From Interest Earning Assets)
    #2. Asset Management And Administration Fees
    #3. Trading Revenue
    #4. Bank Deposit Account Fees
    #5. Other Revenue
    Edit: Just a bet, but I'm guessing this model is very similar to a Fidelty or other major brokerage model, just a tweak in each of the revenue streams.
    https://custommapposter.com/article/how-charles-schwab-makes-money-11-7b-in-revenue-business-model/1781
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    In the IRA: Have finally been able to sell GPGCX and VEXAX that were acquired in the fall of 2021.
    Funny story, to me anyway, the day after I bought VEXAX I was reading a thread here wherein msf and Yogi had a chat about what a lousy index it was. Oy vey iz mir. I'll say one thing for it, it has recovered quicker than FSSNX and NUSC. :).
    I'm pretty well setup where I want to be with equity and sector funds at current valuations, so most of the proceeds will go into XONE (or similar) after I give XMHQ a little bump.
    There is some money set aside for slowly feeding into FDSVX on down days.
    Other than that, I guess I could end up over 40% in bonds and cash unless this rotation rally skyrockets.
    BTW, while I was there I gave a 15% shot to THOPX, MNHAX, and WCPNX as my bonds were already at 68% short duration with more money on the way.
  • Fidelity U.S. Multifactor ETF (FLRG)
    According to Port Vis --- it did better than VOO in 21 & 22 (not losing as much in 22) but not as good in 23 or so far in 24. ~72% of its holdings are in the top 50 stocks out of a total of 103 holdings. It has a lower SD. It hasn't been around long enough for me to consider it. It's a little safer than VOO but my equity side is all in. If I think I need an equity fund with lower SD I need to look at my overall allocation.
  • Janus Henderson International Sustainable Equity ETF will be liquidated
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1500604/000139834424012582/fp0089127-2_497.htm
    497 1 fp0089127-2_497.htm
    Janus Detroit Street Trust
    Janus Henderson International Sustainable Equity ETF
    Supplement dated July 11, 2024
    to Currently Effective Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and
    Statement of Additional Information (“SAI”)
    The Board of Trustees of Janus Detroit Street Trust (the “Trust”) approved a plan to liquidate and terminate Janus Henderson International Sustainable Equity ETF (the “Fund”), effective on or about October 15, 2024 (the “Liquidation Date”). After the close of business on or about October 10, 2024, the Fund will no longer accept creation orders. Trading in the Fund will be halted prior to market open on or about October 11, 2024. Proceeds of the liquidation are currently scheduled to be sent to shareholders on or about October 16, 2024. Termination of the Fund is expected to occur as soon as practicable following the liquidation.
    Prior to and through the close of trading on NYSE Arca, Inc. (“NYSE”) on October 10, 2024, the Fund will undertake the process of winding down and liquidating its portfolio. This process may result in the Fund holding cash and securities that may not be consistent with its investment objectives and strategies. Furthermore, during the time between market open on October 11, 2024 and the Liquidation Date, because the shares will no longer be traded on NYSE, there may not be a trading market for the Fund’s shares.
    Shareholders may sell shares of the Fund on NYSE until the market close on October 10, 2024 and may incur typical transaction fees from their broker-dealer. Shares held as of the close of business on the Liquidation Date will be automatically redeemed for cash at the then current net asset value. Proceeds of the redemption will be paid through the broker-dealer with whom you hold shares of the Fund. Shareholders will generally recognize a capital gain or loss on the redemptions. The Fund may or may not, depending upon its circumstances, pay one or more dividends or other distributions prior to or along with the redemption payments. Please consult your personal tax advisor about the potential tax consequences.
    Please retain this Supplement with your records.
  • Rotation City. U.S. equity and bonds
    Charlie Bilello called it a reversal day. X/Twitter LINK
    "Today was one of the wildest days in markets you will ever see. A complete reversal of all of the major secular trends in recent years.

    ============================
    Not many words there but "a LOT to unpack" as they say!
    Agree with the "wildest days" notion. The divergent data was certainly compelling and a sight to behold.
    But "a complete reversal of all of the major secular trends"?
    C'mon man!

    After the dust settled, NASDAQ was still UP 22% YTD and the RUT was pushing 5% YTD thanks to 3+% yesterday.
    The key word there IMO is "Today." Meaning, it was ONE, count 'em, ONE freaking day!
    I made some comments on another current MFO thread yesterday about what the analysts I listened to were saying about the landmark day (?) as it was unfolding.
    Consensus takes?
    Let's wait and see. At least (sic) until the end of the week (as in ONE more day later)!
    Will investors continue to move money from LCG to Value and SCs?
    The move may last for a month or two but are SCs and Value up to the task of being the new market leaders?
    Is anyone seeing any significant follow through today? Anyone? Yes, the RUT is leading the major indexes, but only fractionally. NASDAQ sure ain't looking like a dead horse to me.
    Earnings start today - lots of wood to chop this month still!.
    In retrospect a month or two from now, I'll suggest some investors who have been/are underweight LCG, Tech, AI and/or Mag7 will regret NOT using yesterday as a BUYing opportunity. To wit, had you bought NVDA at the close yesterday, you'd already be UP 2.5%!
    One take. Could be dead wrong.
    But it's my WAG!
    YMMV.
  • Variable Annuity(s) as sold by insurance sales folks. Real time knowledge of fees,recurring fees.
    You may know that VAs are covered by MFO Premium and the new TestFol (Morningstar used to cover them too, but now that is now part of M* professional products). My particular focus has been on TIAA VAs, but others are covered too (including from Fido).
    MFO Pointers https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/thread/539/mfo-premium
    TestFol Pointers https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/thread/626/testfol-io-free-portfolio-analytics
  • Fido first impressions (vs Schwab)
    I am guessing all or most of that revenue from uninvested cash goes straight to the bottom line.
    If there is no such thing as uninvested cash at Fidelity and Schwab relies on uninvested cash for 50% of revenue, Schwab must suck at almost everything else. Now that we are close to 2 months since TD integration, I am waiting to learn about lay offs at Schwab. Their customer service level is inferior to that of Fidelity, even with massive improvement after TD acquisition. With lay offs, it will only get worse.
  • Fido first impressions (vs Schwab)
    " in 2023 Schwab made 50% of their revenue from interest on uninvested cash"
    Stop right there. No need to say anything more. If anyone thinks that any business can give up 50% of their revenue from one source without compensating by redistributing that 50% income over other types of charges then I suggest that they are living in some sort of alternative capitalism than I am.
    Yes, I surely hate the constant game-playing to keep cash earning a decent income for me rather than Schwab. But before we get too excited over that let's talk about exactly how Schwab will make their money if they give up 50% of their income.
    Free lunch, anyone?
  • Rotation City. U.S. equity and bonds
    That felt like a bear market rally of those that were in the dumpster.
    IWM up 3+% and SPY more than -0.5% last happened in Oct of 2008 - Bob Pasani, CNBC.
    Glad to see Utilities and other touted as AI adjacent / enabled are decoupled lately including today.
    Unfortunately, I have no clue about tomorrow.