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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Rekenthaler: it's not all about the tariffs
    Its not just about the tariffs. Valuations were high, and we have instability at the highest ranks of government. But alienating your allies and starting Tariff wars does add to our anxiety.
    Today's latest example of self-induced chaos:
    Trump White House has asked U.S. military to develop options for the Panama Canal, officials say
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/trump-white-house-asked-us-military-develop-options-panama-canal-offic-rcna195994
    It's a full frontal assault on the world, and it is unnerving. Is Greenland next? Canada?
    It's also an embarrassment, to be frank.
  • Barron's Revisits Pimco Income
    FUNDS. Ivascyn (and Murata) of multisector giant PONAX / PIMIX are loading up on agency MBS and TIPS but reducing exposure to corporates, nonagency MBS (a Pimco specialty) and HY. Credit spreads are tight, stocks are (still) expensive, so it's focusing on credit quality. The yield-curve is almost flat. He doesn’t expect high inflation or recession and has increased Fund duration a bit. Fund is well positioned for 5-yr timeframe and has a generous distribution. It’s unclear how (or, if) the Administration will calibrate policies with economic data and market signals. (etf cousin is PYLD, riskier CEF cousins are indefinite-term PDI and limited-term PDO, PAXS.) (By @LewisBraham at MFO).
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/top-bond-fund-manager-buying-now-2168a117?refsec=funds&mod=topics_funds
  • Hartford Schroders Emerging Markets Equity Fund is reopening to new investors
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/49905/000119312525053571/d815650d497.htm
    497 1 d815650d497.htm HARTFORD INTERNATIONAL/GLOBAL EQUITY FUNDS
    MARCH 13, 2025
    SUPPLEMENT TO THE FOLLOWING:
    HARTFORD SCHRODERS EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY FUND SUMMARY PROSPECTUS
    DATED FEBRUARY 28, 2025
    HARTFORD INTERNATIONAL/GLOBAL EQUITY FUNDS PROSPECTUS
    DATED FEBRUARY 28, 2025, AS SUPPLEMENTED TO DATE
    This Supplement contains new and additional information regarding Hartford Schroders Emerging Markets Equity Fund and should be read in connection with your Summary Prospectus and Statutory Prospectus.
    Effective as of the opening of business on April 14, 2025, the Hartford Schroders Emerging Markets Equity Fund will no longer be closed to new investors and will be available for purchase by all eligible investors. Accordingly, effective April 14, 2025, all information related to the Hartford Schroders Emerging Markets Equity Fund being closed to new investors in the above referenced Summary Prospectus and Statutory Prospectus is deleted in its entirety. 
      
    This Supplement should be retained with your Summary Prospectus and Statutory Prospectus for future reference.
  • “There’s No Recession Alarm in the Collective Wisdom of Markets”
    Not yet... Wait until nobody is available to pick produce, tariffs hit the numbers, layoffs and fed cuts hit unemployment numbers and all those now unemployed start cutting back until they find another job and the auxiliary businesses that supported all those newly unemployed need to cut back due to loss of business. It's only been 1.5 months. That and what crazy ass move will be made today or tomorrow. It could snowball. Too much going on right now, I'll watch from a distance. Oh yeah, and boycotts by many former allies on most American products are just ramping up.
  • “There’s No Recession Alarm in the Collective Wisdom of Markets”
    Despite the actions occurring daily in our politics, I appreciate the reasoning that this author suggests:
    https://www.advisorperspectives.com/articles/2025/03/12/no-recession-alarm-collective-wisdom-markets
    Excerpt: “On balance, markets seem to be signaling that the economy is slowing modestly, contrary to the deep recession or even crisis many fear. It’s a remarkably measured signal amidst the noise swirling around the White House. A deep recession or crisis would normally involve some combination of aggressive Fed rate cuts, rising bond defaults and sharply lower corporate earnings preceded by a rally in Treasuries, surging credit spreads and a bear market in stocks. This is not that.”
  • AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/12/25
    AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/12/25
    BEARISH remained the top sentiment (59.2%, very high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (19.1%, very low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (21.7%, very low); Bull-Bear Spread was -40.1% (very low). Investor concerns: Tariffs, jobs, budget, debt, inflation, Fed, dollar, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (159+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (67+ weeks; cease fire). For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks down, bonds down, oil up, gold up, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 31.02% (negative). Market technicals negative. Government shutdown possible. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/1908/thread
  • International-Stock Funds Finally Wake Up
    ”The average U.S.-stock mutual fund or exchange-traded fund fell 2.9% for February, according to data from LSEG, formerly Refinitiv Lipper. That trimmed the year-to-date gain to just 0.5%, as the February weakness wiped out most of the gains from January. (See funds-data tables including Mutual-Fund Yardsticks.) Meanwhile, international-stock funds, which were outgunned by their U.S. counterparts in 2024, reversed the trend by rising an average 2.2% in February, to boost their year-to-date gain to 6.9%.”
    Story - Originally WSJ
  • The Mounting Case Against U.S. Stocks
    Did not we get CPI data out today?
    The egg prices in the CPI data showed 59% increase.
  • Automakers brace for higher costs as steel and aluminum tariffs kick in
    This report is being placed in "Other Investing" because the situation described has potentially serious impact on aspects of the American economy.
    Following are excerpts from a current NPR report:
    Automakers are still dealing with whiplash from the delay, imposition and then partial rollback of tariffs on Canada and Mexico. And starting today, they also face higher tariffs on steel and aluminum — raw materials that the auto industry consumes in vast quantities.
    President Trump imposed tariffs on the two metals during his first administration. But now he's expanding them. This time, the 25% tariff on steel applies without exceptions for any countries or industries that rely on the metal, and the tariff on aluminum is rising from 10% to 25%. Trump said in a proclamation that the tariffs are justified on national security grounds, although he has also said in remarks they will promote U.S. jobs and make U.S. companies more profitable.
    The expanded tariffs on steel and aluminum "place U.S. manufacturers at a tremendous disadvantage—including those who do not import these raw materials," the Coalition of American Metal Manufacturers and Users said in a statement. The coalition represents suppliers that use metals as an input, making wires, tools, machines and parts for cars, construction, consumer goods, electronics and other industries. "The reality is that the U.S. does not produce enough steel or aluminum to meet domestic demand, and new production facilities cannot be built instantly."
    Ford CEO Jim Farley told investors last week that even though Ford gets most of its metal from within the U.S., it will still feel the effects of the tariffs. "Our suppliers have international sources for aluminum and steel. So that price will come through," he said. "We'll have to deal with it."
    Meanwhile, Trump's tariffs on Canada and Mexico are in place, but have been suspended until early April for most — but not all — cars and car parts. If those tariffs are reimposed for a significant period of time, it could further drive automaking costs up further — even in the U.S. That's because the North American supply chain is highly integrated, and auto parts may cross the U.S. border several times.
  • EPA moves to dismantle dozens of environmental rules
    And more: excerpts from a current report in The Guardian:
    Trump officials to reconsider whether greenhouse gases cause harm amid climate rollbacks- Activists horrified as EPA reverses pollution laws and reviews landmark finding that gases harm public health
    Donald Trump’s administration is to reconsider the official finding that greenhouse gases are harmful to public health, a move that threatens to rip apart the foundation of the US’s climate laws, amid a stunning barrage of actions to weaken or repeal a host of pollution limits upon power plants, cars and waterways.
    Trump’s Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued an extraordinary cavalcade of pollution rule rollbacks on Wednesday, led by the announcement it would potentially scrap a landmark 2009 finding by the US government that planet-heating gases, such carbon dioxide, pose a threat to human health.
    The so-called endangerment finding, which followed a supreme court ruling that the EPA could regulate greenhouse gases, provides the underpinning for all rules aimed at cutting the pollution that scientists have unequivocally found is worsening the climate crisis.
    Despite the enormous and growing body of evidence of devastation caused by rising emissions, including trillions of dollars in economic costs, Trump has called the climate crisis a “hoax” and dismissed those concerned by its worsening impacts as “climate lunatics”.
    Lee Zeldin, the EPA administrator, said the agency would reconsider the endangerment finding due to concerns that it had spawned “an agenda that throttles our industries, our mobility, and our consumer choice while benefiting adversaries overseas”.
    Environmentalists reacted with horror to the announcement and vowed to defend the overwhelming findings of science and the US’s ability to address the climate crisis through the courts, which regularly struck down Trump’s rollbacks in his first term. “The Trump administration’s ignorance is trumped only by its malice toward the planet,” said Jason Rylander, legal director at the Center for Biological Diversity’s Climate Law Institute.
    “Come hell or high water, raging fires and deadly heatwaves, Trump and his cronies are bent on putting polluter profits ahead of people’s lives. This move won’t stand up in court. We’re going to fight it every step of the way.”
    The EPA issued 31 announcements within just a few hours that take aim at almost every major environmental rule designed to protect Americans’ clean air and water, as well as a livable climate.
    The EPA will also revisit pollution standards for cars and trucks, which Zeldin said had imposed a “crushing regulatory regime” upon auto companies that are now shifting towards electric vehicles, consider weakening rules limiting sooty air pollution that’s linked to an array of health problems, potentially axe requirements that power plants not befoul waterways or dump their toxic waste and will consider further narrowing how it implements the Clean Water Act in general.
    The stunning broadside of actions against pollution rules could, if upheld by the courts, reshape Americans’ environment in ways not seen since major legislation was passed in the 1970s to end an era of smoggy skies and burning rivers that became the norm following American industrialization.
    Pollutants from power plants, highways and industry cause a range of heart, lung and other health problems, with greenhouse gases among this pollution driving up the global temperature and fueling catastrophic heatwaves, floods, storms and other impacts.
    “Zeldin’s EPA is dragging America back to the days before the Clean Air Act, when people were dying from pollution,” said Dominique Browning, director of the Moms Clean Air Force. “This is unacceptable. And shameful. We will oppose with all our hearts to protect our children from this cruel, monstrous action.”
    And from The New York Times:
    In a barrage of pronouncements on Wednesday the Trump administration said it would repeal dozens of the nation’s most significant environmental regulations, including limits on pollution from tailpipes and smokestacks, protections for wetlands, and the legal basis that allows it to regulate the greenhouse gases that are heating the planet.
    Mr. Zeldin said the E.P.A. would unwind more than two dozen protections against air and water pollution. It would overturn limits on soot from smokestacks that have been linked to respiratory problems in humans and premature deaths as well as restrictions on emissions of mercury, a neurotoxin. It would get rid of the “good neighbor rule” that requires states to address their own pollution when it’s carried by winds into neighboring states. And it would eliminate enforcement efforts that prioritize the protection of poor and minority communities.
    In addition, when the agency creates environmental policy, it would no longer consider the costs to society from wildfires, droughts, storms and other disasters that might be made worse by pollution connected to that policy, Mr. Zeldin said.
  • Schumer now says Democrats will support Republican funding bill to avoid shutdown
    This report is being placed in "Other Investing" because the situation described has potentially serious impact on many aspects of the American economy.
    Following are excerpts from a current report from The Guardian:
    Schumer: Democrats will not support 'partisan' funding bill passed by House Republicans to avert shutdown
    Speaking on the Senate floor, Senator Chuck Schumer, the Democratic minority’s leader, said this afternoon that Democrats will not provide the necessary votes to adopt the stopgap funding bill passed by House Republicans, which includes cuts to vital services and programs.
    Senate rules mean that 60 votes are needed to move legislation forward, and Republicans only have 53 seats – and 52 votes, given Rand Paul’s stated opposition to to the House bill.

    Here are Schumer’s remarks:

    "Funding the government should be a bipartisan effort. But Republicans chose a partisan path, drafting their Continuing Resolution without any input, any input, from Congressional Democrats.
    Because of that, Republicans do not have the votes in the Senate to invoke cloture on the House CR.
    Our caucus is unified on a clean April 11th CR that will keep the government open and give Congress time to negotiate bipartisan legislation that can pass. We should vote on that.
    I hope our Republican colleagues will join us to avoid a shutdown on Friday."
    And this from The Washington Post-
    Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-New York) said on the Senate floor Wednesday that not enough Democrats support the Republican-led funding measure that passed the House on Tuesday. With days to go until a shutdown deadline, Democrats are seeking a bill — known as a continuing resolution, or CR — to keep the government open through April 11 while the two parties complete work on their long-stalled spending bills. “Our caucus is unified on a clean April 11 CR,” Schumer said.
  • EPA moves to dismantle dozens of environmental rules
    This report is being placed in "Other Investing" because the changes being described will have potentially serious impact on many aspects of the American economy.
    Following are excerpts from a current report in The Washington Post:
    The agency announced Wednesday that it will begin the process of dismantling dozens of rules for electric vehicles, power plants, clean water and more.
    In a flurry of news releases, EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin said the agency will roll back some of President Joe Biden’s most consequential climate and environmental regulations. He specifically cited rules aimed at speeding the nation’s shift to electric vehicles, slashing planet-warming emissions from power plants and safeguarding waterways from harmful pollution.
    Taken together, the announcements herald a seismic shift in U.S. environmental policy, one that could ease restrictions on nearly every sector of the economy. Yet rewriting many of the rules could take the agency months or even years.
    “Today is the most consequential day of deregulation in American history,” Zeldin wrote in an opinion piece in the Wall Street Journal on Wednesday. “We are driving a dagger through the heart of climate-change religion and ushering in America’s Golden Age.”
    Zeldin confirmed in the piece that the Trump administration will repeal a scientific finding underpinning much of the federal government’s push to combat climate change. The Washington Post first reported last month that the administration will target the “endangerment finding,” which cleared the way for regulating greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act by concluding that the planet-warming gases pose a threat to public health and welfare.
    Environmentalists criticized the EPA’s actions Wednesday: “Corporate polluters are celebrating today because Trump’s EPA just handed them a free pass to spew unlimited climate pollution, consequences be damned,” Charles Harper, the power sector senior policy lead at the climate advocacy group Evergreen Action, said in a statement.
    Business groups cheered the moves, with coal advocates specifically praising the reconsideration of the power plant rules, which would have pushed all coal plants by 2039 to either capture their carbon dioxide emissions or shut down.
    “The standard is so extreme that it’s virtually impossible to comply with,” Ernie Thrasher, CEO of the coal supplier XCoal Energy and Resources, said in an interview. “It’s the consumers who have been strangled with regulation.”
    Note: Text emphasis was added to the above report.
  • The Mounting Case Against U.S. Stocks
    Costco eggs yesterday: $14+ per dozen.

    I knew egg prices were high but this is crazy!
    I wasn't aware eggs became this expensive since I usually have cereal for breakfast.

    Observant, the following is not directed at you. its simply an observation re the Great Egg Hysteria of 2025 gneerally....
    3/11 stopped at my local Kroger this afternoon. Decided to see what the big fuss about "omigod egg prices are sooo high.." Bought 1 dozen large eggs for $4.39. That wasn't a special promotion, no coupon was used. Its simply the price staring me in the face on my store receipt.
    If the merchant you patronize is price-gouging eggs, maybe do some comparison shopping? Most major cities have ethnic grocery stores (Latin, Asian). Generally ethnic grocers charge a lot less for unpackaged foods than do their American counterparts. I would think that a trip to one's local grocer might be worth it to those who are stressing about their eggs. Maybe its time to tear up the Costco membership, avoid Whole Foods, and visit the local Asian grocer? Maybe avoid the $6 coffees at Starbucks too? Costco in particular, generates a lot of (well-deserved) consumer loyalty.. perhaps they are trying to exploit that where customers will just shrug their shoulders and not blink at the prices for eggs, given all the 'static' about egg prices?
    Eddie, I am concerned with your eyesight. Today, 1 dozen Kroger brand large eggs are $5.49 at the Kroger on Mockingbird Ln off of 75.
  • NIH Cuts Create a Lost Generation of Scientists From Bloomberg News
    Bloomberg News has a succinct summary of the disaster unfolding at the NIH and Biomedical Research around the country.
    "The Trump administration’s attacks on science and funding at the National Institutes of Health will set research and training for future scientists back a generation.
    This might sound melodramatic to anyone not intimately familiar with the world of academic training and research. But in just two months the administration has cut off opportunities at every phase in a scientist’s career. Unless funding and the freedom to pursue science without political bias are restored, biomedical research in the US will become less ambitious, less competitive and result in fewer breakthroughs.
    To recap: In his first days in office, President Donald Trump targeted the NIH, which spends more than 80% of its $48 billion budget on grants and other funding to universities and hospitals around the country. That funding ground to a halt, and damage was amplified two weeks later when the administration excised $4 billion in overhead costs from NIH grants — money that institutions rely on to run their facilities and pay support staff. That was followed by job cuts at the agency — reportedly nearly 1,200 of them, in areas spanning Alzheimer’s research to cancer. (Some of these moves have been halted, at least temporarily, by the courts.)
    More recently, scores of NIH grants were terminated because they didn’t align with the administration’s political ideology. Flagged topics include research on LGBT+ health, gender identity, diversity, equity and inclusion; vaccine hesitancy; and mRNA vaccines. Now, Trump seems to be using the NIH to punish universities that he feels have defied him. On Monday, the agency said it was terminating $250 million in grants to Columbia University, a move that will have a seismic impact on study and researchers there.
    Summer research programs at NIH and in university labs — experiences that help pull undergraduates into science careers — have been canceled. Graduate school admissions are being paused or cut back. Widespread hiring freezes are leaving postdoctoral researchers, on the cusp of launching their careers, in limbo.
    Assistant professors awaiting the NIH’s final approval on their first major grant, known as an R01, a critical step toward securing tenure, are worried their once promising careers are being snuffed out. Even well-established scientists tell me they’ve made lists of people in their labs to cut if the money doesn’t flow soon. I’m told some in the twilight of their careers are cutting back hours to preserve funding or are considering retirement.
    The entire pipeline of biomedical scientists, supported in one way or the other by the funding at NIH, is being culled.
    Unsurprisingly, morale — both at NIH and at the long list of institutions the agency funds — is in the basement. One researcher at a prominent New York-based cancer hospital told me he hasn’t been sleeping. A health equity researcher at Northwestern University, whose work hits on all of the buzzwords that Trump wants eradicated from federal government, teared up when describing what the situation means for the students she mentors. Making a career in science has always been exceptionally hard, she says, “and in this environment, it’s just making it impossible. I’m afraid we’re going to lose some of the best minds.” (Many researchers asked not to be named out of fear about the status of funding under review at NIH.)
    Ashley de Marchena, an autism expert at Drexel University, said the funding uncertainty led one of her trainees to look for a job rather than pursue a doctoral degree. Not only is the time and taxpayer investment in building their research skills lost, but the student, who is neurodivergent, is someone whose unique perspective should be nurtured, not pushed into another career path.
    “So many entry points [to research] are gone now,” says Julianne Meisner, an epidemiologist in the University of Washington’s Department of Global Health. She recently advised a student finishing her master’s degree to consider applying to PhD programs abroad. They might offer less money, but they bring more certainty. And those institutes clearly see an opportunity to siphon some of America’s brightest: at least one French university is advertising itself to US students as a “safe place for science.”
    Meanwhile, those who persist are shrinking their ambitions to fit a more hostile environment. A theme I heard over and over again is that researchers will do less bold science, ask fewer questions, make fewer discoveries.
    There’s little sign that the damage will be repaired once new leadership is in place at NIH. During his Senate confirmation hearing last week, Jay Bhattacharya, Trump’s pick to lead the agency, seemed unruffled by the turmoil. If anything, his equivocation about the upheaval suggests he’s on board with whatever changes those above him demand next.
    Bhattacharya dodged questions about restoring funding and instead emphasized the need to restore trust in public health, a project he believes requires “freedom” and “transparency.”
    It's hard to imagine a less trustworthy or transparent process, or one less attuned to academic freedom than what’s unfolding. Sidelining and muzzling a generation of scientists, dismantling the nation’s research apparatus and ultimately ceding scientific supremacy to China and Europe does not seem like the right way to restore trust.
    For the public, all of this might seem hard to grasp — or even care about. But eventually we will all be affected. It’ll show up as the hit to the local economy when scientists and staff lose their jobs. It’ll take the form of a widening gap in access to equitable health care. It’ll be the Alzheimer’s treatment or cancer vaccine that never quite makes it over the finish line."
    Oh BTW Bhattacharya recieved an MD degree but has never practiced medicine ( not even an internship ), has never seen a patient independently and has never done any biological research. He is a health economist. Great choice to lead the world's most formidable biomedical research institution. All because he co-authored "The Great Barrington Declaration"
    Not mentioned above, almost 100 senior level NIH investigators have had their salaries suspended and their lab budgets frozen and government credit cards canceled. These are people specifically recruited to the NIH to run cutting edge research, done no where else in the world. There are 16,000 grant proposals waiting for study sections that have been canceled and legally mandatory notice in the Federal Register that has been shut down.
    Student internships for thousands of the brightest STEM college kids to work in labs all around the country this summer have been cancelled.
    This will have a generational, decades and decades negative impact on the US as a Research mecca and biotech innovator. For what? The Chinese are ecstatic.
    Far more significant than the shutdown of the NOAA .
  • Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum.
    JEQ jumped about 9.5% this morning following an earlier 4% gain. Sold all. Replaced it in the CEF collection with FOF which I’ve been watching.
    Have buy orders in for LPXAX & CPLSX. I’d rather increase investment in those less aggressive areas than rebalance out of my leaders. Cash now at 11% - down from 12.5% a week ago.
    (S&C C&S now has a bit over 38% of my money.)
  • The Mounting Case Against U.S. Stocks
    New people enter the market for the first time every day. Let me randomly pick Feb 19.
    Mr. X bought SPY on February 19 at the close for $612.93 per share. Today, SPY closed at $555.92. So, Mr. X lost 9.3% on his February 19 purchase. Feel free to do the math for the other indices from their Feb 19 levels.
    The levels of stock market does not bother me but I know it is not irrational to feel bothered.
    Evidently, one of the bond fund traders in this forum has gone to 100% cash (or MM).
  • The Mounting Case Against U.S. Stocks
    Eggs are not "eggs". They come in many grades and varieties. One store that we visit each week has at least six different types of eggs, varying on size, color, and feeding/living conditions of the laying chickens. The prices range from approximately $5 to $12 per dozen. This particular store happens to be in a Northern California agricultural area which has been an egg and chicken producing center for at least 100 years, so the store has local access to many types of available eggs..
    You're making me hungry. :) :) :)
    Sounds like Andy's Produce near Sebastapol, among other fine stores in Sonoma. Of course Petaluma was known as the Egg Capital of the World back in the day.
  • The Mounting Case Against U.S. Stocks
    Just looking at the big indexes (not necessarily representative of the broader market) they really haven’t fallen that much yet …
    DJI -2.61% YTD (after today)
    S&P 500 -5.26% YTD (after today)
    The high flying NASDAQ is off about 10% YTD. The Russell 2000 looks perhaps inviting, down -9.26% YTD
    Despite all the political fervor / outrage (which I agree with), the markets are coming off a couple strong years. I’m eager to put more cash to work - but not yet. Sometimes you get paid to wait.
    If anyone hasn’t noticed, consumers staples have turned up in recent months. Could be due to a long period of undervaluation. But could also be a sign of coming recession during which staples usually hold up better.
    If the 10-year rate keeps falling, mortgage rates might become briefly attractive again. Something to keep an eye on.