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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Short-Term Investing Gets Complicated
    A while back I bought into a income fund that is multi asset in nature. My thinking on this was a place to park money for the short term before it goes into cash instead. For example, if I keep 12 months cash available, I would have 3-5 years in this fund to temper any hiccups in the markets.
    Anyone else use a similar strategy? It could be a form of bucket or sleeve investing of sorts.
  • Taxes Matter In Fund Investing, Even When There's No Bill
    FYI: Most of us don't worry about taxes when it comes to mutual funds.
    We don't need to because we invest in them through a 401(k), IRA or another account designed to delay taxes until after retirement. More than half of all money invested in mutual funds is in tax-deferred accounts. That makes it easy to ignore whether other shareholders in the same fund are getting a big tax bill just because they're holding it in a taxable account.
    Even so, it can pay to consider a mutual fund's tax history, regardless of whether your money is in a taxable or tax-deferred account. That's because funds that keep tax bills down tend to have better returns, even before taxes are taken into account.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://abcnews.go.com/Business/print?id=31217658
  • The Risks and Rewards Of Self-Managing Investment Portfolios
    FYI: WHEN Ken Kavula of Genesee, Mich., retired from his job as a high school principal at age 53, he decided to defy conventional wisdom and manage his own financial life — including his retirement accounts and a mix of stocks and bonds he had either accumulated on his own or inherited.
    Fifteen years later, Mr. Kavula, now 68, has ridden the huge highs and crushing lows of the markets so well that he has enough to live off, for now, without even tapping some accounts.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/23/your-money/the-risks-and-rewards-of-self-managing-investment-portfolios.html
  • Chuck Jaffe: What The Supreme Court’s Fixes For Retirement Savings May do to Your 401(k)
    @msf Thanks a bunch. Got it! As someone who once managed a branch office of a not-for-profit law firm for several years, another example that one should always go first to the opinion before proceeding elsewhere, to avoid confusion and the risk of being misled.
    And so the stake in the heart of Hope will remain, until something else comes along to pull it out. :) [perhaps "cognitive bias" at play here with my first impression; I so very much loathe 12b-l fees]
  • Chuck Jaffe: What The Supreme Court’s Fixes For Retirement Savings May do to Your 401(k)
    FWIW, my take on the 9th Circuit ruling, the SC ruling (which only had to do with statutes of limitations, i.e. time limits on claims), and on people's wishful thinking.
    The 9th circuit ruled that revenue sharing is generally okay (though it is fact-specific, and can vary from case to case). Revenue sharing is where the mutual funds pay the Plan's administrative service provider (bookkeeper), and the service provider in turn reduces the fees it charges to the Plan Sponsor (employer). Basically, employees paying 12b-1 fees to cover some of the plan's administrative costs, so that the employer pays less.
    Without going into the subissues or reasoning, I'll just quote from the 9th Circuit opinion: "Today we have held that the [revenue sharing] practice here did not violate the terms of the Edison Plan or violate ERISA § 406(b)(3) [prohibiting kickbacks]."
    The 9th circuit also ruled that for the funds that were added (in 2002) to the plan within ERISA's 6 year statute of limitations, using retail class shares was a breach of fiduciary duty. But not for the reason you think. The reason was not that they were more expensive than institutional class shares, but that the employer had not even bothered to check whether there were cheaper shares available.
    Quoting again from that ruling:
    The trial evidence ... shows that an experienced investor would have reviewed all available share classes and the relative costs of each when selecting a mutual fund. ... [W]e have little difficulty agreeing with thedistrict court that Edison did not exercise the “care, skill,prudence, and diligence under the circumstances” that ERISA demands in the selection of these retail mutual funds.
    As to the SC ruling, it was (based on ERISA being modeled after trust law) that the employer/sponsor has an ongoing duty to monitor the plan offerings. So the 6 year statute of limitations runs not from the original selection of a fund, but from the time it should have last taken a look at the plan offerings. Thus the suit could proceed.
    But the SC also said that (a) it had no opinion on what constituted that duty to monitor (it could be a lesser duty than in making the original fund selections), and (b) whether the plaintiffs could even argue this (because they had not argued that the defendants breached a duty to monitor distinct from the duty to carefully select the funds).
    All the SC did was remand to the 9th Circuit to figure out whether the plantiffs would be permitted (procedurally) to argue for a breach of monitoring duty, and if so, what that duty was and whether the defendant actually breached it.
    With respect to what people are reading into this case - the SC gave no particular reason for hope. Any ruling about share classes or share costs was decided in the trial court, affirmed in the circuit court, and not appealed to the SC. There's no open issue here on which to be hoping for anything better than was already decided.
  • Chuck Jaffe: What The Supreme Court’s Fixes For Retirement Savings May do to Your 401(k)
    After this decision was released, I read two short legal blogs about it, and both of them speculated this could lead to the reassessment of many fund fee charges, possibly including a reduction or elimination of 12b-1 fees. Not sure I followed the "why" of it; it had to do with specific wording in the opinion, which neither blog adumbrated.
    Could dreams come true?
    Do you believe in "miracles"?
    (Keep Hope alive?)
  • Cash flow in retirement - not from Art Cashin
    I've been posting a lot about budgeting, near cash, and cash flow.
    Here is my current cash flow calculation for this year as of today's date.
    Budget (28,500)
    Cash Back 243 - credit cards
    checking/Int 753
    STHBX 16,449
    Money Market 1,700
    Pension 8,058
    Spent 12,494 - this the amount spent to date
    Total 11,197 - this is the amount remaining of STHBX I estimate I will have at year end.
    I could show you future years but basically it is a adding in dividends and reducing STHBX until SS begins.
    This is the first year that the pension kicked in.
    Get back to basics with your planning. But, as I said before, the younger a person, the less likely they will be able to have a comfortable retirement.
  • 9 Top Investment Ideas For Wealthy Investors
    Thank you MJG and msf for the time and thought you put into your replies. I was unclear with the article in regard to the word fee/fees . I thought Mr. Evensky was trying to focus the writer on the 15-20% improvement on the portfolio return net of portfolio fees , taxes, and inflation. If a were a client , I would be considering my total return ( risk adjusted as Mr. Evensky advises ) which would include Mr. Evensky's approximate 1.33% fee, all in, as given by the writer. I was thinking, as I read , that the word fees as used by Mr. Evensky meant portfolio expense ratios/transaction costs but did not include his and Mr. Katz's 1.33% fee.
  • China Solar Stock Implosion A Reminder To Look Under ETF’s Hood
    Love solar panels but I stay away from solar stocks or etfs that have them. I had solar panels installed in 2010 and have not paid an electric bill since:) We get 300+ days of sun here, a no-brainer.
  • China Solar Stock Implosion A Reminder To Look Under ETF’s Hood
    @TSP_Transfer, More info on Hanergy. Problem is that this spills over to several ETFs particularly in the solar energy sector. I have a small position on EEMV that is supposely minimal volatility index but contains 1.4% Hanergy. What does it imply for all Chinese stocks (H or A shares and those traded in US markets) since many emerging market indeces such as Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index, VEMAX, which has 29% exposure to Chinese stocks?
    https://google.com/search?q=Hanergy+Investors+Get+Burned&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8 Click on Barrons links.
  • 9 Top Investment Ideas For Wealthy Investors
    You have substantially increased your payday before taxes
    Some adjustments to the calculations above:
    - Evensky is talking about real (inflation adjusted) returns after taxes as well as after expenses
    - The typical (dollar-weighted average) cost of investments is closer to 1.0% than to 1.5% (from memory, cite corrections as appropriate)
    - Evensky is suggesting just a 0.5% absolute improvement in ER + taxes
    The general concept is right - that he's referring to relative improvement. That is, 0.5% could be as much as 15%-20% of the net, real, after-tax return. But all the figures, numerator (0.5%) and denominator (current net return) are smaller.
    I haven't yet delved too deeply into the following article from Thornburg, but if you're interested in getting a sense of "real" real returns (i.e. returns net of expenses, taxes, and inflation), and trying out your own numbers, here's an historical analysis on different asset classes.
    FWIW, Thornburg uses 0.50% as its estimate for average expenses, so if you like my figure (1.0%) or MJG's (1.5%), subtract off 0.5% or 1.0% from the stated average returns.
    http://www.thornburginvestments.com/pdfs/th1401.pdf
  • 9 Top Investment Ideas For Wealthy Investors
    Hi Morningstars,
    Costs matter even more when portfolio expectations are lowered. Bogle has been playing this song for decades. Here' an example.
    Suppose a balanced portfolio expects a market return of 7.5% with expenses at 1.5 %. Your return is 6.0%.
    An option is to go the low cost route so that the return is the same, but costs are only 0.5%. Your take home payoff is now 7.0%.
    You have substantially increased your payday before taxes. Like 7.0/6.0 or roughly 1.167 or 17%.
    It's important to consider stats in both an absolute and a relative framework.
    I hope this helps.
    Best Regards.
  • 9 Top Investment Ideas For Wealthy Investors
    Thanks for this and all articles, Ted. Guess I'm a little cranky this beautiful morn but not sure about owning low cost, broad based ETF's and then losing the savings to add on advisory fees. I do know Mr. Evensky gives a lot of interviews and makes a lot of appearances. Would like to see the math involved in the 15%-20% improvement in performance.
  • Chuck Jaffe: What The Supreme Court’s Fixes For Retirement Savings May do to Your 401(k)
    FYI: (This is a follow-up article)
    3 ways Tibble vs. Edison International could change retirement savings.
    The U.S. Supreme Court prescribed some fixes to the retirement-savings world this week, but the long-term side effects could have some workers thinking they’ve been given bad medicine.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-the-supreme-courts-fixes-for-retirement-savings-may-do-to-your-401k-2015-05-22/print
  • 9 Top Investment Ideas For Wealthy Investors
    FYI: Need ideas for the choppy waters ahead? Harold Evensky, chairman of wealth-management shop Evensky & Katz in Coral Gables, Fla., says the answer is minimizing fees and reducing costly taxes. Evensky manages $1.6 billion in assets, with the ­median client holding $2.5 million, and insists that even very wealthy clients should load up on cheap exchange-traded funds. “We would love to market-time, but we conclude nobody has done that well,” says the 30-year veteran of the financial planning business. “So we figured if we could save half a percentage point on taxes and expenses, we could improve performance, net of fees, taxes, and inflation, by maybe 15% to 20%” a year.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://blogs.barrons.com/penta/2015/05/22/9-top-investment-ideas-for-wealthy-investors/tab/print/
  • Deep Value Quantitative Value ETF
    I've been watching it. Debating it versus MOAT - not that they do the same thing, but...
    Here is the MFO Writeup
  • VBMFX and VFIIX - Since 1987 - Two smooth operators
    @Old_Joe "What I've heard said by thems that know" (get ready for a dodgy reply)...
    One approach might be a 'fund of funds' that hold is a series of bullet bond etfs. These bullet bond etfs would expire at their maturity date and a new "wrung" (bullet bond etf) is added. I suppose one could do this individually and not pay an additional layer of management fees.
    Here a link to Guggenheim BulletShares 2016 Corporate Bond etf BSCG
    guggenheiminvestments.com/products/etf/bscg
  • VBMFX and VFIIX - Since 1987 - Two smooth operators
    Dan Fuss who was managing bonds during the 70's and 80's has mentioned the importance of laddering bonds. Not sure if this is best accomplished in a bond fund or by buying individual bonds.
    Fireside chat with Dan Fuss:
    Dan Fuss with Jim Sarni
  • VBMFX and VFIIX - Since 1987 - Two smooth operators
    VBMFX which is categorized as an intermediate corporate fund has an incredibly smooth 30 year chart. Will the next 30 be as smooth?
    /blockquote>
    bee,
    VBMFX isn't really a corporate fund.
    It's heaviest on Treasuries, then close to equal on corporates and mortgages
    image
    Cheers
  • Deep Value Quantitative Value ETF
    I just saw a piece on CNBC with Wes Gray, who runs this fund and thought it worth some discussion. Here's more detail about the fund based on an interview Sam Lee did with the guy last November
    news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=674561
    morningstar.com/etfs/BATS/QVAL/quote.html
    The symbol is QVAL. Does anyone have any experience with this fund in it's short history? Any thoughts about the approach? I was thinking about whether this is a good defensive play, so buy it before there's a correction or before the Fed raises rates, or because it's the "trash that everyone hates" (Gray's term from the CNBC interview) it's better to wait and see how it does during a correction or increasing rates and maybe think about buying the trash when someone starts to burn it? (When I was young we had an incinerator in the house and burned all our paper trash. Do those exist anymore?)
    Thanks for your thoughts!