Good observation but most articles that discuss bonds mean treasuries or high rated bonds.
Last week BND,DODIX lost 1.2%.
But, HY munis (ORNAX,MMHAX) were flat last week.
Bank loans (EIFAX) and ICMUX also made money last week.

It's my perception that people who move in and out of funds are "fund" investers, maybe even collectors, not over-all "portfolio" investors. My hope is having a portfolio that trends upward with the least amount pf volatility I can obtain. The portfolio is, hopefully, made up of managers and a mix of fund type with a winning long-term history. Not the best fund that month or year. If ICMUX has a so-so year, I don't jump out to get into the hot fund at the time. ICMUX, and I'm just using this fund as an example, has history of good management and returns and a risk level that fits the portfolio.... Is there better funds at this precise time? Probably. Just another 2-cents.

Good management is not guaranteed to be good every year or even several years and in every situation and/or market.
I never believed in diversification either because it led to lower performance for years.
BTW, in very high risk markets, you learn pretty quickly that most funds sink together. You even learn that bonds don't always save you, think 2022.
The SP500+QQQ has been great since 2010. From 2000 to 2010, the SP500 lost about 10% and QQQ lost almost half.
FAIRX was a great fund during 2000-10 but has been far behind since 2010.
ICMUX made more than PIMIX for 3 years (chart)
But PIMIX made more from 2015 to 2020 (chart) and PIMIX management is pretty good.
Based on my history of following many funds, I hardly ever found a fund that stays at the top every 2-3 years. Maybe PRWCX is the exception.
In bondland the exceptions are so much better and can last for months, sometimes years.
An extra of 3% in bondland annually for many retirees is so good that you can own a small % in stocks (or none) with a much lower volatility portfolio.
The investors who believed in B&H; in the last 10 years, the most recommended bond fund, BND (US Total index) made just 1.7% average annually, far behind inflation.
In the last year, I owned 2 bond funds for most months and hardly traded. Not every trader changes funds every week/month. I always admitted I'm a trader but I see many who trade so much more than me and claim they don't.

@Observant1, I have been investing with Vanguard since the 90’s before the internet age. My frustration with Vanguard today is their customer support simply cannot keep up with our needs. As a Flagship customer, we use their special phone number where we can talk with a live agent. For most part, this has not work so well for us. We tried private messaging and that have not work on a timely basis. I found many of our questions through their search engine or through Bodgheads website. At present, Vanguard does not have a simple AI-based chat function. In the end, we figure that their customer support is not able grow fast enough to keep up with the company. Many Boglehead posters are experiencing the same thing I am.
We still like Vanguard as a low cost brokerage. Honestly I hope Vanguard will be successful in their customer service with advanced AI capabilities.

How far does anyone think this reversal on the 10 year may go? I understand the “bond vigilantes” taking control of longer rates out of the Fed’s hands (not that they ever really had it) but am surprised by the speed and magnitude of the reversal. Friday’s hot jobs report really blew the lid off the rate structure. Just a temporary bump - or are we heading a lot higher? The damn election throws a whole lot of monkey wrenches into the equation too, with several possible outcomes. I think the Fed is being a little restrained right now due to the election. At some point afterward (assuming it ever ends) they might decide to clamp down harder if the economy keeps running hot. And, counterintutively, that could cause the short end to spike and longer rates to drop.
Maybe too off topic - But does anyone think as I do that the big gains in equities the past 2 years (and to a lesser degree bonds and cash) are helping keep the economy hot by providing consumer spending stimulus - mostly for the people who already have enough? So to a degree it becomes a virtuous circle with spending propping up stocks and stocks propping up spending. What could possibly go wrong? Just some far out thoughts. You won’t hear this on Bloomberg.
Anybody know what’s coming? Is that light at the end of the tunnel a locomotive heading our way? I don’t pretend to know. Just throwing some crazy questions out there for the smarter board members.

Observations:
1) fred495 is a good trader. Every investment board have different traders. The ones who buy and hold years, the ones who switch every 2-3 years, and others who change when they see better funds than what they have.
So, when someone posts about a fund I own now and says, Well, in 2022, it lost more than another fund or in the last 10 years, this fund was better than another, I don't care, what matters is what the fund is doing now.
2) We discussed PVCMX several months ago and I said why own it now. YTD is made only 4.2%. Does anyone own this fund and feel great?
3) ICMUX made YTD 8.5%(there are better bond options). Retirees who have enough and want low SD performance should be very happy to make it in bonds. I know fred is in this camp.
Where can I sign for 3-5% annually over inflation and I keep the money?
4) What about QQMNX? I have tested so many ALT funds, especially AQR funds, and was never impressed about their LT. It is also very difficult to hold them when the market is running away. ALT funds can do a better job in more volatile markets, but remember, if the managers make 1 mistake every year, it can be costly.
In 2022 QQMNX did well, but in 2023 it made 5% while SPY made 26%. Would you hold that long?
5) Retirees who have enough can avoid the big losses easier than accumulators who must stay invested all the time.
6) Someone who can't time markets and wants to own 10%, maybe 20% in ALT funds and hold LT? why not.
BTW, I don't love or hate any fund/manager, I dislike laggers, especially the ones that lag for 1-2 and more years while many hang on.

I have the same question too. If bank loan bonds are risky, why does David Giruox, PRWCX holds 7-10% of bank loan in the portfolio? He spoke why he held bank loans and other high yield bonds being held in the portfolio. And yet the fund done well through several full market cycles.
In spring 2020’s pandemics, bank loan funds underwent a free fall as many of the oil fracking bonds went busted. Same goes for junk bonds. Only Treasury’s stay unaffected. Then came the FED emergency rate cut.

From the Article:

Here are just some of the risks you have to contend with in retirement:
Longevity risk (running out of money)
Inflation risk (seeing a lower standard of living)
Market risk (bear markets)
Interest rate risk (fluctuations in yield or outright bond losses like we saw in 2022)
Sequence of return risk (you get poor returns at the outset of retirement)
And those are just portfolio management-related risks. You also have to contend with health risks, unforeseen expenses, family issues and life getting in the way of your best-laid plans.
Your two best forms of risk management in retirement are diversification and flexibility with your plan.
Every strategy comes with trade-offs. Unfortunately, there is no investment panacea that offers 100% certainty during retirement.
We tackled this question on the latest edition of Ask the Compound:

Article:
planning-for-early-retirement
Ask the Compound:

Let say I buy a annuity, own rental property, apply for Social Security, and receive a pension along with any other income producing asset. I have often wondered how these income producing (in periodic payments) assets are calculated into my net worth and my overall portfolio asset allocation.
Annuity:
The annuity pays individuals differently, but for the sake of the discussion let's say you buy a 5% fix annuity. You won't actually know what you lifetime payout will be (until you die), but you would expect ($300K*5%) periodically ($15K/yr for example). Eventually, a annuity dies with you. Does annuity income add to your net worth while alive? Is it subtracted when you die (not that you care, but your heirs might).
Social Security:
Social Security seems to be set up in a similar manner (plus a COLA rider), but your payout is determined instead your work income history. SS goes away upon death and so does its net worth value. Does it have a net worth value while alive.
Rental Property:
If you bought a $300K home and rented it for income, you might hope to net 10% ROI or $30K/yr. The property has to be managed and maintained. Upon death, the property has value. While living, a rental asset provides rental income. Both seem to be additive to one's net worth in life and death.
Pension Income:
From the linked article:

For example, if your pension pays out $40,000 a year, you expect to live 30 years, and your discount rate is 4%, then your pension would be worth around $692,000 today. You can get this value by plugging all of these values into a financial calculator [Payment = $40,000, Future Value = $0, Interest/Year = 4%, Periods = 30, Periods/Year = 1] and then solving for the Present Value. In other words, if you had $692,000 today (Present Value) that was earning 4% per year, you would be able to withdraw $40,000 per year for 30 years before running out of money.

This article might lend itself to help determine how these income producing assets impact net worth.
how-much-is-my-pension-worth/

You might consider CPAI (Counterpoint Quant Equity ETF, a multi-cap growth fund. Age 0.8 years; 11.96 financials (not heavy); YTD return 33.4% through September beats SP 500 by 5.7%; ER .75.

Just saw Mr. Oelschlager has passed away. Never invested in any of his funds but always respected his generosity towards our local community.
https://www.beaconjournal.com/obituaries/pwoo0960176

A different Weitz fund I own was down -1.11% for the week past. Core-plus. WCPNX. Owned it for a very short period. Not glad about last week, but not rushing for the exits.

As the old joke goes: The secret ofcomedyistiming.
Bought CBLDX on September 12 for 9.76$ per share. It closed Friday at 9.7549. So it could be around for a while. If M* can be believed, it's return of .05% last week was less than SPAXX's return of .07. M* also had VRIG and USFR ahead of SPAXX, CBLDX, RSIIX, RPHYX. CSOIX was a winner last week, but a loser by too much for me in 2022.
Things liable to go if we start poorly on Monday are TBUX, USTB, XONE, and WSHNX.

To the extent CrossingBridge funds have foreign exposure (non-US), the issuers are likely to be predominately from Canada, Europe, and Australia. The Nordics may be only a portion of the foreign exposure.
On June 30, 2024, the Nordic bond exposure was approximately 13% in CrossingBridge Low Duration (CBLDX) funds. These bonds may be denominated in NOK, SEK, EUR, GBP, or USD. The Nordic bonds were identified as originated out of the Nordic market but could be companies based outside the Nordics. I trust this clarifies the matter.
Please note that further communication on the CrossingBridge Nordic High Income Bond Fund (NRDCX) may be limited as the discussion board is not always a good medium for communication. I encourage folks to reach out to [email protected] with questions.

At $60 a pop, the contract would net its publisher something in the region of $3.3 million, with some of that going back to Donald Trump in fees. “It appears to me that this bid is anything but competitive,” former state Attorney General Drew Edmondson told The Oklahoman on Friday.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-bible-is-one-of-the-only-versions-approved-for-oklahoma-schools
Tell me you're [ VERB ] without telling me you're [VERB]ing.
VERB: Sucking-up, laundering money, making illegal campaign contributions, grifting etc, etc.
Yup. Along the same lines:

NOTE:

My intention, at this time; is to present the data for the selected bond sectors, as listed; through the end of the year (2024). This 'end date' will take us through the U.S. elections period, pending actions/legislation dependent upon the election results, pending Federal Reserve actions and market movers trying to 'guess' future directions of the U.S. economy. As important during this period, are any number of global circumstances that may take a path that is not expected; and/or 'new' circumstances. In the 'cooking pot' we currently have the big ingredients of the middle east and also, how much damage Ukraine may inflict upon Russia and the response.

W/E October 4, 2024..... Overall face slap for bond NAV's
--- This week found the w/e NAV price results for the vast majority of bond sectors to have followed the overall trend for each day of the week; down, down, down. If there was any flight to safety from the ongoing conflict in the middle east, it was not very apparent in government issues; as pricing was quite negative for this area. Very positive employment data reduced the hopes for FED actions to reduce interest rates at a larger and for a longer period of time. Yields were higher for the week. The MINT etf, to the best of my recall, has maintained a positive price for the year, each and every week.
A few numbers for your viewing pleasure.
FIRST:
*** UST yields chart, 6 month - 30 year. This chart is active and will display a 6 month time frame going forward to a future date. Place/hover the mouse pointer anywhere on a line to display the date and yield for that date. The percent to the right side is the percentage change in the yield from the chart beginning date for a particular item. You may also 'right click' on the 126 days at the chart bottom to change a 'time frame' from a drop down menu. Hopefully, the line graph also lets you view the 'yield curve' in a different fashion, for the longer duration issues, at this time. Save the page to your own device for future reference. NOTE: take a peek at the right side of this graph to find the yield swings of the past week, and for the current yields for the last business day.
For the WEEK/YTD, NAV price changes, September 30 - October 4, 2024
***** This week (Friday), FZDXX, MM yield continues to move with Fed funds/repo/SOFR rates; and ended the week at 4.7% yield (no change). Fidelity's MM's continue to maintain decent yields, as is presumed with other vendors similar MM's. Theoretically, a new yield bottom is in place, until the next FED action. SO, one is still obtaining a decent MM yield.
--- AGG = -1.22% / +3.51% (I-Shares Core bond), a benchmark, (AAA-BBB holdings)
--- MINT = +.08% / +4.61% (PIMCO Enhanced short maturity, AAA-BBB rated)
--- SHY = -.57% / +3.55% (UST 1-3 yr bills)
--- IEI = -1.25% / +3.21% (UST 3-7 yr notes/bonds)
--- IEF = -1.67% / +2.71% (UST 7-10 yr bonds)
--- TIP = -.93% / +3.94% (UST Tips, 3-10 yrs duration, some 20+ yr duration)
--- VTIP = -.39% / +4.54% (Vanguard Short-Term Infl-Prot Secs ETF)
--- STPZ = -.53% / +4.40% (UST, short duration TIPs bonds, PIMCO)
--- LTPZ = -1.67% / +2.89 % (UST, long duration TIPs bonds, PIMCO)
--- TLT = -2.75% / -.48% (I Shares 20+ Yr UST Bond
--- EDV = -3.55% / -2.67% (UST Vanguard extended duration bonds)
--- ZROZ = -3.67% / -4.74% (UST., AAA, long duration zero coupon bonds, PIMCO
--- TBT = +5.93% / +7.57% (ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (about 23 holdings)
--- TMF = -8.34% / -15.1% (Direxion Daily 20+ Yr Trsy Bull 3X ETF (about a 2x version of EDV etf)
*** Additional important bond sectors, for reference:
--- BAGIX = -1.29% / +3.87% Baird Aggregate Bond Fund (active managed, plain vanilla, high quality bond fund)
--- LQD = -1.18% / +4.16% (I Shares IG, corp. bonds)
--- BKLN = +.48% / +6.04% (Invesco Senior Loan, Corp. rated BB & lower)
--- HYG = -.46% / +7.67% (High Yield bonds, proxy ETF)
--- HYD = -.19%/+5.60% (VanEck HY Muni)
--- MUB = -.37% /+1.89% (I Shares, National Muni Bond)
--- EMB = -.57%/+7.85% (I Shares, USD, Emerging Markets Bond)
--- CWB = -.18% / +7.61% (SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities)
--- PFF = -.34% / +11.38% (I Shares, Preferred & Income Securities)
--- FZDXX = 4.70% yield (7 day), Fidelity Premium MM fund
*** FZDXX yield was .11%, April,2022. (For reference to current date)
Comments and corrections, please.
Remain curious,
Catch

Per John Conner, when I asked about projected yield, he answered it will be based on the securities purchased. Of course it is, but he also said it is generally 1.5-2% over US companies. So I am guessing around 9%+ yield, if using CBLDX and RSIIX as the basis. If using OSTIX then maybe 8%+.

For the past two months, I have been following two "Market Neutral" funds, QQMNX and VMNFX, which held up very well and provided some protection during recent market downturns. New managers have been at the helm of both funds since 2021.
As MikeM said: "I have to admit, QQMNX is a tempting alternative in this alternative field for a less bumpy ride and, so far, excellent returns."
..............QQMNX....VMNFX
YTD.........15.6%.......8.9%
3 YRS.......14.4........14.8
5 YRS.......10.3..........8.2
2022..........9.5.........13.5
Std. Dev....8.6%.......7.3%
As a retired investor who doesn't need a lot more money, preserving capital is more important to me than seeking sizeable returns on capital. While both funds have excellent risk/reward profiles, I have decided to add QQMNX to my portfolio at this time of fairly high equity valuations.

A couple other market neutral funds you can consider: BDMAX and JMNAX. BDMAX has outperformed QQMNX over the last 1 and 2 year trailing periods, and has a higher Sharpe ratio and lower standard deviation over the last 3 years according to Morningstar data. JMNAX has had lower returns, but has a smooth ride. I use a combination of BDMAX and JMNAX, but I might consider adding QQMNX. Thanks for bringing it up.

Oct 5th Episode:
Guest Abby Joseph Cohen - Part 2:

The tide went out during the pandemic and it exposed where the problems exist globally

ONE INVESTMENT
COHEN: THINK OUTSIDE THE U.S.
Long period of U.S. outperformance
International markets less expensive
Offer exposure to different industries
MSCI EAFE Index: Europe, Australasia & Far East
Large & mid-cap developed market stocks, excluding the U.S. and Canada

A related article on Deficits and the stock market:
deficits are horrible, but they are bullish

Barron’s Funds Quarterly+ (2024/Q3–October 7, 2024)
https://www.barrons.com/topics/mutual-funds-quarterly
(Performance data quoted in this Supplement are for 2024/Q3 and YTD to 9/30/24)
Pg L2: With the new CEO Salim RAMJI onboard, Vanguard is making some changes. Rather than lowering the ERs by tiny/small amounts across the board, it will move selectively in areas of active management with disruptive low ERs, with an initial push into active bond funds. It has also developed in-house capabilities for bonds, unlike its equity and allocation/hybrid funds that mostly use external advisors. In the passive area, the ETF giants are Vanguard and iShares/BlackRock, and mutual fund giants are Vanguard and Fidelity (not so well-known). But growth in the passive fund area is limited for these giant players. That game has been played and these parties have won.
Growth areas now are ETFs (tax-efficiency and market hour trading), bond funds (much larger and fragmented market compared to equities), alternatives (private-market is huge now as many unicorns and smaller companies remain private longer; but Vanguard won’t touch cryptos), RIA channels (but that won’t work without improving Vanguard’s poor M-F, 8-8 customer service). Rather than pushing into all areas at once, it will move selectively into areas with maximum disruptive low-cost effects.
Pg L7 In 2024/Q3, gold funds, China funds and bond proxies (bond funds, utilities, real estate. Dividend stocks) rallied due to geopolitics (for gold), the Fed rate cut and China easing. The value funds also did well. (By @LewisBraham at MFO)
More on Funds & Retirement
INCOME. Dividend and dividend-growth stocks are coming back in favor after the Fed rate cut. US ETFs: SCHD, VYM, VIG, DIVB; China ETF: PGJ. Several stocks are also mentioned.
RETIREMENT. MEDICARE open enrollment period (OEP) is from October 15 – December 7. As there are many changes for Parts B, D, C/MA, don’t just throw away the recent notices you got about them; drug formularies may change too. Part D will have $2K out-of-pocket limit for covered drug costs (so, you will be out of luck if the drug isn’t covered); premiums will also go down a little. Medicare Advantage/C plans face higher costs and tighter government reimbursements, and many insurers are curtailing (reducing extra coverages, increasing premiums & deductibles) or exiting (Wellcare/Centene-CNC in 6 states) the MA/C market. Humana MA dropped a notch in its government rating and is discontinuing MA/C in 13 counties. If your MA/C plan is discontinued, and you don’t do anything, you will be enrolled in the original Medicare and will have the opportunity to get Medigap insurance without medical underwriting; normally, it’s hard to go back from MA/C to original Medicate due to the underwriting required for Medigap insurance. Make sure that your doctors are still in the plan.
Barron’s weekend issue has CASH TRACK charts showing 4-wMA of flows. A screenshot link will be included quarterly in the Summaries.
https://i.ibb.co/Chcbzrj/Barrons-Cash-Track-100524.png

Barron’s discontinued quarterly FUND CATEGORY PERFORMANCE table in 2024 that were used to highlight the best and the worst performing fund categories. The new MFOP Quarterly tool (see MFO, October 2024) can generate a similar table and the screenshot links for Top 5 and Bottom 5 follow. Both Barron’s and MFOP use Lipper fund databases.
Q3 Top 5 https://i.ibb.co/bJT3M6T/MFOP-Quarterly-Top5-100424.png

Q3 Bottom 5 https://i.ibb.co/CwV2Vx3/MFOP-Quarterly-Bottom5-100424.png

LINK