Flaming Orange Craziness tariffs Yup. Readable.
Conclusion: "My single biggest worry about all of this is that the entire operation could be like a freight train that starts picking up more and more speed and becomes harder and harder to stop, so that even if somebody — the courts in six months or GAO in a year — says, “Wait, this is not right, should not have been done,” so much damage will have been done, so much china will have been broken, so many programs undermined that it’s going to be a Humpty Dumpty that can’t be put back together again."
*********
This is not news anymore, but terrifying. The Repugnants on The Hill are giving the Orange Disaster and uncle Muskie free rein. They are accomplices in the ongoing
coup. As I've said before, the Repugnant Party today is not the Republican Party of yesteryear. Which means the Rule Of Law is just...dead. The checks and balances built into the gov't are nothing more than decorations, now. Any organization cannot function unless participants are operating in good faith. That is no longer the case. This is a revolution from within, a hostile takeover.
Senator Schatz from Hawaii has stated he will use procedural rules to block State Dept. appointee-nominees from reaching the floor for a vote until USAID is restored. Court cases take time. Investigations take time. Time is what we do not have.
And think of this: the President is
already a criminal felon. What he's doing and directing others to do these days is
illegal, too. It is criminal activity. Will he get away with murder AGAIN? Probably, and so I need to vomit. Too many voters are as dumb as rocks, or they just don't care about ethical considerations anymore, if they ever did. This is not the country I used to know.
MUSKIE:

Pricing of a “fund of funds” ETF? The problem described doesn't depend on whether the underlying holdings are ETFs or other traded securities. Either way, the question is whether an ETF's bid and ask prices are representative of the aggregate
prices of the underlying securities.
IOW, what you're asking is just a variant of a question already addressed (knowing an ETF's NAV). In math terminology, your problem can be reduced to a previously-solved problem.
See
Boiling Water joke.
Until a few years ago, all ETFs were required to publish Intraday Indicative Values (IIVs), aka intraday NAVs (iNAV) every
15 seconds that purportedly "indicated" the NAV.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/etf-eulogy-inav-190000321.htmlIn this case, pricing might not always accurately reflect the value of those underlying funds. That's true for "vanilla" ETFs as well. This is why Authorized Participants exist. They arbitrage away these discrepancies. They buy ETF shares and redeem them when the shares are underpriced, and do the reverse when shares are overpriced. Consequently ETF prices don't wildly diverge from values.
TSP G Fund Rate? Anyone with Fed TSP a/c know the February rate for G Fund (SV)?
TSP Folio is still reporting the January rate.
Typically, it's updated on the 1st or 2nd business day of the month.
Tariff Markets Open.... NPR's Here and Now did an interview with a WaPo reporter based in Mexico City today. Seems Mexico already has 15,000 troops stationed along the U.S. border.
the February issue is live Hi, guys.
As you might have noticed, the February issue is live!
Lynn does exceptionally detailed work on three aspects of fixed-income investing. I try to work through water infrastructure as an asset class. Since that's something folks have discussed before, I'm hoping I got it approximately right. And, too, I walked through my own portfolio. Unlikely past years, I tried to focus more on the Big Picture aspects - the role of investments in a healthy adult life, the necessary tradeoffs implied in the dual pursuit of eating well vs sleeping well - than on individual funds. I did allow that you could probably achieve comparable outcomes with two funds, and modeling the 2024 performance of two such portfolios. And, as well, TheShadow tracked down a slew of industry machinations.
My publisher's letter touched on chaos and the prospect that some forms of chaos are productive. I am struck that our total public debt after 204 years (that is, as of 1980, was $900 billion, smaller than our yearly deficit now. Too, some forms of chaos are purely toxic; "havoc" (from Old French, "pillaging" or "looting") might be the alternate term there. I did excise rather a substantial chunk of the draft text as less relevant and inflammatory.
Please do follow the same impulse. If you're going to excoriate any particular politician or political movement, it should live in "Off Topic" and strive to be civil. Discussions of trade wars might plausibly be "Other Investing" to the extent that we try to reason through how to hedge against such.
Be well!
Ocean shipping, Panama Canal. You guys are running a sit com. Ya I just added a couple of zeros to make someone chase their tail. $630m is about $20b today. Ok the US (contractor) lost 22-30,000 workers. I saw when googled “ Estimates of the number of people who died building the Panama Canal range from 22,000 to 30,000. The Panama Canal is considered the deadliest construction project in history.”
Wait, so you just appear and throw out slop for the heck of it? wtf?
Today's online world is overflowing with slop and worse than slop. Go away ffs.
That's what Chahta from Big Bang is good for.
January MFO Ratings Posted Just posted all ratings and fund flows to
MFO Premium site, using Refinitiv data drop from Friday, 3
1 January 2025, reflecting metrics thru January.
Tariff Markets Open.... +1
Now the illegal migrants and drugs can pass under the protection of 10,000 soldiers. Any agreement that does not tie to verifiable numbers is just another Houdini’s act.
Watch this Monday interview with Richard Fischer, former Dallas Fed Pres and Deputy US Trade representative, whose first language is Spanish because he grew up in Mexico.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=wM4aLrbvvb8