Powerful grifters and the global investing markets Not that investing markets 'grifting' is new; but that the 'connections' are different this time. One may find forward valuations to continue to be out of 'norms'. We've used a variety of technical indicators over the years; as well as the 'smell/sentiment' of things for investing. As long as the front running/insider information continues to provide large profits, the markets may continue to seem 'out of control'. It's when the music stops for the 'musical chairs' that remains the tough spot to discover.
The below is an AI sort for a variety of search terms regarding grifting and the markets. I've chosen this overview. Some of the descriptions can be placed into the grifter schemes that have been hatched this year, and continue now.
My inflated 2 cents worth,
Catch
Grifters and powerful financial actors have historically manipulated global stock markets by exploiting speculative manias, technological gaps, and regulatory loopholes. In 2025, these dynamics are increasingly driven by rapid news cycles and advanced trading technologies.
Common Methods of Market Manipulation
Pump and Dump Schemes: Promoters inflate the price of a stock through false or misleading positive statements to sell their cheaply purchased stock at a higher price.
Insider Trading: Trading based on material, non-public information, often involving high-level corporate or political figures.
Financial Legerdemain: Using complex accounting or misdirection to hide a company's true financial state, similar to a magician's sleight of hand.
Exploitative Technology: Utilizing high-frequency trading (HFT) and "dark pools" to gain millisecond advantages over retail investors, which some critics describe as a "rigged" system.
Social Media Gamification: Transforming independent market participants into coordinated "gangs" that can be easily manipulated by viral misinformation.
Influence of Powerful Actors
Political Leaders: Global markets in 2025 show extreme sensitivity to political rhetoric. For example, comments on trade policies or tariffs can cause massive instant fluctuations in worldwide indices.
Large Institutional Players: Firms like Vanguard, BlackRock, and Goldman Sachs hold significant portions of global equity, and their shifts in "risk appetite" can trigger massive global sell-offs.
Historical and Contemporary Parallels
The 1901 Boom: Early 20th-century promoters legally took massive cuts (up to 40%) from stock offerings, a template for modern "bull market grift".
The Dot-Com and Crypto Eras: Cycles of "greed and fear" consistently produce frauds like Enron or modern unregulated crypto Ponzi schemes that collapse when liquidity dries up.
Current Concentration: As of late 2025, the top 1% of households control approximately 50% of all US household equity, illustrating a structural accretion of wealth that grifters often exploit by targeting the "gap" between classes.
WSW w/David Westin; Hubbard on Fed Cut Fallout, Open Source AI, Nuclear Power Bet +
Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum. Bought 50 shares of OTIS @ $87.75
Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum. EWS is going nowhere fast. Bought just a few more again today. It may very well turn out to be a dividend producer, more than any sort of growth holding. Non-diversified, concentrated portfolio. Yield = between 3%-4%. I was too late for the huge run-up, already this year.
16 December, '25 EDIT to add: Twice-yearly dividend recorded today, to be paid on 19th December. So, far, the amount is worth about half a tank of gas for me. I'll add, in dribs and drabs.
Any suggestions for investing for a new great-granddaughter? The OP didn't mention 529 plans.
I'ld say 1/3 total US. !/3 total ex-US. and 1/3 global tech.
YMMV.
Any suggestions for investing for a new great-granddaughter? 529 is a great suggestion. I am in the UT plan which has great Vanguard and DFA options at low cost.
On Bubble Watch - latest memo from Howard Marks FD said
"Marks called for a bubble on 1/7/2025. It's already more than 11 months.
Ifs and buts don't count, only actual performance does.
Bottom line: Marks was wrong. If you listened to him, you missed a lot of performance."
Nope. What's clear is that you were wrong.
On Bubble Watch - latest memo from Howard Marks Marks as always leaves the door open just in case he is wrong.
In the memo he discussed a bubble at length.
He also said in the beginning
"All of my observations will be generalities, but I’m hopeful they’ll be relevant nonetheless."
What is the purpose of discussing a bubble in 01/2025 and reminds us about a similar call 25 years?
There is only one conclusion.
He was wrong !!
Any suggestions for investing for a new great-granddaughter? Congratulations!
I just ran a calculation FWIW:
$500 invested on your great granddaughter's birth date and allowed to compound over time would be worth
$45,490.28 when she reaches age 6
5. That assumes a one-time initial deposit, quarterly compounding and a modest 7% annual rate of return. Results may vary. But this gives some idea of the power of compounding over long periods. Go for it!
The calculator linked below also accommodates investing equal sums thru monthly contributions which appears to be your preference,
Calculator
Re: energy stocks
House Bill Omits BDC Fee Disclosures
On Bubble Watch - latest memo from Howard Marks FD - do yourself a favor and go re-read the memo I linked at the beginning of this discussion only this time put on your thinking and comprehension hats if you have them.
At no point in the memo did Marks call for a bubble. If you can find it in the memo please do share. Here is what he did say:
"As I said at the start of this memo, I’m not an equity investor, and I’m certainly no expert on technology. Thus, I can’t speak authoritatively about whether we’re in a bubble. I just want to lay out the facts as I see them and suggest how you might think about them . . . just as I did 25 years ago."
On Bubble Watch - latest memo from Howard Marks Is 2025 over already? How long did you have to search for that? Maybe if Mr. Marks knew that the tech billionaires were going to pay for favors he might have hedged his remarks.
2026 is two weeks away, and even that’s irrelevant.
Marks called for a bubble on 1/7/202
5. It's already more than 11 months.
Ifs and buts don't count, only actual performance does.
Bottom line: Marks was wrong. If you listened to him, you missed a lot of performance.
I added him to my long list of bad predictions by the "experts."
This is what I posted on my site (
link). See the last posts.
On 1-7-2025 Howard Marks published his memo (www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/on-bubble-watch).
If the market doesn’t finish 2025 with at least -20%, Marks will have earned a spot on the "wall of shame."
A decline of 5-15% is "normal.". Bubble prediction calls for a lot more.
Now, we are going to wait.
On 12-15-2025: It's Dec 15, 2025, and the SP500 is up about 17% which is a nice performance.
It's pretty clear that Marks was wrong.