Falling knife, are you willing to get cut !
Stocks Set for Last Hurrah as Year Draws to Close
(Snip)
2024 will determine whether I stick with PSTL. David Sherman warned about share dilution in the REIT sector, and that DID happen in '23. Very attractive dividend, though, and lots of room for growth.
9% undervalued. (Morningstar.)
1-year return: +6.74%.
Price/Cash Flow 10.37%
Yield: 6.52%. Payout ratio: 728.85% is NUTS. What gives with that?
@Crash, payout ratio uses “dividends” divided by GAAP earnings.
The best measure of “earnings” (or distributable cash flow) for REITs (due to accounting rules like depreciation etc. which don’t affect cash flow) is funds from operation/adjusted funds from operation (FFO/AFFO)….a quick Google search found PSTL’s AFFO is $
1.0
1, with a distribution of 95 cents. That’s a mid 90’s% payout ratio, which doesn’t allow much retained capital for growth (meaning debt or equity issuance will be required for growth).
Sorry if you know all of this! :)
Happy New Year
A good explanation. Thank you!
EDIT to add: Just remembered that REITS are REQUIRED to pay-out something like 90% of profits, yes? So, then......
Stocks Set for Last Hurrah as Year Draws to Close
(Snip)
2024 will determine whether I stick with PSTL. David Sherman warned about share dilution in the REIT sector, and that DID happen in '23. Very attractive dividend, though, and lots of room for growth.
9% undervalued. (Morningstar.)
1-year return: +6.74%.
Price/Cash Flow 10.37%
Yield: 6.52%. Payout ratio: 728.85% is NUTS. What gives with that?
@Crash, payout ratio uses “dividends” divided by GAAP earnings.
The best measure of “earnings” (or distributable cash flow) for REITs (due to accounting rules like depreciation etc. which don’t affect cash flow) is funds from operation/adjusted funds from operation (FFO/AFFO)….a quick Google search found PSTL’s AFFO is $
1.0
1, with a distribution of 95 cents. That’s a mid 90’s% payout ratio, which doesn’t allow much retained capital for growth (meaning debt or equity issuance will be required for growth).
Sorry if you know all of this! :)
Happy New Year
Small Caps Thought that I would bump this discussion back up the thread to see if anyone has found any additional small cap funds they are considering adding. I plan to continue holding PKSAX and NEAGX. Might add to PKSAX in the new year in 40
1K. Also will probably add DSMC which
@BenWP kindly brought to my attention. Thanks and happy New Year to all.
Falling knife, are you willing to get cut ! Some thought my
10% per fund too high. Than
@Roy chimes in @ 95% with Giroux.
All my funds are
team-managed. None of them can compete with a rock star.
”Well, it's one for the money, Two for the show, Three to get ready, Now go, cat, go!”
Bruce Fund (BRUFX) The
Sept 2023 portfolio has 35.9% in fixed income and cash. That breaks down into:
2.6% a
STRIPS maturing in 2036 (
12 year duration),
1.0% a STRIPS maturing in 204
1 (
17 year duration),
1.
1% a STRIPS maturing in 2049 (25 year duration),
2.8% health care convertible bonds maturing in 2024 (or earlier, in default),
28.4% money market funds
That's a barbell, with nearly all the weight on the short end (including the MMF). Very conservative. Just a little speculation on interest rates falling, in which case the STRIPS will pop.
Month Ending May MFO Ratings Posted! The year turned out pretty good! The Great Normalization Bull is now in its 15th month. And, like has happened with each bull market for the past 100 years, the S&P 500 has recovered all previous drawdown and sits at a new all-time high, month-ending December.
Falling knife, are you willing to get cut ! @hankSince we've moved cash we had parked in a MM and a couple bond funds to TRP Cap App & Income (PRCFX), we are back to 95% with DG.
17 years and counting. Whenever I've moved some dollars away from DG through the years it has always cost me money.
Bruce Fund (BRUFX) Looks like Mr. Bruce has locked in AAA 10 and 20-year duration, quite a bit, with the bond sleeve. A balanced fund with 3.04% yield? That's lovely. OK, so... What about the GROWTH, eh? A correction: most of the holdings are MID-CAP, but bordering on Large Cap. (Morningstar, 30 Sept.)
Of course, IF I decide to bail, the thing will zoom upward. ... Opportunity cost is my focus with regard to BRUFX now.
Falling knife, are you willing to get cut ! Just for laughs … When I run my
10/
10 portfolio through Fido’s analytics … it always says:
”Great work. Your portfolio doesn't appear to be too heavily weighted in the stocks or bonds of any one company.”LOL@Crash - Sounds like you’re having a serious love affair with DG.
Falling knife, are you willing to get cut ! Proportions: I continue to be severely overweight PRWCX, approaching 40% of my stuff. 5 single-stocks = 14% of total. Gonna bring it down to 4, rather than 5. I guess there's no magic recipe for avoiding "Di-worse-ification."
Stocks Set for Last Hurrah as Year Draws to Close REITs.
I recall
@davidmoran likes FRT. Still 26% undervalued (Morningstar.)
Stock Rover pegs the target price @$
107.50, just 4.32% from where it sits at the end of 2023. I continue to track it.
2024 will determine whether I stick with PSTL. David Sherman warned about share dilution in the REIT sector, and that DID happen in '23. Very attractive dividend, though, and lots of room for growth.
9% undervalued. (Morningstar.)
1-year return: +6.74%.
Price/Cash Flow
10.37%
Yield: 6.52%. Payout ratio: 728.85% is NUTS. What gives with that?
Stocks Set for Last Hurrah as Year Draws to Close Thanks
@Observant1. I got my paper this morning but haven't dug in yet. I'll check it out tomorrow.
Falling knife, are you willing to get cut ! Ahh, the age-old difference in opinion on how many positions are ideal in a portfolio. Many go for the perceived (index like?) comfort of volume and others can be decisive and have less holdings. Personally, I do think having many or "toe hold" positions can lead to more in-and-out decisions and therefore reduced return. I, admittedly and begrudgingly, tend to go both ways. I feel very comfortable with a few balanced funds making up the bulk of my portfolio. On the other hand, do I need 3 SC funds and 3 LC's? No. But I can be undeceived at times. If I can exist with ~15 funds, I'm feeling pretty good about myself.
I don’t think it’s about “making more” or how many is the “best number”. Might be if someone trades too much as
@MikeM says. I just think it’s a lot easier to hold a few large equally weighted positions. (Obviously stocks would need to be in smaller amounts). I got tired of the hassle and associated tracking / record keeping / trading a large inventory requires. As for specific funds, I have opportunities today I never dreamed of while largely parked at TRP. So it hasn’t been hard at all settling on a few I think I understand well and am willing to sink
10% into.
It’s never “set in cement”. If you have
10% in a somewhat aggressive fund that’s done well for a while - maybe shift the
10% into a similar but more conservative fund to protect the gains. Conversely, if some area of investments (equities, commodities, bonds) falls sharply, you might want to shift that
10% into a more aggressive holding to take advantage of lower valuations.
No. I don’t believe there’s any “right” number of funds. A lot of ways to skin a cat!