https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/where-will-the-bear-market-bottom-history-offers-a-very-clear-clue
You probably don't need me to tell you this, but 2022 has been one of the most challenging years on record for everyone from Wall Street professionals to everyday investors. The first half of the year saw the benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), which is the broadest barometer of stock-market health, produce its worst return in 52 years. The growth-dependent Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) fared even worse, with the index losing as much as a third of its value on a peak-to-trough basis.
Very thoughtful insights/discussion
Nobody really know for sure
Could be lots pain 3 5 monrhs

They cut him short on cnbc
Saw clips he say tsla spacex 3x 4x in 4 5 yrs

@Catch22

“[Red Notice] does for investing in Russia and the former Soviet Union what Liar’s Poker did for our understanding of Salomon Brothers, Wall Street, and the mortgage-backed securities business in the 1980s. Browder’s business saga meshes well with the story of corruption and murder in Vladimir Putin’s Russia, making Red Notice an early candidate for any list of the year’s best books” (Fortune).

and

Following his explosive New York Times bestseller Red Notice, Bill Browder returns with another gripping thriller chronicling how he became Vladimir Putin’s number one enemy by exposing Putin’s campaign to steal and launder hundreds of billions of dollars and kill anyone who stands in his way.

A Deeper Interview:

billbrowder.com/

Adding to @orage comment on The Shadow’s Sept’s Commentary:

A whole series of Direxion ETFs, some modestly silly and others just very badly out-of-step with the market, hence unattractive to fickle investors, will be liquidated on September 23, 2022.
Direxion Daily Cloud Computing Bear 2X Shares (CLDS)
Direxion Daily 5G Communications Bull 2X Shares (TENG)
Direxion Russell 1000® Growth Over Value ETF (RWGV)
Direxion Russell 1000® Value Over Growth ETF (RWVG)
Direxion World Without Waste ETF (WWOW)
Direxion Fallen Knives ETF (NIFE)
Direxion Low Priced Stock ETF (LOPX)

RPIEX. 69% cash. Ta-gooch?????????

This was discussed in another thread. High derivative exposure explains high cash position. https://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/152561/#Comment_152561

Global bond manager Jack McIntyre says central banks around the world are determined to stamp out inflation. Their success will determine the direction of markets and economies. He explains how he is investing for several outcomes.

Investments During a Period of Stagflation:

Stagflation is a period of economic stagnation combined with high inflation. When the economy stagnates, growth slows and unemployment rises. Demand for goods and services may decline as income levels drop. That in itself is bad enough but high inflation compounds the problem, as the income that people do have doesn’t go as far since prices are higher.

https://smartasset.com/investing/how-to-invest-during-stagflation
For a Global Bond choices, RPIEX, looks interesting
MFO Discussion Linked here:
https://mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/152569/#Comment_152569

Too political. I view this as more about the “madness of crowds” than anything else. May drop another 50%. As a confirmed bottom feeder I”m comfy holding a tad. With NASDAQ off over 25% YTD some of the excesses have been removed.

ouch
https://materials.proxyvote.com/Approved/MC3609/20220826/SUP_515436.PDF
(probably already posted; could not find)
Lost about a quarter on RWGV, which I believe, could be mistaken, was well-ranked on MFOP once upon a time in the alt world
hold till end or sell Tuesday morning?

The devastating toll of the pandemic is all too clear on our families, our cities, our nation. But we are now beginning to see an underappreciated side of the pandemic: a coast-to-coast surge in American ingenuity, drive and determination.
Even as the pandemic damaged or even destroyed many businesses, it also provided new opportunities and fostered creativity in unexpected ways.

50-states-50-startups

(They say that market bubbles can only be identified after they have popped ….)
ARKK is currently down 67.5% over 1 one-year according to CNBC. It’s off 56% YTD and about $5.00 above where it bottomed earlier in the year. This isn’t to rag on the fund and manager. But just to lend support to the idea that there certainly appears to have been a genuine “bubble” in this sector of the market.
What I’m unable to fully understand are the specific factors contributing to its continuing descent. I believe short sellers have a heavy hand here. And investors are discounting future Fed rate increases plus anticipation of a recession in their valuation of the sector. Since TSLA is its largest holding, investors to an extent may be discounting Elon Musk - a dangerous bet IMHO. @bee mentions in another thread how higher interest rates impact speculative equities hardest. Posted for whatever thoughts or insights it might inspire..
Disclosure: Am holding a very small amount of ARKK as a long-term speculative play. Off 6-7% since averaging in.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6j0eONkJK34
No safe havens in stocks bonds nor cryptos past 6 7 months.
Inflation then
Now Recession + (?deflation)
Maybe few more fed raised rates 0.5% then 0.25% Oct followed w 0. 25% nov, or QT easing off couple months...post Xmas new yr rally??
Could be speculative perhaps wishful thinking from my part... Hope feds pivot turn around soon and swift market recovery

Right sir sorry thought you collect over 5k lol
Wonder why they charge > 5k extra for inflation issues...
Sometimes maybe better to get corp bonds least they give you ytm and final costs/ expected returns info /extra fees - no gimmicks.... Just need keep track (worries) that corp bonds do not file title 7 or 11 before maturity year.
Once things more stabilize if find more good corp bonds/start buy more will pm you.
I may call schwab or vanguard bonds desks they usually give lots info Tues or weds if have time

tuhyx. junk bonds. down -13.71 ytd.
premx. em. down -19.95
fnmix em. down -17.31
agepx frontier mkt. bonds. down -14.46
yup. i own tuhyx, not the others.

Well, $207 per day would be great, but since we're talking about $1911 return over 135 days, unfortunately that's only about $14 per day, right?

Hi sir you get around ~ 207 dollars return daily until it mature on your investment ( if calculating nearly corrected) . Enough for little gas coverage.
Not bad and almost guaranteed.
Reversed situation what we have owe 15k margin several wks ago 8.2% interest rates annual... Lucky stock bounces and sold it off. Margin rates likely higher 3rd wk of September after feds smack downs meetings.

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1806095/000119312522237777/d331554d497.htm
497 1 d331554d497.htm 497
POLAR CAPITAL EMERGING MARKET STARS FUND (the “Fund”)
A SERIES OF DATUM ONE SERIES TRUST
Supplement dated September 2, 2022
to the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information
dated July 29, 2022
Effective September 1, 2022:
1. CHANGE IN SHARE CLASS NAME
The Fund’s sole share class will no longer be designated “Institutional” and all references in the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information to the “Institutional” share class will now refer to the Fund’s sole class of shares. Except as otherwise described in this Supplement, no additional changes to the characteristics of the shares of the Fund are being made in connection with this redesignation.
2. CHANGE IN INVESTMENT MINIMUM
The Fund’s initial investment minimum will be lowered from $100,000 to $5,000.
Therefore, the initial investment minimum disclosed in the section under the heading “Summary Information About the Fund” under the sub-heading “Purchase Minimums” on page 8 of the Fund’s Prospectus and the second to last paragraph under the heading “Shares” under the sub-heading “How to Buy Shares” on page 25 of the Fund’s Prospectus each is hereby updated to $5,000 from $100,000.
This Supplement and the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information should be retained for future reference.

Like few weeks news previously:
Gazprom halted gas flows through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline to Germany Friday citing a gas leak and providing no time frame for when supplies could be restarted. Market red and oil up swings after.
Nord Stream issues today and sp500 stocks crap out...

@msf-
"is that 4.028% the annualized yield, in which case the return would be much smaller"
That was the question that I didn't have the answer to: 4.08 x 135/365 ≈ 1.51%. I had a hunch that $5100 was way too much for such a short period.
The question had well over a hundred views, but no one other than you actually answered my question, so evidently I'm not the only one unclear on the concept. I guess Yogi just wrote me off as an idiot.
Thank you very much.
OJ

Global Bond Bear
The drawdown for the global bond index was recently at -20.4% for the first time in its history (1990- ). Based on the interest rate history over 5,000 years, this may be the first time ever for the global bond market. The US bond index (1976- ) had a record drawdown of -14.3% in mid-June, recent (only) -12.7%. Twitter LINK
None of this would make you feel better. But if you hold bonds in any form, including within allocation/balanced funds, you know that it has been painful. Of course, some category of bonds (HYs, EMs) and some types of bond funds (CEFs) have had even worse drawdowns.
Twitter Chart1, Global Bond Index https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbpXRzBWAAE4PEb?format=png&name=medium
Twitter Chart2, US Bond Index https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbpX43rWIAEYBSa?format=png&name=medium
Twitter Chart3, 5,000 Yr Rate History https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FbpYQ5dWYAUjXh9?format=jpg&name=medium