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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • John Templeton
    @msf - Thank you for the information and links to the (Union Carbide related) tragedy in India in December 1984. My “big on Union Carbide” reference was shorthand - an attempt to try and put a “time-stamp” on the approximate age of the interview. Apparently the fund had amassed a large position in the stock while its price had fallen. But not much was said about it otherwise. I’ve tried in vain to get the actual date of the interview. Guessing late 70s or early 80s. By the mid 80s no load funds had become quite popular. And, it sounds like he was speaking before that time.
  • CCM Core Impact Equity and CCM Small/Mid-Cap Impact Value Funds to be reorganized
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/870355/000089706923000342/tm33.htm
    497 1 tm33.htm
    Quaker Investment Trust
    April 26, 2023
    Supplement to Statutory Prospectus and Summary Prospectuses, each dated October 28, 2022
    Proposed Reorganization. The Board of Trustees of the Quaker Investment Trust has unanimously approved an Agreement and Plan of Reorganization (“Agreement”) between Quaker Investment Trust, for itself and on behalf of the CCM Core Impact Equity Fund and the CCM Small/Mid-Cap Impact Value Fund, and Hennessy Funds Trust, for itself and on behalf of the Hennessy Stance ESG Large Cap ETF, to be renamed the Hennessy Stance ESG ETF effective as of April 28, 2023 (referred to herein as the “Hennessy Stance ESG ETF”), pursuant to which the CCM Core Impact Equity Fund and the CCM Small/Mid-Cap Impact Value Fund (collectively, the “Funds”) would be reorganized on a tax-free basis with and into the Hennessy Stance ESG ETF.
    The Agreement provides for the transfer of all of the assets of the Funds to the Hennessy Stance ESG ETF, in exchange for shares of the Hennessy Stance ESG ETF, which will be distributed pro rata by the Funds to their shareholders, with the Hennessy Stance ESG ETF assuming the liabilities of the Funds. As a result, shareholders of the Funds will become shareholders of the Hennessy Stance ESG ETF (the “Reorganization”). The Hennessy Stance ESG ETF will retain the same service providers and portfolio managers as before the Reorganization. The Reorganization is not expected to result in the recognition of gain or loss by the Funds or their shareholders for federal tax purposes. Shareholders of the Funds and the Hennessy Stance ESG ETF will not bear the costs of the Reorganization.
    A Special Meeting (the “Meeting”) of the Shareholders of the Funds will be held to vote to approve the Agreement. In connection with the Meeting, Hennessy Funds Trust will file a preliminary prospectus/proxy statement on Form N-14 with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The definitive prospectus/proxy statement when available will be sent to shareholders of the Funds to seek their approval of the Agreement to effect the Reorganization and will contain a comparison of the investment policies, strategies and risks of the Funds to the Hennessy Stance ESG ETF. Shareholders are urged to read the definitive prospectus/proxy statement and proxy card when they become available, because they will contain important information about the Agreement and the Reorganization. Shareholders of each of the Funds will vote separately on the proposal to reorganize their respective Fund.
    ******
    Please Read Carefully and Keep for Future Reference
  • First Republic Down Over 40% Today After Massive Drop in Assets
    If the CD is replaced, the rest of the fine print says that you can exit without penalty. And you'll get the high(er) rate of interest that accrued up to then.
    By law, the acquiring bank can lower the interest rate on your deposit account, but you also have the right to withdraw the money without penalty. ... If your bank fails and the deposits are acquired by another institution, the accrued interest on your account through the date of the closing will be paid at your same rate. However, after that date, your new bank has the right to reduce interest rates, subject to certain restrictions.
    In particular, for CDs and other non-transaction accounts, the assuming institution cannot pay a lower interest rate than what it offers to its existing depositors for similar accounts. The assuming institution also must notify you of any changes it intends to make in the interest rate or other terms of your account.
    https://www.fdic.gov/consumers/consumer/news/cnsum10/what_if_your_bank_fails.html
  • John Templeton
    Given that he was "big on Union Carbide", this must have been recorded in the 20th century. Union Carbide was acquired by Dow Chemical 2/6/2001.
    I'd like to think that this was recorded before 1984, before Union Carbide caused the immediate deaths of over 3,800 people (total death toll over 15,000) in Bhopal. "Investigations later established that substandard operating and safety procedures at the understaffed plant had led to the catastrophe." (Encyclopaedia Britannica). Yet even to this day, as a subsidiary of Dow Chemical, Union Carbide clings to its story that this worst industrial disaster in history was an act of sabotage.
    If Templeton recorded this after 1984, I'm saddened by the idea that he could square his faith with his enthusiasm for Union Carbide. By 2001, "UCC [had] shrunk to one sixth of its size since the Bhopal disaster in an effort to restructure and divest itself. By doing so, the company avoided a hostile takeover, placed a significant portion of UCC's assets out of legal reach of the victims and gave its shareholder and top executives bountiful profits."
    https://ehjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1476-069X-4-6
    Regarding loads: I wonder what he would say about DFA's model - no load, but (until recently) sold only through advisers. Same advice, same handholding as with load funds, but without the fund company skimming part of the load.
    (Per 1995 F-T fund prospectus, F-T kept approx 0.75% of the load on Class I shares.)
  • Grandeur Peak Global Advisors' 2023 1st Quarterly letter
    Or they could hire CPA analysts who would know that a strong demographic customer base and conservative underwriting standards do not necessarily make a strong bank's balance sheet. Being too fixated on growth and not enough on balance sheet risk caused the problem both at these banks and for the fund managers/analysts invested in them. These banks took customer deposits and invested them badly, playing a leveraged bond duration game in a rising rate environment, probably not super hard to detect for anyone focused on the balance sheet instead of the income statement. This shareholder letter marks a significant strategic shift. A key excerpt:
    In Financials, our banking tranche showed negative returns through the quarter and detracted significantly from performance in our global and US funds. Only one of the twelve banks we held at various points through the quarter contributed positively to performance, and First Republic Bank (FRC US)2 was the largest detractor.
    Our very selective approach to investing in Banks led us to own First Republic at portfolio
    weights that expressed a high degree of conviction in the company’s risk-adjusted return profile. As you are likely aware, over the past month, First Republic experienced a significant crisis, as collateral damage from the Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB US) collapse, which resulted in a severe de-rating of the FRC share price. A fair question for anyone to ask is how to reconcile our very selective approach to investing in banks with a large position in a bank that has experienced a significant crisis. At a very high level, our investment thesis on First Republic was based in its application of a world-class client service model to arguably the world’s most attractive banking client markets (specifically, the high net worth and high-end professional services markets in urban coastal population centers across the United States). That strategy for First Republic had enabled the company to structurally grow earnings while preserving exceptionally conservative underwriting standards. In other words, while First Republic is a bank, we observed that its unique model and exposure profile largely neutralized most of the quality attributes that generally make banks less attractive and more risky. Put another way, an attribute-by-attribute analysis of First Republic, reinforced over its long successful track record, made us comfortable treating First Republic as we would treat best-in-class growth companies we discover in other industries.
    However, after SVB Financial shared its post-close announcement on Wednesday, March 8th, highlighting elevated deposit attrition, the sale of available-for-sale securities at a material loss, and an equity capital raise, we spoke with First Republic’s CFO in order to confirm our knowledge of the company’s exposure to deposits from early-stage companies, net unrealized losses in available-for-sale securities, and other aspects of its capacity to avoid the negative feedback loop that SVB was beginning to experience. We left that balance sheet review confident enough to continue holding our positions. What destabilized our confidence was Friday’s announcement that SVB Financial would enter receivership and the recoverability of uninsured deposit balances at SVB was in question. As these revelations became clear, we concluded that the probability of contagion extending to First Republic depositors had become too high to justify continuing to hold our positions. In other words, we concluded that First Republic had ceased to be an investment opportunity and had instead transitioned to more of a pure gamble on which wagering our clients’ funds was unacceptable. We proceeded to exit our entire investment position in First Republic at the next opportunity (the Monday morning pre-market) as efficiently as we could without further pressuring the share price.
    In the aftermath (at least the first stage) of this banking crisis, we have carefully reviewed our financial sector investment strategy. We have reinforced our commitment to finding and owning best-in-class growth companies in the capital markets ecosystem. Perhaps more importantly, we have further tightened our already strict standards for bank and real estate company investments. This specifically means that we will invest in fewer banks going forward. They are far too fragile to take large portfolio positions in. Those bank investments that we do own will be more tactical or opportunistic, and they will be held at even more limited portfolio weights. We are also currently focused on the negative implications from this banking crisis related to funding, credit, and regulatory costs for American banks generally. We are focused on the extent to which those issues could apply material stress to more cycle-sensitive borrowers. We are now even further underweight American banks than we were prior to the banking crisis, beyond simply exiting our First Republic position. Our real estate company investments remain focused on structural growth opportunities that exclude exposure to general commercial real estate classes. And we have increased our exposure to multiple best-in-class growth companies within the capital markets ecosystem whose upside scenarios we believe have become significantly more likely due to this banking crisis.
    2 As of 01/31/2023, the Grandeur Peak Funds owned 221,572 shares of First Republic Bank and 47,006 shares of SVB Financial Group
  • Grandeur Peak Global Advisors' 2023 1st Quarterly letter
    I recall GP Global Stahlwart fund was holding SVB and First Republic Bank in their top 10 holdings. Bad luck or poor stock picking? Also noted too most of GP funds are lagging this year.
  • John Templeton
    My first brokerage a/c in the 1970s was at Merrill Lynch and I was paying almost 6-7% commission per trade, 12-14% for a roundtrip. I had to call my assigned broker and he was hard to get hold of. As his office was on the way to work, I will just write a note on transactions, and dropped it off with his secretary. Then Schwab, Fido etc changed the investing landscape - first the touchtone phone trading (telebrokers - spell check doesn't even recognize it now; most brokers had a limit on "free" phone quotes"), then came the web-trading, and finally, the commission-free trading now. That was a long journey.
  • John Templeton
    +1
    Yeah - The prayer was a turn-off. I’ll say I can’t remember his mentioning that connection with investing very often back then.
    I was revulsed at his comment about loads. But understand his larger point about people moving in and out of different funds often.
    It would have been fun hearing him spar with John Boggle. Their views on many things appear at odds,
  • First Republic Down Over 40% Today After Massive Drop in Assets
    Some Monday Morning quarterbacking - FRC should have been closed in the 1st round of bank failures (closed SVB, Signature; voluntary wound down of Silvergate). Then it got a temporary private bailout - that didn't work in hindsight. Or, it should have been closed LAST week when its earnings details were known to all who should know. So, here we are AGAIN in a situation where the speculation is whether FRC would last through Friday, or it may have to be unusually shut AGAIN during midweek. It has been left to be a roadkill by the market. Why has the FDIC been hesitating? Are there too many cooks at the FSOC who need to clear this sort of stuff now?
    A look at the charts of FRC and regional bank KRE tell the story.
    https://stockcharts.com/h-perf/ui?s=FRC&compare=KRE&id=p49376481730
    FSOC https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/financial-markets-financial-institutions-and-fiscal-service/financial-stability-oversight-council/about-fsoc/council-members
  • Two of Alpha Intelligent - Large Cap ETFs will liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1683471/000089418923002845/pfaalphaintelligentliquida.htm
    Alpha Intelligent - Large Cap Value ETF (AILV)
    Alpha Intelligent - Large Cap Growth ETF (AILG)
    (each a “Fund”, and together, the “Funds”)
    Each, a series of Listed Funds Trust (the “Trust”)
    Supplement dated April 25, 2023
    to the Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information
    dated February 28, 2022
    After careful consideration, and at the recommendation of Princeton Fund Advisors, LLC, the investment adviser to the Funds, the Board of Trustees of Listed Funds Trust approved the closing and subsequent liquidation of the Funds pursuant to the terms of a Plan of Liquidation. Accordingly, the Funds are expected to cease operations, liquidate their assets, and distribute the liquidation proceeds to shareholders of record on or about May 24, 2023 (the “Liquidation Date”). Shares of the Funds are listed on the NYSE Arca, Inc.
    Beginning on or about April 26, 2023 and continuing through the Liquidation Date, each Fund will liquidate its portfolio assets. As a result, during this period, each Fund will increase its cash holdings and deviate from its investment objective, investment strategies, and investment policies as stated in the Funds’ Prospectus and SAI.
    The Funds will no longer accept orders for new creation units after the close of business on the business day prior to the Liquidation Date, and trading in shares of the Funds will be halted prior to market open on the Liquidation Date. Prior to the Liquidation Date, shareholders may only be able to sell their shares to certain broker-dealers, and there is no assurance that there will be a market for the Funds’ shares during that time period. Customary brokerage charges may apply to such transactions.
    If no action is taken by a Fund’s shareholder prior to the Liquidation Date, the Fund will distribute to such shareholder, on or promptly after the Liquidation Date, a liquidating cash distribution equal to the net asset value of the shareholder’s Fund shares as of the close of business on the Liquidation Date. This amount will include any accrued capital gains and dividends. Shareholders remaining in a Fund on the Liquidation Date will not be charged any transaction fees by the Fund. The liquidating cash distribution to shareholders will be treated as payment in exchange for their shares. The liquidation of your shares may be treated as a taxable event. Shareholders should contact their tax adviser to discuss the income tax consequences of the liquidation.
    Shareholders can call 1-800-617-0004 for additional information.
    Please retain this Supplement with your Summary Prospectus,
    Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information for reference.
  • First Republic Down Over 40% Today After Massive Drop in Assets
    Oh yes, the Bynars- they sure put together one hell of a holodeck program for Riker... what was her name... something like Minuete, as I recall. Jean-Luc Picard took quite a liking to her also.
    Been following the First Republic situation closely, as we keep a checking account there. Their stock was $147 on Feb 2, and closed at $8.10 today. Front page in this morning's WSJ... their future sure doesn't look very good.
  • John Templeton
    Keys to Investment Success - from John Templeton
    This audio book sounds like it was recorded in the 1980s. A one-on-one interview, very “rough around the edges” - perhaps conducted over the phone. I bought it for $3.99 and have listened to the first half so far. About an hour long. Templeton was my first fund manager when I was just starting to contribute to my workplace plan in the 70s. The fund was TEMWX. He was also founder and head of Templeton World Funds.
    - He’s big on Union Carbide
    - U.S. Steel has fallen in price, but is still too expensive for his taste
    - “Do-it-yourself” small investors don’t have a chance compared to a good mutual fund with its depth of research and analytical capabilities.
    - He thinks no-load funds should not be allowed. His reasoning is that without the assistance of “dedicated professionals” (salespersons) retail investors would make poor decisions in buying funds that don’t meet their individual needs. And also, having not paid a load would entice investors to jump from fund to fund and forsake the rewards of long term investing.
    - He thinks 5 years is the reasonable time frame to expect to profit from a good equity fund. He says it would be extremely rare not to make a profit in one of his firm’s investment portfolios over a 5 year period, based on historical averages.
    - His style sounds deep value. The best investments are those whose price has been trashed and which have long been out of favor / shunned “by everyone else.” However, he’s more than willing to grab off a quick profit and sell a recent acquisition if the price rises quickly.
    - He doesn’t like bonds / bond funds for long term investment, being quite adamant that equities will outperform over longer periods.
    - He and the investment committee move from investing style to investing style in an attempt to stay ahead of the crowd. Once everyone adapts a successful style of investing, it ceases to be effective. He refused the interviewer’s request to detail any one new style under consideration, saying that if he revealed it, it would be less effective as others moved to mimic it.
    - He prays frequently for guidance in making correct investment decisions and leads off staff meetings with prayer.
    - According to the intro, Sir John resides (resided) in the Bahamian Islands while running Templeton Funds.
    An interesting look back in time. Some of Templeton’s views may provoke ridicule or ire among today’s investors. For his time, Templeton was a giant in the mutual fund world. Templeton Funds were later acquired by Franklin. ISTM that’s also about when their earlier years stellar performance ceased.
    image
    Amazon Link
    ”Money magazine in 1999 called him "arguably the greatest global stock picker of the century". Templeton attributed much of his success to his ability to maintain an elevated mood, avoid anxiety and stay disciplined.” Wikipedia
  • T-Bills 1m-3m Spread
    Does it imply that the money market yield can drop soon because the one month T bill?
    For now I will let cash build up as we approach the deadline of debt limit voting. I have no confidence on McCarthy and there is a chance of repeat of 2011.
  • First Republic Down Over 40% Today After Massive Drop in Assets
    For those who invest in mid- and small cap funds, take a look at the top 10 holdings, especially banks. Many regional banks are have hard time holding on their depositors since they pay too little for too long. Many money market funds pay 4.5%!
  • New to brokered CD's
    Buying a CD or a bond with accrued interest is like buying a dividend.
    If you look at the value of a mutual fund share, ex-div, it is less than what you paid for it on the record date. That's because you're paying for the money that you're about to get in the form of a div. First time investors sometimes think that they'll get the dividend for "free".
    Likewise, when one buys a CD or a bond near its coupon payment or maturity date, it may seem that one is getting this interest for "free". In reality, just as with the fund share, one is going to pay for that upcoming interest payment.
    Sometimes, I suspect rarely when it comes to CDs, that payment is made in the form of a higher cost - just as one pays more for a fund share on its record date than on its ex-div date. Most of the time though, one adds the (accrued) interest to the price of the CD when buying it.
    It's that distinction - between explicitly paying the interest or having the interest embedded in the purchase price (as with a fund share) - that I was trying to point out.
    No matter how you slice it, an investor is going to pay for divs and interest.
    Note that Vanguard and Fidelity are upfront on what they charge to trade CDs on the secondary market: $1 per $1000 CD.
    All I've been able to find about WellsTrade is that it adds an unspecified markup to the price of a secondary market CD. So you may need to work through a test purchase to see how much that is.
  • T-Bills 1m-3m Spread
    There's a 17 week auction tomorrow, and the annualized yield today is about the same as the 3m with a slightly longer maturity, taking it out to August 29. I'm going that way, on the wild guess that even if the fit hits the shan in June/July, the chaos will be over by then. Assuming of course that the adults would decide to unite and end the chaos ...
  • Loomis Sayles Growth Fund is reopening to new investors
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/872649/000119312523114446/d494962d497.htm
    497 1 d494962d497.htm LOOMIS SAYLES FUNDS II
    Supplement dated April 25, 2023 to the Prospectus and Summary Prospectus of the Loomis Sayles Growth Fund, dated February 1, 2023, as may be revised and supplemented from time to time.
    LOOMIS SAYLES GROWTH FUND
    The Board of Trustees of Loomis Sayles Funds II, upon the recommendation of Natixis Distribution, LLC and Loomis, Sayles & Company, Inc., has approved the re-opening of the Loomis Sayles Growth Fund to new investors. Effective April 25, 2023, the Loomis Sayles Growth Fund will begin accepting orders for the purchase of shares from new investors.
    Accordingly, all references to the Loomis Sayles Growth Fund being closed to new investors are hereby removed from the Prospectus and Summary Prospectus.