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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Jittery Investors Turn to Cash in Hunt for Yield - WSJ
    ”The dash for cash on Wall Street is back on. Investors have added about $135 billion to global money-market funds over the past four weeks … through Jan. 18. That is the best stretch since the four-week period ended May 2020, when those funds logged roughly $175 billion in net inflows …
    “Increased cash allocations are the latest sign of caution among investors who are questioning whether the recent rebound in stocks and bonds will continue … The average return on U.S. money-market funds this month is 4.12%, the highest yield since the 2008 financial crisis … The S&P 500, on the other hand, has a dividend yield of about 1.6%.”

    By the end of December, assets sitting in money-market funds hit a record $5.18 trillion … That surpassed the previous high of $5.16 trillion from May 2020 … In December, individual investors slightly lowered the share of cash in their portfolios to about 21.8%, below the historical average of roughly 22.5% … The reading still marks one of the highest levels since May 2020. In comparison, stock and stock fund allocations are at about 63.9%, above the historical average of around 61.5%.
    Excerpted from: The Wall Street Journal (Print Edition) January 26, 2023 (Narrative edited for brevity. Attribution to data sources omitted for brevity).
    You’ll likely need a WSJ subscription to access story online.
  • Is 2023 the time to wade back into bond funds? Thoughts?
    +1 Thanks @yogibearbull
    “but redemptions are limited to 5% of AUM quarterly.”
  • MXF. The Mexico Fund (CEF)
    The one that got away? If you were in it on Jan. 1, you've already made a great profit.
    https://www.morningstar.com/cefs/xnys/mxf/performance
  • Bloomberg Real Yield
    Although a graphic below the video image notes 1/20/2023; this is the Friday program this week, as I watched in 'real time'. @Crash, you may search BNN and the words 'Real Yield'.
  • Bloomberg Real Yield
    @AndyJ,
    Thanks for the link to yesterday's show.
    This is one of two Real Yield episodes on YouTube labeled 01/20/2023.
    Perhaps someone cut & paste the title but forgot to change the day?
  • media economy coverage
    So, one famous maker of blue jeans hired Vietnamese workers because they could be paid in peanuts. The jeans were manufactured, finished, ready to wear. Then they were shipped to Saipan.
    Reread the article you cited. All the manufacturing was done in Saipan, USA.
    The island of Saipan is in the US Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas Islands (CNMI). Beginning in the 1980s, many clothing manufacturers had their garments made in Saipan because such items could be labelled “Made in the USA”. ...
    In 1999, three separate lawsuits were filed in US state and federal courts against numerous American retail apparel companies and Saipan-based garment factories.
    That's a way of circumventing US labor laws; nevertheless, those workers were employed in the USA, which is all that the label "Made in the USA" communicates. It represents jobs, not wages or working conditions.
    For a product to be called Made in USA, or claimed to be of domestic origin without qualifications or limits on the claim, the product must be "all or virtually all" made in the U.S. The term "United States," as referred to in the Enforcement Policy Statement, includes the 50 states, the District of Columbia, and the U.S. territories and possessions.
    https://www.ftc.gov/business-guidance/resources/complying-made-usa-standard
    Side note: I haven't been able to verify the statement that these were Vietnamese workers. The Business & Human Rights piece cited in turn cites an SFGate (SF Chronicle) piece saying that "The lawsuit claimed that thousands of workers, including many from China and the Philippines ...".
    An extensive piece on this suit can be found here:
    http://www.natcath.org/NCR_Online/archives2/2001c/090701/090701a.htm
    According to U.S. government reports and information contained in lawsuits, garment workers from China, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Thailand and elsewhere pay $2,000 to $7,000 per worker to obtain jobs in the Mariana Islands that frequently have them working 12 hours a day, seven days a week for $3.05 an hour, often without overtime pay.
    ...
    in 1998, then-Interior Secretary Bruce Babbitt spoke of the relationship established between the U.S. Congress and the Mariana Islands in 1976 that was intended to provide a transitional economic stimulus but which has produced an experiment “gone horribly awry. It has created a plantation economy, dependent upon the massive importation on a continuing basis of low-paid, vulnerable, short-term indentured workers.” Babbit called the situation in the Northern Mariana Islands a “disgrace.”
    Most of the garment workers in Saipan come from China.
    That was then. Now:
    The Fair Minimum Wage Act of 2007 ... included a provision to apply U.S. minimum wage to the CNMI [Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands], increasing the CNMI’s minimum wage in periodic increments until it reached the federal minimum wage of $7.25, which it did on September 30, 2018
    https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-22-105271.pdf
  • Bloomberg Real Yield
    It's here; it was mislabeled on YouTube, but you can tell from the "1 day ago" notation, and one of the guests at one point says something like "and here we are, January 27, and" blah blah.
  • Is 2023 the time to wade back into bond funds? Thoughts?
    ”All Barron's Roundtable interviews were done in NYC on January 9. Info is released piecemeal in 2-3 weekly installments (3 this year).”
    Thanks Yogi - Should have checked date of interview. A bit surprised it’s that old. So much has happened in both the equity & bond markets since then. The 10-year is quite a bit lower in yield (higher in price) than earlier in the year. A lot of other investment grade bonds keys off of it. So I wouldn’t be backing up the truck on AAA / AA stuff at the moment, but what do I know? Giroux’s bond recommendation is for lower rated stuff - the reason I thought it worth posting. And some here understand the lower rated tier much better than I do. Perhaps they’ll chime in.
    Yes - Sonal Desai from Franklin Templeton is a pleasure to read / listen to.
    -
    @MIkeM said, “Maybe they are using this platform to drive up price on their picks.”
    Let us hope not! If it were me I’d probably offer up 4 good picks and one that I was hoping to dump. But ISTM that would be illegal as hell - if it could be proven. Honestly, David Giroux is the last person on earth I’d expect such shenanigans from.
  • Is 2023 the time to wade back into bond funds? Thoughts?
    Another class FKIQX and FHYQX are no-load/NTF at Fido with min $1,000.00 (also at Schwab with min $100.00).
  • Bloomberg Real Yield
    I searched Bloomberg and YouTube yesterday evening but didn't find an episode for 01/27/2023.
    Just searched again with same results.
  • Is 2023 the time to wade back into bond funds? Thoughts?
    Yes, I always pay attention when she's on-air. Of course, most of what she's pushing are Franklin products. For comparison:
    FHYVX. $100k threshold.
    Yield: 4.35%
    E.R. 0.55%
    Performance YTD: +3.78%, in 51st percentile among peers.
    (Franklin typically requires a front-load. Dunno, in this case.)
    ****************
    HYMU threshold = the cost of one share. (ETF. $22.02 today.)
    Yield: 4.02%
    E.R 0.35%
    YTD: +4.36%, in top 22% among peers. But are junk bond ETFs in a different category altogether, re: FHYVX?
    https://www.franklintempleton.com/articles/blogs/meet-the-manager-sonal-desai
  • Is 2023 the time to wade back into bond funds? Thoughts?
    Extra-topical - But makes you wonder why he was high on AMZN a year ago when it was 30% more expensive but fails to mention it this year?
    Thanks @hank. I was reading this segment of the round table this morning. A quick look at PWRCX's top 10 equity holdings shows about a 2% stake in Amazon. It also shows he's owned it since 2016. It' gone up a ton since then. I actually hope he bought more at the start of this year. I bought a little myself.
    I don't believe these people are giving secrets as to what they are buying or selling at the moment in most cases. They are likely stating what anyone can already find in their portfolio in hindsight. Maybe they are using this platform to drive up price on their picks.
  • media economy coverage
    jesus fucking christ
    anyone can be a nerde* about this:
    https://www.ftc.gov/business-guidance/resources/selling-american-made-products-what-businesses-need-know-about-making-made-usa-claims
    https://www.ftc.gov/business-guidance/resources/complying-made-usa-standard
    This is almost as comical as getting woke wrong, CRT wrong, 1619 wrong, mixing in car audio and god knows what all.
    you k, bruh?
  • Is 2023 the time to wade back into bond funds? Thoughts?
    Sonal Desai from Franklin Templeton focused on income and bond funds. LINK1 LINK2
    "5-yr TIPS; FRIAX (hybrid); CPREX (private real estate); EADOX, FHYVX, IGSB, SIDCX (Part 3); gradually increasing duration."
  • Is 2023 the time to wade back into bond funds? Thoughts?
    @hank. thank you. Yes, interesting. PRWCX is still 36% of portfolio, here.
    "I echo the view expressed here that fixed income hasn't been this attractive in a long time. We invest in high-quality high-yield bonds and high-quality leveraged loans—issuers whose Ebitda isn't volatile and that have a large EV [enterprise value] cushion, relative to their debt."
    I wrote on a different thread about bonds just yesterday. Things run in cycles, yes. So today's King of the Road will be next year's Loser, often. For now, I'm loving the ride on these particular ponies:
    SCHP (TIPS, not junk.)
    HYDB
    TUHYX
    PRCPX
    Bonds are up to 32% of my portfolio today. And a soft rain is falling here in Honolulu.
    Of course, with over $50M at his disposal, uncle David is able to play with INDIVIDUAL bonds, with their much bigger thresholds. Morningstar shows PRWCX holding 31.46% of its portfolio in bonds. That might be stale, by now.
  • media economy coverage
    +1 I think capitalism in the US became too used to free/low cost labor based on the prevalence of slavery, indentured servants and convict leasing-and thus American capitalism doesn't value labor.
    Exploiting Overseas Foreign Workers still goes on today. Perfectly legal in many places. Permitted, acknowledged, expected. But if the economy turns south and there's a cut-back in hours, those workers, under contract, are slaves, tied to that location. Bed and food provided. But when they don't make much money? Well, they simply don't make much money. It was happening under the U.S. flag in Saipan until the GWB years, when the gummint put a stop to it--- in THAT particular place. No cheap labor? Then we'll go elsewhere, said the clothing companies.
    ****************
    A related story: US law permits manufacturers to claim a garment was American made if just one step in the process is done on US soil. So, one famous maker of blue jeans hired Vietnamese workers because they could be paid in peanuts. The jeans were manufactured, finished, ready to wear. Then they were shipped to Saipan, where a flag and logo was sewn onto the back pocket. The slogan said: "Made in the USA." As the French would say: "Merd."
  • media economy coverage
    +1 I think capitalism in the US became too used to free/low cost labor based on the prevalence of slavery, indentured servants and convict leasing-and thus American capitalism doesn't value labor.