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It’s at least a more level playing field with the 10-Yr. Treasury now in the 4% range compared to a couple years back. Of course, by taking just a little more credit risk you can net a percent or two higher.Yep, happy days are here again may be the theme song
looking ahead for the bond universe if the inflation + rate hike story is really fading as the numbers show now. Which is the story Pimco was telling in their last outlook.
Bank loan funds on track for their second best year in history. A few non agency mbs funds on track for double digit annual gains. Junk bonds, if history is any guide will also enjoy double digit gains this year. Even the commercial real estate bond fund I love to hate is on track for a 10% gain. If the 10 year can right itself like the past few days many other bond categories will join the party. I fully understand the logic of money market, CDs, and Treasuries at these high rates but……To each their own, @Crash. Thought I'd mention it since there doesn't seem to be much talk beyond junk, mortgages, and bank loans.
Foreign taxes in retirement accounts
Unfortunately, foreign investments in retirement accounts don't qualify for either a tax credit or deduction.
Because income in a tax-deferred account—such as an individual retirement account (IRA) or 401(k)—isn't subject to U.S. tax (at least not until you begin making withdrawals), you can't deduct foreign taxes paid on investments held in the account. But don't worry—the foreign taxes reduce the income earned in that account. That is, when you eventually withdraw funds from your account, you'll be taxed on the net amount only.
If you have a Roth IRA, the situation is a bit different. Withdrawals from Roth accounts are tax-free, so you won't benefit from the foreign taxes you paid. But don't let the lack of a tax benefit deter you from holding foreign investments in your Roth account; it could still make sense to include foreign assets for diversification and potential growth.
Others have stated that $42K repair is an outlier. As to the question of how long before insurance rates soar, the answer may be: not long; the rise has already begun.My 2009 Toyota pickup will just have to make it to the end. $42,000 repair- how long does anyone think that insurance companies are going to put up with that kind of stuff?
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/16/heres-why-auto-insurers-are-raising-rates-as-car-prices-ease.html
- Auto insurers have raised premiums amid a higher frequency of crashes and repair costs during the pandemic era.
...More wrecks, fewer shops mean higher premiums
Average motor vehicle insurance prices rose by 17.1% in May versus a year ago, according to the consumer price index. [16.9% Y/Y in June.]
That’s among the largest annual increases of any consumer good or service, bested only by prices for margarine, frozen vegetables, motor vehicle repair and meals at schools and employee sites, according to CPI data.
Prices were up 2% alone between April and May.
...
Many factors have conspired to push up the cost of car repairs, which ultimately feeds through to insurance prices, economists said.
For one, many auto body shops and auto maintenance companies went out of business during the pandemic, which has reduced their supply and driven up repair costs, said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics.
...
Car wrecks also surged in 2022.
I agree and have generally avoided father-and-son / family firms. I think Yacktman however was one of the better ones. I believe Donald brought Steven in very early and they worked together for a very long time. I considered it numerous times but never owned it. I admired their consistent (value) approach, and I believe they put up good returns, especially when the S&P floundered. They did better than many of the other “value stalwarts” like Clipper, Oakmark Select, Muhkenkamp, Oak Value, Torray, Longleaf, etc. of the same era.Eponymous funds are hard investments. Muhlenkamp was bequeathed to Ron's son, and has been vastly better without him. Akre Focus was the outgrowth of one betrayal of Chuck Akre by his analysts; he intensely prepped their successors. By MFO Premium's and Morningstar's reckoning, they've outperformed their peers by a healthy margin since but have seen huge outflows. Walthausen's team gave up. Bill Miller's successors at Miller Opportunity are top 1% this year, but the fund was also top 1% in 2020 and bottom 1% in 2021 and 2022. Cook & Bynum is five-star after Dowe's passing, but most of that comes from being reclassified by Morningstar, perhaps fairly, as a diversified EM fund.
And Bruce? The Younger Mr. Bruce will persevere, I suspect. His dad was more and more a voice in the background, I suspect. And I'm certainly willing to ask them, if you'd like.
The prudent course for active investors is usually a functional team or a firm (T Rowe Price, Mairs & Power) that has a really good record for manager replacement. The prudent course for skeptics might be a passive strategy that's not purely market-cap or debt weighted.
I'm not Derf, but...One can't take foreign tax paid off Fed taxes @Derf, what does that mean.
Same here. Dan and Richard Clarida, back at Pimco from a stint at the Fed, gave a great presentation of Pimco's latest cyclical outlook a few weeks back.For me, Dan Ivascyn is the most crucial for me to understand bonds and what to do. For many years, Dan Ivascyn has been saying the same thing which is "I can still find opportunities in MBS that I like".

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