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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Money market funds
    @hank said,
    "Anybody care to speculate on what caused BAMBX to fall to earth after several great years?"
    I feel your pain...
    I am trying to figure out the same with a somewhat similar holding of mine, PTIAX. It has recently had a "slight recovery" from that fall, but it has a long ways to go. PTIAX recently tumbled much further than BAMBX. I am assuming due to its pure bond makeup. BAMBX holds about10% in equities. I was not prepared to stomach a 12% loss (2022) in a fund that I selected as a cash alternative.
    BAMBX Compared to PTIAX
  • Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show
    Recessions & financial crises go hand in hand after Federal Reserve tightening cycles. Outspoken economist Dave Rosen-"bear"-g sees evidence of both and advises defensive investments.
    He's predicting 3100 on the S&P 500.
    Previous lows:
    Present Level = 4192
    1 year low - Oct 10, 22 = 3500
    3 year low - Mar 11, 2020 = 2586
    5 year low - Dec 1, 2018 = 2506

  • Money market funds
    Anybody care to speculate on what caused BAMBX to fall to earth after several great years? From 2016 through 2021 it was positive every year - delivering (by my estimate) around 5% yearly returns on average. That type performance from a low / moderate risk fund is going to attract eyeballs. But it fell 3% in 2022 and is dead-even (0%) YTD.
    OK - 2022 was reasonable considering the whacking both equities and fixed income received, But this year makes no sense. All I can figure is that it’s invested heavily at the short end of the yield curve and has struggled against sharply rising short term rates. If that’s the case, it stands to do much better when short-term rates begin falling. Just a guess. Anybody see anything different?
    “Black box” is probably a misnomer. Yet, ISTM this type of investment process makes it a real challenge to “get under the hood” and really understand what makes the fund behave the way it does.
  • Alternative to Artisan International Value (ARTKX)?
    I’ve owned ARTKX for 13 years, and it’s my only foreign fund that hasn’t disappointed. I’ve diversified into other foreign funds over the years and haven’t found anything that compares. However, if I wasn’t able to invest in ARTKX and wanted a foreign fund, I would consider FMIJX and FIVFX. The two in tandem would provide a good balance between growth and value.
    I’ve been scaling back on foreign funds, however, because of their long term underperformance. I know investing runs in cycles, but I’m afraid I’ll be dead before foreign stocks pay off. I’ve still got about one-fourth of my stocks in foreign funds, so I’ll get some benefit if they ever outperform. I suspect that there are systemic reasons why foreign stocks continue to disappoint and that their lower valuations are probably justified.
  • Schwab Taps Credit Markets To Raise $2.5 Billion In Debt
    @sfnative-
    It's entirely possible that I'm ignorant of some things here. I have no idea what a "Program Bank" is, nor have I ever seen anything on Schwab referring to that. If I visit our "Account Summary" there are two separate entries for cash accounts- one for the brokerage and one for the bank.
    Here's a reproduction of the top lines of our current Account Summary:
    image
    Note that the brokerage cash account is currently $54,014 (a CD just matured), while the bank account is $10,046.
    I really don't know what else to say about this.
    Regards- OJ
  • Matthews Korea Fund changes
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/923184/000119312523149421/d475937d497.htm
    497 1 d475937d497.htm FORM 497
    SUPPLEMENT DATED MAY 19, 2023
    TO THE MUTUAL FUND PROSPECTUS AND
    STATEMENT OF ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OF
    MATTHEWS ASIA FUNDS
    DATED APRIL 28, 2023, AS SUPPLEMENTED
    For all existing and prospective shareholders of Matthews Korea Fund – Investor Class shares (MAKOX) and Institutional Class shares (MIKOX):
    As explained in the supplement dated March 7, 2023, the Matthews Korea Fund (the “Fund”) will be reorganized from a mutual fund into an exchange-traded fund (“ETF”), expected to occur on or around July 14, 2023 (the “Reorganization”).
    As part of the Reorganization, the following preliminary events will occur before the Reorganization is completed:
    ●On or around June 20, 2023, all Investor Class shares of the Fund will be converted to Institutional Class shares of the Fund (the “Share Class Conversion”); and
    ●On or around June 23, 2023, when the Fund has only Institutional Class shares outstanding, those outstanding shares will be combined into fewer shares through a reverse stock split (the “Reverse Stock Split”).
    At a meeting held on May 16-17, 2023, the Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of Matthews International Funds, (dba Matthews Asia Funds) (the “Trust”), approved, on behalf of the Fund, the Share Class Conversion and the Reverse Stock Split.
    The Share Class Conversion is intended to help minimize the number of fractional shares prior to the Reorganization since fractional shares are not supported in the ETF structure. After the Share Class Conversion occurs, each shareholder that held Investor Class shares will instead hold Institutional Class shares with the same total net asset value as previously held in the Investor Class shares. The Institutional Class shares currently have a lower total expense ratio compared to the Investor Class shares.
    Shortly after the Share Class Conversion, the Institutional Class shares will combine into fewer shares through the Reverse Stock Split to increase the net asset value per share of the Institutional Class prior to the Reorganization. A higher net asset value per share for the ETF is desired to help facilitate better secondary market quality of the ETF. The Reverse Stock Split will occur at an exact ratio to be determined by Matthews International Capital Management, LLC, as the adviser to the Fund, currently expected to be between 1-for-6 to 1-for-9. If, for example, the exact ratio is 1-for-7, a shareholder would receive 1 Institutional Class share for every 7 Institutional Class shares held, with any fractional amounts to be paid in cash prior to the Reorganization so that the shareholder would hold a round number of shares. As with the Share Class Conversion, the total net asset value of each shareholder’s Institutional Class shares will be the same after the reverse split as before the reverse split (except for the value represented by cash received for fractional shares). The Reverse Stock Split will not result in a taxable transaction for shareholders. However, any fractional shares of the Institutional Class that are held prior to the Reorganization will be liquidated for cash, which may cause a taxable event with respect to the cash received.
    Please retain this Supplement with your records.
  • In case of DEFAULT
    I agree with the view that the optics of invoking 14th before an actual default will be much worse than doing it post default.
    AOC assessment is also correct -- forget McCarthy actually knowing how many votes he has, the t**d can't even differentiate between a food inlet and a food outlet.
    Any compromise coming out of the current "negotiations" will have a pretty tough time passing both the Senate and the House and McCarthy leaning on House Dems to pass any bill will be the end of his tenure as Speaker.
    The negotiations are theatrics, a sharp stock market crash of 20%+ and delays in issuing SS/Medicare payments will open up eyes and minds and bring a closure to all of this including the invocation of the 14th. GOP voters don't understand default but they sure will understand missing SS/Medicare payments.
  • In case of DEFAULT
    Politico. Com has an interesting discussion of how POTUS views the timing of the 14th. Too soon would make it appear as though he is not negotiating in good faith. So much of this shitshow is theatrics.
  • In case of DEFAULT
    @AndyJ. The choices facing the President are excruciating … The bad guys can either agree to a deal or not but POTUS has another alternative which may start constitutional crisis. To my thinking the 14th may be the best of the lot. Meanwhile, to use an analogy to sailing, we are actively preparing for heavy weather to the extent we can.
  • In case of DEFAULT
    @AndyJ. Timing the 14th will be tricky. Better sooner to avoid actual default but as Yellen says invoking the 14th would create its own issues. So the President is wishing and hoping for a miracle. It’s always tough to get timing perfect. One can retire too early or too late. Sell the boat too early or too late. Sell the house too early or too late . Hard to get it just right.
  • In case of DEFAULT
    (a) It'd be best to invoke the 14th before a default, as a way of avoiding one ... like the language suggests.
    (b) The SC-5/6 have shown they can "creatively" justify anything they want, constitution and precedent be damned. Ayatollah Alito may be on it right now.
  • In case of DEFAULT
    A default will happen, the 14th will be invoked, emergency petition will be filed in SC and SC will validate the use of the 14th.
    That should put a nail in the coffin of a debt ceiling law that conflicts with a constitutional amendment and return(rightfully so) budget and debt related decisions to the annual budget process.
    to god's ear
  • In case of DEFAULT
    A default will happen, the 14th will be invoked, emergency petition will be filed in SC and SC will validate the use of the 14th.
    That should put a nail in the coffin of a debt ceiling law that conflicts with a constitutional amendment and return(rightfully so) budget and debt related decisions to the annual budget process.
  • Money market funds
    As msf posted a while ago, ML also offers Fidelity mm funds >4.6% (at the moment).
    No sweep functions (meaning it takes a little planning to move your moneys about), but otherwise a fine thing to use and quite a departure from the past.
    In related news, my BoA heloc is now >7.4%, unbelievably, which is slightly higher than my first house mortgage, 51y ago.
  • In case of DEFAULT
    @AndyJ. +100. So many of the so called experts think it won’t happen because it would be so catastrophic. The problem is that kind of thinking is RATIONAL. It will take plenty of repuglicans to make a deal and it’s very unlikely you can find very many RATIONAL repuglicans in congress. Or anyplace else. So hang on to your Stroh’s. That is a Detroit reference.
  • In case of DEFAULT
    WaPo: The FreeDumb caucus calls on McCarthy to "suspend debt negotiations" and focus on getting the House's previously passed bill through the Senate.
    “There should be no further discussion until the Senate passes the legislation,” a statement from the Republican group said.
    Passing anything in the House to stop a debt default is no slam dunk, no matter what the negotiators come up with. The lunatics are still in charge of the asylum. Are there any "moderate" House Repubs left to stop this suicide pact?
  • Anybody Investing in bond funds?
    No one size fits all. If we get back to 15% on CDs like under Volker I’ll take a look. Generally, I’d rather invest in things than in cash. That’s just a personal prejudice born of 50+ years watching markets. Now the problem for me with locking up money in a CD is that it limits my ability to move in and out of what I believe are more profitable investments while that money is tied up. I’ll take the 4+% on cash Fido currently pays in return for being able to pick up equities anytime I want. While you’re tied up in a 3 year or 5 year C/D some hard assets or equities you watch could fall by 25%, making them an attractive buy. Do the math and you’ve actually lost money if you buy those assets a few years later after the prices have rebounded, even considering your “profit” from the C/D. When you lock up cash for any length of time you pay an opportunity cost.
    Let’s not put all bond funds in one basket / trash bin. There are, by many accounts, some good opportunities in EM bond funds for folks willing to take on some added risk. If you like to “play” the fixed income market, buy and sell something like a GNMA bond fund as the 10 year fluctuates up and down in yield. Mostly, that’s govt. backed paper. High yield and convertible bond funds allow a good manager to profit from his/her research and analytical skills in markets that skirt the line between equity and traditional bond. I would not simply write those types of investments off as “just another bond fund.” And some international bond funds profit from playing the FX markets - making better returns possible beyond the coupon rates on those bonds. I used to have an anger problem too. Got better after Ted departed - although I miss him greatly.
  • Japan stocks surge to highest since 1990 as G-7 meeting is underway
    There was indeed a Japan Fund (SJPNX, etc; its catchy logo was stylish JF) that had many subadvisors over its life, 1990s-2014, Scudder, Fido, Nomura. In 2014, it was merged into Matthew's Japan MJFOX.
    https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20141007005176/en/Matthews-Japan-Fund-Merger-with-the-Japan-Fund-of-Nomura-Partners-Funds-Inc.-to-Close-on-October-20-2014
  • Japan stocks surge to highest since 1990 as G-7 meeting is underway
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/19/asia-markets.html
    Around the time I bought DODGX in 1991, I also bought The Japan Fund. I can't remember the ticker. I thought it would be a classic blood-in-the-streets purchase. In those days people convinced themselves that Tokyo real estate was worth more than everything in these United States. And then their market crashed hard.
    After many years, I think it was sold because we needed tires for one of the vehicles. Saved us from taking equity out of the house in Marin county. And it got the kids to daycare, and us to work. So I don't regret the tradeoff.