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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Is anyone else concerned about what is happening?
    I think this explains things pretty well:
  • Is anyone else concerned about what is happening?
    Too much time at home. But, hey, hedge funds shouldn't get to have all the fun...
    Signs of a little spillover impact on ETFs but maybe not mutual funds...
    The $189 million Wedbush ETFMG Video Game Tech ETF jumped more than 16.1% Wednesday, pushing it up approximately 25% since the start of the week. The $758 million SPDR S&P Retail ETF soared 12%, powering it to a 21.9% gain for the week-to-date.
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gamestop-surge-leaves-u-based-060000570.html
  • Why Grantham Says the Next Crash Will Rival 1929, 2000
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=RYfmRTyl56w
    Why Grantham Says the Next Crash Will Rival 1929, 2000
    Very interesting interview from Bloomberg regarding bubble formations/disruptions and potential markwt crashes coming soon
  • Small Caps
    OK, so MSSMX is human, so to speak, after all. Finally DOWN 3.18% in concert with other SCs.
    Increased my stake in it today by 50%. One more BUY to go to fill out the position. Seat belts not included.
  • Tom Madell, PhD - Mutual Fund/ETF Research Newsletter, February 2021
    MIOPX, 3 yr and 5yr, is in a dead heat with VWIGX. I don't own any Vanguard funds in my fund supermarket account, but I assume there's a transaction fee. MS funds are no-load, NTF where I shop.
    Good point. Prior owner of it.
  • Tom Madell, PhD - Mutual Fund/ETF Research Newsletter, February 2021
    MIOPX, 3 yr and 5yr, is in a dead heat with VWIGX. I don't own any Vanguard funds in my fund supermarket account, but I assume there's a transaction fee. MS funds are no-load, NTF where I shop.
  • Highland Socially Responsible Fund to be reorganized
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/891079/000119312521020228/d160564d497.htm
    497 1 d160564d497.htm HIGHLAND FUNDS II
    HIGHLAND FUNDS II
    Highland Socially Responsible Equity Fund
    Supplement dated January 31, 2021 to the Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement
    of Additional Information (“SAI”) each dated January 31, 2021, as supplemented from time to time
    This Supplement provides new and additional information beyond that contained in the Summary Prospectuses, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information and should be read in conjunction with the Summary Prospectuses, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information.
    IMPORTANT NOTICE
    The following information supplements and supersedes any information to the contrary contained in the Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and/or Statement of Additional Information of Highland Socially Responsible Equity Fund, a series of Highland Funds II (the “Trust”), each dated and supplemented as noted above.
    As previously disclosed, on October 28, 2020, the Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of Highland Funds I (the “HFI”) and Highland Funds II (the “HFII”) unanimously approved an Agreement and Plan of Reorganization (the “Plan”) for the reorganization of Highland Socially Responsible Fund (the “Acquired Fund”) into NexPoint Merger Arbitrage Fund (the “Acquiring Fund,” and together with the Acquired Fund, the “Funds”). Under the Plan, the Acquired Fund would be reorganized into the Acquiring Fund on or around February 26, 2021 (the “Closing Date”). Shareholders of record as of January 8, 2021, will be entitled to vote on the Plan.
    At any time prior to the Reorganization, shareholders may redeem shares of the Acquired Fund. Such a redemption would likely result in the recognition of gain or loss by the shareholder for U.S. federal income tax purposes, which would be taxable to a shareholder that holds the shares in a taxable account. Additionally, Acquired Fund shareholders will not incur any sales load or similar transaction charges as part of the Reorganization. Please contact the Adviser at 1-877-665-1287 if you have questions about the Reorganization or your account.
    A special meeting of shareholders during which shareholders of the Acquired Fund will be asked to consider and vote on the Plan has been scheduled to be held on February 26, 2021. If shareholders of the Acquired Fund approve the reorganization, the reorganization is expected to take effect on or about February 26, 2021.
    Shareholders of record of the Acquired Fund will receive a prospectus/proxy statement that will include important information regarding the Reorganization. Those shareholders should read that prospectus/proxy statement carefully when it is available. The prospectus/proxy statement, and any other documents filed by the Funds with the SEC, may be obtained free of charge at the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov or the Funds’ Web site at www.highlandfunds.com/literature or www.nexpointgroup.com/nexpoint-merger-arbitrage-fund/. For more information regarding the Acquired or Acquiring Fund please call 1-877-665-1287 or visit the Funds’ Web site listed above.
    INVESTORS SHOULD RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT WITH THE SUMMARY PROSPECTUS, PROSPECTUS AND STATEMENT OF ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FOR FUTURE REFERENCE.
    HFII-HPE-SUPP-0121
  • Building Downside Protection For Retirees
    @FD1000 said:
    I have several criteria but the easiest one is the VIX, when...VIX>30 get ready...VIX>35 start selling...VIX>40 rapid selling. The catch of course is not to stay out for longer term. I have been out of the market about 3% of the times in the last 10 years.
    This week seems to be one of those moments to watch the VIX.
    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EVIX?p=%5EVIX
  • JPMorgan International Advantage Fund to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1217286/000119312521020134/d53492d497.htm
    497 1 d53492d497.htm JPMORGAN TRUST I
    J.P. MORGAN INTERNATIONAL EQUITY FUNDS
    (JFTAX)
    JPMorgan International Advantage Fund
    (the “Fund”)
    (All Share Classes)
    (a series of JPMorgan Trust I)
    Supplement dated January 28, 2021
    to the Summary Prospectuses, Prospectuses and Statement of Additional Information
    dated March 1, 2020, as supplemented
    NOTICE OF LIQUIDATION OF THE JPMORGAN INTERNATIONAL ADVANTAGE FUND. The Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of JPMorgan Trust I has approved the liquidation and dissolution of the Fund on or about February 26, 2021 (the “Liquidation Date”). Effective immediately, the Fund may depart from its stated investment objective and strategies as it increases its cash holdings in preparation for its liquidation. On the Liquidation Date (for settlement the date after the Liquidation Date), the Fund shall distribute pro rata to its shareholders of record all of the assets of the Fund in complete cancellation and redemption of all of the outstanding shares of beneficial interest, except for any proceeds from any securities that cannot be liquidated on the Liquidation Date, cash, bank deposits or cash equivalents in an estimated amount necessary to (i) discharge any unpaid liabilities and obligations of the Fund on the Fund’s books on the Liquidation Date, including, but not limited to, income dividends and capital gains distributions, if any, payable through the Liquidation Date, and (ii) pay such contingent liabilities as the officers of the Fund deem appropriate subject to ratification by the Board. Income dividends and capital gain distributions, if any, may be paid on or prior to the Liquidation Date. If you have a Fund direct IRA account, your shares will be exchanged for Morgan Shares of the JPMorgan U.S. Government Money Market Fund unless you provide alternative direction prior to the Liquidation Date. For all other IRA accounts, the proceeds will be invested based upon guidelines of the applicable Plan administrator.
    Upon liquidation, shareholders may purchase any class of another J.P. Morgan Fund for which they are eligible with the proceeds of the liquidating distribution. At the time of the purchase you must inform your Financial Intermediary or the J.P. Morgan Funds that the proceeds are from the Fund.
    PURCHASES OF FUND SHARES FROM NEW SHAREHOLDERS WILL NO LONGER BE ACCEPTED ON OR AFTER FEBRUARY 1, 2021.
    PURCHASES OF ADDITIONAL SHARES FROM EXISTING SHAREHOLDERS WILL NO LONGER BE ACCEPTED ON OR AFTER FEBRUARY 24, 2021.
    INVESTORS SHOULD RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT WITH THE SUMMARY
    PROSPECTUSES, PROSPECTUSES AND STATEMENT OF ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
    FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
    SUP-IA-LIQ
  • Pacific Funds Large-Cap Value to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1137761/000110465921008273/a21-4007_1497.htm
    97 1 a21-4007_1497.htm 497
    SUPPLEMENT DATED JANUARY 28, 2021
    TO THE PACIFIC FUNDS PROSPECTUS DATED AUGUST 1, 2020
    FOR CLASS A, CLASS C, CLASS I, CLASS R6 AND ADVISOR CLASS SHARES
    This supplement revises the Pacific Funds Prospectus dated August 1, 2020 for Class A, Class C, Class I, Class R6 and Advisor Class Shares, as supplemented (the “Prospectus”), and must be preceded or accompanied by the Prospectus. This supplement applies to Pacific Funds Large-Cap Value only. Remember to review the Prospectus for other important information. Capitalized terms not defined herein are as defined in the Prospectus.
    NOTICE OF LIQUIDATION OF PACIFIC FUNDSSM LARGE-CAP VALUE
    On January 25, 2021, the Board of Trustees of Pacific Funds Series Trust (the “Trust”) approved a plan of liquidation (the “Plan”) for Pacific Funds Large-Cap Value (the “Fund”), a series of the Trust. The liquidation of the Fund is expected to occur on or about March 1, 2021, or such other date as any officer of the Trust shall determine (the “Liquidation Date”). The Liquidation Date may be accelerated if all shareholders of the Fund have redeemed their shares prior to that date.
    In order to convert all portfolio securities of the Fund to cash or cash equivalents in preparation for the liquidation, the Fund is expected to deviate from its investment goal and investment strategies until it is liquidated on the Liquidation Date. For example, short-term money market or other instruments may be held by the Fund in anticipation of its liquidation and these investments will not perform in the same manner as investments held by the Fund under normal circumstances.
    No new shareholders into the Fund were accepted after December 1, 2020. Investments from existing shareholders of the Fund will no longer be accepted after February 5, 2021. Shareholders holding shares subject to a contingent deferred sales charge (“CDSC”) as of February 5, 2021 will not incur a CDSC on any redemptions on or after February 5, 2021, nor on any amounts distributed on the Liquidation Date. Shareholders may exchange shares of the Fund for another Fund of the Trust at any time prior to the Liquidation Date pursuant to the exchange provisions described in the Prospectus.
    Plan of Liquidation. Pursuant to the Plan, on the Liquidation Date the Fund will distribute to its shareholders of record, as of the close of business on the Liquidation Date, all of the remaining assets of the Fund in complete cancellation and redemption of all of the outstanding shares of the Fund, except for cash, bank deposits or cash equivalents in an estimated amount necessary to (i) discharge any unpaid liabilities and obligations of the Fund on the Fund’s book on the Liquidation Date, including, but not limited to, income, dividends, and capital gains distributions, if any, payable through the Liquidation Date, and (ii) pay such contingent liabilities as the Board shall reasonably deem to exist against the assets of the Fund on the Fund’s book.
    Disclosure Changes. All references to and related to the Fund in the Trust’s registration statement (including the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information) will be deleted effective upon the Liquidation Date. No further notification regarding the liquidation of this Fund will be provided, unless circumstances change from those described above.
    SUPPLEMENT DATED JANUARY 28, 2021
    TO THE PACIFIC FUNDS PROSPECTUS DATED AUGUST 1, 2020
    FOR CLASS P SHARES
    This supplement revises the Pacific Funds Prospectus dated August 1, 2020 for Class P Shares, as supplemented (the “Prospectus”), and must be preceded or accompanied by the Prospectus. This supplement applies to Pacific Funds Large-Cap Value only. Remember to review the Prospectus for other important information. Capitalized terms not defined herein are as defined in the Prospectus.
    NOTICE OF LIQUIDATION OF PACIFIC FUNDSSM LARGE-CAP VALUE
    On January 25, 2021, the Board of Trustees of Pacific Funds Series Trust (the “Trust”) approved a plan of liquidation (the “Plan”) for Pacific Funds Large-Cap Value (the “Fund”), a series of the Trust. The liquidation of the Fund is expected to occur on or about March 1, 2021, or such other date as any officer of the Trust shall determine (the “Liquidation Date”).
    In order to convert all portfolio securities of the Fund to cash or cash equivalents in preparation for the liquidation, the Fund is expected to deviate from its investment goal and investment strategies until it is liquidated on the Liquidation Date. For example, short-term money market or other instruments may be held by the Fund in anticipation of its liquidation and these investments will not perform in the same manner as investments held by the Fund under normal circumstances.
    Plan of Liquidation. Pursuant to the Plan, on the Liquidation Date the Fund will distribute to its shareholders of record, as of the close of business on the Liquidation Date, all of the remaining assets of the Fund in complete cancellation and redemption of all of the outstanding shares of the Fund, except for cash, bank deposits or cash equivalents in an estimated amount necessary to (i) discharge any unpaid liabilities and obligations of the Fund on the Fund’s book on the Liquidation Date, including, but not limited to, income, dividends, and capital gains distributions, if any, payable through the Liquidation Date, and (ii) pay such contingent liabilities as the Board shall reasonably deem to exist against the assets of the Fund on the Fund’s book.
    Disclosure Changes. All references to and related to the Fund in the Trust’s registration statement (including the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information) will be deleted effective upon the Liquidation Date. No further notification regarding the liquidation of this Fund will be provided, unless circumstances change from those described above.
  • CD rate
    ...Just noticed that the 3.5% offering from Navy which was there for so long is down to 3%. And the AMOUNT you can invest at that rate is severely limited, as was pointed out on an older thread here. Seems to me you'd have to have EVERY other conceivable base covered, in order to decide to put money there.
  • Waiting for the Last Dance -- Jeremy Grantham
    Picked up this link on *The Big Picture* more of the same
    “ Bronte’s strategy has not changed. But we act with extra caution: keeping positions small, watching our hedges carefully, and increasing our willingness to “duck and cover” when danger lurks. Meanwhile we are honing our list of garbage SPACs and other dross sold to retail. It is a target rich environment. One day—when the targets are not shooting back with such vehemence—we will short more aggressively. Till then we just wish to keep the book under control.
    You, dear clients, however have a choice to make – and we will understand if you make it. Our recent results are not good; but we believe our future will be better, for this period too will end. However, perhaps you possibly know a young manager who has earned well over 100 percent this year. You might want to take your money there. It pains us to say this – but given our results we will understand if you do.
    And maybe it will work. But it comes with a warning. Of the tens of millions of people who have come to the market in the past year or so and are up big, some will be great – but most will be this cycle’s go-go victims. For them 80-95 percent losses beckon.
    Be careful out there. And stay rational. We will be.
    The Bronte Team”
  • Some questions on Emerging market funds ?
    MGGPX, MSEGX, MSSMX, MIGPX and yes I would say they are big players. I’m trying to avoid “dworsification”... it’s hard for me. But yes the first fund is my core International and the last one is the only one I could buy in that account. I have 10 percent or so in MSSMX coupled with my WAMCX. Replaced William Blair LC with MSEGX but I already had FBGRX and FDGRX... so a bit of duplication or too much in LC growth there.
    I recently backtested a simple formula... 4 funds only. FXNAX, FBGRX, MGGPX and FBALX.... I couldn’t believe what I discovered. It was only about 4 percent less than my portfolio over 5 year plus. So I may have to reign myself in and KISS.
  • Time for Hussman? High Grade Rubies? Artisan Focus ARTTX
    That’s very helpful @Baseball_Fan. When Professor Snowball profiled ARTTX in its first set of clothing he pointed out that there was no measurable management record for Mr. Smith. As you rightly say, he now has a record at Artisan and it is plausible to attribute some of his skills to having learned on several jobs. The bogey for the Focus fund is the S&P 500 according to Artisan materials, while M* has it in the LG category. There are few LG funds that haven’t done well in the past 3 years. I wonder if the risk control measures will serve shareholders well once we get into a period when LG is not the only game in town. I’ll keep an eye on this fund, now that you have piqued my curiosity. Longs and shorts got nailed today, making me wonder if there’s anywhere to hide. I put some $ in EM ESG and SCV. Best of luck.
    .
  • Small Caps
    Beating a dead horse here, but SCG MSSMX UP 2.99% on a sell-off day.
    For me, that does it: adding more to it tomorrow.
    Maybe another +150% year is coming?
  • EQUITY. A wee bit twitchy this morning, eh?
    We can't go upward forever in a straight line. Today feels to me like a bit of a breathe-er. Today is certainly noteworthy, but just a blip, when considering an investment-lifetime. High confidence in my fund picks lets me relax after a day like today. Due diligence duly pays off, long-term.
    From largest stake to smallest: PRWCX RPSIX PRSNX PRIDX PTIAX BRUFX PRDSX. 53% bonds. 29% US stocks. 10% foreign stocks. 8% cash.
  • EQUITY. A wee bit twitchy this morning, eh?
    Hi @Baseball_Fan
    Perhaps the global equity needs to take a rest. We are at 53% equity, tech. and healthcare; positions we've held for some time now. The other 47% is in BAGIX, a plain vanilla, active managed bond fund.
    'Course, we always prefer to find all of our investments headed into and remain positive, eh?
    Interesting times remain in investment land.
    Regards,
    Catch
  • Time for Hussman? High Grade Rubies? Artisan Focus ARTTX
    @BenWP
    I don't believe ARTTX and VLSAX have similar strat's. I like ARTTX as it is a "risk-aware, not specifically L/S" fund and the way I understand it is there is an associate on board whose role in managing the portfolio is focused on risk management thru use of options or other, etc. The fund is run using a very process oriented approach and has out performed the SP500 by a substantial margin since inception. I like his pedigree from where he used to work at a couple hedge funds, likely learned quite a bit and took away "best practices" experience.
    VLSAX, run by KAR investments out of LA focuses long high quality, high ROIC, history of resilient earnings growth, minimal debt stock, short, low quality, high leverage, poor cash flow, declining financial metrics stocks
    per July 2020 Value Investor (apologies to you and the board as I can't seem to get the linking thing down, argh, I kept looking for a post on how to do that from the past, can't find it). Another good article about ARTTX if you Google, morningstar, an up and comer from top notch fund group, July 2019
    Lineage
    While each successive manager typically customizes along the way, it’s not
    uncommon in the investment business
    for strategies to be passed from generation to generation. Christopher Smith of
    Artisan Partners provides a representative case in point. The founding portfolio manager of the firm’s Focus Fund –
    which was launched in 2017 and now
    manages $1.3 billion in assets – Smith
    takes an “industry-first” approach to
    identifying attractive equity opportunities, looking initially for industries with
    what he believes are accelerating profit
    cycles and then for the companies that
    are priced right and best positioned to
    profit from them. He learned the basics
    of the approach from Karsch Capital's
    Michael Karsch [VII, March 31, 2010],
    who learned it from Duquense Capital’s
    Stanley Druckenmiller.
    With three years under his belt at Artisan, Smith's rendition of a thematic
    approach since its April 2017 launch
    has earned a net annualized 23.8%, vs.
    10.9% for the S&P 500
    Good Luck to All,
    Baseball Fan
  • Grandeur Peak Global Advisors' 4th quarter 2020 newsletter
    I think you are referring to P. 17. All GP funds out-performed their respective benchmarks by a large margin for 5+ years. Also many GP funds are Great Owl funds. What makes GP differs from other mutual fund family is close their funds at fairly low asset level (well less than $500 millions). Also they stay within their competency/expertise in the mid-small-micro cap space unlike other shops that keep on expanding just to attract new $.
  • Time for Hussman? High Grade Rubies? Artisan Focus ARTTX
    Better off going to cash than investing with Hussman.
    This is very good financial advice!
    "Obviously, Hussman turned into a 'perma-bear,' calling for disaster constantly (and wrongly). Hussman still insists that he will be vindicated, and criticizes those who would 'declare victory at halftime.' He criticized 'declaring victory at halftime' previously six full years ago (that’s one long halftime). Hussman wants us to believe that he’s not wrong, merely right but early. However, if you keep making the same wrong call over and over, you don’t get any credit for it when you’re (eventually) right."
    "Through 2019, Hussman’s Strategic Growth fund has suffered a 10-year average annual 'return' of -7.54 percent, compared to a 13.24 percent average annual gain by its benchmark, the S&P 500. Despite exceptional early returns, the fund not only badly trails the S&P since inception, it is now a money loser since inception. Notwithstanding this terrible performance, Hussman keeps charging investors 1.25 percent annually to lose their money."
    Link