Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Is it time for a correction ?
    hank -was the junk bond fund, by chance, the infamous Oppenheimer Champion Income fund?
    LOL - I don’t know. But I’m well aware of the former Oppenheimer “Champion” high income fund and have referenced it a few times here. Best recollection is it lost about 75% over the ‘07-‘09 bear market. More grievous, perhaps, was Oppenheimer’s “Core Bond” fund that had been marketed as low risk but ended up losing something like 40% during that time. Others may wish to check the numbers..
    The friend I referenced is no longer among the living. But, it’s one thing to read some poster whom you’ve never met sharing their financial fortunes online. Quite a different matter to have somebody you’ve known personally most of your life (and like) open up like that and share their loss.
  • Any green in your portfolio today ?
    My only green today (5/12) is CLMAX + .28%.
    TMSRX, HRSAX and some s/t bond funds are flat.
  • Chicken Shortage Sends Prices Soaring, and Restaurants Can’t Keep Up - WSJ
    Recent news suggests that part of the problem may be with Tyson's stud roosters - higher quality but lower volume offspring.
    https://www.cnn.com/2021/05/11/business/chicken-shortage-tyson-roosters/index.html
    There's always Costco's loss leader $4.99 rotisserie chicken. Costco is large enough to raise its own chickens. But that comes with a dark side (opinion piece by Nicolas Kristof):
    Many of us aren’t quite sure what rights animals should have, or how far to take this concern for animal well-being. We’re learning as we go, but most are willing to pay a bit more to avoid torturing animals, and that’s why fast-food restaurants make Better Chicken Commitments; it’s why Costco will eventually come around, too.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/06/opinion/sunday/costco-chicken-animal-welfare.html
  • keep gambling ?!! Anyone buying dogecoin
    So the Schmeissing continues...
    TTD whacked the other day...now today..Lemonade...LMND.
    What could possible go wrong with co's of these ilk?...buying insurance on your phone via an app...with a company name that a child would come up with...are you sheeting me?
    TTD takes a 25% hit and take a look at what the PE ratio still is...
    This is beyond ridiculous. We need to clear the markets of this garbage similar to a morning constitiutional after eating a $2.00 burrito dinner special the night prior...
    Baseball Fan
  • Is it time for a correction ?
    Remember these days?
    Q: What was the interest rate on a savings account in 1980?
    A: 19.5 percent
    Since inflation was still high at more than 12 percent, the Federal Reserve hiked relentlessly between August and December of 1980, bringing the target fed funds rate back up to 19.5 percent.
    Most investors today have no idea that interest rates can even go above 3%.
  • Is it time for a correction ?
    Not as bad as the afternoon in ‘87 when the Dow fell 27% during the short time I was driving home from work. Or as bad as the day in ‘08 when I happened upon an old HS buddy literally in tears because half his IRA had been wiped out in a few months by an investment in junk bonds he’d considered relatively safe.
    Shucks, this kind of noise is normal and healthy for markets. Never invest $$ you will need anytime soon. Nobody’s to blame - unless you mean the charlatans who promise quick gains and would have you believe getting rich investing is so easy “even a cave man could do it.”
    If you’ve been around the past half century or more, when it comes to investing, you’ve seen a thing or two.
  • A Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency thread & Experiment
    Boy, that interview is not selling me on Bitcoin. First Saylor equates Bitcoin with the greatest technological innovations such as the automobile. The problem with that analysis is that the technology behind Bitcoin--blockchain--is not the same as Bitcoin itself just as the technology behind the automobile is not the same as the automobile manufacturing companies that produced automobiles. What he fails to recognize is that scores of auto manufacturers went out of business along the way in the development of the automobile--https://stacker.com/stories/5360/50-car-companies-no-longer-exist The automobile as a technology triumphed, but many car companies producing automobiles did not. Blockchain as a technology is interesting and has many potential applications outside of libertarian energy wasting fictitious currency. There is no reason to assume that Bitcoin will be the best example of that technology. And the idea that Bitcoin "offers the hope of a decent life to 8 billion people" is absurd. This is a market that rich--and I should add Caucasian guys like Saylor and Asian guys in China--are cornering and controlling without any regulatory oversight. The idea that they will provide a better more energy efficient digital currency than ordinary digital currency to 8 billion people is nonsense. Also, the idea that BItcoin miners are only using clean energy is a lie: https://smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/bitcoin-s-dirty-little-secret-it-s-not-easy-being-green-20210506-p57pki.html
  • Is it time for a correction ?
    So.... what happens if the market craters by 25-30-35-40-45%? Does that mean all the balance sheet expansion, Bailout, er handout for the rich last March as Lewis B would likely call it goes for naught?
    So... is this the sheissefest referenced earlier or just a "healthy" pullback?
    Just asking for a friend
    Best,
    Baseball fan
  • Buying this week's market dip?
    Yup, beef on Weck. I lived/worked for about 5 years in that ski resort town, about 90- minutes south of Buffalo. (Ellicottville.)
  • Any green in your portfolio today ?
    ZERO in the green today. Best were PTIAX and PRSNX, both down 2 cents/share.
    Worst = PRIDX, down -1.21% on the day. Portfolio was down by -0.51%.
  • A Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency thread & Experiment
    Made my first forray into anything crypto-related, buying a bunch of BFARF at $5 at the opem before it closed up nicely. Just got approved to list on the NASDAQ the other day, so I expect it will pop given retail interest and make for some nice cap gains once the ticker changes. This is a total spec play on my part -- the company is a Canadian-based crypto miner that looks pretty decent vs its peers, so ... we'll see what happens.
    I don't own any cryptocurrency and think the proliferation of 'exchanges' is too crowded a field to figure out who's got an edge. But this 'mining' company at least I understand a bit and feel it's useful on the 'back end' of the crypto mania -- eg, crypto infrastructure -- and seems one of the better ones at that.
  • Any green in your portfolio today ?
    RLSFX +.70%, HMEAX +.15%, CLMAX +.09%
  • Selective Opportunity Fund to liquidate
    Update:
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1199046/000139834421010241/fp0065409_497.htm
    497 1 fp0065409_497.htm
    SELECTIVE OPPORTUNITY FUND
    Supplement to the Prospectus
    and
    Statement of Additional Information
    dated April 29, 2020
    Supplement dated May 11, 2021
    In Supplements dated February 26, 2021 and March 24, 2021, we notified you that the Board of Trustees has determined that it is in the best interest of shareholders to liquidate the Selective Opportunity Fund (the “Fund”), that as of February 26, 2021, the Fund is no longer accepting purchase orders for its shares, and that the Fund will close effective June 21, 2021 (the “Closing Date”). We are now notifying you that the Closing Date has been changed to May 21, 2021.
    Shareholders may redeem Fund shares at any time prior to the Closing Date. Procedures for redeeming your account, including reinvested distributions, are contained in the section “How to Redeem Shares” of the Fund’s Prospectus. Any shareholders that have not redeemed their shares of the Fund prior to the Closing Date will have their shares automatically redeemed as of that date, with proceeds being sent to the address of record. If your Fund shares were purchased through a broker-dealer and are held in a brokerage account, redemption proceeds may be forwarded by the Fund directly to the broker-dealer for deposit into your brokerage account.
    In the Supplement dated February 26, 2021 we notified you that the Fund will continue to pursue its investment objective through the Closing Date. In the Supplement dated March 24, 2021 we notified you that effective immediately, the Fund will no longer pursue its investment objective and may begin to liquidate the holdings in its portfolio. As of the date of this Supplement, all portfolio holdings have been liquidated and the proceeds of the liquidated holdings are invested in money market instruments or are held in cash.
    Any capital gains have been distributed to shareholders and reinvested in additional Fund shares, unless you requested payment in cash.
    IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR RETIREMENT PLAN INVESTORS
    If you are a retirement plan investor, you should consult your tax adviser regarding the consequences of a redemption of Fund shares. If you receive a distribution from an Individual Retirement Account (IRA) or a Simplified Employee Pension (SEP) IRA, you must roll the proceeds into another IRA within 60 days of the date of the distribution in order to avoid having to include the distribution in your taxable income for the year. If you are the trustee of a qualified retirement plan or the custodian of a 403(b)(7) custodian account (tax-sheltered account) or a Keogh account, you may reinvest the proceeds in any way permitted by its governing instrument.
    * * * * * *
    This Supplement and the Prospectus provide the information a prospective investor should know about the Fund and should be retained for future reference. A Statement of Additional Information dated April 29, 2020 has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and is incorporated herein by reference. You may obtain the Prospectus or Statement of Additional Information without charge by calling the Fund at (434) 515-1517 or visiting www.selectivewealthmanagement.com.
  • Bivrx. Invenomic fund
    Up up & away for month of May, 15.72% !!
    Derf
  • Bivrx. Invenomic fund
    I bought into BIVRX in early-mid 2020. Fund has done really well! Fund is up 57% according to this link (long-short equity) category.
    https://www.morningstar.com/funds/screener-rank
    Initial investment is $5K for investor class, but must maintain minimum balance of $1K afterwards in a taxable account (prospectus link below).
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1518042/000158064221000788/invenomic485b.htm.
    Check out the prior assessments by David:
    https://www.mutualfundobserver.com/2019/05/balter-invenomic-bivrx-bivix-bivsx/
    which changed to Invenomic:
    https://www.mutualfundobserver.com/2019/10/invenomic-fund-bivrx-bivix-bivsx/
    From one of the assessments:
    The manager is Ali Motamed. Before launching Invenomic Capital, Mr. Motamed was a Senior Analyst and a Portfolio Manager with Robeco Investment Management (2003-15) where he co-managed Boston Partners Long/Short Equity Fund (BPLEX) and a related strategy. He was awarded Portfolio Manager of the Year in the Alternatives Category by Morningstar in 2014.
    Found this link from Ted back in September 2019:
    https://www.fa-mag.com/news/mining-the-short-side-51224.html?print
  • What will you do if (when?)...."frothy" markets turn into a Scheisse Fest?
    Do like commentary from JC Parents, all star charts blog re when to buy after a market wham-o drawdown....after the pull back, buy on the way UP when the % of NYSE stonks above 200 moving day ave gets back above 15%
    Who knows if this will work next go round??
    Best,
    Baseball Fan
  • Bivrx. Invenomic fund
    Based on recent performance, at least this fund is not afraid to place its bets. BIVRX is up over +3.1% today. Most long-shorts don't ACTUALLY do much shorting. Ever. So at least BIVRX has something going for it in that sense. Its not a typical L/S, other than its Expense Ratio.
    This fund can be wild (look at the YTD chart!!!) and non-conventional, so I'd keep any allocation % low. Real low. Like, "how much you could afford to lose in Vegas and not really care" low. If the PM can keep this up, it should attract a lot of new $$$. It's nimble at only $265M in Assets.
    Fun stuff. Their recent bets have been paying off.
  • DODBX vs RPGAX?
    @BenWP - You can’t go wrong with RPGAX, IMHO. I expect it to lag a while until the dollar eventually weakens. Then the international exposure will begin to help. That said, the fees are high on it. FWIW - My equity exposure isn’t high and is primarily divided among RPGAX, DODBX and PRWCX.
    Re TMSRX ... It isn’t intended to be a stand-alone investment. Those who put a lot of faith in their self-designed allocation models can benefit by using it as an offset / hedge against other risk assets they hold - or possibly as a diversifier. I believe all the fund houses, including TRP, tell you their funds aren’t intended to be stand-alone investment# - but in the case of TMSRX it’s really true.
    And just noticed M* gives TMSRX a 4-star rating. LOL - that’s nuts (and I own it). IMHO it hasn’t been around long enough to rate. And trying even to rate a fund like this would seem tantamount to telling the wind to stop. Give it 5 years minimum and see what kind of personality it develops in many different market environments.
  • Yale chief investment officer Swensen dies of cancer
    John Authers wrote the following informative article about David Swensen.
    Link
  • keep gambling ?!! Anyone buying dogecoin
    Has anyone seen ttd, the trade desk stock today. What's up, down over 25%? I'd be real careful if I owned arkk, Cathy wood investments here.... not sure if she holds this stock but does the same ilk and could be a tell of what's to come
    Katy, I mean Cathy bar the door??
    Baseball fan